Repsol (REP) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: €15.23B
• Dividend Yield: 7.31%
• Average Volume (3M): 5.65M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 20.8
• Beta (1Y): 0.68
• Revenue Growth: -8.73%
• EPS Growth: -76.59%
• Country: ES
• Employees: 25,136
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 49
• Industry: Oil & Gas Integrated
• EPS (TTM): 0.56
• Shares Outstanding: 1,157,396,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 5,700,665
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 5,647,826
• PEG Ratio: -0.19
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.52
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.24
• P/FCF Ratio: 57.62
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: €13.88
• Price Target Upside: 4.05% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 10

• Rating: 70 Outperform
• Price Target: €14.50 ▲(8.70% Upside)

Repsol's overall stock score reflects its stable financial position and strong cash flow generation, supported by positive technical indicators. The high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation, but the attractive dividend yield offers a compensatory income stream.

Positive Factors

Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns

Repsol highlighted that the combined group is targeting synergies exceeding $1 billion, which it notes will enhance cash generation and shareholder returns.

Operational Efficiency

The combination is expected to enhance operational scale and efficiency, providing a platform for organic and inorganic growth.

Strategic Merger

Repsol announced a strategic merger with NEO Energy, creating a leading independent producer in the North Sea.

Negative Factors

Decommissioning Liabilities

Repsol will retain $1.8bn of decommissioning liabilities to its legacy assets.

Repsol Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Repsol, S.A. operates as an integrated energy company worldwide. Its Exploration and Production segment engages in the exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas reserves. The company's Industrial segment is involved in refining activities and petrochemicals business; the trading and transportation of crude oil and oil products; and the sale, transportation, and regasification of natural gas and liquefied natural gas (LNG). Its Commercial and Renewables segment engages in the low carbon power generation and renewable sources; sale of gas and power; mobility and sale of oil products; and liquified petroleum gas activities. The company also offers asphalt products; installs, operates, and manages service stations; provides maritime services; constructs and operates oil refineries; refines and markets hydrocarbons; offers human resource services; distributes and supplies electricity; and develops new energy source, solar, and wind projects, as well as produces and markets chemical products, lubricants, and biofuels. Further, it is involved in fuel and special products marketing, research, trading and transport, insurance and reinsurance, technology development, and financing activities; develops nanoparticles and nanofibers for material, energy, and biomedicine applications; provides blockchain technology for retail, energy, and automotive sectors; produces synthetic oil cloths; invests in liquefaction plant project; and offers water treatment technology management services. The company was formerly known as Repsol YPF, S.A. and changed its name to Repsol, S.A. in May 2012. Repsol, S.A. was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Madrid, Spain.

How the Company Makes Money

Repsol generates revenue primarily through its upstream and downstream operations. In the upstream sector, the company explores for and produces crude oil and natural gas, selling these resources in the global markets. The downstream operations include refining crude oil into various products such as gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel, and distributing these products through an extensive network of service stations and other retail outlets. Additionally, Repsol is expanding its presence in the renewable energy sector, investing in wind, solar, and other sustainable energy sources, which contributes to its revenue. The company also earns from its petrochemicals division, which manufactures and sells chemicals for various industrial uses. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures with other energy companies and investments in technology further bolster Repsol's earnings.

Repsol Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Repsol demonstrates a robust financial structure with stable profitability and manageable debt levels. However, recent declines in revenue and cash flow growth highlight potential operational challenges. The focus should be on improving cash efficiency and operational margins.

