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ABO Wind AG (DE:AB9)
XETRA:AB9
Germany Market

ABO Wind AG (AB9) AI Stock Analysis

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DE:AB9

ABO Wind AG

(XETRA:AB9)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
€6.50
▼(-46.50% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/16/26
The score is primarily supported by strong revenue growth and very attractive valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield), but is held back by weak operating quality signals (EBIT at zero, negative operating/free cash flow, and higher leverage) and a very bearish technical setup with the stock well below all major moving averages.
Positive Factors
Revenue growth & gross margin
Sustained near-50% top-line growth alongside a ~47.7% gross margin indicates strong project economics and scalable development activity. Over 2–6 months this supports cash generation potential from completed projects and pricing power in equipment and contractor negotiations, underpinning durable revenue expansion.
Diversified project-based business model
A multi-pronged model—developing and selling projects, delivering EPC services, and providing O&M—creates multiple monetization points and recurring service revenue. This reduces dependency on single transactions and supports steadier cash flows and client relationships across project cycles over the medium term.
Stable equity ratio and positive ROE
An equity ratio above 30% and mid-teens ROE reflect a reasonably solid capital base and shareholder returns while scaling assets. This balance supports continued project financing access and investor confidence, providing structural capacity to fund development pipelines over coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Negative operating & free cash flow
Negative OCF and FCF signal that core operations currently do not generate sufficient cash to fund growth or cover capex. Reliance on financing activity to bridge cash shortfalls raises refinancing and liquidity risk, potentially constraining project development and timely execution over the next several months.
EBIT fell to zero
An EBIT level of zero despite healthy gross margins indicates operating cost or SG&A pressures eroding operational profitability. This undermines the firm's ability to fund expansion from earnings and raises questions about sustainable margin conversion from projects over the medium term.
Elevated leverage
A debt-to-equity ratio near 1.5 increases financial vulnerability to market or interest-rate shifts and limits flexibility for new project financing. Coupled with negative cash flow, higher leverage heightens refinancing and covenant risk, pressuring strategic options and operational resilience in coming quarters.

ABO Wind AG (AB9) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

ABO Wind AG Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionABO Energy GmbH & Co. KGaA develops renewable energy projects in Germany and internationally. The company develops, constructs, and sells wind, solar, battery storage systems, and hydrogen projects; and offers operational management and maintenance services for renewable energy plants. As of December 31, 2023, it managed 158 projects with 624 wind turbines and distributed a total of 1,702 megawatts to Germany, France, Finland, Ireland, and Poland. The company was formerly known as ABO Wind AG and changed its name to ABO Energy GmbH & Co. KGaA in July 2024. ABO Energy GmbH & Co. KGaA was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Wiesbaden, Germany.
How the Company Makes MoneyABO Wind AG generates revenue through several key streams. Primarily, the company earns income from the development and sale of wind and solar energy projects. This includes revenue from project financing arrangements, where they may receive upfront payments during the development phase. Additionally, ABO Wind AG has ongoing revenue from the operation of its energy projects, as it typically retains ownership and operates the facilities, selling the generated electricity to the grid or through power purchase agreements (PPAs). The company may also engage in consultancy services related to renewable energy, providing expertise and support to other developers or investors in the sector. Strategic partnerships with local governments, energy providers, and other stakeholders enhance their project opportunities and help secure funding, further contributing to their financial performance.

ABO Wind AG Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue growth (+48.98% in 2024) and healthy gross margin (~47.74%) support the score, but the drop of EBIT to zero and negative operating/free cash flow (€-3.3M/€-7.3M) are major risks. Leverage is elevated (debt-to-equity 1.48), tempering the otherwise stable equity ratio (32.41%).
Income Statement
75
Positive
ABO Wind AG has shown a robust revenue growth trajectory with a notable increase from €299.7M in 2023 to €446.4M in 2024, marking a growth rate of 48.98%. The gross profit margin for 2024 is healthy at approximately 47.74%, although the net profit margin is lower at 5.73%. Notably, EBIT has dropped to zero, indicating potential operational challenges. EBITDA margin stands at 11.95%, suggesting room for operational improvements.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet reveals a substantial increase in total assets and liabilities, indicating expansion but also higher leverage. The debt-to-equity ratio is 1.48, which is relatively high, suggesting financial risk. However, the equity ratio of 32.41% indicates a stable capital structure. ROE is modest at 12.02%, reflecting steady returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
The cash flow situation is concerning, with negative operating cash flow of €-3.3M and negative free cash flow of €-7.3M in 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting cash generation issues from operations. Despite this, financing activities have provided liquidity, offsetting some negative cash flow impacts.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue529.67M446.37M299.69M231.66M127.11M149.16M
Gross Profit150.56M213.07M186.01M78.55M43.85M44.34M
EBITDA56.66M53.36M52.51M45.19M24.59M23.86M
Net Income23.79M25.59M27.25M24.59M13.80M13.12M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets643.18M656.49M493.94M451.26M297.06M249.26M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments48.45M85.16M46.68M95.85M30.16M62.13M
Total Debt324.27M314.90M213.76M178.49M99.62M72.85M
Total Liabilities415.54M443.72M301.17M281.21M147.20M109.15M
Stockholders Equity227.62M212.75M192.75M170.02M149.82M140.09M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-67.62M-7.30M-67.55M-22.02M-55.57M38.33M
Operating Cash Flow-62.85M-3.32M-63.00M-16.77M-52.26M40.28M
Investing Cash Flow-8.60M-7.67M1.84M-4.86M-4.67M-3.97M
Financing Cash Flow78.55M49.05M10.06M84.21M20.29M7.01M

ABO Wind AG Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price12.15
Price Trends
50DMA
8.46
Negative
100DMA
18.25
Negative
200DMA
28.18
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.23
Negative
RSI
31.84
Neutral
STOCH
28.12
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:AB9, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 12.15 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.55, above the 50-day MA of 8.46, and below the 200-day MA of 28.18, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.23 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 31.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.12 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DE:AB9.

ABO Wind AG Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
€345.82M25.7516.55%1.34%12.50%10.93%
71
Outperform
€8.29B76.6210.44%1.27%384.94%
70
Outperform
€555.06M35.3810.84%-8.62%-38.42%
64
Neutral
€61.78M1.9411.45%5.42%81.69%-19.99%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
45
Neutral
€1.91B-0.16-11.67%-1069.47%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DE:AB9
ABO Wind AG
6.70
-28.19
-80.80%
DE:NDX1
Nordex
35.04
22.66
183.04%
DE:BYW6
BayWa AG
2.90
-2.05
-41.35%
DE:IVU
IVU Traffic Technologies
20.00
4.20
26.57%
DE:TPE
PVA TePla
25.52
11.14
77.47%
DE:S9I
STEMMER IMAGING AG
60.20
6.00
11.07%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 16, 2026