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CompoSecure (CMPO)
NASDAQ:CMPO
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CompoSecure (CMPO) AI Stock Analysis

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CMPO

CompoSecure

(NASDAQ:CMPO)

Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$19.00
▼(-2.31% Downside)
CompoSecure's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call results and positive technical indicators. However, financial performance concerns, particularly around profitability and valuation, weigh down the score.
Positive Factors
Earnings
CompoSecure delivered double-digit sales growth, record profitability, and higher full-year 2025 guidance, surpassing expectations.
Product Development
The increased competitive intensity in the high end of the U.S. market and new product launches should drive continued high metal card sales.
Negative Factors
Market Speculation
The market continues to speculate about 'what’s next' under majority owner Resolute Holdings and Mr. Cote, creating uncertainty.

CompoSecure (CMPO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CompoSecure Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCompoSecure (CMPO) is a leading provider in the fintech and security industries, specializing in the design and manufacture of premium financial cards and secure payment solutions. The company's core products include metal payment cards, which have gained popularity for their durability and aesthetic appeal, and digital security solutions that enhance payment security for financial institutions and consumers.
How the Company Makes MoneyCompoSecure makes money primarily through the sale of its high-end metal payment cards to financial institutions, including banks and credit unions, which then offer these cards to their customers as part of their premium account packages. Additionally, the company generates revenue through associated services such as card personalization and fulfillment. CompoSecure's partnerships with major payment networks and financial institutions are significant contributors to its earnings, allowing it to access a wide market and maintain strong business relationships. The company also benefits from the growing trend of digital payment solutions, offering products that enhance transaction security, which contributes to its revenue streams.

CompoSecure Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 35.07%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a largely positive outlook for CompoSecure, with strong growth in domestic sales, increased EBITDA, and improved margins. The raise in guidance and successful high-profile card program launches further underscore positive momentum. The only significant challenge noted was a decline in international sales, which was attributed to fluctuations due to smaller scale. Overall, the sentiment was optimistic about the company's growth trajectory and operational efficiencies.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Top Line Growth
Non-GAAP net sales increased 10% year-over-year to $119.6 million, driven by robust domestic demand from traditional banks and leading fintechs.
Pro Forma Adjusted EBITDA Increase
Pro forma adjusted EBITDA increased 26% to $46.3 million for the quarter, driven by organic revenue growth and operational efficiencies.
Guidance Raise for Fiscal Year 2025
Non-GAAP net sales are expected to be approximately $455 million, and pro forma adjusted EBITDA is expected to be approximately $158 million, both up from prior guidance.
Improved Gross Margin
Non-GAAP gross margin for the quarter was 57.5% of net sales, compared to 51.6% for the same quarter of the prior year, reflecting improved manufacturing efficiencies.
High-Profile Customer Program Launches
Launch and expansion of several metal card programs, including Chase Sapphire Reserve and the Coinbase One Card, demonstrating strong market leadership.
Positive Contribution from Arculus
Arculus delivered a net positive quarter, supported by continued operational progress and commercial momentum, including partnerships with Coinbase and American Express.
Reduced Net Debt
Net debt was reduced to $96 million with a net debt leverage ratio of 0.66x, a significant improvement from the prior year's net debt of $295.5 million and a 2.15x leverage ratio.
Negative Updates
Decline in International Net Sales
International net sales declined 35% to $15.3 million, down $8.1 million versus the prior year period, reflecting greater fluctuations due to smaller scale relative to domestic business.
Company Guidance
During the CompoSecure Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided an optimistic outlook for the remainder of the fiscal year, raising their full-year guidance. They now anticipate non-GAAP net sales to reach approximately $455 million, up from prior mid-single-digit growth expectations. The pro forma adjusted EBITDA is projected to be around $158 million, reflecting a strong increase driven by organic revenue growth and operational efficiencies from the CompoSecure Operating System. In Q2 2025, non-GAAP net sales rose by 10% year-over-year to $119.6 million, while pro forma adjusted EBITDA grew by 26% to $46.3 million. The company highlighted a 57.5% non-GAAP gross margin, attributed to improved manufacturing efficiencies and favorable product mix. Additionally, CompoSecure reported a decline in international net sales by 35%, contrasted by a 22% rise in domestic net sales. The call emphasized ongoing investments in talent and manufacturing capabilities, aiming for efficient scaling and sustained execution, underpinned by a high-performance culture and strategic sales efforts.

