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Ceres Power Holdings (GB:CWR)
LSE:CWR

Ceres Power Holdings (CWR) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:CWR

Ceres Power Holdings

(LSE:CWR)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
249.00p
▼(-0.40% Downside)
Ceres Power Holdings' overall stock score is driven by strong revenue growth and strategic initiatives, but is significantly hindered by ongoing profitability challenges and bearish technical indicators. The earnings call provided some positive strategic insights, but valuation remains a concern due to negative earnings and lack of dividends.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained, rapid top-line growth signals accelerating commercial traction for Ceres’ licensing and partnership model. Durable revenue expansion supports scaling royalty streams and justifies continued investment in manufacturing partnerships, improving the outlook for long-term cash generation.
Balance Sheet Strength
Minimal leverage and a high equity ratio provide financial flexibility to fund commercialization and JV investments without pressing debt service burdens. This reduces solvency risk, preserves strategic optionality and lengthens runway for commercialization and technology scaling.
Commercialisation and Partnerships
Transition from R&D to production with established industrial partners materially de-risks technology commercialization. Partner-led manufacturing and large strategic investors validate the platform and accelerate route-to-market, underpinning repeatable licensing and revenue scaling.
Negative Factors
Persistent Losses
Despite revenue gains, continued negative EBIT and net margins indicate the business has not yet converted scale into profitability. Ongoing losses erode returns and may necessitate further funding or structural cost cuts to reach sustainable earnings generation.
Negative Operating and Free Cash Flow
Persistent cash burn despite cash reserves creates financing risk over the medium term. Even with current buffers, negative operating and free cash flow can force dilutive funding, restrict investment cadence or slow commercialization if revenue conversion is delayed.
Revenue Recognition & MLA Timing Uncertainty
Complex MLA contracts and IFRS 15 timing create structural volatility in when licensing revenues are recognized. Unpredictable MLA signings reduce revenue visibility and make cash flow and forecasting lumpy, complicating capital allocation and strategic planning over coming quarters.

Ceres Power Holdings (CWR) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Ceres Power Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCeres Power Holdings plc, a fuel cell technology and engineering company, engages in the development and commercialization of fuel cell technology in North America, Asia, and Europe. The company offers SteelCell, a solid oxide fuel cell that generates power from conventional and sustainable fuels, such as natural gas, biogas, ethanol, and hydrogen. Its products are applied in commercial, data center, transport, and residential markets. Ceres Power Holdings plc has a collaboration and license agreement with Doosan Fuel Cell Co. Ltd to build a 50MW facility for the mass manufacture under license of Ceres' fuel cell stacks in South Korea. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Horsham, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyCeres Power generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by licensing its fuel cell technology to manufacturers and energy providers. The company enters into partnerships with global organizations to develop and commercialize fuel cell systems, which involves upfront licensing fees as well as ongoing royalties based on production and sales volumes. Additionally, Ceres Power engages in joint ventures and collaborations with large-scale energy companies, which further contribute to its revenue through shared development costs and potential profit-sharing arrangements. The company's focus on innovation and expansion into new markets also plays a critical role in driving its earnings, as it seeks to capitalize on the growing demand for clean energy solutions.

Ceres Power Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 26, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted substantial progress in production and partnerships, along with sound financial management and strategic initiatives to capitalize on market opportunities. However, challenges in revenue recognition and ongoing losses, along with a decline in order intake, present significant hurdles. The transformation initiative is a strategic move to optimize operations and address these challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Start of Production with Doosan in South Korea
Achieved a major milestone with the beginning of production in collaboration with Doosan, which validates the business model and R&D innovation, transitioning from R&D to mass production.
Significant Investments and Partnerships
Delta Electronics committed GBP 170 million into manufacturing facilities in Taiwan. Partnerships with Shell and Thermax in India are progressing, including the opening of the HydroGenx Hub.
Positive Cash Flow and Strong Balance Sheet
The company maintains a strong balance sheet and reported positive cash flow for the period, preserving over GBP 100 million in cash.
Reduction in Operating Expenses
Achieved a 17% reduction in operating expenses, surpassing the target of 15%.
High Gross Margins
Reported industry-leading high gross margins, providing flexibility for future investments.
Business Transformation Initiative
Announced a business transformation initiative aiming for a 20% reduction in operating expenses to focus on commercialization opportunities.
Negative Updates
Revenue Recognition Challenges
Difficulties in predicting revenue recognition due to complex MLA contracts and standards like IFRS 15.
Uncertain Timing of New MLA Signings
The timing of new manufacturing license agreements (MLAs) is unpredictable, impacting revenue expectations.
Ongoing Losses Despite Revenue
Despite revenue generation, the company remains loss-making due to continued investment in stack platform development.
Order Intake Decline
The order intake significantly declined compared to the previous year, with only GBP 0.9 million compared to a larger number last year.
Company Guidance
In the recent call, Ceres Power provided a comprehensive update on its strategic progress and financial performance for the first half of 2025. The company highlighted several key milestones, including the commencement of production with Doosan in South Korea, which marks a significant shift from R&D to commercialization. Ceres also reported a strong balance sheet with positive cash flow and managed to preserve over GBP 100 million in cash. Revenue for the period was just over GBP 20 million, driven by high gross margins thanks to its licensing model. Despite still being a loss-making company, Ceres achieved a 17% cost savings in OpEx and CapEx, surpassing their initial 15% target. Looking forward, the company plans a business transformation initiative aimed at reducing operating expenses by around 20% to better position itself for future growth. This initiative is part of their strategy to enhance their focus on the power market, which is projected to reach 22 gigawatts by 2030, and to capitalize on opportunities in both the power and hydrogen markets.

