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Fundamental Global (FGNX)
NASDAQ:FGNX

Fundamental Global (FGNX) AI Stock Analysis

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FGNX

Fundamental Global

(NASDAQ:FGNX)

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Underperform 40 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:40Underperform
Price Target:
$3.00
▼(-6.54% Downside)
The overall stock score is heavily influenced by poor financial performance and valuation metrics, which are critical concerns. Despite some positive corporate events, the company's ongoing financial struggles and bearish technical indicators weigh down the score.
Positive Factors
Strategic Partnerships
The partnership with Securitize to tokenize stock on the Ethereum blockchain positions FG Nexus as a pioneer in digital finance, enhancing shareholder experience and aligning with future financial market trends.
Share Buyback Program
The $200 million share buyback program indicates a commitment to increasing shareholder value and optimizing capital structure, which can improve investor confidence and enhance market perception.
Digital Asset Strategy
FG Nexus's focus on digital assets, including significant ETH holdings, aligns with emerging trends in digital finance, potentially offering long-term growth and diversification benefits.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
Consistent revenue decline indicates challenges in business operations and market competitiveness, which could hinder long-term growth and sustainability if not addressed.
Negative Cash Flow
Negative operating cash flow suggests liquidity issues, limiting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and meet financial obligations, potentially impacting long-term viability.
Postponed Annual Meeting
The postponed annual meeting due to lack of quorum highlights potential governance issues and shareholder engagement challenges, which could affect strategic decision-making and investor relations.

Fundamental Global (FGNX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Fundamental Global Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFundamental Global (FGNX) is a diversified investment holding company focused on acquiring and managing a portfolio of businesses across various sectors, including technology, financial services, and industrials. The company aims to create long-term value by leveraging its expertise in identifying high-growth opportunities and implementing strategic operational improvements in its subsidiaries. FGNX's core products and services encompass investment management, operational support, and strategic consulting for its portfolio companies.
How the Company Makes MoneyFundamental Global primarily generates revenue through its investment management activities, which include fees from managing a diverse portfolio of businesses and assets. Key revenue streams are derived from performance-based fees, management fees, and profit-sharing arrangements tied to the financial success of its portfolio companies. Additionally, FGNX may earn dividends and interest income from its investments. Strategic partnerships with financial institutions and industry leaders also play a crucial role in enhancing the company's revenue potential, enabling access to new markets and resources that drive growth.

Fundamental Global Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamental Global faces significant financial challenges. The income statement reflects ongoing losses and declining revenues, while the balance sheet shows limited leverage but poor returns on equity. Cash flow issues further exacerbate the company's financial health, with negative operating cash flow and inconsistent free cash flow growth.
Income Statement
15
Very Negative
The income statement reveals significant challenges, with negative revenue and profit margins across multiple periods. The TTM data shows a drastic decline in revenue growth, and margins remain negative, indicating ongoing operational difficulties. The company has struggled to generate positive gross and net profit margins, which is concerning for long-term sustainability.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting conservative leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, indicating that the company is not generating returns on shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is stable, but the negative ROE highlights profitability challenges.
Cash Flow
20
Very Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates negative operating cash flow, which is a concern for liquidity. Although the free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, the overall cash flow position is weak. The company has not shown consistent free cash flow growth, and the operating cash flow coverage ratio is negative, pointing to cash management issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue-4.73M17.35M17.09M12.48M4.15M-17.42M
Gross Profit-10.45M-8.14M-4.38M1.82M-1.60M-17.42M
EBITDA-5.32M-21.81M-11.94M1.09M-7.33M-23.12M
Net Income-16.28M-1.16M-14.08M1.09M-8.51M-22.46M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets244.74M109.47M62.14M71.75M75.81M55.50M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.50M13.56M16.55M3.79M8.73M4.43M
Total Debt1.92M3.74M9.46M8.77M7.29M9.84M
Total Liabilities13.72M35.27M25.14M25.05M23.53M28.43M
Stockholders Equity231.02M74.20M35.15M46.70M52.28M27.07M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-5.71M-4.09M1.42M-11.10M512.00K-11.30M
Operating Cash Flow-5.72M-4.05M1.58M-11.02M2.04M-11.28M
Investing Cash Flow-153.45M13.24M92.00K-3.45M-1.15M-1.16M
Financing Cash Flow161.43M-7.38M1.24M1.94M3.25M-3.94M

Fundamental Global Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.21
Price Trends
50DMA
3.16
Negative
100DMA
7.54
Negative
200DMA
12.76
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Negative
RSI
48.32
Neutral
STOCH
72.43
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FGNX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.21 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.99, above the 50-day MA of 3.16, and below the 200-day MA of 12.76, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.32 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FGNX.

