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Ceres Power Holdings (GB:CWR)
LSE:CWR
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Ceres Power Holdings (CWR) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:CWR

Ceres Power Holdings

(LSE:CWR)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
238.00p
▲(0.17% Upside)
Ceres Power Holdings' overall score reflects strong technical momentum and strategic progress, tempered by financial challenges and valuation concerns. The company's transition from R&D to commercialization is promising, but profitability remains a key issue.
Positive Factors
Strategic Partnerships
Strategic partnerships with major players like Shell and Thermax enhance Ceres Power's market reach and technology adoption, supporting long-term growth and innovation in the renewable energy sector.
Production Commencement
The start of production with Doosan marks a critical transition from R&D to commercialization, validating Ceres Power's business model and enhancing its capacity to scale operations and revenue.
High Gross Margins
High gross margins allow Ceres Power to reinvest in growth and innovation, ensuring competitive advantage and financial resilience in the evolving energy market.
Negative Factors
Ongoing Losses
Continued losses, despite revenue growth, highlight the challenge of achieving profitability. Sustained investment in technology is necessary but strains financial resources, impacting long-term financial health.
Revenue Recognition Challenges
Challenges in revenue recognition can lead to unpredictable financial results, complicating financial planning and investor expectations, which may affect long-term strategic execution.
Order Intake Decline
A decline in order intake indicates potential weakening demand or market challenges, which could hinder revenue growth and affect the company's ability to scale its operations effectively.

Ceres Power Holdings (CWR) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Ceres Power Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCeres Power Holdings plc, a fuel cell technology and engineering company, engages in the development and commercialization of fuel cell technology in North America, Asia, and Europe. The company offers SteelCell, a solid oxide fuel cell that generates power from conventional and sustainable fuels, such as natural gas, biogas, ethanol, and hydrogen. Its products are applied in commercial, data center, transport, and residential markets. Ceres Power Holdings plc has a collaboration and license agreement with Doosan Fuel Cell Co. Ltd to build a 50MW facility for the mass manufacture under license of Ceres' fuel cell stacks in South Korea. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Horsham, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyCeres Power generates revenue primarily through the sale of its fuel cell technology and related systems. The company operates a business model that includes both direct sales of its products and licensing agreements with strategic partners who integrate its technology into their own energy solutions. Key revenue streams include the sale of fuel cell components, ongoing royalties from licensees, and collaborations with major players in the energy sector, which enhance market reach and technological development. Significant partnerships, such as those with leading automotive and energy companies, play a crucial role in driving sales and expanding the adoption of Ceres Power's technology, thereby contributing to its overall earnings.

Ceres Power Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 26, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted substantial progress in production and partnerships, along with sound financial management and strategic initiatives to capitalize on market opportunities. However, challenges in revenue recognition and ongoing losses, along with a decline in order intake, present significant hurdles. The transformation initiative is a strategic move to optimize operations and address these challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Start of Production with Doosan in South Korea
Achieved a major milestone with the beginning of production in collaboration with Doosan, which validates the business model and R&D innovation, transitioning from R&D to mass production.
Significant Investments and Partnerships
Delta Electronics committed GBP 170 million into manufacturing facilities in Taiwan. Partnerships with Shell and Thermax in India are progressing, including the opening of the HydroGenx Hub.
Positive Cash Flow and Strong Balance Sheet
The company maintains a strong balance sheet and reported positive cash flow for the period, preserving over GBP 100 million in cash.
Reduction in Operating Expenses
Achieved a 17% reduction in operating expenses, surpassing the target of 15%.
High Gross Margins
Reported industry-leading high gross margins, providing flexibility for future investments.
Business Transformation Initiative
Announced a business transformation initiative aiming for a 20% reduction in operating expenses to focus on commercialization opportunities.
Negative Updates
Revenue Recognition Challenges
Difficulties in predicting revenue recognition due to complex MLA contracts and standards like IFRS 15.
Uncertain Timing of New MLA Signings
The timing of new manufacturing license agreements (MLAs) is unpredictable, impacting revenue expectations.
Ongoing Losses Despite Revenue
Despite revenue generation, the company remains loss-making due to continued investment in stack platform development.
Order Intake Decline
The order intake significantly declined compared to the previous year, with only GBP 0.9 million compared to a larger number last year.
Company Guidance
In the recent call, Ceres Power provided a comprehensive update on its strategic progress and financial performance for the first half of 2025. The company highlighted several key milestones, including the commencement of production with Doosan in South Korea, which marks a significant shift from R&D to commercialization. Ceres also reported a strong balance sheet with positive cash flow and managed to preserve over GBP 100 million in cash. Revenue for the period was just over GBP 20 million, driven by high gross margins thanks to its licensing model. Despite still being a loss-making company, Ceres achieved a 17% cost savings in OpEx and CapEx, surpassing their initial 15% target. Looking forward, the company plans a business transformation initiative aimed at reducing operating expenses by around 20% to better position itself for future growth. This initiative is part of their strategy to enhance their focus on the power market, which is projected to reach 22 gigawatts by 2030, and to capitalize on opportunities in both the power and hydrogen markets.

