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Farmland Partners (FPI)
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Farmland (FPI) AI Stock Analysis

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FPI

Farmland

(NYSE:FPI)

Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$11.50
â–²(8.90%Upside)
FPI's strong valuation due to low P/E ratio and high dividend yield is a significant strength. However, technical analysis reveals bearish momentum, and financial performance, although solid, faces challenges in revenue growth. The recent earnings call highlighted strategic moves but also noted risks related to regulatory challenges. The corporate governance issue adds a slight negative element.

Farmland (FPI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Farmland Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFarmland Partners Inc. is an internally managed real estate company that owns and seeks to acquire high-quality North American farmland and makes loans to farmers secured by farm real estate. As of the date of this release, the Company owns approximately 155,000 acres in 16 states, including Alabama, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Kansas, Louisiana, Michigan, Mississippi, Nebraska, North Carolina, South Carolina, South Dakota and Virginia. We have approximately 26 crop types and over 100 tenants. The Company elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust, or REIT, for U.S. federal income tax purposes, commencing with the taxable year ended December 31, 2014.
How the Company Makes MoneyFarmland Partners Inc. generates revenue primarily through leasing its farmland properties to farmers and agricultural operators. The company enters into long-term lease agreements, collecting rent payments from tenants who utilize the land for crop production. This rental income is the main revenue stream for FPI. Additionally, FPI may engage in strategic acquisitions and sales of farmland properties, aiming to capitalize on appreciation in land value. The company also benefits from economies of scale and operational efficiencies due to its extensive and diverse farmland portfolio. Partnerships with agricultural operators and other stakeholders in the sector further bolster its revenue-generating capacity.

Farmland Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 23, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -6.96%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted positive financial performance and strategic asset dispositions, but also acknowledged significant challenges in California due to water regulations and potential market shifts in sweeteners. Despite these challenges, the company's proactive measures in stock repurchases and financial management were emphasized.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Asset Dispositions
Farmland Partners sold approximately $80 million in assets year-to-date, realizing gains of about $25 million, primarily in the High Plains region, as part of their long-term strategy to exit specific markets.
Stock Repurchase Program
The company repurchased about 2.3 million shares, representing 5% of the fully diluted shares outstanding, at an average price of $11.24, totaling $26 million.
Strong Financial Performance
Net income for Q2 2025 was $7.8 million or $0.15 per share, higher than the same period in 2024, driven by gains on property dispositions and reduced interest expenses.
Interest Expense Reduction
Interest expenses decreased by $2.8 million during the quarter and $5.2 million year-to-date, due to significant debt reductions.
Negative Updates
California Farm Write-Downs
The company recorded $16.8 million in impairments on four farms in California due to regulatory water issues and market conditions, with two farms facing approximately 50% write-downs.
Potential Impact of Coca-Cola's Sweetener Shift
Concerns about Coca-Cola's shift from high fructose corn syrup to cane sugar, although the overall impact on the corn market is expected to be minimal.
Company Guidance
During the Q2 2025 earnings call, Farmland Partners, Inc. provided several financial metrics and business updates. The company reported net income of $7.8 million or $0.15 per share for the three months ending June 30, 2025, an increase from the previous year, driven by gains on 32 property dispositions, reduced G&A costs, and lower interest expenses. Year-to-date, the company realized asset sales totaling approximately $80 million, with gains of about $25 million. The AFFO for the first half of 2025 was $3.6 million or $0.08 per share. Farmland Partners completed $26 million in stock repurchases this year, accounting for 5% of fully diluted shares at an average price of $11.24. The company also took impairments totaling $16.8 million on specific California farms due to regulatory water issues and unfavorable crop conditions. The updated 2025 guidance reflects adjustments for asset sales, interest expense reductions, and increased activity under their FPI Loan Program, with an AFFO forecasted range of $12.8 million to $15.5 million or $0.28 to $0.34 per share.

Farmland Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Farmland's financials reflect a company with strong operational profitability and reasonable leverage. While there are challenges in maintaining consistent revenue growth, the company efficiently manages its cash flows and maintains a healthy balance sheet.
Income Statement
72
Positive
The income statement shows a mixed performance. While there is a significant improvement in net income and profitability metrics like the net profit margin and gross profit margin have improved, the revenue has shown volatility with a recent decline. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, indicating strong operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reflects moderate financial health. The debt-to-equity ratio is reasonable but shows a reliance on debt financing. However, the equity ratio is solid, suggesting that the company is well-capitalized. Return on Equity is robust, indicating effective use of shareholder funds.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Cash flow analysis indicates stable cash generation capabilities. Free cash flow growth is positive, although operating cash flow fluctuated. The company maintains a healthy operating cash flow to net income ratio, suggesting good cash conversion efficiency.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue58.23M57.47M61.21M51.74M50.69M
Gross Profit46.92M44.05M47.05M42.88M39.95M
EBITDA85.88M31.36M31.93M24.52M30.31M
Net Income59.91M30.91M11.67M9.99M7.12M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets868.56M1.02B1.16B1.12B1.09B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments78.44M5.49M7.65M30.17M27.22M
Total Debt203.88M361.26M437.20M511.43M506.72M
Total Liabilities272.00M391.19M455.94M528.94M645.31M
Stockholders Equity481.91M515.88M580.79M458.31M429.84M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow16.14M12.89M12.80M5.14M17.07M
Operating Cash Flow16.14M12.89M17.05M7.86M19.73M
Investing Cash Flow268.75M158.46M-60.40M-18.77M18.67M
Financing Cash Flow-211.94M-173.51M20.83M13.87M-23.74M

Farmland Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price10.56
Price Trends
50DMA
11.21
Negative
100DMA
10.81
Negative
200DMA
10.95
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.14
Positive
RSI
34.49
Neutral
STOCH
13.03
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FPI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 10.56 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.17, below the 50-day MA of 11.21, and below the 200-day MA of 10.95, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.03 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FPI.

Farmland Risk Analysis

Farmland disclosed 62 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Farmland reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Farmland Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$3.69B10.1918.78%12.37%12.61%111.99%
69
Neutral
$3.27B79.532.07%4.26%-1.15%14.51%
65
Neutral
$471.23M8.7414.30%13.16%-2.90%282.07%
63
Neutral
$6.86B17.00-2.14%7.13%4.56%-27.45%
62
Neutral
$18.72B67.522.85%3.27%-6.57%-62.32%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FPI
Farmland
10.47
1.35
14.80%
PCH
PotlatchDeltic
40.89
-0.51
-1.23%
RYN
Rayonier
23.31
-4.50
-16.18%
WY
Weyerhaeuser
25.05
-5.99
-19.30%

Farmland Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Farmland Faces Shareholder Rejection on Executive Pay
Negative
May 7, 2025

At the Annual Meeting of Stockholders on May 6, 2025, Farmland Partners Inc. presented four proposals for consideration. The proposals included the election of six director nominees, ratification of Crowe LLP as the accounting firm, an advisory vote on executive compensation, and an amendment to the equity incentive plan. Notably, the proposal on executive compensation did not pass, prompting the company to engage further with stockholders to align management incentives with shareholder interests.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 29, 2025