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DEOLEO S.A. (ES:OLE)
BME:OLE

DEOLEO S.A. (OLE) AI Stock Analysis

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ES:OLE

DEOLEO S.A.

(BME:OLE)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
€0.23
▲(28.89% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/06/26
The score is held back primarily by uneven financial performance and weak cash-flow consistency (notably the sharp 2025 free-cash-flow decline and prior negative cash flow in 2023), despite balance-sheet improvement. Offsetting factors include mildly positive technical trend signals and a reasonable earnings multiple (P/E ~9.6).
Positive Factors
Improving leverage / balance sheet
Sustained deleveraging to a ~0.57 debt/equity by 2025 meaningfully strengthens financial flexibility. A cleaner balance sheet reduces refinancing risk, supports investment or working-capital needs during cycles, and provides a durable cushion versus peers in downturns.
Strong brand and distribution network
A portfolio of well-known brands plus broad retail, food-service and export channels creates structural advantages: shelf presence, trade relationships and scale in procurement. These durable assets support stable shelf share, pricing power and multi-channel revenue sources over time.
Recent return to profit and positive cash years
Re-establishing positive OCF/FCF and modest net profit in 2025 indicates operational recovery and improved cash conversion versus prior loss years. If sustained, this underpins reinvestment, debt reduction and longer-term value creation, improving resilience to sector swings.
Negative Factors
Material revenue decline in 2025
An ~11% revenue drop in 2025 reduces scale economies and can erode negotiated procurement and distribution advantages. Persistent top-line weakness would strain margins, limit reinvestment capacity, and make sustaining recent profit recovery harder over the medium term.
Inconsistent and thin profitability
Wide swings from strong profit to losses and only a modest recovery show fragile margin durability. Thin current profitability leaves limited buffer against input-cost inflation or volume shocks, increasing execution risk and hampering reliable capital allocation decisions.
Uneven cash generation and sharp FCF drop
Volatile OCF/FCF, including a sharp FCF decline in 2025 and prior negative cash periods, signals weak cash conversion and working-capital sensitivity. This undermines funding predictability for capex, debt paydown or distributions and raises reliance on balance-sheet flexibility in tougher quarters.

DEOLEO S.A. (OLE) vs. iShares MSCI Spain ETF (EWP)

DEOLEO S.A. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDeoleo, S.A. engages in the production, transformation, and sale of vegetable oils, and other food and agricultural products in Spain, Italy, Northern Europe, North America, and internationally. The company offers olive oil; markets seed oils, table olives, vinegars, and sauces; purchases and sells, imports, exports, processes, prepares, and markets rice, and other food and agricultural products; and offers co-generation power. It offers its products under the Azalea, Bertolli, Carapelli, Carbonell, Dolcemio, Elosol, Elosua, Figaro, Friol, Giglio Oro, happyday, Hojiblanca, KOIPE, KOIPE SOL, Louit, Lupi, Maya, SAN GIORGIO, SASSO, and Sublime brands. Deoleo, S.A. was incorporated in 1955 and is headquartered in Rivas-Vaciamadrid, Spain.
How the Company Makes MoneyDEOLEO generates revenue primarily through the sale of its olive oil products, leveraging its strong brand recognition and extensive distribution network. The company earns money by selling bulk olive oil to food manufacturers and retailers, as well as through retail sales of its branded products in supermarkets and grocery stores. Additionally, DEOLEO benefits from partnerships with various food service providers and distributors, allowing it to expand its market reach. The company also engages in export activities, selling its products internationally, which contributes to its revenue growth. Factors such as market demand for healthy cooking oils, brand loyalty, and effective marketing strategies play significant roles in driving its earnings.

DEOLEO S.A. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are mixed: the balance sheet is relatively supportive (deleveraging with improved debt-to-equity), but operating results have been volatile with losses in 2023–2024, only a modest return to profit in 2025, and a material revenue decline in 2025. Cash flow is a key weakness, with free cash flow dropping sharply in 2025 and prior sensitivity shown by negative OCF/FCF in 2023.
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Profitability has been inconsistent across the period: the company swung from very strong profitability in 2020 to losses in 2023–2024, then returned to a modest profit in 2025. Revenue also shows volatility—after growth in 2024, 2025 revenue declined materially (down ~11% year over year), pressuring scale. Margins in 2025 improved versus the loss years (positive operating profit and net income), but net profitability remains thin, leaving limited cushion if input costs or volumes move against the company.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Leverage looks manageable with debt-to-equity improving over time (from roughly 1.03 in 2020 to ~0.57 in 2025) and equity remaining positive. That said, returns on equity have been volatile (strong in 2020, negative in 2023–2024, and modestly positive in 2025), reflecting uneven earnings power. Overall, the balance sheet appears supportive, but the durability of returns is still a key risk.
Cash Flow
41
Neutral
Cash generation is positive in recent years, with operating cash flow and free cash flow both positive in 2024–2025, but the trajectory is uneven. Free cash flow fell sharply in 2025 (large negative growth rate) even as earnings turned positive, and cash conversion remains relatively light versus profit, implying working-capital or cash timing pressure. The 2023 period also showed negative operating cash flow and negative free cash flow, highlighting sensitivity during weaker operating environments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue924.35M820.95M996.65M837.62M827.45M703.08M
Gross Profit173.64M129.90M156.27M163.46M150.68M193.45M
EBITDA-27.24M68.98M-23.18M-4.02M42.97M57.50M
Net Income-27.74M9.40M-28.32M-17.98M2.71M30.86M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets793.07M804.54M840.04M832.96M880.82M901.02M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments24.48M32.59M54.13M31.93M68.31M13.45M
Total Debt167.03M124.18M166.05M149.03M167.07M203.42M
Total Liabilities380.80M373.28M424.52M361.68M375.70M404.20M
Stockholders Equity208.03M217.33M209.95M238.90M256.63M252.88M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-4.99M8.88M3.72M-15.85M13.36M23.58M
Operating Cash Flow619.00K16.80M8.80M-11.35M16.86M27.58M
Investing Cash Flow-5.61M-7.53M-4.49M-4.25M3.71M5.24M
Financing Cash Flow-23.55M-30.82M17.90M-19.24M-41.48M-18.96M

DEOLEO S.A. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.18
Price Trends
50DMA
0.22
Positive
100DMA
0.21
Positive
200DMA
0.20
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
55.07
Neutral
STOCH
59.49
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ES:OLE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.18 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.23, below the 50-day MA of 0.22, and below the 200-day MA of 0.20, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.49 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ES:OLE.

DEOLEO S.A. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
€2.88B13.199.45%3.50%-0.42%-3.34%
57
Neutral
€2.37B16.501180.47%5.97%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
55
Neutral
€113.50M9.57-13.27%-1.52%-116.80%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ES:OLE
DEOLEO S.A.
0.23
0.04
19.47%
ES:DIA
DISTRIBUIDORA INTERNACIONAL DE ALIMENTACION
40.90
23.00
128.49%
ES:EBRO
EBRO FOODS
18.70
2.89
18.29%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 06, 2026