Income Statement

Repsol's income statement shows a mixed performance with a declining revenue growth rate of -3.1% from 2023 to 2024, and net profit margin decreasing to 3.07%. However, the company maintains a stable gross profit margin of approximately 19%. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also decreased, indicating reduced operational efficiency. Despite these challenges, margins remain positive, reflecting underlying profitability.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet indicates strong equity standing with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.46, suggesting manageable leverage. Return on Equity (ROE) is at 6.63%, showing moderate returns to shareholders. Equity ratio stands at 41.9%, indicating a healthy balance between equity and assets. The balance sheet reflects stability but also highlights potential risks if debt levels increase.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals a significant drop in free cash flow growth to -89.19% from 2023 to 2024, reflecting reduced cash efficiency. Operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.83, suggesting strong cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.14, indicating limited free cash flow relative to earnings. Overall, cash flow stability needs attention to improve future liquidity.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	68.83B	57.12B	58.95B	69.29B	49.74B	33.28B
Gross Profit	12.12B	7.75B	9.47B	16.11B	10.10B	7.01B
EBITDA	4.30B	5.61B	7.22B	9.93B	6.44B	-557.00M
Net Income	733.00M	1.76B	3.17B	4.25B	2.50B	-3.29B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	59.06B	63.19B	61.63B	59.96B	56.25B	49.30B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	6.51B	6.43B	8.87B	9.01B	7.84B	5.51B
Total Debt	14.49B	12.19B	10.56B	13.36B	14.49B	15.56B
Total Liabilities	32.71B	34.09B	32.56B	33.99B	33.46B	28.76B
Stockholders Equity	23.83B	26.49B	26.20B	25.29B	22.41B	20.30B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	1.22B	240.00M	2.22B	4.30B	2.77B	852.00M
Operating Cash Flow	5.20B	4.96B	6.51B	7.83B	4.68B	2.74B
Investing Cash Flow	-2.22B	-2.69B	-5.85B	-4.10B	-2.93B	222.00M
Financing Cash Flow	-2.89B	-1.64B	-3.05B	-2.83B	-529.00M	-1.61B

Repsol Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 13.34
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ES:REP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 13.34 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.19, above the 50-day MA of 12.53, and above the 200-day MA of 11.42, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.21 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ES:REP.

Repsol Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	71 Outperform	€16.82B	8.59	16.13%	9.94%	0.88%	-15.07%
REP	70 Outperform	€15.23B	20.76	3.24%	7.31%	-8.73%	-76.59%
0H4K	―	€9.30B	11.13	18.00%	―	―	―
0KCD	―	€1.44B	12.11	19.50%	―	―	―
0MKT	―	€1.66B	15.51	26.16%	―	―	―
5GR	―	€1.75B	20.74		―	―	―
5PZ	―	€158.98M	―	-369.96%	―	―	―

Repsol Corporate Events

Repsol Executes Share Buyback Transactions Under Authorized Program

Repsol has executed a series of share buyback transactions between June 11 and June 17, 2025, as part of its ongoing Buyback Program authorized by the General Shareholders’ Meeting in 2022. These transactions are in compliance with EU regulations on market abuse and aim to enhance shareholder value by reducing the number of outstanding shares.

The most recent analyst rating on (ES:REP) stock is a Buy with a EUR15.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Repsol stock, see the ES:REP Stock Forecast page.

Repsol Subsidiary Announces €750 Million Bond Issuance

Repsol Europe Finance S.à.r.l, a subsidiary of Repsol, S.A., has announced a subordinated bond issuance valued at 750 million euros under its €13 billion Euro Medium Term Note Programme. This issuance, with an initial interest rate of 4.5% per annum, is aimed at institutional investors and is expected to be traded on the Luxembourg Stock Exchange by June 2025. The move strengthens Repsol’s financial positioning and offers flexibility in interest payments and redemption, potentially impacting its market strategy and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (ES:REP) stock is a Buy with a EUR15.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Repsol stock, see the ES:REP Stock Forecast page.

Repsol Invites Sale of €750 Million Subordinated Securities

Repsol has launched an invitation for holders of its €750 million deeply subordinated securities to sell them to Repsol International Finance B.V. This move, registered on the Luxembourg Stock Exchange, is part of Repsol’s financial strategy to manage its debt portfolio effectively.

The most recent analyst rating on (ES:REP) stock is a Buy with a EUR15.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Repsol stock, see the ES:REP Stock Forecast page.

Repsol Re-elects Directors, Ensuring Leadership Stability

The Ordinary General Meeting of Shareholders of Repsol, S.A. has approved the re-election of three directors for a four-year term, indicating stability and continuity in its leadership. This decision reflects the company’s commitment to maintaining its strategic direction and could reassure stakeholders about its governance and future operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (ES:REP) stock is a Buy with a EUR15.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Repsol stock, see the ES:REP Stock Forecast page.