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First Bancorp of Indiana Inc (FBPI)
OTHER OTC:FBPI
US Market

First Bancorp of Indiana (FBPI) AI Stock Analysis

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FBPI

First Bancorp of Indiana

(OTC:FBPI)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$14.00
▲(15.42% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:12/30/25
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance—improving leverage and better cash conversion, but a sharp 2025 revenue decline, margin compression, and weaker ROE. Technical indicators are modestly supportive with price above key moving averages and positive momentum, while valuation appears fair with a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Improving leverage
A sharp reduction in debt-to-equity materially lowers near-term refinancing and solvency risk. Improved leverage enhances capital flexibility to support lending, absorb losses, or fund targeted investments over the next several quarters, making the balance sheet more resilient.
Stronger free cash flow conversion
Rising free cash flow conversion indicates better internal funding of operations and obligations. Sustained positive FCF improves the company's ability to service debt, fund growth, or support payouts without needing external capital, aiding medium-term financial durability.
Community banking franchise and local market focus
A focused community bank model fosters stable deposit relationships and localized credit insight. This regional footprint and relationship lending tend to produce stickier funding and predictable commercial/residential loan pipelines, supporting steady core revenue over time.
Negative Factors
Sharp revenue decline
An 18% revenue drop materially reduces scale economics and weakens the bank's ability to cover fixed costs and absorb credit stress. If this trend persists, it constrains reinvestment in branches, technology, and lending initiatives across the 2–6 month horizon.
Margin compression and weak returns
Lower net margins and sub-4% ROE signal diminished profitability per dollar of assets and equity. Persistently weak returns make it harder to organically rebuild capital or justify growth initiatives, pressuring strategic options and shareholder returns over coming quarters.
Low operating cash flow versus debt
Very low operating cash flow coverage versus debt leaves limited buffer for shocks or higher funding costs. This structural cash-flow constraint increases reliance on deposit stability or external funding and could force asset reductions or costly financing if conditions tighten.

First Bancorp of Indiana (FBPI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

First Bancorp of Indiana Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFirst Bancorp of Indiana, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for First Federal Savings Bank that provides various banking products and services to individuals and business customers. The company accepts various deposits; and offers loans that include commercial one-to-four family mortgage, commercial and multi-family mortgage, secured commercial business, unsecured commercial business, residential one-to-four family mortgage, residential second mortgage, and consumer loans, as well as home equity lines of credit. It is also involved in the management of investment securities portfolios; and provides safe deposit box, check cashing and cashier's check, wire transfer, and brokerage services. The company operates 9 full-service offices in Southwestern Indiana; and 1 loan production office in Henderson, Kentucky. First Bancorp of Indiana, Inc. was founded in 1904 and is based in Evansville, Indiana.
How the Company Makes MoneyFBPI makes money primarily through its bank subsidiary by (1) generating net interest income and (2) earning noninterest income from banking services, while incurring operating costs and provision expenses that affect profitability. 1) Net interest income (core earnings driver) - Interest on loans: The bank earns interest and fees on loans it originates and holds (commonly including residential real estate loans and other consumer and commercial credits). Loan yields depend on market rates, loan mix, pricing, and credit performance. - Interest on investment securities and interest-earning cash: The bank also earns interest from its securities portfolio (e.g., government or agency-related securities, if held) and other interest-earning balances. - Funding costs: The bank pays interest on interest-bearing deposits (such as savings, money market accounts, and certificates of deposit) and any other borrowings. The spread between interest earned on assets and interest paid on liabilities is the net interest margin, a key determinant of earnings. 2) Noninterest income (supplemental revenues) - Service charges and fees: The bank earns fee income from deposit account-related charges (e.g., certain account maintenance or transaction-related fees) and other service fees associated with providing banking services. - Other banking-related fees: Depending on the bank’s offerings, additional fee sources can include payments processing-related fees and other customary community bank fee categories. Specific noninterest income line items beyond general banking fees are null. 3) Key factors that contribute to earnings - Loan growth and credit quality: Expanding the loan portfolio can increase interest income, while higher delinquencies, charge-offs, or expected losses can reduce earnings through a higher provision for credit losses. - Interest-rate environment and deposit competition: Changes in short- and long-term rates affect loan yields and deposit costs; competitive pressure for deposits can raise funding costs and compress margins. - Operating efficiency: Profitability is influenced by personnel, branch and occupancy costs, technology, regulatory compliance, and other overhead. 4) Significant partnerships - null