Fundamental Global Risk Analysis

Fundamental Global disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Fundamental Global reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Fundamental Global Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$1.12B9.1918.68%4.00%0.76%
75
Outperform
$909.27M2.2682.04%
74
Outperform
$661.84M9.5410.39%2.12%18.70%62.14%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
59
Neutral
$2.79B66.6824.81%55.93%
57
Neutral
$2.06B-380.97-0.57%2.55%11.71%-101.08%
40
Underperform
$119.91M-0.28-7.90%-42.13%-797.10%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FGNX
Fundamental Global
3.03
-17.07
-84.93%
IGIC
International General Insurance Holdings
25.43
2.03
8.68%
GSHD
GooseHead Insurance
75.82
-24.57
-24.47%
WDH
Waterdrop
1.83
0.66
56.41%
FIHL
Fidelis Insurance Holdings Ltd.
19.62
2.32
13.41%
YB
Yuanbao, Inc. Unsponsored ADR
20.17
5.17
34.47%

Fundamental Global Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Fundamental Global Highlights Major Buyback and Digital Asset Strategy
Positive
Dec 19, 2025

On December 18, 2025, FG Nexus Inc. reported that under its previously announced common stock buyback program it had repurchased approximately 7.0 million shares between October 23 and December 17, 2025, at an average price of about $3.17 per share, representing more than 16% of its outstanding common stock and executed at a discount to the company’s net asset value (NAV). As of December 17, 2025, FG Nexus held 40,088 ETH, roughly $25.2 million in cash and USDC, and $11.9 million in total debt, with 36.5 million common shares outstanding (including 0.5 million underlying pre-funded warrants) and an estimated NAV of about $3.53 per share, underscoring a balance sheet strategy centered on digital assets and capital returns that may support shareholder value and reinforce its positioning in the emerging tokenized-asset and digital-treasury space.

Shareholder Meetings
Fundamental Global Postpones Annual Meeting for Lack of Quorum
Negative
Dec 19, 2025

On December 19, 2025, FG Nexus Inc. attempted to hold its adjourned annual stockholders’ meeting, but the meeting was not called to order because a quorum of shareholders was not present. As a result, the company has postponed the annual meeting again, rescheduling it as a virtual session for December 30, 2025, and is encouraging shareholders to participate and vote online or at the adjourned meeting to ensure required corporate business can proceed.

Shareholder Meetings
Fundamental Global Adjourns Annual Meeting, Sets Virtual Session
Neutral
Dec 18, 2025

On December 17, 2025, FG Nexus Inc. attempted to hold its annual stockholders’ meeting under a previously distributed proxy statement, but the meeting was not called to order because a quorum of shareholders was not present. As a result, the chair adjourned the annual meeting and rescheduled it as a virtual-only session for 11:00 a.m. Eastern Time on December 19, 2025, with shareholders encouraged to participate online or submit their votes electronically in advance, underscoring the importance of investor turnout to complete required governance matters.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
FG Nexus Announces Preferred Share Repurchase Program
Positive
Dec 10, 2025

On December 9, 2025, FG Nexus Inc. announced the approval of a preferred share repurchase program by its Board of Directors, allowing the company to acquire up to 894,580 of its outstanding preferred shares. This initiative is designed to optimize the company’s capital structure and return value to shareholders, with repurchases being conducted in accordance with market conditions and applicable regulations. The program provides FG Nexus with flexibility in its financial strategies, although there is no obligation to repurchase a specific number of shares, and the program can be modified or discontinued at any time.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
FG Nexus Appoints Scott D. Wollney as Lead Director
Neutral
Dec 8, 2025

