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CompoSecure (CMPO)
NYSE:CMPO
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CompoSecure (CMPO) AI Stock Analysis

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CMPO

CompoSecure

(NYSE:CMPO)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$18.50
▼(-4.98% Downside)
CompoSecure's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call results, including raised guidance and strategic acquisitions, which are offset by financial instability and negative valuation metrics. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, adding to the cautious outlook.
Positive Factors
Strategic Acquisition
The acquisition of Husky Technologies is expected to enhance long-term growth through diversification and operational efficiencies, providing a durable competitive advantage.
Improved Margins
Improved gross margins indicate better cost management and pricing power, which can sustain profitability and enhance financial stability over time.
Cash Flow Management
Effective cash flow management and debt reduction enhance financial flexibility, allowing for strategic investments and resilience against economic fluctuations.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability challenges, despite revenue growth, suggest inefficiencies or rising costs that could hinder long-term financial health and shareholder returns.
Negative Equity
Negative equity and high leverage pose solvency risks, limiting the company's ability to finance growth and weather economic downturns.
Decline in International Sales
A significant decline in international sales highlights potential market penetration issues, affecting revenue diversification and growth prospects.

CompoSecure (CMPO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CompoSecure Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCompoSecure, Inc. manufactures and designs metal, plastic, composite ID, and proprietary financial transaction cards in the United States and internationally. Its primary metal form factors include embedded, metal veneer lite, metal veneer, and full metal products. The company also offers Arculus Cold Storage Wallet, a three-factor authentication solution, which comprise the Arculus Key card Cold Storage hardware device and companion Arculus Wallet mobile App to keep the Private Key in the Arculus Key card highly secure and store cryptocurrency and digital assets. It serves financial institutions, plastic card manufacturers, government agencies, system integrators, and security specialists. The company was founded in 1910 and is based in Somerset, New Jersey.
How the Company Makes MoneyCompoSecure generates revenue through the manufacture and sale of secure payment card products, which include EMV-compliant cards and other customized card solutions. Their revenue model is primarily based on product sales to banks and financial institutions. Key revenue streams include one-time sales of card production, personalization services, and ongoing contracts for card issuance and management. Additionally, strategic partnerships with major payment networks and technology providers enhance their market reach and enable them to offer integrated solutions, contributing to their overall earnings. The company may also benefit from recurring revenue through maintenance contracts and service agreements associated with card management systems.

CompoSecure Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call revealed strong financial performance with significant year-over-year growth in sales and EBITDA, improved gross margins, and raised guidance for future periods. The strategic acquisition of Husky Technologies is expected to enhance long-term growth potential and value creation. However, there was a notable decline in international sales. Overall, the positive aspects significantly outweigh the negative, painting a picture of strong corporate momentum.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Net sales increased 13% year-over-year to $120.9 million, and pro forma adjusted EBITDA increased 30% to $47.7 million with an EBITDA margin of 39.5%. Gross margins improved to 59% from 51.7% in the prior year.
Acquisition of Husky Technologies
CompoSecure announced a strategic combination with Husky Technologies, a global leader in injection molding equipment, expected to be highly accretive to CompoSecure's investors and offering significant long-term growth potential.
Raised Financial Guidance
Raised 2025 full-year guidance with non-GAAP net sales expected to be approximately $463 million and pro forma adjusted EBITDA between $165 million and $170 million. Issued strong guidance for 2026 with net sales of approximately $510 million and EBITDA of approximately $190 million.
Significant Cash Flow and Debt Reduction
CompoSecure had $224.6 million of cash and cash equivalents and reduced total debt from $330 million to $190 million, driven by strong free cash flow and proceeds from warrant exercises.
Negative Updates
Decline in International Sales
International net sales declined 42% to $15.8 million due to the timing of certain customer orders, highlighting variability in the international business.
Company Guidance
During CompoSecure's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company announced a 13% year-over-year increase in net sales, reaching $120.9 million, with gross margins improving to 59% from 51.7% in the same quarter the prior year. Pro forma adjusted EBITDA rose by 30% to $47.7 million, resulting in an EBITDA margin of 39.5%. The company also raised its fiscal year 2025 outlook, projecting non-GAAP net sales of approximately $463 million and pro forma adjusted EBITDA between $165 million and $170 million. Looking forward, CompoSecure provided guidance for 2026, expecting non-GAAP net sales of around $510 million and non-GAAP pro forma adjusted EBITDA of about $190 million. The call also highlighted the company's strategic initiatives and the planned business combination with Husky Technologies, which is anticipated to enhance long-term value creation through diversification and operational efficiencies.

