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Repsol (ES:REP)
BME:REP

Repsol (REP) AI Stock Analysis

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ES:REP

Repsol

(BME:REP)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
€23.00
▲(6.48% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/18/26
The score is driven primarily by softened financial performance since the 2022 peak (lower earnings, shrinking revenue, and volatile free cash flow), partially offset by a still-manageable balance sheet and resilient operating cash generation. Technicals show a strong uptrend but are extremely overextended, which tempers the near-term outlook. Valuation is supportive with a low P/E and a solid dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Integrated business model
Repsol's integrated footprint spanning exploration, refining, trading, chemicals, retail and low‑carbon generation provides diversified cash flows and internal optimization opportunities. This structural diversification cushions commodity cycles and allows margin capture across the value chain over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Sustained revenue decline
A roughly 20% revenue drop erodes scale benefits and increases unit costs in refining and retail. Persisting top-line contraction undermines utilization economics and long‑term margin recovery, making it harder to restore prior EBIT levels absent structural demand or price improvements.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Integrated business model
Repsol's integrated footprint spanning exploration, refining, trading, chemicals, retail and low‑carbon generation provides diversified cash flows and internal optimization opportunities. This structural diversification cushions commodity cycles and allows margin capture across the value chain over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Repsol (REP) vs. iShares MSCI Spain ETF (EWP)

Repsol Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Repsol, S.A. operates as an integrated energy company worldwide. Its Exploration and Production segment engages in the exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas reserves. The company's Industrial segment is involved in ...
How the Company Makes Money
Repsol makes money primarily through an integrated set of energy businesses spanning upstream, industrial, and customer-facing activities. (1) Upstream (Exploration & Production): Repsol generates revenue from producing and selling crude oil and n...

Repsol Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Positive profitability (€1.9B net income in 2025) and resilient operating cash flow (~€5.0B in 2024–2025) support the base score, but fundamentals have cooled materially since 2022–2023 (EBIT and net income down, revenue shrinking ~20% in 2025) and free cash flow has been volatile/weaker versus prior peaks.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue54.86B57.12B58.95B69.29B49.74B
Gross Profit7.37B7.75B9.47B16.11B10.10B
EBITDA5.13B5.61B7.22B9.93B6.74B
Net Income1.90B1.76B3.17B4.25B2.50B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets59.43B63.19B61.63B59.96B56.25B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.98B6.43B8.87B9.01B7.84B
Total Debt16.47B12.19B10.56B13.36B14.49B
Total Liabilities31.81B34.09B32.56B33.99B33.46B
Stockholders Equity25.14B26.49B26.20B25.29B22.41B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.21B240.00M2.22B4.30B2.77B
Operating Cash Flow4.96B4.96B6.51B7.83B4.68B
Investing Cash Flow-4.95B-2.69B-5.85B-4.10B-2.93B
Financing Cash Flow-1.28B-1.64B-3.05B-2.83B-529.00M

Repsol Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price21.60
Price Trends
50DMA
20.38
Positive
100DMA
18.06
Positive
200DMA
15.99
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.66
Positive
RSI
44.74
Neutral
STOCH
33.14
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ES:REP, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 21.6 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.59, above the 50-day MA of 20.38, and above the 200-day MA of 15.99, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.66 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.14 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for ES:REP.

Repsol Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
€25.74B12.4224.33%6.66%2.66%1.26%
66
Neutral
€40.14B14.7525.60%4.32%-2.54%103.14%
64
Neutral
€23.64B9.837.85%6.18%-6.61%-44.09%
62
Neutral
€135.72B31.5412.54%2.92%0.50%-19.06%
60
Neutral
€13.10B12.6118.00%2.87%4.87%339.22%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
55
Neutral
€4.51B179.6411.78%7.01%5.35%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ES:REP
Repsol
21.60
12.22
130.18%
ES:ANA
Acciona
239.80
130.03
118.46%
ES:ENG
Enagas SA
17.25
5.09
41.84%
ES:ELE
Endesa SA
38.53
14.88
62.95%
ES:NTGY
Naturgy Energy Group, S.A.
26.80
3.55
15.25%
ES:IBE
Iberdrola
20.32
5.79
39.83%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 18, 2026