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Ad Pepper Media International NV (DE:APM)
XETRA:APM

Ad Pepper Media International NV (APM) AI Stock Analysis

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DE:APM

Ad Pepper Media International NV

(XETRA:APM)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
€3.00
▲(9.49% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by improving financial performance—especially strong free cash flow and a return to profitability—tempered by thin margins and increased leverage. Technicals are mixed with a weak longer-term trend, and valuation is a headwind given the higher P/E and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow Strength
Sustained free cash flow near reported net income indicates high earnings quality and internal funding ability. This durable cash generation can finance growth, technology and marketing investments, or debt reduction without relying on equity raises, boosting long-term operational flexibility.
Revenue Recovery and Profitability
A consistent return to revenue growth and positive profitability signals the business model regained traction post-losses. This structural improvement supports reinvestment in core products and client relationships, reducing execution risk and improving prospects for sustained earnings expansion.
Equity Base and ROE
A solid equity base and mid-single-digit ROE provide a capital buffer against shocks and underpin strategic flexibility. Positive ROE shows the company is generating returns from shareholder capital, enabling measured reinvestment and supporting long-term solvency versus peers with weaker capitalization.
Negative Factors
Thin Profit Margins
Very slim margins leave earnings highly sensitive to modest cost increases or small demand declines. Over the medium term this constrains the firm’s ability to build retained earnings, invest in product development, and absorb competitive pricing pressure without eroding profitability.
Rising Leverage
Higher leverage versus historical lows reduces financial flexibility and raises interest and refinancing risks. In an industry sensitive to ad spend cycles, elevated debt can amplify downturn impacts, limit capital allocation choices, and constrain capacity to invest consistently in technology or client acquisition.
Modest Cash Conversion Versus Revenue
Although FCF improved sharply from a low base, modest cash conversion relative to revenue means cash generation may not scale proportionally with sales. If conversion weakens or growth requires higher working capital, reported free cash flow and funding capacity could deteriorate materially.

Ad Pepper Media International NV (APM) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

Ad Pepper Media International NV Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Descriptionad pepper media International N.V., through its subsidiaries, provides online marketing services in Germany, Italy, France, Spain, Switzerland, the Netherlands, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates through three segments: ad pepper, ad agents, and Webgains. The ad pepper segment provides performance marketing agency services specializing in lead generation. It operates iLead, a platform that enables the generation of customized campaigns for customers. The ad agents segment offers marketing and sales solutions in various digital channels and on devices. This segment specializes in concept, management, and optimization; affiliate management; product data management; social media advertising; analytics and data; advertising media–banner and video ads; display advertising; consulting; and social media advertising, as well as Amazon and Google marketing platform. The Webgains segment provides affiliate marketing network solutions. ad pepper media International N.V. was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Nuremberg, Germany.
How the Company Makes MoneyAd Pepper Media International NV generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily focusing on digital advertising services. The company earns money by charging clients for advertising placements and performance-based campaigns, where they assess the success of an ad based on metrics like clicks or conversions. Key revenue streams include display advertising, search engine marketing, and affiliate marketing commissions. Additionally, partnerships with various online platforms and advertisers enhance their market reach and operational capabilities, contributing to their overall earnings. The company's data-driven approach allows for improved targeting and effectiveness of campaigns, further driving revenue growth.

Ad Pepper Media International NV Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid recovery with strong TTM revenue growth (+12.1%) and a return to profitability, plus notably strong free cash flow (~€4.9m) with decent earnings quality (FCF ~0.89x net income). Offsetting this, net/EBIT margins remain thin (~1.9%/~3.0%) and leverage has risen (debt-to-equity ~0.38), increasing sensitivity to cost or demand shifts.
Income Statement
66
Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue growth is solid (+12.1%) and profitability is positive, but margins are relatively thin (about 1.9% net and ~3.0% EBIT). The company has improved materially versus the loss-making period in 2022–2023, yet earnings power still looks sensitive to small swings in costs or demand.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Equity remains meaningful (about €25.4m in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months)) and returns on equity are positive (~9.3%), signaling recovery from prior negative years. The key watch-out is the step-up in debt in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (debt-to-equity ~0.38 vs ~0.07 in 2024), which increases financial risk compared with the company’s historically low-leverage profile.
Cash Flow
74
Positive
Cash generation is a clear strength: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) free cash flow is strong (~€4.9m) and closely tracks reported profit (free cash flow is ~0.89x net income), suggesting decent earnings quality. The very large free-cash-flow growth reflects a sharp rebound from a low base; however, cash conversion versus revenue remains modest, so sustaining current cash flow levels is the main swing factor.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue111.06M89.66M21.75M98.23M111.59M25.61M
Gross Profit29.09M20.86M20.27M23.70M26.59M24.69M
EBITDA5.02M3.82M433.00K1.22M4.46M6.56M
Net Income2.08M2.07M-944.00K-250.00K2.56M3.66M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets72.94M48.37M42.94M43.95M46.35M48.84M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments27.27M24.17M23.36M23.14M20.73M24.36M
Total Debt9.64M1.32M1.29M1.36M1.21M919.00K
Total Liabilities36.46M27.77M24.06M28.29M26.26M28.00M
Stockholders Equity25.41M19.71M17.66M14.49M18.68M19.68M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.86M2.04M1.13M1.71M1.91M2.60M
Operating Cash Flow5.44M2.34M1.24M1.93M2.21M3.38M
Investing Cash Flow4.87M3.39M2.46M-3.28M-2.24M-1.77M
Financing Cash Flow-1.14M-1.32M-893.00K-2.36M-3.83M-2.28M

Ad Pepper Media International NV Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price2.74
Price Trends
50DMA
2.82
Positive
100DMA
2.95
Negative
200DMA
3.03
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Negative
RSI
51.60
Neutral
STOCH
74.24
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:APM, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2.74 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.79, below the 50-day MA of 2.82, and below the 200-day MA of 3.03, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for DE:APM.

Ad Pepper Media International NV Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
€11.75M-0.29-43.92%5.87%
60
Neutral
€72.09M31.339.61%90.24%289.96%
59
Neutral
€24.31M13.8127.12%10.42%-53.29%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
45
Neutral
€20.99M-1.30-46.35%-13.27%-779.38%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DE:APM
Ad Pepper Media International NV
2.92
0.90
44.55%
DE:SYZ
Syzygy AG
1.56
-1.47
-48.51%
DE:YOC
YOC AG
7.00
-8.10
-53.64%
DE:DCIK
DCI Database for Commerce and Industry AG
6.50
0.50
8.33%
DE:CLIQ
Cliq Digital AG
1.81
-3.56
-66.37%
DE:EFS
Effecten-Spiegel AG
12.80
-0.40
-3.03%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 13, 2026