Ceres Power Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ceres Power Holdings shows strong revenue growth but struggles with profitability, as indicated by negative net and EBIT margins. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, but cash flow is negative, reflecting operational challenges despite significant cash reserves.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Ceres Power Holdings shows significant revenue growth with an increase from £22.3M in 2023 to £51.9M in 2024, a 132.4% growth rate. However, the company struggles with profitability, as indicated by consistent negative net and EBIT margins over the years. Despite growing revenue, the net income remains negative, reflecting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company's balance sheet is stable with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01, indicating low leverage. The equity ratio is strong at 84.97%, showing a high proportion of assets financed by equity. However, net losses have impacted the return on equity, which is negative.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals negative free cash flow and operating cash flow, indicating cash burn. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative due to continuous losses. However, the company maintains significant cash reserves, which provides a buffer for operational funding.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue44.48M51.89M22.32M19.79M30.78M21.12M
Gross Profit33.90M40.16M13.55M13.05M19.05M14.22M
EBITDA-21.88M-18.68M-44.05M-45.11M-17.30M-9.21M
Net Income-35.34M-28.30M-54.01M-47.62M-21.09M-9.88M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets162.41M181.10M206.37M261.99M299.99M147.51M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments104.07M102.47M139.96M182.32M244.58M102.19M
Total Debt2.80M2.22M2.60M3.12M3.04M4.45M
Total Liabilities27.85M27.27M25.74M24.59M19.34M26.00M
Stockholders Equity134.56M153.83M180.63M233.77M280.65M121.51M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-21.92M-42.68M-48.62M-68.47M-32.17M-18.42M
Operating Cash Flow-18.99M-35.94M-33.90M-50.29M-20.22M-5.37M
Investing Cash Flow10.66M34.26M12.29M-38.85M-32.85M-26.58M
Financing Cash Flow-654.00K-478.00K-242.00K129.00K171.00M57.47M

Ceres Power Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price237.60
Price Trends
50DMA
150.19
Positive
100DMA
123.91
Positive
200DMA
106.66
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
26.44
Negative
RSI
67.42
Neutral
STOCH
51.52
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CWR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 237.6 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 201.06, above the 50-day MA of 150.19, and above the 200-day MA of 106.66, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 26.44 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:CWR.

Ceres Power Holdings Risk Analysis

Ceres Power Holdings disclosed 6 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ceres Power Holdings reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ceres Power Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
£437.56M-13.02-23.26%12.58%12.39%
50
Neutral
£21.30M-5.27-36.75%20.98%17.29%
45
Neutral
£81.37M-12.61-31.45%265.67%-16.50%
45
Neutral
£5.68M-25.60-1.39%-10.88%-122.05%
44
Neutral
£101.50M-86.37%732.03%12.60%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:CWR
Ceres Power Holdings
237.60
16.00
7.22%
GB:AFC
AFC Energy
8.84
0.24
2.79%
GB:EAAS
eEnergy Group
5.50
-0.20
-3.51%
GB:IKA
Ilika plc
44.50
24.00
117.07%
GB:LPA
LPA Group plc
43.00
-14.00
-24.56%
GB:GELN
Gelion PLC
25.50
4.00
18.60%

