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Repsol (ES:REP)
BME:REP
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Repsol (REP) AI Stock Analysis

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ES:REP

Repsol

(BME:REP)

Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
€14.50
▲(3.50% Upside)
Repsol's overall stock score reflects its stable financial position and strong cash flow generation, supported by positive technical indicators. The high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation, but the attractive dividend yield offers a compensatory income stream.
Positive Factors
Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns
Repsol highlighted that the combined group is targeting synergies exceeding $1 billion, which it notes will enhance cash generation and shareholder returns.
Operational Efficiency
The combination is expected to enhance operational scale and efficiency, providing a platform for organic and inorganic growth.
Strategic Merger
Repsol announced a strategic merger with NEO Energy, creating a leading independent producer in the North Sea.
Negative Factors
Decommissioning Liabilities
Repsol will retain $1.8bn of decommissioning liabilities to its legacy assets.

Repsol (REP) vs. iShares MSCI Spain ETF (EWP)

Repsol Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRepsol, S.A. operates as an integrated energy company worldwide. Its Exploration and Production segment engages in the exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas reserves. The company's Industrial segment is involved in refining activities and petrochemicals business; the trading and transportation of crude oil and oil products; and the sale, transportation, and regasification of natural gas and liquefied natural gas (LNG). Its Commercial and Renewables segment engages in the low carbon power generation and renewable sources; sale of gas and power; mobility and sale of oil products; and liquified petroleum gas activities. The company also offers asphalt products; installs, operates, and manages service stations; provides maritime services; constructs and operates oil refineries; refines and markets hydrocarbons; offers human resource services; distributes and supplies electricity; and develops new energy source, solar, and wind projects, as well as produces and markets chemical products, lubricants, and biofuels. Further, it is involved in fuel and special products marketing, research, trading and transport, insurance and reinsurance, technology development, and financing activities; develops nanoparticles and nanofibers for material, energy, and biomedicine applications; provides blockchain technology for retail, energy, and automotive sectors; produces synthetic oil cloths; invests in liquefaction plant project; and offers water treatment technology management services. The company was formerly known as Repsol YPF, S.A. and changed its name to Repsol, S.A. in May 2012. Repsol, S.A. was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Madrid, Spain.
How the Company Makes MoneyRepsol generates revenue primarily through its upstream and downstream operations. In the upstream sector, the company earns money by extracting and selling crude oil and natural gas, leveraging its exploration and production assets in various regions, including Europe, North America, and Latin America. The downstream segment contributes significantly to its revenue through the refining of crude oil into valuable products and the distribution of these products via retail and wholesale channels. Additionally, Repsol has been investing in renewable energy, which provides an emerging revenue stream as the company transitions towards more sustainable energy solutions. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures, particularly in exploration and renewable projects, further enhance its revenue potential and market reach.

Repsol Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Repsol demonstrates resilience with a stable balance sheet and strong cash flow generation, despite pressure on revenue and profit margins. Continued focus on operational efficiency is crucial for improving profitability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Repsol's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a slight decline in revenue growth, but the company maintains a positive gross profit margin of 17.6%. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 1.1%, reflecting challenges in converting revenue into profit. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also decreased compared to previous years, indicating pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.61, which is manageable for the industry. The return on equity has decreased to 2.9% in the TTM period, indicating reduced profitability from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio remains healthy, suggesting a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Repsol's cash flow statement shows a strong recovery in free cash flow growth, with a significant increase of 485.6% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.29, indicating adequate cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.24 suggests a reasonable conversion of earnings into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue68.83B57.12B58.95B69.29B49.74B33.28B
Gross Profit12.12B7.75B9.47B16.11B10.10B7.01B
EBITDA4.30B5.61B7.22B9.93B6.44B-557.00M
Net Income733.00M1.76B3.17B4.25B2.50B-3.29B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets59.06B63.19B61.63B59.96B56.25B49.30B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.51B6.43B8.87B9.01B7.84B5.51B
Total Debt14.49B12.19B10.56B13.36B14.49B15.56B
Total Liabilities32.71B34.09B32.56B33.99B33.46B28.76B
Stockholders Equity23.83B26.49B26.20B25.29B22.41B20.30B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.22B240.00M2.22B4.30B2.77B852.00M
Operating Cash Flow5.20B4.96B6.51B7.83B4.68B2.74B
Investing Cash Flow-2.22B-2.69B-5.85B-4.10B-2.93B222.00M
Financing Cash Flow-2.89B-1.64B-3.05B-2.83B-529.00M-1.61B

