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Australian Oilseeds Holdings (COOT)
NASDAQ:COOT
US Market

Australian Oilseeds Holdings (COOT) AI Stock Analysis

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COOT

Australian Oilseeds Holdings

(NASDAQ:COOT)

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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
$0.63
▼(-21.98% Downside)
Action:UpgradedDate:02/11/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (compressed margins, ongoing net losses, high leverage, and negative free cash flow). Technicals add further pressure with the stock trading below all key moving averages and negative MACD. Valuation offers limited support because the negative P/E reflects losses and there is no dividend yield provided.
Positive Factors
Revenue rebound in FY2025
A ~10% top-line rebound signals recovering demand and market traction for core products. Sustained revenue growth provides a foundation for operating leverage, improving the odds of margin recovery and helping the firm absorb fixed costs if cost control continues, supporting medium-term viability.
Improved operating cash flow
Return to positive operating cash flow demonstrates the business can generate cash from core operations, reducing immediate liquidity strain. While free cash flow remains negative, consistent OCF improves funding options, lowers short-term refinancing pressure, and aids working-capital stability over months.
Strengthened management and board expertise
Adding a co‑CEO with banking and operations experience and new independent directors increases governance and execution bandwidth. Improved leadership capacity can materially affect capital allocation, financing strategy and operational efficiency, raising the chance of credible restructuring or growth initiatives.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage versus equity
Debt at ~5.5x equity leaves the balance sheet thin and highly sensitive to earnings swings. High leverage limits financial flexibility, raises refinancing and solvency risk, and increases the burden of fixed obligations, making sustained profitability essential to avoid capital-structure distress.
Compressed gross margins and continued net losses
A sharp fall in gross margin constrains the ability to convert revenue into sustainable profits. With net losses persisting, the company struggles to build equity, limiting reinvestment capacity and prolonging negative free cash flow unless margins or cost structure materially improve.
Reliance on dilutive capital raises
Dependence on equity and warrant financings to fund operations highlights ongoing cash shortfalls. Repeated dilutive raises erode existing owners, complicate incentive alignment, and indicate limited access to non-dilutive funding; this structural funding dependency persists until core cash flow turns sustainably positive.

Australian Oilseeds Holdings (COOT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Australian Oilseeds Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAustralian Oilseeds Holdings Ltd through its subsidiaries, is focused on the manufacture and sale of chemical-free, non-GMO, sustainable edible oils and products derived from oilseeds. The company believes that transitioning from a fossil fuel economy to a renewable and chemical-free economy is the solution to many health problems the world is facing presently.
How the Company Makes MoneyAustralian Oilseeds Holdings generates revenue through multiple streams centered around the cultivation, processing, and sale of oilseed products. The company earns income by selling raw oilseeds and their processed derivatives, such as vegetable oils and animal feed, to a range of customers, including food manufacturers, agricultural businesses, and retailers. Additionally, COOT leverages strategic partnerships with farmers and technology providers to enhance productivity and product quality, contributing to its financial performance. The company's operations are further bolstered by export activities, capitalizing on international demand for oilseed commodities. These diversified income streams, along with an emphasis on efficiency and supply chain management, underpin COOT's revenue model.

Australian Oilseeds Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite a revenue rebound in FY2025 (~+10%), profitability and financial strength remain weak: gross margin compressed sharply (~8% vs ~17% prior), net losses persist, leverage is high (~5.5x debt-to-equity), and free cash flow remains negative even with improved operating cash flow.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Revenue rebounded strongly in FY2025 (up ~10%) after a sharp decline in FY2023, but profitability has deteriorated: gross margin compressed to ~8% in FY2025 from ~17% in FY2024 and ~17% in FY2023. While operating profit remains slightly positive in FY2025, the company is still loss-making at the bottom line (net margin ~-3% in FY2025, following a very large loss in FY2024), indicating weak cost absorption and/or non-operating expense pressure despite top-line growth.
Balance Sheet
28
Negative
Leverage is elevated relative to the equity base in FY2025, with debt around 5.5x equity and negative return on equity, which limits financial flexibility. The balance sheet improved from FY2024 when equity was negative, but it remains thinly capitalized versus the current debt load; this increases sensitivity to earnings volatility and raises refinancing/solvency risk if profitability does not stabilize.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash generation improved in FY2025 with positive operating cash flow, reversing FY2024’s outflow, but free cash flow remains negative. Operating cash flow covers only a small portion of debt in FY2025, and the business has a multi-year pattern of negative free cash flow, suggesting ongoing funding needs and limited capacity to de-lever without better profitability and working-capital discipline.
BreakdownJun 2025Sep 2024Jun 2023Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue41.70M22.50M19.35M24.91M12.29M
Gross Profit3.46M3.95M3.32M6.11M2.98M
EBITDA691.04K2.22M2.88M2.97M1.37M
Net Income-1.23M-14.45M954.24K-899.88K-565.30K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets35.04M30.00M16.03M92.72M92.64M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.32M514.14K80.77K223.40K1.00M
Total Debt17.07M18.07M6.39M975.32K7.27M
Total Liabilities29.72M29.09M6.43M2.21M1.23M
Stockholders Equity3.04M-882.00K4.19M90.51M91.41M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-410.13K-6.16M-1.42M-777.33K-593.34K
Operating Cash Flow958.09K-2.19M689.80K569.23K-499.73K
Investing Cash Flow-1.37M-3.98M-2.82M-345.78K-93.62K
Financing Cash Flow2.19M6.55M1.78M-66.36K891.65K

Australian Oilseeds Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.81
Price Trends
50DMA
0.67
Negative
100DMA
0.92
Negative
200DMA
0.78
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Negative
RSI
51.57
Neutral
STOCH
45.45
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For COOT, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.81 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.62, above the 50-day MA of 0.67, and above the 200-day MA of 0.78, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.45 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for COOT.

