The earnings call presented a mixed outlook. While Dollar Tree has announced a strategic sale of Family Dollar and demonstrated strong performance and mitigation strategies, there remain significant challenges related to tariffs, operating income decline, and supply chain issues. The company is also anticipating deleverage in SG&A despite a strong cash position.

Company Guidance

During the Dollar Tree Q4 2024 earnings call, the company provided detailed guidance for fiscal year 2025 amidst a significant transition period driven by the sale of its Family Dollar business for over $1 billion. Dollar Tree anticipates fiscal year 2025 sales between $18.5 billion and $19.1 billion, driven by a 3% to 5% increase in comparable store sales. The company expects adjusted EPS from continuing operations to range from $5 to $5.50, reflecting a modest gross margin improvement due to tariff mitigation efforts. However, an increase in adjusted SG&A rate by 50 to 80 basis points is anticipated, influenced by higher store payroll and corporate expenses. Additionally, the transition services agreement (TSA) following the Family Dollar sale will impact corporate SG&A costs, with $95 million expected from TSA income in the latter half of 2025. Capital expenditures are projected between $1.2 billion and $1.3 billion, supporting approximately 400 new Dollar Tree store openings. The company also highlighted its strategic focus on expanding multi-price assortments and enhancing operational efficiencies to drive sustainable growth and shareholder value.

Family Dollar Sale

Dollar Tree announced the sale of Family Dollar to Brigade-Macellum for over $1 billion, with Dollar Tree receiving $800 million in cash proceeds. The sale aims to allow Dollar Tree to focus on its brand and long-term growth.

Dollar Tree's Q4 Strong Performance

Dollar Tree's Q4 comp was 2%, with traffic up 0.7% and ticket up 1.3%. The company's expanded multi-price offerings, especially in holiday categories, drove strong year-end sales.

3.0 Store Format Success

Dollar Tree's 3.0 stores, which offer an expanded multi-price assortment, saw a 220 basis point comp lift compared to other formats. The company finished the year with approximately 2,900 3.0 format stores.

Mitigation of First Round Tariffs

Dollar Tree has mitigated over 90% of the cost impact from the first round of tariffs, showcasing strong tariff management strategies.

Strong Cash Position

Dollar Tree ended the year with $1.3 billion in cash and expects to receive approximately $800 million from the Family Dollar sale, providing a strong cash and balance sheet position.

Dollar Tree (DLTR) Earnings, Revenues Date & History

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DLTR Earnings History

Report Date	Fiscal Quarter	Forecast / EPS	Last Year's EPS	EPS YoY Change	Slides	Play Transcript
Sep 03, 2025	2025 (Q2)	0.42 / -	0.67	―	―	―
May 03, 2025	2025 (Q1)	1.21 / 1.26	1.43	-11.89% (-0.17)	―	―
Mar 26, 2025	2024 (Q4)	2.20 / 2.11	2.55	-17.25% (-0.44)
Dec 04, 2024	2024 (Q3)	1.07 / 1.12	0.97	15.46% (+0.15)
Sep 04, 2024	2024 (Q2)	1.04 / 0.67	0.91	-26.37% (-0.24)
Jun 05, 2024	2024 (Q1)	1.43 / 1.43	1.47	-2.72% (-0.04)
Mar 13, 2024	2023 (Q4)	2.66 / 2.55	2.04	25.00% (+0.51)
Nov 29, 2023	2023 (Q3)	1.01 / 0.97	1.2	-19.17% (-0.23)
Aug 24, 2023	2023 (Q2)	0.88 / 0.91	1.6	-43.13% (-0.69)
May 25, 2023	2023 (Q1)	1.52 / 1.47	2.37	-37.97% (-0.90)

The table shows recent earnings report dates and whether the forecast was beat or missed. See the change in forecast and EPS from the previous year.

Beat

Missed

DLTR Earnings-Related Price Changes

Report Date	Price 1 Day Before	Price 1 Day After	Percentage Change
Mar 26, 2025	$67.14	$69.21	+3.08%
Dec 04, 2024	$72.48	$73.83	+1.86%
Sep 04, 2024	$81.65	$63.56	-22.16%
Jun 05, 2024	$120.30	$114.38	-4.92%

Earnings announcements can affect a stock’s price. This table shows the stock's price the day before and the day after recent earnings reports, including the percentage change.