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Fundamental Global (FGNX)
NASDAQ:FGNX
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Fundamental Global (FGNX) AI Stock Analysis

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FGNX

Fundamental Global

(NASDAQ:FGNX)

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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▼(-2.60% Downside)
The overall stock score is primarily impacted by significant financial challenges, including ongoing losses and negative cash flow. Technical analysis indicates bearish trends, further weighing on the score. Valuation metrics are unattractive, with a negative P/E ratio and no dividend yield, contributing to a low overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Significant year-over-year revenue growth indicates potential recovery and improved business prospects, enhancing long-term viability.
Cash Holdings
Strong cash and digital asset holdings provide liquidity and financial flexibility, supporting strategic initiatives and operational stability.
Share Buyback Program
The share buyback program at a discount to NAV can enhance shareholder value and improve per-share financial metrics over time.
Negative Factors
Negative Cash Flow
Negative operating cash flow suggests liquidity challenges, potentially limiting the company's ability to fund operations and growth sustainably.
Declining Revenue
Declining revenues and ongoing losses indicate operational difficulties, which could hinder long-term growth and profitability.
Negative Profit Margins
Negative profit margins highlight challenges in cost management and revenue generation, impacting long-term financial health.

Fundamental Global (FGNX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Fundamental Global Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFG Nexus, Inc. engages in the provision of reinsurance, asset management and merchant banking services. The company was founded in October 2012 and is headquartered in Charlotte, NC.
How the Company Makes MoneyFundamental Global primarily generates revenue through its investment management activities, which include fees from managing a diverse portfolio of businesses and assets. Key revenue streams are derived from performance-based fees, management fees, and profit-sharing arrangements tied to the financial success of its portfolio companies. Additionally, FGNX may earn dividends and interest income from its investments. Strategic partnerships with financial institutions and industry leaders also play a crucial role in enhancing the company's revenue potential, enabling access to new markets and resources that drive growth.

Fundamental Global Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamental Global faces significant financial challenges. The income statement reflects ongoing losses and declining revenues, while the balance sheet shows limited leverage but poor returns on equity. Cash flow issues further exacerbate the company's financial health, with negative operating cash flow and inconsistent free cash flow growth.
Income Statement
15
Very Negative
The income statement reveals significant challenges, with negative revenue and profit margins across multiple periods. The TTM data shows a drastic decline in revenue growth, and margins remain negative, indicating ongoing operational difficulties. The company has struggled to generate positive gross and net profit margins, which is concerning for long-term sustainability.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting conservative leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, indicating that the company is not generating returns on shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is stable, but the negative ROE highlights profitability challenges.
Cash Flow
20
Very Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates negative operating cash flow, which is a concern for liquidity. Although the free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, the overall cash flow position is weak. The company has not shown consistent free cash flow growth, and the operating cash flow coverage ratio is negative, pointing to cash management issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue-4.73M17.35M17.09M12.48M4.15M-17.42M
Gross Profit-10.45M-8.14M-4.38M1.82M-1.60M-17.42M
EBITDA-5.32M-21.81M-11.94M1.09M-7.33M-23.12M
Net Income-16.28M-1.16M-14.08M1.09M-8.51M-22.46M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets244.74M109.47M62.14M71.75M75.81M55.50M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.50M13.56M16.55M3.79M8.73M4.43M
Total Debt1.92M3.74M9.46M8.77M7.29M9.84M
Total Liabilities13.72M35.27M25.14M25.05M23.53M28.43M
Stockholders Equity231.02M74.20M35.15M46.70M52.28M27.07M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-5.71M-4.09M1.42M-11.10M512.00K-11.30M
Operating Cash Flow-5.72M-4.05M1.58M-11.02M2.04M-11.28M
Investing Cash Flow-153.45M13.24M92.00K-3.45M-1.15M-1.16M
Financing Cash Flow161.43M-7.38M1.24M1.94M3.25M-3.94M

Fundamental Global Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price3.08
Price Trends
50DMA
3.98
Negative
100DMA
10.54
Negative
200DMA
14.04
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.35
Negative
RSI
46.48
Neutral
STOCH
76.42
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FGNX, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 3.08 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.89, below the 50-day MA of 3.98, and below the 200-day MA of 14.04, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.35 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.42 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for FGNX.