Australian Oilseeds Holdings Risk Analysis

Australian Oilseeds Holdings disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Australian Oilseeds Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Australian Oilseeds Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
52
Neutral
$31.47M-16.36-14.63%17.73%-34.71%
43
Neutral
$79.23M
42
Neutral
$40.14M-2.1833.43%25.00%
42
Neutral
$18.42M-17.69
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
COOT
Australian Oilseeds Holdings
0.66
-0.67
-50.34%
BRID
Bridgford Foods
7.43
-2.87
-27.86%
ATPC
Agape ATP
1.86
-56.14
-96.79%
LSF
Laird Superfood
2.94
-3.89
-56.95%
BRLS
Borealis Foods
1.87
-4.35
-69.94%
DDC
DDC Enterprise Ltd.
2.60
-3.90
-59.98%

Australian Oilseeds Holdings Corporate Events

Australian Oilseeds Holdings Reshapes Leadership, Appoints New Co‑CEO
Jan 30, 2026

On 30 January 2026, Australian Oilseeds Holdings announced a boardroom and management reshuffle, with the resignation of Co-Chief Executive Officer and director Jamie Mohammed Zamal, who said his decision was not due to any disagreement over the company’s operations, policies or practices. The board simultaneously appointed 30‑year‑old banker and operations specialist Saw Khoon Ming as an executive director and new Co-Chief Executive Officer, entering into a director offer letter and employment agreement with him; his appointment, while bolstering executive capacity with banking and platform-operations experience, also means he will serve as a non‑independent director under Nasdaq rules, a change that could influence the company’s governance balance and leadership direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (COOT) stock is a Sell with a $0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Australian Oilseeds Holdings stock, see the COOT Stock Forecast page.

Australian Oilseeds Holdings Launches US$2 Million Private Placement to Fund Working Capital
Jan 30, 2026

On January 29, 2026, Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited entered into a securities purchase agreement with accredited investors for a private placement of up to 2 million units at US$1.00 each, with each unit comprising one Class A ordinary share and a warrant to buy up to two additional shares at US$2.00, exercisable immediately and expiring five years after issuance. The deal, which could raise gross proceeds of up to US$2 million before expenses and potentially more if warrants are exercised, is intended to bolster working capital and general corporate needs, underscoring the company’s continued reliance on U.S. private capital to support its operations and signaling potential dilution but improved liquidity for stakeholders if the financing closes as expected under customary conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (COOT) stock is a Sell with a $0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Australian Oilseeds Holdings stock, see the COOT Stock Forecast page.

Australian Oilseeds Holdings Reshapes Board Leadership With New Independent Director
Jan 13, 2026

On January 8, 2026, Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited’s chairperson and director Gowri Shankar resigned from the board and all board committees, effective January 9, 2026, with the company noting that his departure did not stem from any disagreement over its operations, policies or practices. Effective January 9, 2026, the board appointed Hong Kong finance executive Ho Yeung Lee as a director, chair of the Compensation Committee, and member of the Audit and Nominating and Corporate Governance Committees, and determined him to be an independent director under Nasdaq rules; Lee brings more than 15 years’ experience in consumer finance and secured lending, and will serve under the company’s standard non‑employee director terms, maintaining continuity of governance and committee oversight following Shankar’s exit.

The most recent analyst rating on (COOT) stock is a Sell with a $0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Australian Oilseeds Holdings stock, see the COOT Stock Forecast page.

Australian Oilseeds Holdings Warned by Nasdaq Over Sub-$1 Share Price
Jan 8, 2026

On January 6, 2026, Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited received a notice from Nasdaq’s Listings Qualifications Department stating that the company’s ordinary shares had traded below the US$1.00 minimum bid price for 30 consecutive business days, putting it out of compliance with Nasdaq’s minimum bid price rule, although its COOT shares continue to trade without interruption. Nasdaq has granted the company until July 6, 2026 to restore compliance—requiring a closing bid of at least US$1.00 for ten consecutive business days—with the possibility of a further 180-day grace period if it meets other listing criteria and formally commits to a remedy such as a reverse stock split; the company said it is monitoring its share price and evaluating options, underscoring a period of heightened listing risk for shareholders should it ultimately fail to meet Nasdaq’s requirements.

The most recent analyst rating on (COOT) stock is a Sell with a $0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Australian Oilseeds Holdings stock, see the COOT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 11, 2026