On December 8, 2025, FG Nexus Inc. announced the appointment of Scott D. Wollney as Lead Independent Director of its Board of Directors. Wollney, who has been a director for the past decade, brings over 30 years of experience in the financial services industry, currently serving as President and CEO of Atlas Financial Holdings. His leadership is expected to be crucial as FG Nexus continues to execute its ETH treasury strategy, potentially impacting the company’s operations and market positioning.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsStock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Fundamental Global Announces $200M Share Buyback Program
Positive
Nov 21, 2025

FG Nexus announced key operational highlights for the third quarter of 2025, including a $200 million capital raise and a partnership with Securitize to tokenize its shares. The company streamlined operations by distributing legacy assets to CVR Trust and planning to sell its reinsurance business and Quebec real estate. Additionally, FG Nexus implemented a $200 million share buyback program to increase net asset value and enhance shareholder value. By October 23, 2025, the company repurchased 3.4 million shares, maintaining a strong ETH and cash balance while reducing outstanding shares to boost per-share valuation metrics.

Private Placements and Financing
Fundamental Global Secures $10M Digital Currency Loan
Neutral
Nov 4, 2025

On October 29, 2025, FG Nexus Inc. entered into a master digital currency loan agreement with an unnamed lender, allowing for loans in digital currency or cash, backed by collateral and subject to margin calls. The following day, they executed a loan term sheet for a $10 million loan with a 7.9% borrow fee, using staked ETH as collateral, which is evergreen and subject to specific terms in case of default.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Fundamental Global Sells Reinsurance Division to Devondale
Positive
Oct 28, 2025

FG Nexus Inc. announced the sale of its FG Reinsurance Division to Devondale Holdings, led by Tom Heise, to sharpen its focus on Ethereum and reallocate resources towards ETH accumulation. The transaction, which includes cash, a promissory note, and equity ownership, is expected to enhance FG Nexus’s ETH treasury strategy while allowing Devondale to leverage blockchain technology for tokenizing reinsurance, thus positioning FG Reinsurance as a pioneer in tokenized reinsurance. The closing of the transaction is subject to regulatory approval and other conditions.

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
FG Nexus Registers 40 Million Shares for Resale
Neutral
Oct 14, 2025

On October 14, 2025, FG Nexus Inc. filed a resale registration statement to register 40,000,000 shares of its common stock, which are tied to pre-funded warrants from a recent $200 million private placement. As of that date, a significant portion of these warrants had not been exercised. Additionally, the company has sold over 2 million shares through its ongoing $5 billion At-the-Market offering, resulting in nearly 40 million shares of common stock issued and outstanding, with a free float of approximately 38.8 million shares after accounting for shares held by affiliates.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
FG Nexus Increases Authorized Shares to 1 Trillion
Positive
Oct 8, 2025

On October 7, 2025, FG Nexus announced that its Certificate of Amendment to its amended and restated articles of incorporation was declared effective by the Nevada Secretary of State. This amendment significantly increases the company’s authorized shares to 1 trillion, consisting of 900 billion common shares and 100 billion preferred shares. This historic authorization, approved by a majority of shareholders, aims to provide FG Nexus with greater flexibility to increase ETH per share and deliver long-term shareholder value.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
FG Nexus Partners with Securitize for Stock Tokenization
Positive
Oct 2, 2025

On October 2, 2025, FG Nexus Inc. announced an agreement with Securitize to allow shareholders to tokenize the company’s common and preferred stock on the Ethereum blockchain. This initiative positions FG Nexus as one of the first NASDAQ-listed companies to offer such a program, potentially transforming equity markets by enabling real-time settlement and programmable ownership. The move is expected to enhance shareholder experience and maintain regulatory compliance, marking a significant step in the tokenization trend within financial markets.

Business Operations and Strategy
Fundamental Global Reaches 50,000 ETH Milestone
Positive
Sep 23, 2025

On September 23, 2025, FG Nexus announced that it had reached a milestone of holding 50,000 ETH, valued at approximately $210 million. This achievement is part of the company’s strategic plan to become the largest institutional holder of Ethereum, reflecting its strong belief in ETH’s potential to transform global finance.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 20, 2025