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Compagnie Générale des Établissements Michelin (FR:ML)
:ML
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Compagnie Générale des Établissements Michelin (ML) AI Stock Analysis

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Compagnie Générale des Établissements Michelin

(OTC:ML)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
€35.00
▲(9.48%Upside)
The stock shows a strong valuation with a low P/E ratio and a solid dividend yield, making it attractive to value investors. However, financial performance is mixed with robust margins but volatile revenue and cash flow growth. Technical indicators suggest a cautious approach due to bearish momentum and potential overbought conditions.

Compagnie Générale des Établissements Michelin (ML) vs. iShares MSCI France ETF (EWQ)

Compagnie Générale des Établissements Michelin Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCompagnie Générale des Établissements Michelin, commonly known as Michelin, is a leading global tire manufacturer headquartered in Clermont-Ferrand, France. Founded in 1889, the company operates in several sectors, primarily focusing on the design, production, and distribution of tires for various types of vehicles, including automobiles, airplanes, bicycles, motorcycles, and heavy-duty equipment. Michelin is also known for its involvement in publishing travel guides, maps, and the Michelin Guide, which awards stars to restaurants and hotels.
How the Company Makes MoneyMichelin generates revenue primarily through the sale of tires across different segments, including passenger cars, trucks, agricultural machinery, aircraft, and bicycles. The company's revenue model is driven by both replacement tire sales and original equipment manufacturer (OEM) contracts, where Michelin supplies tires to vehicle manufacturers. In addition to its core tire business, Michelin earns revenue from its travel-related services, such as maps and guides. The company also engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations to enhance its product offerings and market reach, contributing to its overall earnings. Michelin's focus on innovation and sustainable mobility solutions further supports its revenue streams by catering to evolving consumer and industry demands.

Compagnie Générale des Établissements Michelin Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 12, 2025
(Q2-2024)
|
% Change Since: 1.10%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong operating income, cash flow, and improvements in safety and environmental metrics. However, challenges were noted with sales declines due to currency effects, market distortions from budget tire inflows, and a negative impact from price indexation clauses. Despite these challenges, the company maintained its guidance and showed resilience in its operational performance.
Q2-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Operating Income and Cash Flow
Segment operating income reached 13.2% of sales in H1, an increase from 12.1% in H1 2023. Strong cash flow generation before acquisition of EUR 669 million was achieved.
Improved Safety and Gender Diversity
The group's safety performance improved with a total case incident rate at 1, and the percentage of women in managerial positions increased to 30.6%.
CO2 Emissions and Water Withdrawal Reduction
Reduction of CO2 emissions by 7.2% and water withdrawal by 6.3% compared to the first semester of 2023.
Margin Recovery in Road Transportation
The segment showed strong margin recovery from 5% to 9.2%, benefiting from a targeted market approach and growing contribution from Connected Solutions.
Strong Mix Improvement
A strong 1.9% mix improvement offset the negative price effect from indexation clauses.
Positive Debt Ratings
Moody's upgraded Michelin's long-term debt from A3 to A2, and Scope rated it as A.
Negative Updates
Sales Decline Due to Currency Effects
Sales ended at EUR 13.5 billion, down 3.1% excluding the currency effect.
Market Distortions from Budget Tire Inflows
The tire market was distorted by high inflows of budget tires, particularly affecting passenger car and truck replacement markets.
Negative Impact of Price Indexation Clauses
A negative price effect of 0.8% was attributed to indexation clauses, impacting the automotive segment despite a strong mix.
Reduced Original Equipment Markets
OE markets saw a sharp decline, particularly in Europe with a 5% decrease, and North America with a 9% decrease for original equipment truck tires.
Challenges in Specialty Segment
The specialty segment faced adverse contexts from weak OE, particularly in agricultural and construction sectors, leading to a 7.2% volume decline.
Company Guidance
In the second quarter 2024 earnings call for Michelin (ML.PA), management provided guidance highlighting a strong operational performance despite a challenging market environment. The company reported a segment operating income of 13.2% of sales for the first half, up from 12.1% in the same period last year, and a robust cash flow generation of EUR 669 million before acquisitions. Sales reached EUR 13.5 billion, a decline of 3.1% excluding currency effects, with a mix improvement of 1.9% offsetting negative pricing due to indexation clauses. The guidance for 2024 remains unchanged, with expectations for segment operating income to exceed EUR 3.5 billion at constant exchange rates and free cash flow to surpass EUR 1.5 billion before acquisitions. Michelin also emphasized continued progress in strategic areas, such as increasing the number of women in managerial positions to 30.6% and reducing CO2 emissions by 7.2% compared to the first half of 2023.

Compagnie Générale des Établissements Michelin Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The company displays robust profitability margins and strong cash generation capability, but faces volatility in revenue and free cash flow growth. The balance sheet is stable but indicates room for improvement in leveraging and return on equity.
Income Statement
72
Positive
The company shows a strong gross profit margin consistently above 20%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has seen a slight decline in recent years. Revenue growth has been erratic, with a notable drop in 2023. EBIT and EBITDA margins have remained stable, reflecting steady operational performance.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio is moderate, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity shows a slight decline, suggesting a need for improved profitability. The equity ratio is stable, which is a good sign of financial stability.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Free cash flow growth has been volatile, with significant fluctuations. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, suggesting strong cash generation capability. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio has been inconsistent, which may raise concerns about cash management efficiency.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue27.19B28.34B28.59B23.80B20.47B
Gross Profit7.75B7.95B7.46B6.91B5.63B
EBITDA4.39B4.88B4.90B4.54B3.17B
Net Income1.88B1.98B2.00B1.84B632.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets37.35B35.20B35.35B34.54B31.64B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.03B2.80B2.58B4.48B4.75B
Total Debt7.37B6.24B7.45B8.00B8.74B
Total Liabilities18.72B17.24B18.23B19.57B19.01B
Stockholders Equity18.63B17.95B17.11B14.97B12.63B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.07B3.05B-210.00M1.20B1.99B
Operating Cash Flow4.34B5.29B1.93B2.91B3.37B
Investing Cash Flow-2.11B-2.93B-1.95B-1.75B-1.39B
Financing Cash Flow-794.00M-2.34B-1.86B-1.43B1.34B

Compagnie Générale des Établissements Michelin Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price31.97
Price Trends
50DMA
32.46
Negative
100DMA
31.83
Positive
200DMA
31.50
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Negative
RSI
49.75
Neutral
STOCH
54.71
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FR:ML, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 31.97 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 31.70, below the 50-day MA of 32.46, and above the 200-day MA of 31.50, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.71 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for FR:ML.

Compagnie Générale des Établissements Michelin Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
FRFR
73
Outperform
€2.39B14.784.44%4.34%-2.50%-26.84%
FRFII
72
Outperform
€1.77B31.605.80%1.00%10.03%48.93%
FROPM
70
Outperform
€1.71B10.198.49%5.98%1.65%4.27%
FRML
68
Neutral
$22.62B12.0910.41%4.30%-4.06%-4.47%
65
Neutral
$10.81B15.255.26%1.93%3.11%-26.99%
59
Neutral
€1.96B10.39-4.21%5.03%-1.00%-181.16%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FR:ML
Compagnie Générale des Établissements Michelin
32.21
-1.15
-3.45%
FR:OPM
OPmobility
12.13
3.42
39.23%
FR:FRVIA
Forvia
9.78
-1.35
-12.11%
FR:FII
Lisi SA
38.90
15.29
64.77%
FR:FR
Valeo
9.96
0.29
3.05%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 10, 2025