Valeo (FR) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: €2.51B
• Dividend Yield: 3.97%
• Average Volume (3M): 904.71K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 20.1
• Beta (1Y): 1.91
• Revenue Growth: -4.16%
• EPS Growth: -48.55%
• Country: FR
• Employees: 106,100
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 73
• Industry: Auto - Parts
• EPS (TTM): 0.43
• Shares Outstanding: 244,633,500
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 867,810
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 904,713
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: €12.01
• Price Target Upside: 13.62% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 9

• Rating: 73 Outperform
• Price Target: €11.00 ▲(4.07% Upside)

The overall stock score for Valeo is primarily driven by its strong financial performance and positive technical indicators. The company's solid revenue growth and efficient cost management contribute significantly to its financial health. Technical analysis supports a bullish outlook, although caution is advised due to potential approaching overbought conditions. The valuation is reasonable, further supporting a positive investment case.

Positive Factors

Cost Management

Valeo's 1H25 results were ahead of consensus, driven by good progress on cost management actions, with margins improving in all divisions.

Market Leadership

Valeo is a global leader in technologies for driver assistance, electrification, lighting, and the interior cabin experience, with a #1 market leadership in automotive cameras and other ADAS components.

Negative Factors

Market Risks

Key risks include EU/US exposure and slower-than-expected adoption of ADAS/AD/EVs.

Sales Guidance

FY25F sales guidance was cut due to FX/SoP volatility.

Valeo Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Valeo SE designs, produces, and sells components, systems, and services for automakers in France, other European countries, Africa, North America, South America, and Asia. The company operates through four segments: Comfort & Driving Assistance Systems, Powertrain Systems, Thermal Systems, and Visibility Systems. It offers parking and driving assistance products, such as ultrasonic sensors, radars, and cameras to detect obstacles around vehicles; intuitive control products; and a range of connectivity solutions from short-range to long-range connectivity, as well as develops systems that enable the integration of applications, such as car sharing services and remote parking systems. The company also provides powertrain systems, including electric powertrain systems for electric cars; torque converters, dual dry and wet clutches, and actuators that enable the automation of transmissions to reduce fuel consumption and enhance driving comfort; and clean engines for vehicles. In addition, it designs and manufactures systems, modules, and components to optimize thermal management of vehicles and passenger comfort in the cabin, including heating ventilation and air conditioning systems. Further, the company designs and produces lighting and wiper systems for drivers in various weather conditions. Additionally, it offers original equipment spares to auto manufacturers; and replacement parts and accessories to independent aftermarket for passenger cars and commercial vehicles. The company was incorporated in 1923 and is headquartered in Paris, France.

How the Company Makes Money

Valeo generates revenue primarily through the sale of automotive components and systems to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and the aftermarket. The company has a diversified revenue model that includes several key streams: direct sales of its products to car manufacturers, supply contracts for advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS), and thermal management solutions. Significant partnerships with major automotive brands enhance Valeo's market presence and contribute to its earnings, while ongoing investments in R&D aim to develop cutting-edge technologies that meet the evolving demands of the automotive sector, including electric and autonomous vehicles. Additionally, Valeo earns revenue from aftermarket sales, providing replacement parts and services to vehicle owners and service centers.

Valeo Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Valeo demonstrates a solid financial standing with positive trends in revenue growth, profitability, and cash generation. The company has effectively managed costs, leading to improved margins. While leverage has increased, it remains controlled. Continued focus on profitability and cash flow enhancement will be crucial for sustaining long-term growth and financial health.

Income Statement

Valeo has shown strong revenue growth over the years with a notable recovery from the 2020 downturn. The gross profit margin is healthy and improving, indicating effective cost management. The net profit margin is relatively low, but positive trends in EBIT and EBITDA margins suggest operational improvements. Overall, the income statement reflects a positive trajectory with room for enhanced profitability.

Balance Sheet

The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased slightly, indicating higher leverage, but remains within industry norms. The return on equity shows moderate profitability. The equity ratio is stable, reflecting a balanced asset structure. The balance sheet indicates a sound financial position with manageable debt levels, although further equity strengthening could reduce leverage risks.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow is strong, consistently exceeding net income, which is a positive indicator of cash generation efficiency. Free cash flow has grown, but the free cash flow to net income ratio suggests potential constraints on cash availability for reinvestment or debt reduction. Overall, cash flows are robust but could benefit from improved free cash flow margins.

Breakdown	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	21.49B	22.04B	20.04B	17.26B	16.44B
Gross Profit	4.08B	3.95B	2.58B	2.29B	1.49B
EBITDA	2.63B	2.55B	2.35B	2.36B	979.00M
Net Income	162.00M	221.00M	230.00M	175.00M	-1.09B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	21.66B	21.76B	22.03B	18.84B	18.85B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	3.15B	3.14B	3.41B	2.48B	3.05B
Total Debt	7.04B	7.07B	7.28B	5.83B	6.08B
Total Liabilities	17.14B	17.40B	17.30B	14.24B	14.76B
Stockholders Equity	3.72B	3.58B	3.82B	3.69B	3.23B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	463.00M	461.00M	319.00M	249.00M	287.00M
Operating Cash Flow	2.69B	2.46B	1.81B	1.60B	1.76B
Investing Cash Flow	-1.95B	-1.91B	-1.93B	-1.57B	-1.65B
Financing Cash Flow	-524.00M	-788.00M	962.00M	-613.00M	1.14B

Valeo Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 10.57
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FR:FR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.57 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.42, above the 50-day MA of 10.01, and above the 200-day MA of 9.24, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.70 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FR:FR.

Valeo Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
FR	73 Outperform	€2.51B	20.11	3.67%	3.97%	-4.16%	-48.55%
Sector *	64 Neutral	$10.75B	15.58	7.62%	2.01%	2.80%	-14.32%
0MGR	―	€2.10B	10.39	-11.30%	―	―	―
0EKE	―	€1.82B	29.05	6.49%	―	―	―
0F8V	―	€211.82M	8.71	6.09%	3.78%	―	―
0NW1	―	€1.84B	11.49	7.91%	―	―	―
MGDDF	―	$25.59B	15.40	8.49%	4.21%	―	―