CompoSecure Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CompoSecure shows strong revenue growth and effective cash flow management, but faces challenges with profitability and financial stability, highlighted by negative equity and substantial leverage.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
CompoSecure has shown consistent revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase from $243 million in 2019 to $420 million in 2024. However, despite the revenue growth, the company has faced challenges in profitability, as indicated by a net loss in 2024. Gross profit margins have remained strong, but the decline in net income and EBIT margin suggests potential inefficiencies or increased expenses.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The company's financial stability is concerning, with negative stockholders' equity and high total liabilities, indicating potential solvency issues. The debt-to-equity ratio is unfavorable due to negative equity, highlighting significant leverage. Although total assets have grown, the equity ratio remains negative, reflecting substantial financial risk.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
CompoSecure has demonstrated strong operating cash flow, with consistent growth in free cash flow over the years, indicating effective cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, suggesting efficient conversion of income into cash. However, the high level of financing cash flow indicates reliance on external funding.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue160.68M420.57M390.63M378.48M267.95M260.59M
Gross Profit81.28M219.23M209.08M219.64M144.85M132.63M
EBITDA-214.40M-50.52M154.60M167.29M103.22M93.87M
Net Income-216.66M-53.72M19.24M18.66M3.15M77.81M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets505.48M473.92M201.04M162.94M131.35M81.36M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments127.36M77.46M41.22M13.64M21.94M13.42M
Total Debt0.00201.64M344.64M367.61M393.36M255.89M
Total Liabilities353.01M617.36M406.81M454.94M539.00M273.91M
Stockholders Equity152.47M-143.45M-802.36M-892.23M-1.02B-192.55M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow23.20M122.14M93.37M83.73M73.03M79.56M
Operating Cash Flow26.52M129.55M104.31M92.78M77.78M87.06M
Investing Cash Flow-65.12M-9.95M-10.94M-9.05M-4.75M-7.50M
Financing Cash Flow113.29M-83.36M-65.79M-92.03M-64.51M-92.87M

CompoSecure Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price19.47
Price Trends
50DMA
20.11
Negative
100DMA
18.57
Positive
200DMA
15.43
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.32
Positive
RSI
47.59
Neutral
STOCH
47.99
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CMPO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 19.47 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.01, below the 50-day MA of 20.11, and above the 200-day MA of 15.43, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.32 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.99 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CMPO.

CompoSecure Risk Analysis

CompoSecure disclosed 58 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CompoSecure reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CompoSecure Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$3.19B10.2227.28%0.70%1.55%701.41%
70
Outperform
$2.75B25.9311.50%1.26%-39.38%175.22%
69
Neutral
$614.73M15.0911.36%3.46%22.39%112.75%
65
Neutral
$1.14B78.802.21%2.82%-34.29%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
$342.77M29.365.06%-12.38%-0.71%
53
Neutral
$2.44B-61.71%-622.81%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CMPO
CompoSecure
19.47
6.23
47.05%
AZZ
AZZ
105.67
13.28
14.37%
IIIN
Insteel Industries
31.66
2.26
7.69%
PRLB
Proto Labs
50.86
9.67
23.48%
WOR
Worthington Industries
55.42
15.08
37.38%
MEC
Mayville Engineering Company
16.87
0.02
0.12%

CompoSecure Corporate Events

CompoSecure Reports Strong Q3 Results and Merges with Husky
Nov 4, 2025

CompoSecure, Inc., a prominent player in the metal payment cards and security solutions industry, has reported robust financial results for the third quarter of 2025 and announced a significant business combination with Husky Technologies. The company, known for its innovative payment card technology and security solutions, is set to merge with Husky Technologies, a leader in engineered equipment manufacturing, creating a diversified entity valued at approximately $7.4 billion.

