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Bouygues (FR:EN)
:EN

Bouygues (EN) AI Stock Analysis

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FR:EN

Bouygues

(EN)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
€56.00
▲(6.30% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:03/01/26
The score is driven primarily by mid-tier financial quality: solid operating cash generation and steady (but modest) profitability are offset by the sharp 2025 revenue decline in the provided data and a multi-year rise in leverage. Technically, the trend is positive with price above major moving averages, but overbought readings raise pullback risk. Valuation is reasonable with a supportive ~3.8% dividend yield, but not compellingly low on earnings.
Positive Factors
Diversified business model
Bouygues' three-division structure (construction, real estate, telecom) provides durable revenue diversification. Recurring telecom subscriptions temper cyclicality in project-led construction and property sales, improving cash predictability and strategic flexibility over multiple cycles.
Solid operating cash generation
Consistently strong operating cash flow supports capital spending, dividend policy and cyclical resilience. Positive free cash flow in most years gives the company ability to fund operations, invest in telecom capex and service debt without relying solely on capital markets.
Stable returns on equity
Mid-single to ~10% ROE suggests competent capital allocation and sustained profitability across divisions. While not outsized, stable ROE supports steady reinvestment and dividend capacity, indicating long-term operational competence and predictable shareholder returns.
Negative Factors
Sharp 2025 revenue decline
A pronounced 2025 revenue drop undermines revenue visibility and could signal weaker project backlog or real estate sales. Reduced top-line scale compresses operating leverage, risks margin dilution, and limits the company's ability to cover fixed costs and fund strategic programs.
Rising leverage
Meaningful increase in leverage to ~1.38x reduces financial flexibility and raises refinancing and interest-rate risk. Higher debt constrains bidding capacity for large public projects, limits room for opportunistic M&A or buybacks, and amplifies downside in slower revenue periods.
Low and pressured margins
Structurally low net and operating margins leave limited buffers against cost inflation or project overruns. The 2025 gross-margin step-down, if sustained, would weaken earnings quality and free cash flow conversion, restricting reinvestment and debt-reduction capacity over the medium term.

Bouygues (EN) vs. iShares MSCI France ETF (EWQ)

Bouygues Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBouygues SA, together with its subsidiaries, operates in the construction, telecom, and media sectors in France and internationally. The company designs, builds, renovates, operates, and deconstructs building, infrastructure, and industrial projects; develops urban planning, residential, and commercial projects; constructs and maintains roads and motorways, airport runways, ports, industrial logistics and commercial hubs, urban roads and amenities, external works, reserved-lane public transport facilities, leisure facilities, and environmental amenities, as well as undertakes civil engineering activities; produces and recycles construction materials; and distributes bitumen. It also engages in the construction, renewal, and maintenance of rail networks; fitting of road safety and signaling equipment; and laying and maintenance of pipes and pipelines. In addition, the company produces TF1, TMC, TFX, TF1, and LCI complementary TV channels; operates TV Breizh, Histoire, Ushuaïa, and Serieclub channels; produces, broadcasts, and distributes content; produces cinemas; operates la seine musicale entertainment and concert venue; and licenses, publishes, and boards games, as well as musical and events. Further, it offers telecom services; mobile and fixed Internet services; and Bbox Miami, an Android box for TV. Bouygues SA was founded in 1952 and is based in Paris, France.
How the Company Makes MoneyBouygues generates revenue through several key streams across its divisions. In the construction sector, the company earns money by undertaking large-scale infrastructure projects, such as roads, bridges, and buildings, often funded by public and private contracts. Bouygues Immobilier generates income through the sale and leasing of residential and commercial properties, capitalizing on the real estate market's demand for new developments. Bouygues Telecom contributes significantly to the company's earnings through subscription services for mobile and fixed-line telecommunications, including internet and television services. Partnerships with local governments and public institutions for construction projects, as well as collaborations with technology providers in telecommunications, further enhance its revenue potential. The company’s diversified portfolio allows it to mitigate risks and capitalize on growth opportunities in various markets.

Bouygues Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating cash flow is consistently solid and margins are steady but modest; however, the provided data shows a sharp 2025 revenue drop and leverage has risen meaningfully (debt-to-equity ~1.38x), which increases near-term risk and reduces financial flexibility.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Revenue expanded strongly from 2020–2024, but 2025 shows a sharp decline in reported revenue, creating a clear near-term growth risk. Profitability is modest for the sector: net margin is generally around ~2% and has held fairly steady, while operating margin sits in the ~4–5% range. A key watch-out is the 2025 step-down in gross margin versus prior years, which, if sustained, would pressure earnings quality even if operating profit remains positive.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Leverage has increased meaningfully: debt-to-equity rose from below 1x (2020–2021) to above 1x in recent years, reaching ~1.38x in 2025, reducing balance sheet flexibility. Equity has grown, but debt has grown faster, and returns on equity are stable but only mid-single to ~10% (roughly ~8–10% historically). Overall, the balance sheet is workable, but the trend in leverage is a growing constraint.
Cash Flow
66
Positive
Operating cash flow is consistently solid (roughly €3.0–€5.4B annually), supporting the business through cycles. Free cash flow is positive in most years and improved notably after 2022, but it remains volatile (large swings in growth and a 2025 decline versus 2024). Cash conversion is mixed: free cash flow is only about half of net income in 2025 (and ~63% in 2024), suggesting working-capital or investment demands can meaningfully impact cash generation.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue56.88B56.75B56.06B44.32B37.59B
Gross Profit3.14B31.32B30.04B25.01B20.85B
EBITDA2.65B4.52B5.23B4.67B4.38B
Net Income1.21B1.06B1.04B973.00M1.13B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets64.12B63.08B60.75B60.59B44.64B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.54B5.57B5.55B5.74B6.50B
Total Debt18.02B14.74B14.83B15.97B9.31B
Total Liabilities49.27B48.57B46.63B46.66B31.85B
Stockholders Equity13.04B12.70B12.41B12.21B11.14B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.63B3.39B2.71B248.00M1.04B
Operating Cash Flow5.13B5.38B5.34B2.98B3.58B
Investing Cash Flow-1.98B-3.48B-2.33B-8.63B-1.24B
Financing Cash Flow-1.32B-2.07B-3.40B4.85B-284.00M

Bouygues Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price52.68
Price Trends
50DMA
46.87
Positive
100DMA
44.09
Positive
200DMA
41.04
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.69
Negative
RSI
80.65
Negative
STOCH
90.10
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FR:EN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 52.68 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 49.65, above the 50-day MA of 46.87, and above the 200-day MA of 41.04, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.69 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 80.65 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.10 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FR:EN.

Bouygues Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
€77.25B16.0816.66%3.96%3.21%4.24%
69
Neutral
€14.10B13.2814.39%3.87%7.71%-2.82%
64
Neutral
€19.96B17.808.45%4.51%0.88%-2.06%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
48
Neutral
€13.47B145.761.73%
48
Neutral
€8.83B-0.76-46.54%6.19%8.44%-937.75%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FR:EN
Bouygues
52.04
20.52
65.11%
FR:BOL
Bollore
4.82
-0.94
-16.32%
FR:FGR
Eiffage
145.60
52.37
56.17%
FR:RNO
Renault
30.49
-17.71
-36.74%
FR:SGO
Compagnie de Saint Gobain
82.78
-11.00
-11.73%
FR:DG
Vinci SA
138.40
31.16
29.06%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 01, 2026