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CompoSecure (CMPO)
NYSE:CMPO
US Market

CompoSecure (CMPO) AI Stock Analysis

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CMPO

CompoSecure

(NYSE:CMPO)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$21.00
▲(2.59% Upside)
CompoSecure's overall stock score reflects strong earnings call performance and positive technical indicators, offset by financial stability concerns and valuation challenges. The strategic acquisition of Husky Technologies offers growth potential, but legal issues pose risks.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The consistent growth in net sales indicates a strong demand for CompoSecure's products, enhancing its market position and long-term revenue potential.
Strategic Acquisition
The acquisition of Husky Technologies is anticipated to diversify CompoSecure's offerings and improve operational efficiencies, supporting sustainable growth.
Cash Flow Management
Effective cash flow management and debt reduction enhance financial stability, providing more flexibility for future investments and growth initiatives.
Negative Factors
Financial Stability Concerns
Negative equity and high leverage pose risks to financial stability, potentially limiting CompoSecure's ability to withstand economic downturns.
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues, despite revenue growth, suggest inefficiencies or rising costs that could hinder long-term financial health.
Legal Challenges
Legal disputes regarding the Proxy Statement may delay strategic initiatives and increase costs, impacting CompoSecure's operational and financial plans.

CompoSecure (CMPO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CompoSecure Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCompoSecure, Inc. manufactures and designs metal, plastic, composite ID, and proprietary financial transaction cards in the United States and internationally. Its primary metal form factors include embedded, metal veneer lite, metal veneer, and full metal products. The company also offers Arculus Cold Storage Wallet, a three-factor authentication solution, which comprise the Arculus Key card Cold Storage hardware device and companion Arculus Wallet mobile App to keep the Private Key in the Arculus Key card highly secure and store cryptocurrency and digital assets. It serves financial institutions, plastic card manufacturers, government agencies, system integrators, and security specialists. The company was founded in 1910 and is based in Somerset, New Jersey.
How the Company Makes MoneyCompoSecure generates revenue through the manufacture and sale of secure payment card products, which include EMV-compliant cards and other customized card solutions. Their revenue model is primarily based on product sales to banks and financial institutions. Key revenue streams include one-time sales of card production, personalization services, and ongoing contracts for card issuance and management. Additionally, strategic partnerships with major payment networks and technology providers enhance their market reach and enable them to offer integrated solutions, contributing to their overall earnings. The company may also benefit from recurring revenue through maintenance contracts and service agreements associated with card management systems.

CompoSecure Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call revealed strong financial performance with significant year-over-year growth in sales and EBITDA, improved gross margins, and raised guidance for future periods. The strategic acquisition of Husky Technologies is expected to enhance long-term growth potential and value creation. However, there was a notable decline in international sales. Overall, the positive aspects significantly outweigh the negative, painting a picture of strong corporate momentum.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Net sales increased 13% year-over-year to $120.9 million, and pro forma adjusted EBITDA increased 30% to $47.7 million with an EBITDA margin of 39.5%. Gross margins improved to 59% from 51.7% in the prior year.
Acquisition of Husky Technologies
CompoSecure announced a strategic combination with Husky Technologies, a global leader in injection molding equipment, expected to be highly accretive to CompoSecure's investors and offering significant long-term growth potential.
Raised Financial Guidance
Raised 2025 full-year guidance with non-GAAP net sales expected to be approximately $463 million and pro forma adjusted EBITDA between $165 million and $170 million. Issued strong guidance for 2026 with net sales of approximately $510 million and EBITDA of approximately $190 million.
Significant Cash Flow and Debt Reduction
CompoSecure had $224.6 million of cash and cash equivalents and reduced total debt from $330 million to $190 million, driven by strong free cash flow and proceeds from warrant exercises.
Negative Updates
Decline in International Sales
International net sales declined 42% to $15.8 million due to the timing of certain customer orders, highlighting variability in the international business.
Company Guidance
During CompoSecure's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company announced a 13% year-over-year increase in net sales, reaching $120.9 million, with gross margins improving to 59% from 51.7% in the same quarter the prior year. Pro forma adjusted EBITDA rose by 30% to $47.7 million, resulting in an EBITDA margin of 39.5%. The company also raised its fiscal year 2025 outlook, projecting non-GAAP net sales of approximately $463 million and pro forma adjusted EBITDA between $165 million and $170 million. Looking forward, CompoSecure provided guidance for 2026, expecting non-GAAP net sales of around $510 million and non-GAAP pro forma adjusted EBITDA of about $190 million. The call also highlighted the company's strategic initiatives and the planned business combination with Husky Technologies, which is anticipated to enhance long-term value creation through diversification and operational efficiencies.

