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Acciona SA (ES:ANA)
BME:ANA

Acciona (ANA) AI Stock Analysis

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ES:ANA

Acciona

(BME:ANA)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
€227.00
▲(4.13% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/02/26
The score is held back primarily by elevated leverage and inconsistent free-cash-flow generation despite strong operating cash flow. Technicals are supportive due to a strong uptrend, but overbought indicators add near-term risk. Valuation is reasonable with a modest dividend yield, providing partial support but not enough to fully offset the financial risk profile.
Positive Factors
Diversified business model (renewables + infrastructure)
A two-pillar model of renewable generation plus infrastructure services provides structural diversification of cash flows. Long-duration concession payments and recurring services reduce single-market cyclicality and enable cross-subsidization of capex and development risk over multiple project cycles.
Strong multi-year revenue scaling
Tripling revenue over several years demonstrates durable commercial execution and market access in both construction and renewables. Scale improves negotiating power on large contracts, spreads fixed costs, and supports bid competitiveness and backlog quality across multiple geographies and project types.
Consistent operating cash flow generation
Sustained positive operating cash flow indicates the core business converts sales into cash even when free cash flow is volatile. Reliable OCF supports project financing, recurring capex needs, and the ability to fund working capital or pursue asset rotations without relying solely on equity issuance.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage and rising debt
Rapid debt accumulation and a ~3.0x debt/equity ratio materially increase refinancing, interest-rate and covenant risk. With equity stable around €4.7–€5.0B, leverage limits balance-sheet flexibility for new projects, reduces shock absorption, and raises financing costs if earnings weaken.
Volatile free cash flow and weak cash conversion
Irregular FCF despite strong operating cash flow signals capital intensity and working-capital swings. Low cash conversion constrains ability to deleverage, sustain dividends, or self-fund growth without external financing or asset sales, increasing reliance on capital markets and partner financing.
Margin compression and thin net margins
Material gross-margin erosion and low net margins reduce buffers against project overruns, inflation, or higher interest costs. Thin profitability limits internal cash generation per unit revenue and amplifies the negative effect of any revenue declines or cost shocks on returns and balance-sheet repair.

Acciona (ANA) vs. iShares MSCI Spain ETF (EWP)

Acciona Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAcciona, S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the energy, infrastructure, and other businesses in Spain and internationally. The company develops, constructs, operates, and maintains wind, solar photovoltaic, solar thermal, hydro, and biomass plants. It also engages in designing, construction, maintenance, and management of infrastructure projects, including bridges, highways, motorways, roads, tunnels, railway, and metros and trams, as well as ports and water channels, airports, freight forwarding, data centers, substations, and transmission lines. In addition, the company offers event planning and management services, as well as designs, constructs, and operates drinking water treatment plants, reverse osmosis desalination plants, wastewater treatment plants, and tertiary treatment plants for water reuse; and constructs, operates, and manages health infrastructure, and academic institutions and student residences. Further, it provides museum and art center solutions; urban services; and shared electric motorcycles, as well as undertakes real estate projects; and projects for the urban and social regeneration of spaces. Additionally, the company facility, airport handling, waste collection and treatment, logistics, rail, and other services. It also engages in the fund management, stock broking, wine production, and other businesses. Acciona, S.A. is headquartered in Alcobendas, Spain.
How the Company Makes MoneyAcciona makes money primarily through two main pillars: renewable energy and infrastructure. 1) Renewable energy (generation and related activities) - Electricity sales: Acciona develops and operates renewable generation assets (e.g., wind and solar). It earns revenue by selling the electricity produced into wholesale power markets and/or through contracted arrangements (e.g., long-term power purchase agreements), where applicable. Revenue is driven by generated output (MWh), achieved power prices, and the operating availability of its assets. - Asset rotation (when applicable): In some cases, Acciona may monetize investments by selling stakes in operating renewable assets or projects under development, crystallizing gains and recycling capital into new projects. If specific transactions are not publicly available for a given period, this item is null. 2) Infrastructure (construction/engineering and concessions) - Construction and engineering contracts: Acciona’s infrastructure businesses generate revenue by delivering civil works and building projects for public and private clients. Earnings depend on project backlog, contract pricing, execution performance, and claims/change orders where relevant. - Concession/PPP-style income: For certain projects delivered under concession or public-private partnership models, Acciona can earn longer-duration revenue streams tied to availability payments, user-demand/toll revenue, or service fees over the concession life, subject to contract terms and project performance. Other contributors - Selected service activities: Where Acciona provides ancillary infrastructure or utility-related services, revenue typically comes from service fees under multi-year or recurring contracts. If the specific service lines or their contribution are not available in the requested context, this is null. Key factors influencing earnings - Power prices and regulation: Renewable earnings are sensitive to wholesale electricity prices, contracted vs. merchant exposure, and regulatory frameworks (e.g., market rules, permitting, and potential support mechanisms). - Project execution and backlog: Infrastructure earnings depend on winning new work, maintaining a profitable backlog, and managing cost, schedule, and contractual risk. - Financing and partnerships: Large projects and generation assets are often financed at the project level and may involve joint ventures or co-investment partners; these can affect the share of cash flows and reported earnings. If specific partners for a given project are not available, this is null.

