Claranova SA (ALCLA) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: €39.88M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 125.38K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 1.27
• Revenue Growth: -0.95%
• EPS Growth: 49.19%
• Country: FR
• Employees: 1,595
• Sector: General
• Sector Strength: N/A
• Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics
• EPS (TTM): N/A
• Shares Outstanding: 57,206,910
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 205,406
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 125,375
• PEG Ratio: 0.91
• Price to Book (P/B): -3.99
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.15
• P/FCF Ratio: -48.12
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: €2.60
• Price Target Upside: 271.43% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1
• EPS Forecast (FY): 0.12
• Revenue Forecast (FY): €106.20M

• Rating: 41 Neutral
• Price Target: €0.87 ▲(24.29% Upside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 02/13/26
• Date: Action: Reiterated 02/13/26

The score is primarily weighed down by weak financial performance (sharp revenue decline, ongoing net losses, and deteriorating free cash flow) and bearish technical conditions (trading far below major moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation provides limited offset because the negative P/E reflects unprofitability and no dividend support is available.

Positive Factors

Diversified revenue streams

Multiple revenue channels (software sales, subscriptions, e-commerce, cloud services and partnerships) provide structural resilience. Recurring subscription and cloud fees support predictable cash inflows and reduce reliance on one product line, aiding stability over the next 2–6 months.

Operating cash flow quality

An OCF-to-net-income ratio of 0.82 indicates meaningful cash generation relative to accounting losses, showing operations still produce cash. This supports short-to-medium term funding of activities, reduces immediate financing pressure, and underpins operational continuity.

Improving leverage management

A reduced debt-to-equity ratio to 1.21 signals progress in leverage control, improving solvency metrics. Better debt management enhances financial flexibility, lowers refinancing risk, and helps the company withstand industry cycles over the coming months.

Negative Factors

Severe revenue decline

A 75.86% revenue collapse is a structural red flag: it erodes scale economics, reduces bargaining power with partners, and impairs ability to invest in product and sales. Recovery of topline is pivotal for margins and durable competitiveness over the medium term.

Persistent net losses

A negative net margin of -24.32% reflects ongoing unprofitability that depletes reserves and limits reinvestment. Continued losses constrain strategic initiatives and may force cost-cutting or dilutive financing, weakening the company's long-term growth prospects.

Weak equity base

A low equity ratio (30.20%) and negative ROE mean limited capital buffer against shocks and higher sensitivity to debt. This restricts capacity to absorb further losses or fund expansion without external capital, posing sustained financial fragility over coming months.

Claranova SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

CLASQUIN SA operates as an international freight forwarding and overseas logistics company in France, the rest of Europe, the Asia-Pacific, the United States, North Africa, the Middle East, and sub-Saharan Africa. It operates through two segments, Air and Sea Freight Forwarding and Related Services, and IT Service Contractor segments. The company offers air freight solutions, including shipment management and emergency transport management, as well as manages the freighting of oversized packages; sea freight solutions, such as full container load shipping management, consolidated shipping management, and customized consolidated shipping management, as well as management of non-containerized loads and chartering ships; and rail and waterway solutions comprising road transport management, transport chartering for domestic and European shipments, shipment management, and rail transport management. It also provides roll on-roll off, and combined solutions for Northwest Africa; custom solutions and regulatory compliance services; international logistics services, which include analysis and design of customized storage and distribution, warehousing, stock management, order preparation, and value added services; international supply chain consulting services; risk management solutions; and digital solutions. The company offers its services for general cargo, fashion and luxury, industrial, food and perishable, wine and spirits, cosmetics and perfumes, life sciences and healthcare, art shipping, fairs and events, temperature controlled logistics, hazardous and dangerous goods, and project logistics sectors. CLASQUIN SA was incorporated in 1959 and is headquartered in Lyon, France.

How the Company Makes Money

Claranova generates revenue through multiple streams, including software sales, subscription services, and e-commerce solutions. The company offers its software products under various licensing models, allowing customers to either purchase outright or subscribe for ongoing access. Additionally, Claranova's cloud services provide recurring revenue through subscription fees for hosting and support. Strategic partnerships with other technology firms and service providers also contribute to its earnings, as these collaborations can enhance product offerings and expand customer reach. The company's ability to innovate and adapt to market demands plays a critical role in sustaining its revenue growth.

Claranova SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Weak fundamentals driven by a severe revenue decline (-75.86%) and a negative net profit margin (-24.32%). Balance sheet leverage improved (debt-to-equity 1.21) but equity ratio remains low (30.20%) and ROE is negative. Operating cash flow quality is a relative positive (OCF to net income 0.82), though free cash flow growth is declining (-33.71%).

Income Statement

Claranova SA's income statement reveals significant challenges. The company experienced a drastic revenue decline of 75.86% in the most recent year, leading to a negative net profit margin of -24.32%. Although the EBIT margin improved to 17.63%, the overall profitability remains a concern due to consistent net losses.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet shows a mixed picture. While the debt-to-equity ratio improved to 1.21, indicating better leverage management, the equity ratio remains low at 30.20%, reflecting potential financial instability. The return on equity is negative, highlighting profitability issues.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis indicates some positive aspects, such as a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.82. However, the free cash flow growth rate is negative at -33.71%, suggesting challenges in generating free cash flow.

Breakdown	TTM	Sep 2023	Jun 2022	Jun 2021	Jun 2020	Jun 2019
Income Statement
Total Revenue	587.86M	562.09M	877.08M	752.18M	392.03M	331.28M
Gross Profit	24.63M	143.09M	139.98M	121.87M	76.19M	76.73M
EBITDA	34.70M	37.99M	41.43M	37.09M	16.03M	13.46M
Net Income	15.43M	18.27M	21.80M	17.39M	5.12M	3.87M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	271.33M	250.24M	248.56M	287.97M	195.16M	172.59M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	45.76M	51.93M	56.02M	37.37M	25.78M	28.50M
Total Debt	66.38M	21.91M	38.54M	11.13M	54.52M	7.95M
Total Liabilities	203.60M	186.40M	188.66M	242.56M	164.21M	145.75M
Stockholders Equity	58.26M	55.19M	52.47M	39.06M	26.92M	21.97M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	4.17M	22.57M	61.26M	13.62M	575.00K	13.62M
Operating Cash Flow	6.28M	25.07M	66.90M	15.55M	2.11M	16.12M
Investing Cash Flow	-8.32M	-10.92M	-8.03M	-1.96M	-1.24M	-9.46M
Financing Cash Flow	-15.99M	-32.16M	-33.91M	-10.58M	-883.00K	13.37M

Claranova SA Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 0.70
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Positive
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FR:ALCLA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.7 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.78, below the 50-day MA of 1.11, and below the 200-day MA of 1.75, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 29.69 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.03 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FR:ALCLA.

Claranova SA Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
COH	73 Outperform	€68.23M	6.23	18.06%	0.55%	6.71%	7.79%
ALSTW	61 Neutral	€186.07M	12.64	21.37%	―	14.04%	24.09%
Sector *	55 Neutral	$6.65B	3.83	-15.92%	6.20%	10.91%	7.18%
ALCLA	41 Neutral	€39.88M	-5.04	―	―	-0.95%	49.19%