First Bancorp of Indiana Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: profitability remains positive but weakened materially with an 18.1% revenue decline in 2025 and net margin down to ~6.4%. Offsetting this, leverage improved sharply versus 2024 (debt-to-equity ~2.31x vs ~4.12x) and cash conversion improved (FCF ~0.82x of net income), though returns (ROE ~3.5%) and cash flow coverage versus debt remain soft.
Income Statement
48
Neutral
Profitability has weakened versus prior years: net margin fell to ~6.4% in 2025 (from ~8.3% in 2024 and ~10–16% in 2021–2023), and revenue declined sharply in 2025 (-18.1%) after a near-flat 2024. Positives include continued profitability and generally solid historical margins, but the recent revenue drop and compressing earnings profile reduce confidence in the near-term trajectory.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
Leverage has improved meaningfully: debt-to-equity declined to ~2.31x in 2025 from ~4.12x in 2024, indicating a less stressed capital profile than last year. However, leverage is still elevated versus earlier periods (e.g., ~1.57x in 2021), and return on equity has softened to ~3.5% in 2025 (down from ~4.9% in 2024 and ~7–9% in 2021–2023), suggesting profitability is not currently strong enough to fully offset balance-sheet risk.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash generation is a relative bright spot in 2025, with free cash flow covering ~0.82x of net income (up from ~0.43x in 2024), and both operating and free cash flow are positive. The main weakness is the consistently low operating cash flow relative to the company’s debt load (coverage near ~0.3%–1.2% across the period), which limits financial flexibility if conditions tighten.
BreakdownJun 2025Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue18.38M18.48M27.46M20.18M23.27M
Gross Profit18.38M18.48M19.73M17.65M20.05M
EBITDA714.52K2.24M3.95M3.70M5.30M
Net Income1.17M1.53M2.85M2.44M3.79M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets605.75M635.32M631.34M518.48M480.87M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0.008.57M13.37M14.69M9.01M
Total Debt76.95M129.89M129.83M90.77M65.16M
Total Liabilities572.42M603.78M599.33M485.89M439.32M
Stockholders Equity33.34M31.54M32.01M32.59M41.55M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.25M669.73K64.85K3.32M4.05M
Operating Cash Flow2.73M1.58M1.66M5.74M4.56M
Investing Cash Flow34.86M-7.32M-106.86M-88.01M17.44M
Financing Cash Flow-32.58M2.36M110.02M45.56M2.84M

First Bancorp of Indiana Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.13
Price Trends
50DMA
12.37
Positive
100DMA
11.83
Positive
200DMA
10.99
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.35
Negative
RSI
80.95
Negative
STOCH
82.67
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FBPI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.13 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.84, below the 50-day MA of 12.37, and above the 200-day MA of 10.99, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.35 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 80.95 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.67 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FBPI.

First Bancorp of Indiana Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
59
Neutral
$23.93M10.984.85%0.96%
54
Neutral
$36.96M30.971.71%15.56%
44
Neutral
$14.06M26.980.09%5.76%-72.73%
43
Neutral
$2.98M424.54-229.75%-42.15%-1001.66%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FBPI
First Bancorp of Indiana
13.74
3.84
38.85%
CARV
Carver Bancorp
1.50
0.11
7.91%
GLBZ
Glen Burnie Bancorp
4.82
-0.26
-5.22%
KFFB
Kentucky First Federal Bancorp
4.57
1.65
56.51%
SHFS
SHF Holdings
0.97
-4.55
-82.46%
MBBC
Marathon Bancorp
13.01
2.85
28.05%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025