Fundamental Global Risk Analysis

Fundamental Global disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Fundamental Global reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Fundamental Global Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$1.06B8.7318.68%4.18%0.76%
74
Outperform
$677.83M11.3710.19%2.12%12.30%55.85%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$930.91M2.7582.04%
59
Neutral
$2.80B66.7624.81%55.93%
57
Neutral
$1.96B-0.57%2.44%11.71%-101.08%
42
Neutral
$120.56M0.90-8.64%-68.66%-857.71%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FGNX
Fundamental Global
3.08
-26.92
-89.73%
IGIC
International General Insurance Holdings
24.02
-1.09
-4.34%
GSHD
GooseHead Insurance
75.30
-42.14
-35.88%
WDH
Waterdrop
1.82
0.72
65.45%
FIHL
Fidelis Insurance Holdings Ltd.
18.08
-1.23
-6.37%
YB
Yuanbao, Inc. Unsponsored ADR
21.09
6.09
40.60%

Fundamental Global Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Fundamental Global Secures $10M Digital Currency Loan
Neutral
Nov 4, 2025

On October 29, 2025, FG Nexus Inc. entered into a master digital currency loan agreement with an unnamed lender, allowing for loans in digital currency or cash, backed by collateral and subject to margin calls. The following day, they executed a loan term sheet for a $10 million loan with a 7.9% borrow fee, using staked ETH as collateral, which is evergreen and subject to specific terms in case of default.

The most recent analyst rating on (FGNX) stock is a Hold with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fundamental Global stock, see the FGNX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Fundamental Global Sells Reinsurance Division to Devondale
Positive
Oct 28, 2025

FG Nexus Inc. announced the sale of its FG Reinsurance Division to Devondale Holdings, led by Tom Heise, to sharpen its focus on Ethereum and reallocate resources towards ETH accumulation. The transaction, which includes cash, a promissory note, and equity ownership, is expected to enhance FG Nexus’s ETH treasury strategy while allowing Devondale to leverage blockchain technology for tokenizing reinsurance, thus positioning FG Reinsurance as a pioneer in tokenized reinsurance. The closing of the transaction is subject to regulatory approval and other conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (FGNX) stock is a Hold with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fundamental Global stock, see the FGNX Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
FG Nexus Registers 40 Million Shares for Resale
Neutral
Oct 14, 2025

On October 14, 2025, FG Nexus Inc. filed a resale registration statement to register 40,000,000 shares of its common stock, which are tied to pre-funded warrants from a recent $200 million private placement. As of that date, a significant portion of these warrants had not been exercised. Additionally, the company has sold over 2 million shares through its ongoing $5 billion At-the-Market offering, resulting in nearly 40 million shares of common stock issued and outstanding, with a free float of approximately 38.8 million shares after accounting for shares held by affiliates.

The most recent analyst rating on (FGNX) stock is a Buy with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fundamental Global stock, see the FGNX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
FG Nexus Increases Authorized Shares to 1 Trillion
Positive
Oct 8, 2025

On October 7, 2025, FG Nexus announced that its Certificate of Amendment to its amended and restated articles of incorporation was declared effective by the Nevada Secretary of State. This amendment significantly increases the company’s authorized shares to 1 trillion, consisting of 900 billion common shares and 100 billion preferred shares. This historic authorization, approved by a majority of shareholders, aims to provide FG Nexus with greater flexibility to increase ETH per share and deliver long-term shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (FGNX) stock is a Buy with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fundamental Global stock, see the FGNX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
FG Nexus Partners with Securitize for Stock Tokenization
Positive
Oct 2, 2025

On October 2, 2025, FG Nexus Inc. announced an agreement with Securitize to allow shareholders to tokenize the company’s common and preferred stock on the Ethereum blockchain. This initiative positions FG Nexus as one of the first NASDAQ-listed companies to offer such a program, potentially transforming equity markets by enabling real-time settlement and programmable ownership. The move is expected to enhance shareholder experience and maintain regulatory compliance, marking a significant step in the tokenization trend within financial markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (FGNX) stock is a Hold with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fundamental Global stock, see the FGNX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Fundamental Global Reaches 50,000 ETH Milestone
Positive
Sep 23, 2025

On September 23, 2025, FG Nexus announced that it had reached a milestone of holding 50,000 ETH, valued at approximately $210 million. This achievement is part of the company’s strategic plan to become the largest institutional holder of Ethereum, reflecting its strong belief in ETH’s potential to transform global finance.

