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FRP Holdings (FRPH)
NASDAQ:FRPH
US Market
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FRP Holdings (FRPH) AI Stock Analysis

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FRPH

FRP Holdings

(NASDAQ:FRPH)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$22.00
▼(-4.64% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/16/26
Score is held down primarily by deteriorating recent profitability and the latest-year cash flow drop to zero, alongside weak technical trend and a very high P/E. Offsetting factors include a solid balance sheet and liquidity plus management’s multi-year NAV and pipeline upside, but near-term results remain execution- and timing-dependent.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet and strong liquidity
Substantial liquidity (~$144M) and low net-debt/EV (~21%) provide durable financial flexibility to fund development, support lease-up, and absorb timing mismatches without forced asset sales. This structural strength reduces refinancing and solvency risk across cycles.
Negative Factors
Operating cash flow collapsed to zero in 2025
A 2025 drop to zero operating and free cash flow is a structural red flag for cash generation sustainability; even with liquidity, persistent or recurring weak cash conversion raises reliance on financing, delays project funding cadence, and elevates execution risk for stabilization timelines.
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Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet and strong liquidity
Substantial liquidity (~$144M) and low net-debt/EV (~21%) provide durable financial flexibility to fund development, support lease-up, and absorb timing mismatches without forced asset sales. This structural strength reduces refinancing and solvency risk across cycles.
Read all positive factors

FRP Holdings (FRPH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

FRP Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
FRP Holdings, Inc. (FRPH) is a diversified real estate investment and development company based in the United States. The company primarily operates in the commercial real estate sector, focusing on the acquisition, development, and management of ...
How the Company Makes Money
FRP Holdings primarily makes money through real estate-related income and value creation from development. Key revenue and earnings drivers typically include: (1) Rental and property income: recurring revenue from leasing space in its owned proper...

FRP Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 10, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Balanced. The company presents meaningful positives — a strategic acquisition (Altman) that expands industrial scale and capabilities, a sizable development pipeline with expected incremental NOI, solid liquidity (~$144M), and steady mining royalties providing high-margin cash flow. Offsetting these are notable near-term operational headwinds: significant occupancy declines in the commercial & industrial segment, slower leasing velocity and longer tenant decision cycles, multifamily retail softness and D.C.-specific delinquency/concession pressures, and planned G&A increases in 2026 that will temporarily raise the G&A-to-NOI ratio. Management emphasizes conservative underwriting, execution focus on leasing and stabilization, and multi-year NAV upside, but near-term earnings and cash flow realization are execution- and timing-dependent.
Positive Updates
Full-Year NOI and FFO
Generated approximately $37.9 million of NOI and $22.1 million of FFO (or $1.16 per share) for fiscal 2025, results described as generally in line with expectations.
Negative Updates
Commercial & Industrial Occupancy Decline
Commercial & industrial portfolio (≈ 807,000 sqft) ended year ~47.5% occupied (69.9% excl. new Chelsea) versus 95.6% last year, driving segment NOI of ≈ $875k in Q4 and $3.9M for the year — declines of 11.8% (Q4) and 13.6% (year).
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Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Full-Year NOI and FFO
Generated approximately $37.9 million of NOI and $22.1 million of FFO (or $1.16 per share) for fiscal 2025, results described as generally in line with expectations.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Guidance for 2026 calls for NOI of approximately $37.1 million to $37.7 million and G&A of roughly $15 million to $16 million (implying G&A as a percentage of NOI in the low‑40% range in 2026 before declining over time toward a more normalized low‑20% level). Management ended 2025 with about $144 million of liquidity, net debt to enterprise value of ~21% and a weighted average interest rate of ~5.24%; estimated NAV per share is ~$37.60 (management expects it to exceed $40 in ~3 years) while the stock has recently traded between $20–$24. Key operating and portfolio metrics supporting the guidance include a $441 million development pipeline targeting ~ $30 million of stabilized incremental NOI, Altman acquisition cost of ~$33.5 million adding ~1.6 million sq ft of industrial pipeline, targets of yields on cost ≥6.7%, market cap rates ≈5.25% or lower and target IRRs of 15–20%, a plan to drive industrial occupancy toward ~70% by year‑end with a path to low‑90% stabilization in 18–24 months, and ~423,000 sq ft (≈52% of the commercial/industrial segment) available for lease representing roughly $3.3 million of potential annual NOI at stabilization.

FRP Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Balance sheet is conservatively positioned with moderate, stable leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.42–0.45) and growing assets/equity, but operating quality weakened: 2025 saw a sharp margin reset (net margin ~7.8% vs. ~12–15% prior years; gross margin ~16% vs. ~89–92%) and cash flow deteriorated to zero, raising earnings-quality and sustainability concerns.
Income Statement
52
Neutral
Balance Sheet
71
Positive
Cash Flow
29
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue42.85M41.77M41.51M37.48M31.22M
Gross Profit6.72M38.34M37.86M33.36M27.47M
EBITDA17.71M22.03M21.69M20.08M65.63M
Net Income3.33M6.38M5.30M4.57M28.21M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets735.14M728.49M709.17M701.08M678.19M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments105.36M148.62M157.56M177.50M165.84M
Total Debt192.55M178.85M178.71M178.56M178.41M
Total Liabilities279.49M259.37M261.19M256.87M252.94M
Stockholders Equity428.51M423.10M414.52M407.14M396.42M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow29.68M28.99M32.97M71.53M52.21M
Operating Cash Flow29.68M28.99M32.97M22.34M22.24M
Investing Cash Flow-72.44M-50.62M-48.75M-23.20M66.60M
Financing Cash Flow-1.81M12.70M-4.17M16.83M-1.23M

FRP Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price23.07
Price Trends
50DMA
22.85
Negative
100DMA
23.08
Negative
200DMA
24.17
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.11
Negative
RSI
50.08
Neutral
STOCH
30.06
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FRPH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 23.07 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.92, above the 50-day MA of 22.85, and below the 200-day MA of 24.17, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.06 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FRPH.

FRP Holdings Risk Analysis

FRP Holdings disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. FRP Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

FRP Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
64
Neutral
$595.00M5.1210.11%11.98%-22.70%2.37%
62
Neutral
$352.53M18.481.84%-5.23%8.20%
52
Neutral
$313.26M36.691.64%4.23%135.48%
49
Neutral
$402.95M130.750.78%2.57%-48.00%
45
Neutral
$307.17M-31.99-35.32%68.19%-42.69%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FRPH
FRP Holdings
20.90
-6.64
-24.11%
MLP
Maui Land & Pineapple Company
15.11
0.16
1.07%
NEN
New England Realty Associates Partnershi
59.50
-16.79
-22.01%
TCI
Transcontinental Realty Investors
35.99
6.59
22.41%
RMAX
Re/Max Holdings
10.52
2.58
32.49%
RMR
The RMR Group
18.67
5.73
44.26%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 16, 2026