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AFC Energy PLC (GB:AFC)
LSE:AFC

AFC Energy (AFC) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:AFC

AFC Energy

(LSE:AFC)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
12.00 p
▲(17.65% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/02/26
The score is held back primarily by very weak financial performance (collapsed revenue, large losses, and ongoing cash burn), partially offset by low leverage and improved burn. The earnings call adds moderate support due to clear milestones, partnerships, and a strengthened cash runway, while technicals are neutral-to-slightly supportive. Valuation remains constrained by loss-making status and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant revenue growth indicates strong demand for AFC's products, suggesting potential for future market expansion and increased sales.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues indicate operational inefficiencies, which could hinder AFC's ability to reinvest in the business and sustain growth.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant revenue growth indicates strong demand for AFC's products, suggesting potential for future market expansion and increased sales.
Read all positive factors

AFC Energy (AFC) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

AFC Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
AFC Energy plc engages in the development of alkaline fuel cell technology and allied equipment for the generation of clean energy in the United Kingdom. The company offers HydroX-Cell(L), an alkaline fuel cell module; HydroX-Cell(S); and AlkaMem,...
How the Company Makes Money
AFC Energy generates revenue primarily through the sale and licensing of its fuel cell technology and systems. The company offers its products to a range of sectors, including transportation, industrial, and commercial markets. Key revenue streams...

AFC Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 25, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call balanced clear strategic progress (product launches LC30/Hy-5, key partnerships with Volex, ICL, and an S&P 500 partner, reduced cash burn, successful fundraise and an improved cash runway) against continued near-term commercial and accounting challenges (widened reported loss, negligible current sales, one-off write-offs/provisions, certification and supply risks, and the need to build a firm order book by 2027). The tone was constructive and execution-focused, but the company still needs to convert pipeline interest into contracted orders and navigate certification/supply constraints to realize revenue growth.
Positive Updates
Successful Fundraise and Strong Cash Position
Raised gross GBP 27.5m (net GBP 25.8m) during the year and finished with GBP 25.3m cash on the balance sheet, providing runway to deliver strategic initiatives for the next 18 months.
Negative Updates
Widening Reported Loss
Loss before tax increased to GBP 22.2m (FY25) from GBP 17.4m (FY24), a rise of GBP 4.8m (~27.6%). Management attributes much of the change to non-cash accounting items.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Successful Fundraise and Strong Cash Position
Raised gross GBP 27.5m (net GBP 25.8m) during the year and finished with GBP 25.3m cash on the balance sheet, providing runway to deliver strategic initiatives for the next 18 months.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management gave detailed near‑term commercial and technical guidance: LC30 CE marking is targeted in August 2026 with sales from September and a committed build of 15 units through October 2026 (each unit takes ~85 hours to build and uses ~40–45 kg H2/day), Dunsfold hydrogen sales to begin April 2026 and Hy‑5 pilot commissioning with ICL import clearance is planned for November 2026, Hy‑5 prototype capacity at Dunsfold is ~1 unit/week (~50/yr) with the pilot site capacity ≈400 kg/day (Hy‑5 spec ~500 kg/day), medium‑term LC30 production is fuel‑cell limited to ~500 units/month (6,000/yr) equating to ~£600m revenue at £100k/unit (management referenced a ~$95k price point), Hy‑5 Fuel‑as‑a‑Service price shown at £10/kg, FY25 PBT loss £22.2m (non‑cash items £12.4m), R&D spend £11.7m (£5.2m capitalized) with ~£3.3m R&D tax credits expected, net fundraising ~£25.8m (gross £27.5m) with £25.3m cash on hand, and cash burn cut to £15.4m in FY25 (from £26.6m) with fixed costs kept <£1m/month.

AFC Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating performance is very weak with revenue collapsing (~97% YoY) and deeply negative margins (negative gross profit; EBIT about -25.8m; net loss about -22.2m). Cash generation is also poor with continued operating and free-cash-flow burn (FCF about -12.6m in 2025), despite improvement versus 2024. The main offset is a conservatively levered balance sheet (minimal debt vs equity), reducing near-term refinancing risk.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Cash Flow
24
Negative
BreakdownOct 2025Oct 2024Oct 2023Oct 2022Oct 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue125.00K4.00M227.00K582.00K592.80K
Gross Profit-4.34M-1.87M-67.00K-1.51M-777.97K
EBITDA-21.51M-16.66M-17.82M-17.60M-9.51M
Net Income-22.20M-17.42M-17.48M-16.45M-9.38M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets42.45M36.57M36.24M50.68M63.14M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments25.32M15.37M27.37M40.22M55.99M
Total Debt179.00K664.00K1.12M996.00K906.13K
Total Liabilities6.05M6.30M5.15M4.94M3.26M
Stockholders Equity36.40M30.27M31.09M45.74M59.89M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-12.57M-26.31M-14.81M-15.35M-10.34M
Operating Cash Flow-11.84M-18.91M-13.14M-12.63M-8.44M
Investing Cash Flow-15.01M-7.70M-1.24M-2.72M-1.90M
Financing Cash Flow25.37M14.62M1.53M197.00K34.76M