Acciona Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year revenue scaling and a sharp rebound in 2025 net income support the score, but margin compression, higher leverage (debt-to-equity near ~3.0x), and historically weak/volatile free cash flow (only modestly positive in 2025) materially increase financial risk.
Income Statement
66
Positive
Revenue scaled strongly from 2020 to 2025 (about €6.5B to €20.2B), but 2025 saw a clear pullback (about -6.7% year over year), signaling a bumpier near-term growth profile. Profitability is mixed: gross profitability remains high, yet it has compressed materially over time (roughly ~77% in 2021 to ~54% in 2025). Operating profitability is steady-to-improving versus 2024 (2025 EBIT margin ~8.5% vs ~7.4% in 2024), and net income nearly doubled in 2025 (€803M vs €422M), but bottom-line margins remain thin for the scale of the business (~4% net margin in 2025).
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
The balance sheet is increasingly levered: total debt rose from ~€7.9B (2022) to ~€14.0B (2025), and leverage moved higher with debt-to-equity near ~3.0x in 2025 (up from ~1.6x in 2021–2022). Equity is fairly stable around €4.7–€5.0B, which limits balance-sheet flexibility as assets expand. A positive offset is improving shareholder returns in 2025 (return on equity ~17%), but the higher leverage raises refinancing and rate-sensitivity risk if earnings soften.
Cash Flow
49
Neutral
Operating cash flow is consistently positive and strong in absolute terms (roughly €1.6B–€2.2B in 2022–2025), but free cash flow has been volatile and often negative (notably 2022–2024), turning modestly positive in 2025 (~€379M). Cash conversion remains a key concern: in 2025, free cash flow was only ~18% of net income, implying profits are not consistently translating into discretionary cash after investment needs. While 2025 marks an improvement, the multi-year pattern suggests ongoing capital intensity and potential working-capital swings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue21.69B20.24B19.19B17.02B11.20B8.10B
Gross Profit14.66B10.90B12.13B11.56B7.78B6.23B
EBITDA2.38B2.84B2.56B2.42B1.81B1.52B
Net Income832.00M803.00M422.00M541.00M615.00M332.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets34.41B35.85B34.62B31.65B22.59B19.60B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.84B5.40B4.82B3.72B2.66B2.53B
Total Debt13.24B13.62B12.56B11.21B7.93B6.88B
Total Liabilities28.37B29.44B28.24B24.80B16.29B14.05B
Stockholders Equity4.55B4.71B4.81B5.01B4.88B4.31B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow224.00M379.00M-492.00M-1.20B-547.00M-375.40M
Operating Cash Flow2.52B2.15B2.24B1.70B1.65B572.98M
Investing Cash Flow-1.09B-334.00M-2.46B-3.21B-1.94B-1.09B
Financing Cash Flow-42.00M-520.00M760.00M2.90B338.00M383.63M

Acciona Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price218.00
Price Trends
50DMA
196.99
Positive
100DMA
190.56
Positive
200DMA
177.96
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
6.24
Positive
RSI
57.05
Neutral
STOCH
50.78
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ES:ANA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 218 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 214.06, above the 50-day MA of 196.99, and above the 200-day MA of 177.96, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 6.24 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ES:ANA.

Acciona Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
€28.09B22.9920.71%2.38%25.47%7.63%
61
Neutral
€2.75B7.2926.57%43.90%123.87%
60
Neutral
€12.16B12.6118.00%2.87%4.87%339.22%
59
Neutral
€2.12B10.8424.64%41.87%55.79%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
54
Neutral
€3.02B28.2821.09%
53
Neutral
€3.32B32.808.86%5.28%2.03%-32.59%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ES:ANA
Acciona
222.60
99.99
81.55%
ES:ACS
Actividades de Construccion y Servicios SA
107.80
54.58
102.56%
ES:SCYR
Sacyr SA
4.20
0.95
29.27%
ES:SLR
Solaria Energia y Medio Ambiente
21.99
14.37
188.77%
ES:TRE
Tecnicas Reunidas
27.14
11.18
70.05%
ES:GRE
Grenergy Renovables S.A
110.20
70.85
180.05%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 02, 2026