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Orpea SA (FR:EMEIS)
:EMEIS
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Orpea SA (EMEIS) AI Stock Analysis

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FR:EMEIS

Orpea SA

(EMEIS)

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Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
€14.50
▲(3.42% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:11/11/25
The overall score of 51 reflects a cautious outlook for FR:EMEIS, driven primarily by weak financial performance with ongoing losses and high debt levels. Positive earnings call highlights, including revenue growth and debt reduction, provide some optimism, while technical indicators suggest a neutral trend. Valuation concerns due to negative earnings further temper the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective pricing strategies, enhancing long-term business sustainability.
Negative Factors
Negative Net Income
Persistent negative net income indicates ongoing profitability challenges, which can hinder long-term financial sustainability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective pricing strategies, enhancing long-term business sustainability.
Read all positive factors

Orpea SA (EMEIS) vs. iShares MSCI France ETF (EWQ)

Orpea SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
emeis Société anonyme operates nursing homes, assisted-living facilities, post-acute and rehabilitation hospitals, and psychiatric hospitals. Its nursing home facilities provide personalized support services; and logistical and residential service...
How the Company Makes Money
Orpea generates revenue primarily through the operation of its healthcare facilities, which receive payments from residents, their families, and public health insurers. The company’s business model relies on a combination of private pay and public...

Orpea SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 08, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Sep 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a strong operational recovery and major balance-sheet repair in FY2025: robust organic revenue growth, rising occupancy, significant margin expansion, positive free cash flow and sizable disposals combined with a full refinancing that materially reduced net debt and leverage. These positives are tempered by continued reported net losses driven by elevated nonrecurring items and depreciation, some country-specific underperformance (notably Ireland and clinics), and remaining interest‑rate exposure until hedging is completed. On balance, the improvements materially outweigh the remaining issues and management expressed confidence and concrete near-term targets.
Positive Updates
Strong organic revenue growth
Group revenue grew +6.1% like-for-like in FY2025 (nearly +15% over 2 years). Nursing homes led the expansion with revenue up +8.1% YoY; clinics were more muted (+2.5%). Growth drivers were a +3.3ppt price effect, +1.8ppt occupancy effect and +1.0% from ramp-up of new facilities.
Negative Updates
Net loss remains and net income impacted by nonrecurring items
Group share net income remained negative at -€298m (an improvement of +€114m YoY). Net loss per share was -€1.9. Nonrecurring expenses were elevated at €126m in 2025 (c.50% project costs related to refinancing/Isemia and c.50% depreciation from facility closures).
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Strong organic revenue growth
Group revenue grew +6.1% like-for-like in FY2025 (nearly +15% over 2 years). Nursing homes led the expansion with revenue up +8.1% YoY; clinics were more muted (+2.5%). Growth drivers were a +3.3ppt price effect, +1.8ppt occupancy effect and +1.0% from ramp-up of new facilities.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company guided that EBITDA should grow at least 10% in 2026 at constant perimeter, supporting a >15% CAGR for 2024–26 (management repeatedly stated “at least 15%” for that period) and reaffirmed mid‑term EBITDAR growth of roughly 12–16% on average for 2024–28; this outlook rests on the 2025 performance (like‑for‑like revenue +6.1%, nursing homes +8.1%, occupancy +1.8 points to 87.6% and nursing‑home occupancy 87.2%), strong cash generation (net operating cash flow €190m, free cash flow €347m), large disposals (€2.35bn achieved, ~€216m still signed), materially reduced net debt (pro‑forma ~€3.8bn, c.€1bn down year‑on‑year) and leverage improvement (pro‑forma 9.9x now, target to fall below 6.5x by end‑2029; 2026 covenant 12x); management also expects non‑recurring items to normalize (2025: €126m → c.€40–50m in 2026) and says it will be selective on further disposals while continuing operational improvements.

Orpea SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial performance is weak due to persistent net losses, a negative net profit margin of -7.3%, and high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 5.14. While revenue growth of 8.4% and a 51.5% increase in free cash flow are positive, the overall financial health remains strained by profitability and debt concerns.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Balance Sheet
20
Very Negative
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Mar 2023Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.32B5.64B5.20B4.68B4.30B3.92B
Gross Profit570.61M4.51B655.93M713.73M922.68M963.25M
EBITDA793.42M731.55M2.80B-3.45B646.07M637.64M
Net Income-223.50M-412.06M1.35B-4.03B65.19M160.05M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.15B13.41B13.91B14.49B17.07B16.97B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments376.00M518.72M692.95M902.99M957.70M894.13M
Total Debt7.68B8.86B9.16B13.38B12.25B10.77B
Total Liabilities11.57B11.69B12.02B16.00B14.74B13.48B
Stockholders Equity1.59B1.72B1.89B-1.50B2.32B3.50B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow170.72M328.61M216.90M244.74M331.85M283.29M
Operating Cash Flow365.88M472.05M366.14M409.73M753.75M777.73M
Investing Cash Flow-103.69M-140.43M-318.17M-657.49M-1.41B-1.01B
Financing Cash Flow-456.50M-458.08M-259.44M151.81M718.30M285.80M

Orpea SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price14.02
Price Trends
50DMA
14.06
Negative
100DMA
13.90
Positive
200DMA
13.48
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Negative
RSI
52.72
Neutral
STOCH
29.91
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FR:EMEIS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.02 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.49, below the 50-day MA of 14.06, and above the 200-day MA of 13.48, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.91 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FR:EMEIS.

Orpea SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
€563.27M17.3716.40%2.85%9.11%7.45%
68
Neutral
€300.10M10.416.64%2.73%13.15%10.30%
60
Neutral
€1.09B-7.25-4.36%3.51%42.41%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
54
Neutral
€10.39B23.6511.27%0.97%4.96%23.85%
51
Neutral
€2.31B-6.61-13.50%4.60%30.68%
47
Neutral
€1.44B873.33-1.70%0.54%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FR:EMEIS
Orpea SA
14.33
2.17
17.86%
FR:ERF
Eurofins Scientific
59.02
2.00
3.50%
FR:CLARI
Clariane
4.04
0.20
5.10%
FR:LNA
LNA Sante SA
28.80
5.59
24.10%
FR:EQS
Equasens
37.50
-1.48
-3.80%
FR:GDS
Ramsay Generale de Sante
9.88
0.18
1.86%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 11, 2025