AFC Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price10.20
Price Trends
50DMA
11.94
Negative
100DMA
11.02
Negative
200DMA
10.97
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.43
Positive
RSI
37.91
Neutral
STOCH
18.22
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:AFC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 10.2 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.33, below the 50-day MA of 11.94, and below the 200-day MA of 10.97, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.43 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.22 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:AFC.

AFC Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
56
Neutral
£641.66M-3.71-24.51%12.58%12.39%
52
Neutral
£116.38M-3.53-76.88%732.03%12.60%
46
Neutral
£31.55M-2.66-42.23%
44
Neutral
£46.11M-5.44-42.08%265.67%-16.50%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:AFC
AFC Energy
10.24
4.42
75.95%
GB:CWR
Ceres Power Holdings
329.40
272.20
475.87%
GB:IKA
Ilika plc
25.50
-13.00
-33.77%
GB:GELN
Gelion PLC
13.75
3.00
27.91%

AFC Energy Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
AFC Energy accelerates hydrogen commercialisation after £27.5m fundraise
Positive
Feb 25, 2026
AFC Energy reported FY25 results highlighting a strategic reset towards commercial deployment of its fuel cell generators and ammonia crackers, backed by an oversubscribed &#163;27.5m fundraising and increased RD spend despite a wider post-tax los...
Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
AFC Energy Wins Approval to Sell Hydrogen from Pilot Ammonia Cracker
Positive
Feb 18, 2026
AFC Energy has secured a revision to its UK Environment Agency research and development permit, allowing it to export and sell low carbon hydrogen from its pilot ammonia cracking plant at Dunsfold. The approval confirms the company&#8217;s ability...
Business Operations and Strategy
AFC Energy strikes $2m Komatsu deal to develop ammonia‑fuelled engines
Positive
Feb 10, 2026
AFC Energy has signed a Joint Development Agreement with Japanese heavy equipment manufacturer Komatsu and its affiliate Industrial Power Alliance to integrate AFC&#8217;s proprietary ammonia cracking technology into a Komatsu industrial diesel en...
Business Operations and Strategy
AFC Energy strikes $2m Komatsu deal to develop ammonia‑fuelled engines
Positive
Feb 10, 2026
AFC Energy has signed a Joint Development Agreement with Japanese heavy equipment manufacturer Komatsu and its affiliate Industrial Power Alliance to integrate AFC&#8217;s proprietary ammonia cracking technology into a Komatsu industrial diesel en...
Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
AFC Energy to Showcase Hydrogen Power Systems to Retail Investors
Positive
Feb 9, 2026
AFC Energy is inviting retail investors to a live equipment demonstration at Dunsfold Aerodrome on 5 March 2026, showcasing its decentralised ammonia cracker and hydrogen fuel cell generator technologies. The event, hosted by the executive team, w...
Regulatory Filings and Compliance
AFC Energy Confirms Total Voting Rights Following Share Capital Update
Neutral
Jan 30, 2026
AFC Energy has confirmed that as of 30 January 2026 its issued and outstanding share capital stands at 1,132,986,953 ordinary shares, all carrying voting rights, with no shares held in treasury. This updated share capital figure provides the offic...
Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
AFC Energy Unveils Next-Generation LC30 Fuel Cell Generator With Major Cost and Efficiency Gains
Positive
Jan 21, 2026
AFC Energy has completed the first build of its new LC30 30kW liquid-cooled fuel cell generator, which is now undergoing operational testing and delivering power in line with design specifications. The company says the LC30 achieves around an 85% ...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
AFC Energy Sets Date for FY25 Results and Retail Investor Presentation
Positive
Jan 20, 2026
AFC Energy plc has announced it will publish its full-year results for the 12 months to 31 October 2025 on 25 February 2026 and will follow this with a live online presentation for retail investors on 27 February via the Investor Meet Company plat...
Executive/Board ChangesDelistings and Listing Changes
AFC Energy Announces Share Admission to AIM
Neutral
Dec 17, 2025
AFC Energy has announced the admission of 1,404,554 ordinary shares to the London Stock Exchange&#8217;s AIM to satisfy discretionary bonuses for certain leadership team members. This move will increase the company&#8217;s total voting shares to 1...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 02, 2026