Ceres Power Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ceres Power Holdings shows strong revenue growth but struggles with profitability due to negative net and EBIT margins. The balance sheet is stable with low debt, but ongoing losses impact return on equity. Cash flow is negative, though liquidity is supported by significant cash reserves.
Income Statement
Ceres Power Holdings shows significant revenue growth with an increase from £22.3M in 2023 to £51.9M in 2024, a 132.4% growth rate. However, the company struggles with profitability, as indicated by consistent negative net and EBIT margins over the years. Despite growing revenue, the net income remains negative, reflecting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
The company's balance sheet is stable with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01, indicating low leverage. The equity ratio is strong at 84.97%, showing a high proportion of assets financed by equity. However, net losses have impacted the return on equity, which is negative.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis reveals negative free cash flow and operating cash flow, indicating cash burn. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative due to continuous losses. However, the company maintains significant cash reserves, which provides a buffer for operational funding.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue44.48M51.89M22.32M19.79M30.78M21.12M
Gross Profit33.90M40.16M13.55M13.05M19.05M14.22M
EBITDA-21.88M-18.68M-44.05M-45.11M-17.30M-9.21M
Net Income-35.34M-28.30M-54.01M-47.62M-21.09M-9.88M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets162.41M181.10M206.37M261.99M299.99M147.51M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments104.07M102.47M139.96M182.32M244.58M102.19M
Total Debt2.80M2.22M2.60M3.12M3.04M4.45M
Total Liabilities27.85M27.27M25.74M24.59M19.34M26.00M
Stockholders Equity134.56M153.83M180.63M233.77M280.65M121.51M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-21.92M-42.68M-48.62M-68.47M-32.17M-18.42M
Operating Cash Flow-18.99M-35.94M-33.90M-50.29M-20.22M-5.37M
Investing Cash Flow10.66M34.26M12.29M-38.85M-32.85M-26.58M
Financing Cash Flow-654.00K-478.00K-242.00K129.00K171.00M57.47M

Ceres Power Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price250.00
Price Trends
50DMA
302.18
Negative
100DMA
230.40
Positive
200DMA
156.19
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-16.69
Negative
RSI
47.31
Neutral
STOCH
81.89
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CWR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 250 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 238.96, below the 50-day MA of 302.18, and above the 200-day MA of 156.19, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -16.69 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.89 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:CWR.

Ceres Power Holdings Risk Analysis

Ceres Power Holdings disclosed 6 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ceres Power Holdings reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ceres Power Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
£801.15M18.3315.54%1.11%8.20%25.85%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
57
Neutral
£257.71M-16.25-8.12%-18.43%24.86%
51
Neutral
£130.06M-5.01-86.37%732.03%12.60%
51
Neutral
£486.74M-13.70-23.26%12.58%12.39%
51
Neutral
£66.91M-10.48-31.45%265.67%-16.50%
46
Neutral
£50.47M-5.39
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:CWR
Ceres Power Holdings
250.00
84.90
51.42%
GB:AFC
AFC Energy
11.48
2.48
27.56%
GB:IKA
Ilika plc
37.00
17.00
85.00%
GB:VLX
Volex plc
434.50
172.67
65.95%
GB:XPP
XP Power
920.00
-344.00
-27.22%
GB:GELN
Gelion PLC
22.00
6.00
37.50%

Ceres Power Holdings Corporate Events

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Ceres Power Confirms Total Voting Rights at Year-End
Neutral
Dec 31, 2025

Ceres Power Holdings has confirmed that as of 31 December 2025 it has 194,694,543 ordinary shares in issue, each carrying one voting right, and holds no shares in treasury, setting the official share capital and voting rights base for regulatory disclosure calculations by investors under UK transparency rules. This clarification of total voting rights provides a clear denominator for shareholders assessing when they must report changes in their stakes, supporting orderly market disclosure and reinforcing governance transparency for investors in the clean energy technology group.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CWR) stock is a Hold with a £223.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ceres Power Holdings stock, see the GB:CWR Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Ceres Power Announces Total Voting Rights Update
Neutral
Nov 28, 2025

Ceres Power Holdings plc announced that as of 28 November 2025, it has 194,674,969 Ordinary Shares in issue, each with one voting right, and holds no shares in treasury. This information is crucial for shareholders to determine their interests under the Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules, reflecting the company’s commitment to transparency and regulatory compliance.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CWR) stock is a Buy with a £570.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ceres Power Holdings stock, see the GB:CWR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Ceres Power Expands Manufacturing with Weichai Partnership
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

Ceres Power Holdings has signed a manufacturing licence agreement with Weichai Power for the production of its solid oxide fuel cell technology, expanding its global manufacturing partner portfolio. This agreement will allow Weichai to manufacture cells and stacks for stationary power systems, targeting AI data centres and industrial applications, and is expected to generate significant revenue through licence fees and royalties. The partnership with Weichai, a major player in conventional gas engines, is seen as both an endorsement of Ceres’ technology and a substantial business opportunity, positioning Ceres to further establish its technology as an industry standard.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CWR) stock is a Hold with a £324.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ceres Power Holdings stock, see the GB:CWR Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Ceres Power Confirms Total Voting Rights and Shareholder Transparency
Neutral
Oct 31, 2025

Ceres Power Holdings plc has announced that as of 31 October 2025, it has 194,417,904 Ordinary Shares in issue, each with one voting right. This information is crucial for shareholders to determine their interests in the company under the Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules. The announcement reflects Ceres Power’s ongoing commitment to transparency and regulatory compliance, which is essential for maintaining investor confidence and supporting its strategic partnerships in the clean energy sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CWR) stock is a Hold with a £324.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ceres Power Holdings stock, see the GB:CWR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 19, 2025