Ceres Power Holdings Corporate Events

Ceres Power’s Earnings Call: Milestones and Challenges
Oct 10, 2025

Ceres Power Holdings recently held an earnings call that painted a mixed picture of the company’s current standing and future prospects. The sentiment expressed during the call was one of cautious optimism, with notable achievements in production and partnerships, alongside prudent financial management. However, challenges such as revenue recognition issues, ongoing losses, and a decline in order intake were also highlighted. The company is undertaking a transformation initiative to optimize operations and address these hurdles.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Ceres Power Announces Total Voting Rights Update
Neutral
Sep 30, 2025

Ceres Power Holdings plc announced that as of September 30, 2025, the company had 193,955,462 Ordinary Shares in issue, each with one voting right, and none held in treasury. This information is crucial for shareholders to determine their notification requirements under the Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules, potentially impacting their engagement with the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CWR) stock is a Buy with a £3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ceres Power Holdings stock, see the GB:CWR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Ceres Power Transitions to Commercial Phase Amid Strong Financial Position
Positive
Sep 26, 2025

Ceres Power Holdings plc announced its interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2025, highlighting a strong balance sheet with cash and short-term investments of £104.1 million. Despite a 26% decrease in revenue to £21.1 million due to prior one-off license revenue, the company maintained a gross margin of 79%. Key commercial developments include the start of mass production by partner Doosan using Ceres’ solid oxide fuel cell technology, and the launch of Shell’s electrolyser in Bangalore. Delta has also invested significantly in manufacturing facilities for hydrogen energy solutions. Ceres is undergoing a business transformation to shift from an R&D focus to a commercial production phase, driven by growing demand for power solutions in AI data centers and electrification. The company is poised for growth with a strategic focus on the fuel cell power market, while the hydrogen market remains a future opportunity.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CWR) stock is a Hold with a £108.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ceres Power Holdings stock, see the GB:CWR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Ceres Power to Announce Interim Results and Host Investor Presentation
Neutral
Sep 2, 2025

Ceres Power Holdings plc announced that it will release its interim results for the first half of 2025 on September 26, 2025. The company will host a live presentation for shareholders and potential investors via Investor Meet Company, allowing for pre-submitted and live questions. This announcement provides stakeholders an opportunity to engage with the company’s management and gain insights into its performance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CWR) stock is a Hold with a £138.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ceres Power Holdings stock, see the GB:CWR Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Ceres Power Updates on Total Voting Rights
Neutral
Aug 29, 2025

Ceres Power Holdings plc announced that as of 29 August 2025, the company has 193,821,949 Ordinary Shares in issue, each with one voting right, and holds no shares in treasury. This information is crucial for shareholders to determine their interest in the company under the Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules. The announcement underscores Ceres Power’s commitment to transparency and provides stakeholders with necessary data for compliance with regulatory requirements.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CWR) stock is a Hold with a £138.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ceres Power Holdings stock, see the GB:CWR Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Ceres Power Announces Total Voting Rights Update
Neutral
Jul 31, 2025

Ceres Power Holdings plc announced that as of 31 July 2025, it has 193,812,250 Ordinary Shares in issue, each with one voting right, and no shares held in treasury. This information is crucial for shareholders to calculate and notify any changes in their interest in the company as per the Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules, reflecting Ceres’ commitment to transparency and regulatory compliance.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CWR) stock is a Buy with a £4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ceres Power Holdings stock, see the GB:CWR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Ceres and Doosan Launch Mass Production of Fuel Cell Systems
Positive
Jul 28, 2025

Ceres Power Holdings and Doosan Fuel Cell have announced the commencement of mass production of fuel cell power systems using Ceres’ solid oxide technology at Doosan’s facility in South Korea. This marks a significant milestone as Doosan is the first strategic partner to begin mass production, with products targeting the AI/data center and commercial power markets. The collaboration aims to meet the increasing power demands driven by AI and contribute to the global transition to a decarbonized society. The fuel cells will initially be marketed in South Korea, with applications in stationary distributed power, data centers, renewable power grids, and marine shipping.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CWR) stock is a Buy with a £4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ceres Power Holdings stock, see the GB:CWR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025