CompoSecure Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CompoSecure shows strong revenue growth and effective cash flow management, but faces challenges with profitability and financial stability, highlighted by negative equity and substantial leverage.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
CompoSecure has shown consistent revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase from $243 million in 2019 to $420 million in 2024. However, despite the revenue growth, the company has faced challenges in profitability, as indicated by a net loss in 2024. Gross profit margins have remained strong, but the decline in net income and EBIT margin suggests potential inefficiencies or increased expenses.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The company's financial stability is concerning, with negative stockholders' equity and high total liabilities, indicating potential solvency issues. The debt-to-equity ratio is unfavorable due to negative equity, highlighting significant leverage. Although total assets have grown, the equity ratio remains negative, reflecting substantial financial risk.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
CompoSecure has demonstrated strong operating cash flow, with consistent growth in free cash flow over the years, indicating effective cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, suggesting efficient conversion of income into cash. However, the high level of financing cash flow indicates reliance on external funding.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue160.68M420.57M390.63M378.48M267.95M260.59M
Gross Profit81.28M219.23M209.08M219.64M144.85M132.63M
EBITDA-214.40M-50.52M154.60M167.29M103.22M93.87M
Net Income-216.66M-53.72M19.24M18.66M3.15M77.81M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets505.48M473.92M201.04M162.94M131.35M81.36M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments127.36M77.46M41.22M13.64M21.94M13.42M
Total Debt0.00201.64M344.64M367.61M393.36M255.89M
Total Liabilities353.01M617.36M406.81M454.94M539.00M273.91M
Stockholders Equity152.47M-143.45M-802.36M-892.23M-1.02B-192.55M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow23.20M122.14M93.37M83.73M73.03M79.56M
Operating Cash Flow26.52M129.55M104.31M92.78M77.78M87.06M
Investing Cash Flow-65.12M-9.95M-10.94M-9.05M-4.75M-7.50M
Financing Cash Flow113.29M-83.36M-65.79M-92.03M-64.51M-92.87M

CompoSecure Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price20.47
Price Trends
50DMA
20.07
Positive
100DMA
19.18
Positive
200DMA
15.80
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.10
Negative
RSI
52.36
Neutral
STOCH
61.55
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CMPO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 20.47 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.70, above the 50-day MA of 20.07, and above the 200-day MA of 15.80, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.55 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CMPO.

CompoSecure Risk Analysis

CompoSecure disclosed 58 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CompoSecure reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CompoSecure Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$3.30B10.5627.28%0.67%1.55%701.41%
73
Outperform
$631.23M15.5011.36%3.37%22.39%112.75%
71
Outperform
$2.84B26.7411.50%1.21%-39.38%175.22%
70
Outperform
$1.14B78.802.21%2.82%-34.29%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
$386.25M32.765.06%-12.38%-0.71%
57
Neutral
$2.56B-61.71%-622.81%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CMPO
CompoSecure
20.22
6.48
47.16%
AZZ
AZZ
107.17
14.17
15.24%
IIIN
Insteel Industries
32.78
4.21
14.74%
PRLB
Proto Labs
52.57
8.98
20.60%
WOR
Worthington Industries
58.36
19.51
50.22%
MEC
Mayville Engineering Company
18.62
1.45
8.44%

CompoSecure Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsLegal ProceedingsShareholder Meetings
CompoSecure Faces Legal Challenges Over Proxy Statement
Negative
Dec 12, 2025

On November 2, 2025, CompoSecure, Inc. entered into a Share Purchase Agreement with Husky Technologies Limited and other parties, involving a combination valued at approximately $3.953 billion in cash and shares. Concurrently, CompoSecure agreed to a private placement of shares for about $1.96 billion. The company has faced legal challenges from shareholders alleging incomplete and misleading information in its Proxy Statement, which could affect the approval of the transaction at the upcoming special meeting on December 23, 2025. To mitigate risks and costs of litigation, CompoSecure has decided to voluntarily supplement the Proxy Statement, although it denies any wrongdoing.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
CompoSecure Announces Share Purchase Agreement with Husky
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

On November 2, 2025, CompoSecure, Inc. announced a Share Purchase Agreement with Husky Technologies Limited and its affiliates, valued at approximately $3.953 billion in cash and shares. This transaction will result in Husky becoming an indirect wholly owned subsidiary of CompoSecure. The agreement is subject to several closing conditions, including shareholder approval and regulatory clearances. The transaction is expected to enhance CompoSecure’s market position and operational capabilities, with potential implications for stakeholders, such as changes in the company’s board and management agreements.

Other
CompoSecure Announces Redemption of Public Warrants
Neutral
Nov 3, 2025

On November 3, 2025, CompoSecure, Inc. announced the redemption of all its outstanding public warrants to purchase shares of its Class A common stock. The redemption date is set for December 3, 2025, and warrant holders have until that date to exercise their warrants on a cashless basis. Any unexercised warrants will be canceled, and holders will receive $0.01 per warrant. This move follows the company’s right to redeem the warrants as the stock price met certain criteria, potentially impacting stakeholders by altering their rights and investment strategies.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
CompoSecure Announces Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Nov 3, 2025

On November 3, 2025, CompoSecure announced its strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with significant growth in net sales and gross profit compared to the previous year. The company also revealed a business combination with Husky Technologies, a manufacturer of engineered equipment, valuing the combined entity at approximately $7.4 billion. This strategic move aims to enhance CompoSecure’s market position and create new opportunities for growth. The transaction is expected to close in the first quarter of 2026 and is anticipated to be accretive to earnings per share in the first full year post-closing.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 13, 2025