Repsol Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price14.01
Price Trends
50DMA
13.06
Positive
100DMA
12.02
Positive
200DMA
11.62
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.25
Negative
RSI
65.16
Neutral
STOCH
79.31
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ES:REP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.01 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.47, above the 50-day MA of 13.06, and above the 200-day MA of 11.62, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.31 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ES:REP.

Repsol Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
€15.93B21.723.24%7.00%-8.73%-76.59%
65
Neutral
$15.54B7.272.96%5.23%4.26%-62.58%
€9.47B11.4218.00%
€1.61B14.7319.50%
€1.77B16.6026.16%
€1.68B20.74
€158.98M-369.96%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ES:REP
Repsol
14.01
2.38
20.46%
GB:0H4K
Acciona
169.20
50.68
42.76%
GB:0KCD
Solaria Energia y Medio Ambiente
13.88
2.56
22.61%
GB:0MKT
Tecnicas Reunidas
22.62
11.14
97.04%
DE:5GR
Grenergy Renovables S.A
63.20
30.55
93.57%
DE:5PZ
Soltec Power Holdings SA
1.66
-0.38
-18.63%

Repsol Corporate Events

Repsol Executes Share Buyback Transactions Under Authorized Program
Jun 18, 2025

Repsol has executed a series of share buyback transactions between June 11 and June 17, 2025, as part of its ongoing Buyback Program authorized by the General Shareholders’ Meeting in 2022. These transactions are in compliance with EU regulations on market abuse and aim to enhance shareholder value by reducing the number of outstanding shares.

The most recent analyst rating on (ES:REP) stock is a Buy with a EUR15.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Repsol stock, see the ES:REP Stock Forecast page.

Repsol Subsidiary Announces €750 Million Bond Issuance
Jun 17, 2025

Repsol Europe Finance S.à.r.l, a subsidiary of Repsol, S.A., has announced a subordinated bond issuance valued at 750 million euros under its €13 billion Euro Medium Term Note Programme. This issuance, with an initial interest rate of 4.5% per annum, is aimed at institutional investors and is expected to be traded on the Luxembourg Stock Exchange by June 2025. The move strengthens Repsol’s financial positioning and offers flexibility in interest payments and redemption, potentially impacting its market strategy and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (ES:REP) stock is a Buy with a EUR15.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Repsol stock, see the ES:REP Stock Forecast page.

Repsol Invites Sale of €750 Million Subordinated Securities
Jun 17, 2025

Repsol has launched an invitation for holders of its €750 million deeply subordinated securities to sell them to Repsol International Finance B.V. This move, registered on the Luxembourg Stock Exchange, is part of Repsol’s financial strategy to manage its debt portfolio effectively.

The most recent analyst rating on (ES:REP) stock is a Buy with a EUR15.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Repsol stock, see the ES:REP Stock Forecast page.

Repsol Re-elects Directors, Ensuring Leadership Stability
May 30, 2025

The Ordinary General Meeting of Shareholders of Repsol, S.A. has approved the re-election of three directors for a four-year term, indicating stability and continuity in its leadership. This decision reflects the company’s commitment to maintaining its strategic direction and could reassure stakeholders about its governance and future operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (ES:REP) stock is a Buy with a EUR15.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Repsol stock, see the ES:REP Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2025