Vivendi (VIV) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: €2.88B
• Dividend Yield: 1.38%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.88M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 7.7
• Beta (1Y): 0.81
• Revenue Growth: 57.79%
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: FR
• Employees: 2,700
• Sector: Communication Services
• Sector Strength: 90
• Industry: Entertainment
• EPS (TTM): -0.09
• Shares Outstanding: 1,029,918,100
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,729,369
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,878,389
• PEG Ratio: <0.01
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.83
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 14.95
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: €3.23
• Price Target Upside: 10.24% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 6

• Rating: 67 Neutral
• Price Target: ―

Vivendi's overall stock score reflects a combination of mixed financial performance, positive technical signals, and attractive valuation. The significant revenue decline and operational issues pose major challenges, impacting the financial performance score negatively. However, strong cash flow management and moderate financial stability provide some balance. The technical analysis shows short-term upward momentum, although caution is advised due to potential volatility. The valuation components, including a low P/E ratio and high dividend yield, are strong positives, enhancing the stock's appeal and supporting the overall score.

Vivendi Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Vivendi S.E. is a French mass media and entertainment conglomerate with a diverse portfolio spanning various sectors, including music, television, film, video games, and publishing. The company owns Universal Music Group, one of the largest music companies in the world, and Canal+ Group, a major player in pay-TV in France and parts of Africa. Vivendi also holds interests in communications, advertising, and digital services, making it a significant force in the global media landscape.

How the Company Makes Money

Vivendi generates revenue from multiple streams, primarily through its subsidiaries. Universal Music Group contributes significantly to Vivendi's earnings via music production, distribution, and publishing, as well as through streaming services and licensing agreements. The Canal+ Group adds to its revenue by offering subscription-based pay-TV services and generating advertising income. Additionally, Vivendi earns money from its holdings in video games through Gameloft and its investments in digital services and advertising via Havas Group. Strategic partnerships and acquisitions further enhance its financial performance, allowing Vivendi to leverage synergies across its diverse business segments.

Vivendi Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Vivendi's financial performance is mixed. The income statement shows significant challenges with a drastic revenue decline and net losses, reflecting severe operational issues. The balance sheet indicates moderate stability with manageable leverage, but reduced financial stability and negative returns on equity. Cash flow is a strong point, with robust operating and free cash flow, demonstrating effective cash management despite negative net income.

Income Statement

Vivendi's income statement reveals substantial challenges, with revenue declining significantly from $10.51 billion in 2023 to $297 million in 2024, leading to a net loss of $6 billion. The gross profit margin dropped drastically, indicating issues in maintaining profitability. The revenue growth rate over the years has been inconsistent, showing a concerning decline recently. Despite a strong EBITDA margin in prior years, the recent data highlights an absence of EBIT, signaling operational difficulties.

Balance Sheet

Vivendi's balance sheet shows moderate strength, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.59 in 2024, reflecting manageable leverage. However, the equity ratio has decreased, indicating reduced financial stability. The return on equity has been negative recently, showing inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The balance sheet suggests a need to improve asset utilization and equity preservation amidst financial restructuring.

Cash Flow

Vivendi's cash flow statement is a positive aspect, with a robust operating cash flow of $1.84 billion in 2024. The free cash flow has shown resilience, growing to $1.84 billion from $546 million in the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income, despite the latter being negative. The consistent free cash flow growth demonstrates strong cash management practices.

Breakdown
TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement		Total Revenue
14.86B	297.00M	10.51B	9.60B	9.57B	16.09B
	Gross Profit
7.08B	86.00M	4.82B	4.24B	4.21B	7.28B
	EBIT
768.00M	-136.00M	847.00M	364.00M	754.00M	1.47B
	EBITDA
1.45B	101.00M	1.35B	359.00M	194.00M	959.00M
	Net Income Common Stockholders
389.00M	-6.00B	405.00M	-647.00M	-538.00M	1.44B
Balance Sheet		Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.14B	107.00M	2.19B	2.55B	4.46B	1.11B
	Total Assets
39.15B	7.93B	38.25B	31.28B	33.37B	38.12B
	Total Debt
9.08B	2.69B	8.84B	4.13B	4.98B	7.34B
	Net Debt
7.98B	2.65B	6.68B	2.23B	1.65B	6.36B
	Total Liabilities
21.30B	3.34B	21.01B	13.68B	14.17B	21.69B
	Stockholders Equity
16.92B	4.59B	17.11B	17.37B	18.98B	15.76B
Cash Flow		Free Cash Flow
839.00M	1.84B	546.00M	363.00M	1.18B	788.00M
	Operating Cash Flow
1.34B	1.84B	951.00M	748.00M	1.64B	1.23B
	Investing Cash Flow
298.00M	-2.13B	808.00M	-695.00M	-3.75B	-1.65B
	Financing Cash Flow
-2.17B	-1.83B	-1.47B	-1.44B	4.43B	-675.00M

Vivendi Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 2.93
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FR:VIV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.93 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.90, above the 50-day MA of 2.71, and above the 200-day MA of 2.72, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 62.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.02 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FR:VIV.

Vivendi Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
PUB	79 Outperform	€24.43B	14.71	15.92%	3.49%	8.30%	26.51%
TFI	77 Outperform	€1.79B	9.39	9.43%	7.08%	1.53%	-1.60%
ORA	76 Outperform	€33.34B	15.34	7.98%	5.74%	-8.75%	3.76%
MMT	69 Neutral	€1.54B	8.88	13.16%	10.25%	-0.33%	-26.15%
VIV	67 Neutral	€2.88B	7.67	2.26%	1.38%	57.79%	―
Sector *	61 Neutral	$14.79B	5.90	-3.99%	6.20%	2.67%	-30.30%
BOL	49 Neutral	€14.95B	157.21	0.62%	2.25%	17.22%	―