Other
CompoSecure Announces Redemption of Public Warrants
Neutral
Nov 3, 2025

On November 3, 2025, CompoSecure, Inc. announced the redemption of all its outstanding public warrants to purchase shares of its Class A common stock. The redemption date is set for December 3, 2025, and warrant holders have until that date to exercise their warrants on a cashless basis. Any unexercised warrants will be canceled, and holders will receive $0.01 per warrant. This move follows the company’s right to redeem the warrants as the stock price met certain criteria, potentially impacting stakeholders by altering their rights and investment strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (CMPO) stock is a Buy with a $22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CompoSecure stock, see the CMPO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
CompoSecure Announces Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Nov 3, 2025

On November 3, 2025, CompoSecure announced its strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with significant growth in net sales and gross profit compared to the previous year. The company also revealed a business combination with Husky Technologies, a manufacturer of engineered equipment, valuing the combined entity at approximately $7.4 billion. This strategic move aims to enhance CompoSecure’s market position and create new opportunities for growth. The transaction is expected to close in the first quarter of 2026 and is anticipated to be accretive to earnings per share in the first full year post-closing.

The most recent analyst rating on (CMPO) stock is a Buy with a $22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CompoSecure stock, see the CMPO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
CompoSecure Issues Shares Following Earnout Achievement
Neutral
Sep 10, 2025

CompoSecure, Inc. completed its business combination on December 27, 2021, as part of a merger agreement initiated on April 19, 2021. The company achieved the first phase of earnouts on December 13, 2024, and the second phase on September 8, 2025, resulting in the issuance of 4.3 million shares of Class A common stock, adjusted for a spin-off transaction, upon meeting specified stock price thresholds.

The most recent analyst rating on (CMPO) stock is a Hold with a $19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CompoSecure stock, see the CMPO Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing Changes
CompoSecure Transfers Stock Listing to NYSE
Neutral
Sep 8, 2025

On September 5, 2025, CompoSecure announced its decision to transfer the listing of its Class A Common Stock from Nasdaq to the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), effective September 23, 2025. The move is expected to enhance visibility for investors, while the company’s redeemable warrants will remain listed on Nasdaq.

The most recent analyst rating on (CMPO) stock is a Sell with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CompoSecure stock, see the CMPO Stock Forecast page.

CompoSecure Inc. Earnings Call Highlights Positive Growth
Aug 13, 2025

The recent earnings call for CompoSecure Inc. painted a largely positive picture of the company’s financial health and future prospects. The management expressed optimism, highlighting strong growth in domestic sales, an increase in EBITDA, and improved margins. The company also raised its guidance, buoyed by successful launches of high-profile card programs. However, a decline in international sales was noted as a challenge, attributed to fluctuations in smaller-scale operations. Overall, the sentiment was optimistic about CompoSecure’s growth trajectory and operational efficiencies.

CompoSecure Achieves Record Q2 2025 Results
Aug 8, 2025

CompoSecure, Inc. is a leading provider of metal payment cards and security solutions, operating primarily in the financial technology sector. The company is known for its innovative payment card technology and authentication capabilities.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
CompoSecure Announces Record Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

On August 7, 2025, CompoSecure announced record financial results for the second quarter of 2025, driven by strong domestic demand and growth in both traditional banking and fintech sectors. The company reported a 10% increase in Non-GAAP net sales and improved gross margins, attributed to the CompoSecure Operating System. New customer programs and partnerships, including the launch of the Coinbase One Card, highlight CompoSecure’s innovative product offerings and strategic market positioning. The company also raised its full-year 2025 guidance, reflecting its continued operational and commercial momentum.

The most recent analyst rating on (CMPO) stock is a Hold with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CompoSecure stock, see the CMPO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 21, 2025