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Fox Factory Holding (FOXF)
NASDAQ:FOXF

Fox Factory Holding (FOXF) AI Stock Analysis

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Fox Factory Holding

(NASDAQ:FOXF)

64Neutral
Fox Factory Holding's overall score reflects a balance of mixed financial performance, moderate technical indicators, and valuation challenges. The company shows operational strengths with effective cost management and revenue growth, yet faces significant financial challenges, including a substantial goodwill impairment. A cautious outlook is warranted due to tariff uncertainties and a negative P/E ratio.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Fourth quarter earnings per share were higher than expected, driven by better performance in the legacy bike and Powered Vehicle Group segments.
Market Recovery
Potential for stock sentiment to shift positively with improved sightlines to recovery in the high margin Bike business.
Product Innovation
FOXF is excited about new product innovation launches, including a fork and shock that should begin to contribute and help drive growth.
Negative Factors
Disappointing Outlooks
FOXF shares are under pressure due to multiple quarters of disappointing outlooks and a significant year-to-date pullback.
Market Demand
FOXF expects the overall powered sports market to remain weak and PVG to be relatively flat, with current EBITDA margins in the low teens.
Sector Challenges
Challenges across the automotive sector may lead to choppy quarters, potentially testing new lows for the stock.

Fox Factory Holding (FOXF) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Fox Factory Holding Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFox Factory Holding Corp (FOXF) is a leading designer, manufacturer, and marketer of high-performance suspension products and systems for bicycles, on-road vehicles with off-road capabilities, off-road vehicles, and specialty vehicles. The company primarily operates in two segments: Powered Vehicles and Specialty Sports. The Powered Vehicles Group (PVG) focuses on products for off-road vehicles, motorcycles, all-terrain vehicles (ATVs) and utility terrain vehicles (UTVs), while the Specialty Sports Group (SSG) is dedicated to the design and manufacture of suspension products for mountain bikes. Fox Factory Holding is recognized for its premium brands, including FOX, Marzocchi, Race Face, and Easton Cycling, which are esteemed in their respective markets for innovation and quality.
How the Company Makes MoneyFox Factory Holding Corp generates revenue through the design, manufacture, and sale of its high-performance suspension products and systems. The company's primary revenue streams are the sale of suspension products for bicycles and powered vehicles. These sales occur through a combination of original equipment manufacturer (OEM) partnerships and aftermarket channels. OEM partnerships with leading vehicle manufacturers allow Fox Factory to provide customized suspension solutions that are integrated into new vehicles. Aftermarket sales target consumers looking to upgrade or replace their current suspension systems. The company also benefits from its strong brand presence and reputation for quality, which drive demand and enable premium pricing. In addition, strategic acquisitions have expanded its product offerings and market reach, contributing further to its revenue growth.

Fox Factory Holding Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fox Factory Holding demonstrates mixed financial performance. Challenges in revenue growth and profit margins are evident, but the balance sheet shows stable equity with manageable debt. Strong operating cash flow indicates effective cash generation, although revenue growth and profitability need improvement.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Fox Factory Holding experienced fluctuating revenue with recent declines, showing a negative revenue growth rate. Gross and net profit margins have decreased over time, indicating pressure on profitability. However, the company maintains a reasonable EBIT and EBITDA margin, suggesting that operational efficiency remains relatively robust.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects moderate financial stability, with a decreasing debt-to-equity ratio and a consistent equity ratio. The return on equity has declined, pointing to reduced profitability for shareholders. Overall, the company has maintained a stable equity position, despite some fluctuations in total assets and liabilities.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Fox Factory Holding shows strong operating cash flow relative to net income, indicating effective cash generation from its operations. Free cash flow has shown volatility, but the company has managed to maintain a positive free cash flow to net income ratio. Despite fluctuations in investing and financing activities, the cash flow position remains relatively stable.
Breakdown
Mar 2025Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Mar 2021
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.39B1.46B1.60B1.30B890.55M
Gross Profit
423.58M464.81M531.34M432.33M289.55M
EBIT
57.67M160.09M246.70M196.91M114.15M
EBITDA
147.98M216.59M291.94M196.91M147.75M
Net Income Common Stockholders
6.55M120.85M205.28M163.82M90.67M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
71.67M83.64M145.25M179.69M245.76M
Total Assets
2.23B2.24B1.62B1.52B1.29B
Total Debt
721.74M757.64M210.31M378.45M389.59M
Net Debt
650.07M674.00M65.06M198.77M143.82M
Total Liabilities
1.03B1.02B496.95M621.65M567.39M
Stockholders Equity
1.20B1.22B1.12B894.08M719.17M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
87.79M131.89M143.39M10.44M25.97M
Operating Cash Flow
131.83M178.74M187.09M65.29M82.72M
Investing Cash Flow
-76.29M-750.40M-44.73M-106.73M-388.52M
Financing Cash Flow
-67.33M508.98M-179.14M-24.10M506.72M

Fox Factory Holding Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price25.76
Price Trends
50DMA
22.82
Positive
100DMA
25.39
Positive
200DMA
31.89
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.16
Negative
RSI
69.12
Neutral
STOCH
80.28
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FOXF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 25.76 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.81, above the 50-day MA of 22.82, and below the 200-day MA of 31.89, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.28 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FOXF.