The most recent analyst rating on (FGNX) stock is a Hold with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fundamental Global stock, see the FGNX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Fundamental Global Boosts ETH Holdings to $229 Million
Positive
Sep 19, 2025

On September 19, 2025, FG Nexus Inc. announced an increase in its ETH holdings to 49,715 ETH, valued at approximately $229 million. This move is part of the company’s strategic plan to become the largest ETH holder in the Ethereum network, reflecting its commitment to leveraging Ethereum as a premier programmable asset for institutional reserves.

The most recent analyst rating on (FGNX) stock is a Hold with a $8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fundamental Global stock, see the FGNX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
FG Nexus Shareholders Approve Massive Share Increase
Positive
Sep 16, 2025

On September 16, 2025, FG Nexus announced that its shareholders approved a significant increase in authorized shares to 1 trillion, comprising 900 billion common shares and 100 billion preferred shares. This move is expected to provide FG Nexus with maximum flexibility to execute its strategy of becoming the largest institutional holder of Ethereum. The authorization reflects shareholder confidence in the company’s Ethereum-focused strategy and is anticipated to enhance long-term shareholder value by allowing the company to adapt to market opportunities and growth initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (FGNX) stock is a Hold with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fundamental Global stock, see the FGNX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
FG Nexus Announces Initial CVR Trust Distribution
Positive
Sep 15, 2025

On September 15, 2025, FG Nexus announced that the FG CVR Trust approved a $10 per share distribution payment to holders of contingent value rights (CVRs), with payments expected to commence on September 17, 2025. This marks the initial cash distribution from the CVR Trust, which plans to continue monetizing and distributing proceeds from its assets over the next three years, potentially impacting stakeholders by providing future distributions in cash or in-kind securities.

The most recent analyst rating on (FGNX) stock is a Hold with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fundamental Global stock, see the FGNX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Fundamental Global Announces Corporate Amendments
Neutral
Sep 12, 2025

On September 5, 2025, FG Nexus Inc. announced a series of corporate amendments approved by its Board of Directors and stockholders. These amendments include a significant increase in authorized shares, a requirement for certain legal actions to be brought in Nevada, and changes to the company’s equity incentive plan. These actions aim to enhance the company’s governance and operational flexibility, although they will not take effect until specific conditions are met.

The most recent analyst rating on (FGNX) stock is a Hold with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fundamental Global stock, see the FGNX Stock Forecast page.

Stock Buyback
FG Nexus Announces $200 Million Share Buyback
Positive
Sep 10, 2025

On September 9, 2025, FG Nexus Inc. announced a $200 million share repurchase program approved by its Board of Directors. This initiative reflects the company’s confidence in its long-term prospects and commitment to delivering shareholder value. The program allows for repurchases of common stock in the open market or through negotiated transactions, with no obligation to repurchase a specific number of shares. The timing and amount of repurchases will depend on various factors, including market conditions and the company’s financial performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (FGNX) stock is a Hold with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fundamental Global stock, see the FGNX Stock Forecast page.

Stock Buyback
Fundamental Global Approves $200 Million Share Buyback
Positive
Sep 9, 2025

On September 5, 2025, FG Nexus Inc.’s Board of Directors approved a share repurchase program, allowing the company to buy back up to $200 million of its common stock. This move is aimed at utilizing the company’s surplus capital, potentially enhancing shareholder value and signaling confidence in the company’s future prospects.

The most recent analyst rating on (FGNX) stock is a Hold with a $27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fundamental Global stock, see the FGNX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 30, 2025