Farmland (FPI)
NYSE:FPI
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Farmland
(NYSE:FPI)
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Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$13.00
â–²(11.88% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/20/26
The score is driven primarily by improving balance-sheet strength but mixed financial quality (choppy revenue and volatile cash-flow coverage). Technicals are supportive with a clear uptrend and positive momentum. Valuation is reasonable but not compelling given the P/E, while the earnings call was net positive on capital structure and shareholder returns despite softer 2026 guidance and impairment-related headwinds.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Material reduction in leverage meaningfully improves financial flexibility and lowers interest sensitivity. A lower debt-to-equity ratio supports capacity for opportunistic acquisitions, dividend sustainability and resilience to crop/commodity cycles over the next several months.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline from Dispositions
Active disposition program has trimmed the recurring rental base, reducing stable revenue. Over the next 2–6 months, ongoing sales without offsetting acquisitions will depress recurring cash revenue and make growth and AFFO reliant on realized gains and portfolio reinvestment execution.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Material reduction in leverage meaningfully improves financial flexibility and lowers interest sensitivity. A lower debt-to-equity ratio supports capacity for opportunistic acquisitions, dividend sustainability and resilience to crop/commodity cycles over the next several months.
Read all positive factors
Farmland (FPI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$506.97M
Dividend Yield14.23%
Average Volume (3M)515.52K
Price to Earnings (P/E)5.0
Beta (1Y)0.50
Revenue Growth-9.27%
EPS Growth333.85%
CountryUS
Employees23
SectorReal Estate
Sector Strength53
IndustryREIT - Specialty
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.44
Shares Outstanding43,629,350
10 Day Avg. Volume358,635
30 Day Avg. Volume515,521
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.34
Price to Book (P/B)0.93
Price to Sales (P/S)8.21
P/FCF Ratio24.58
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.32
Enterprise Value/Revenue12.37
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit15.95
Enterprise Value/Ebitda17.38
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$12.50Price Target Upside7.57% Upside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering2
EPS Forecast (FY)0.19
Revenue Forecast (FY)$29.80M
Farmland Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Farmland Partners Inc. is an internally managed real estate company that owns and seeks to acquire high-quality North American farmland and makes loans to farmers secured by farm real estate. As of the date of this release, the Company owns approx...
How the Company Makes Money
Farmland Partners generates revenue primarily through leasing its farmland to farmers, who pay rent on a per-acre basis. This rental income is the company's main revenue stream and can come from both fixed-rate leases and variable-rate leases, whi...
Farmland Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Operating Revenue By Segment
Shows revenue generated from different business segments, highlighting which areas are driving growth and profitability, and indicating the company's strategic focus.
Shows revenue generated from different business segments, highlighting which areas are driving growth and profitability, and indicating the company's strategic focus.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyFarmland Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Feb 18, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed meaningful progress on capital structure and cash-flow metrics — redemption of preferred equity, a 50% dividend increase, reduced debt and $9.2M lower interest expense, improved AFFO and greater liquidity — demonstrating operational discipline and shareholder-friendly actions. Offsetting these positives are declines in reported net income, a $17M impairment tied to West Coast assets, ~ $6M lower operating revenue due to prior dispositions, and management's cautious 2026 guidance (lower expected net income and AFFO). On balance the positives around balance sheet simplification, cash flow (AFFO), dividend increase and access to capital/lending programs materially outweigh the near-term earnings headwinds and localized portfolio impairments.Positive Updates
Improved AFFO and Strong Q4 Performance
AFFO was $17.9 million for FY2025 and $11.4 million for Q4 2025 (or $0.39 and $0.26 per weighted average share, respectively), which management reported as higher than the same periods in 2024. Management described Q4 as very strong and noted seasonality contributed to strong Q4 revenue recognition.
Negative Updates
Net Income Decline vs. Prior Year
Net income was $32.2 million for FY2025 and $21.8 million for Q4 2025 (or $0.65 and $0.49 per share, respectively), which management stated was lower than the same periods in 2024.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Improved AFFO and Strong Q4 Performance
AFFO was $17.9 million for FY2025 and $11.4 million for Q4 2025 (or $0.39 and $0.26 per weighted average share, respectively), which management reported as higher than the same periods in 2024. Management described Q4 as very strong and noted seasonality contributed to strong Q4 revenue recognition.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided 2026 net income of $8.8 million to $10.9 million and AFFO of $14.4 million to $16.4 million (or $0.33–$0.37 per share), after reporting 2025 net income of $32.2 million and AFFO of $17.9 million (Q4 net income $21.8 million; Q4 AFFO $11.4 million; AFFO per share 2025 $0.39, Q4 $0.26). The company raised its quarterly dividend 50% to $0.09 per share and noted key balance-sheet metrics: undrawn credit capacity of ~$164 million at 12/31/25 (≈$111.7 million as of today), Farmer Mac facility increased from $75.0 million to $89.6 million, roughly $26 million of debt with 2026 resets (one repriced to 5.19% in January), and Term Loan #1 expected to reprice around 5.3%. Guidance assumes no acquisitions or dispositions, reflects the full‑year impact of 2025 dispositions on Fixed Farm/Solar/Wind/Recreation rent, expects lower crop sales and crop‑insurance revenue, anticipates lower property operating expenses and depreciation/depletion/amortization (driven by dispositions) and higher interest expense from 2026 borrowings, and cites AFFO tailwinds from increased FPI loan‑program activity and lower interest expense from prior debt reductions (a $9.2M interest expense reduction since October 2024), while noting a $17M asset impairment recorded in 2025.Farmland Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
66
Positive
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
54
Neutral
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 52.18M | 58.23M | 57.47M | 61.21M | 51.74M |
| Gross Profit | 33.58M | 46.92M | 44.05M | 47.05M | 42.88M |
| EBITDA | 45.95M | 85.88M | 61.67M | 35.29M | 24.52M |
| Net Income | 31.55M | 59.91M | 30.91M | 11.67M | 9.99M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 719.07M | 868.56M | 1.02B | 1.16B | 1.12B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 9.29M | 78.44M | 5.49M | 7.65M | 30.17M |
| Total Debt | 161.18M | 203.88M | 361.26M | 437.20M | 511.43M |
| Total Liabilities | 181.09M | 272.00M | 391.19M | 455.94M | 528.94M |
| Stockholders Equity | 459.35M | 481.91M | 515.88M | 580.79M | 458.31M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 17.43M | 16.14M | 12.89M | 12.80M | 7.86M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 17.43M | 16.14M | 12.89M | 17.05M | 7.86M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 63.40M | 268.75M | 158.46M | -60.40M | -18.77M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -149.97M | -211.94M | -173.51M | 20.83M | 13.87M |
Farmland Technical Analysis
Positive
11.62
Price Trends
11.72
Negative
10.75
Positive
10.55
Positive
Market Momentum
-0.11
Negative
53.68
Neutral
87.92
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FPI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.62 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.34, below the 50-day MA of 11.72, and above the 200-day MA of 10.55, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.92 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FPI.
Farmland Risk Analysis
Farmland disclosed 60 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Farmland reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Farmland Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
FPI
Farmland
11.62
1.81
18.51%
RYN
Rayonier
21.27
-0.87
-3.92%
WY
Weyerhaeuser
24.90
-0.76
-2.97%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.