Fox Factory Holding Risk Analysis

Fox Factory Holding disclosed 64 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Fox Factory Holding reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Fox Factory Holding Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$1.06B22.3522.48%8.37%-1.37%
77
Outperform
$665.41M10.6326.52%4.33%1.14%127.04%
SMSMP
73
Outperform
$631.95M11.119.00%4.10%13.53%-4.76%
67
Neutral
$824.26M16.767.74%-0.51%9.10%
64
Neutral
$991.92M128.36-23.41%1.26%-435.73%
64
Neutral
$1.31B805.10-14.33%-5.33%-292.58%
61
Neutral
$6.92B11.843.00%3.95%2.60%-21.94%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FOXF
Fox Factory Holding
25.76
-22.02
-46.09%
PLOW
Douglas Dynamics
28.67
4.43
18.28%
SMP
Standard Motor Products
30.14
-1.05
-3.37%
THRM
Gentherm
27.94
-22.70
-44.83%
ADNT
Adient
15.61
-13.86
-47.03%
XPEL
XPEL
38.32
2.82
7.94%

Fox Factory Holding Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 20.66%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth and margin improvements across various segments. However, these were overshadowed by a significant goodwill impairment and associated net loss, along with ongoing challenges posed by tariffs. The balance between positive operational achievements and substantial financial setbacks suggests a cautious outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
First quarter sales exceeded expectations at $355 million, representing a growth of 6.5% over the prior year.
Gross Margin Improvement
Achieved a 200 basis point sequential increase in gross margin to 30.9%.
Aftermarket Applications Group Performance
Delivered top-line growth with net sales increasing 9.9% and a sequential adjusted EBITDA margin improvement of 330 basis points.
Specialty Sports Group Growth
Net sales increased 6.6%, with strong performance in the bike business and Marucci.
Operational Efficiency
Implemented cost optimization strategies aimed at realizing $25 million in savings, with significant progress in manufacturing footprint consolidation.
Negative Updates
Goodwill Impairment
A non-cash goodwill impairment charge of $22 million impacted total operating expenses.
Net Loss
Reported a net loss of $259.7 million or negative $6.23 per diluted share, primarily due to the goodwill impairment.
Adjusted Net Income Decline
Adjusted net income decreased to $9.8 million or $0.23 per diluted share from $11.9 million or $0.29 per diluted share in the previous year.
Tariff Uncertainty
Tariffs posed significant challenges with potential gross impact estimated at $50 million for the full year.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of fiscal year 2025, Fox Factory Holding Corp reported sales of $355 million, reflecting a 6.5% growth over the prior year. The company's adjusted earnings per share were $0.23, in line with expectations. Notably, gross margin improved by 200 basis points to 30.9%, driven by strategic cost management initiatives. Adjusted EBITDA was reported at $39.6 million, with a margin of 11.2%. The Powered Vehicles Group saw a 3.4% increase in net sales to $122.1 million, while the Aftermarket Applications Group experienced a 9.9% sales rise to $111.9 million. The Specialty Sports Group reported a 6.6% sales increase to $121 million. The company reaffirmed its full-year guidance, anticipating revenue between $1,385 million and $1,485 million and adjusted earnings per diluted share ranging from $1.60 to $2.60, despite potential tariff impacts estimated at a gross effect of $50 million annually.

Fox Factory Holding Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Fox Factory Holding Holds Annual Meeting, Elects Directors
Neutral
May 9, 2025

On May 9, 2025, Fox Factory Holding held its Annual Meeting, where stockholders elected Thomas E. Duncan and Jean H. Hlay as Class III directors for a three-year term ending in 2028. Additionally, the appointment of Grant Thornton LLP as independent public accountants for fiscal year 2025 was ratified, and the executive compensation package was approved on an advisory basis.

Spark’s Take on FOXF Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, FOXF is a Neutral.

Fox Factory Holding’s overall stock score reflects a mixed picture. Strong cash flow and strategic initiatives are offset by challenges in revenue growth and sector-specific headwinds. The technical indicators suggest bearish sentiment, while the high P/E ratio indicates overvaluation. The company’s ability to execute on cost reductions and new customer acquisitions will be crucial in addressing these challenges and improving future performance.

To see Spark’s full report on FOXF stock, click here.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.