CompoSecure Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CompoSecure shows strong revenue growth and effective cash flow management, but faces significant challenges with profitability and financial stability, highlighted by negative equity and substantial leverage.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
CompoSecure has shown consistent revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase from $243 million in 2019 to $420 million in 2024. However, despite the revenue growth, the company has faced challenges in profitability, as indicated by a net loss in 2024. Gross profit margins have remained strong, but the decline in net income and EBIT margin suggests potential inefficiencies or increased expenses.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The company's financial stability is concerning, with negative stockholders' equity and high total liabilities, indicating potential solvency issues. The debt-to-equity ratio is unfavorable due to negative equity, highlighting significant leverage. Although total assets have grown, the equity ratio remains negative, reflecting substantial financial risk.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
CompoSecure has demonstrated strong operating cash flow, with consistent growth in free cash flow over the years, indicating effective cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, suggesting efficient conversion of income into cash. However, the high level of financing cash flow indicates reliance on external funding.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue267.82M420.57M390.63M378.48M267.90M260.59M
Gross Profit136.69M219.23M209.08M219.64M144.80M132.63M
EBITDA-86.80M-50.52M154.60M167.29M104.91M93.87M
Net Income-126.45M-53.72M19.24M18.66M3.15M77.81M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets317.30M473.92M201.04M162.94M131.40M81.36M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.81M77.46M41.22M13.64M21.90M13.42M
Total Debt0.00201.64M344.64M367.61M393.36M255.89M
Total Liabilities423.67M617.36M406.81M454.94M539.10M273.91M
Stockholders Equity-106.38M-143.45M-802.36M-892.23M-1.02B-192.55M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow61.68M122.14M93.37M83.73M73.00M79.56M
Operating Cash Flow66.60M129.55M104.31M92.78M77.80M87.06M
Investing Cash Flow-67.11M-9.95M-10.94M-9.05M-4.80M-7.50M
Financing Cash Flow-30.08M-83.36M-65.79M-92.03M-64.50M-92.87M

CompoSecure Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price19.45
Price Trends
50DMA
14.68
Positive
100DMA
13.10
Positive
200DMA
12.85
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.15
Negative
RSI
84.17
Negative
STOCH
97.86
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CMPO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 19.45 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.41, above the 50-day MA of 14.68, and above the 200-day MA of 12.85, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 84.17 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 97.86 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CMPO.

CompoSecure Risk Analysis

CompoSecure disclosed 61 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CompoSecure reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CompoSecure Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$3.41B13.1823.85%0.63%1.70%684.20%
75
Outperform
$1.14B81.752.19%-0.13%-37.00%
73
Outperform
$3.24B33.9310.52%1.02%-60.43%-14.19%
72
Outperform
$726.70M23.508.87%2.96%9.44%53.83%
66
Neutral
£2.67B12.993.30%3.25%2.40%-22.21%
66
Neutral
$285.26M17.657.37%-16.95%66.04%
61
Neutral
$1.93B8.26%1.59%-34.58%-240.25%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CMPO
CompoSecure
19.45
10.31
112.80%
AZZ
AZZ
112.88
36.14
47.09%
IIIN
Insteel Industries
37.24
5.91
18.86%
PRLB
Proto Labs
47.85
17.85
59.50%
WOR
Worthington Industries
64.85
21.13
48.33%
MEC
Mayville Engineering Company
14.47
-4.95
-25.49%

CompoSecure Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
CompoSecure Announces Record Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

On August 7, 2025, CompoSecure announced record financial results for the second quarter of 2025, driven by strong domestic demand and growth in both traditional banking and fintech sectors. The company reported a 10% increase in Non-GAAP net sales and improved gross margins, attributed to the CompoSecure Operating System. New customer programs and partnerships, including the launch of the Coinbase One Card, highlight CompoSecure’s innovative product offerings and strategic market positioning. The company also raised its full-year 2025 guidance, reflecting its continued operational and commercial momentum.

The most recent analyst rating on (CMPO) stock is a Hold with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CompoSecure stock, see the CMPO Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
CompoSecure Appoints Two New Independent Directors
Positive
Jul 14, 2025

On July 12, 2025, CompoSecure, Inc. entered into an Amended and Restated Waiver Agreement to facilitate the appointment of two new independent directors, Kevin M. Moriarty and Rebecca K. Corbin Loree, to its Board of Directors. This strategic move is aimed at enhancing the company’s strategic oversight and supporting its long-term value creation efforts. The new directors bring significant financial and capital markets expertise, which is expected to strengthen CompoSecure’s market leadership and drive disciplined growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (CMPO) stock is a Hold with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CompoSecure stock, see the CMPO Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
CompoSecure CFO Retirement Announcement and Financial Outlook
Positive
Jun 11, 2025

On June 11, 2025, CompoSecure announced the upcoming retirement of its Chief Financial Officer, Tim Fitzsimmons, who will step down once a successor is appointed, expected by the second half of 2025. Fitzsimmons will continue as a consultant until January 2027 to ensure a smooth transition. The company reaffirmed its full-year 2025 guidance, projecting mid-single-digit growth in Consolidated Net Sales and Pro Forma Adjusted EBITDA, indicating stability and confidence in its financial outlook.

The most recent analyst rating on (CMPO) stock is a Hold with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CompoSecure stock, see the CMPO Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
CompoSecure Approves Key Charter Amendments at Annual Meeting
Positive
May 28, 2025

On May 28, 2025, CompoSecure, Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders where key amendments to the company’s charter were approved, including an increase in authorized shares and the removal of obsolete provisions. Additionally, the meeting saw the election of three directors, approval of amendments to the company’s equity plan, and the ratification of Grant Thornton LLP as the independent auditor, indicating strategic moves to enhance corporate governance and operational flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (CMPO) stock is a Hold with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CompoSecure stock, see the CMPO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 12, 2025