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CASI Pharmaceuticals (CASI)
NASDAQ:CASI

CASI Pharmaceuticals (CASI) AI Stock Analysis

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CASI Pharmaceuticals

(NASDAQ:CASI)

Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
CASI Pharmaceuticals faces substantial financial difficulties, with declining revenues and increasing losses, reflected in a low financial performance score. The technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, and the valuation is unattractive due to negative earnings and lack of dividends. These factors contribute to a low overall stock score, highlighting the need for significant improvements in operational efficiency and revenue growth.
Positive Factors
Debt Reduction
The sale of the China business to Kaixin allows the company to eliminate $20M of existing debt, improving its financial position.
Drug Development
CID-103 has shown superior activity and reduced toxicity compared to existing CD38 inhibitors in preclinical and Phase 1 studies, indicating strong potential for successful development.
Negative Factors
Business Operations
The company received a Termination Process Letter to withdraw the Evomela license following a wind-down period, which impacts the company's Chinese business revenues.
Financial Performance
CASI reported a net loss of $0.69 per share for the quarter, which is higher than the consensus estimated net loss of $0.61 per share.
Revenue Decline
The company reported lower-than-expected revenues, which fell 16% year-over-year, primarily due to increased generic competition for Evomela in China.

CASI Pharmaceuticals (CASI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CASI Pharmaceuticals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCASI Pharmaceuticals (CASI) is a biopharmaceutical company focused on the acquisition, development, and commercialization of innovative therapeutics addressing cancer and other unmet medical needs. The company operates within the pharmaceutical and biotechnology sectors, offering a diverse portfolio of products that include both proprietary and in-licensed drugs. CASI's core product line includes oncology treatments and specialty therapeutics aimed at enhancing patient outcomes in China and other select markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyCASI Pharmaceuticals generates revenue through the commercialization of its pharmaceutical products, primarily focusing on oncology and specialty therapeutics. The company's revenue streams include the direct sale of its developed drugs and in-licensed products to healthcare providers and distributors. Additionally, CASI may engage in strategic partnerships and collaborations with other pharmaceutical firms to co-develop or co-market products, providing additional income through milestone payments, royalties, and licensing fees. Factors such as regulatory approvals, market penetration, and product performance in clinical settings significantly influence CASI's earnings.

CASI Pharmaceuticals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CASI Pharmaceuticals is facing significant financial challenges. The income statement shows a consistent decline in revenue with negative margins. The balance sheet indicates high leverage and shrinking equity, but liquidity is partly cushioned by cash reserves. Cash flows are under pressure with persistent negative free cash flow and inefficiencies in converting sales into cash.
Income Statement
37
Negative
CASI Pharmaceuticals has experienced a consistent decline in total revenue, from $43.1M in 2022 to $28.5M in 2024, indicating a negative revenue growth trend. The company also has negative EBIT and net income, leading to negative profit margins. These factors contribute to a weak income statement performance.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet shows high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio increasing to 11.96 in 2024, indicating significant financial risk. Stockholders' equity has drastically decreased over the years. However, the company maintains a significant portion of its assets in cash and cash equivalents, which provides some liquidity cushion.
Cash Flow
42
Neutral
Cash flow from operations is consistently negative, leading to negative free cash flow. The company's free cash flow has deteriorated over time, growing more negative from $-26.7M in 2022 to $-29.5M in 2024. While financing activities have provided some cash inflow, this is not sustainable long-term. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is poor, reflecting inefficiencies in converting sales into cash.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
21.27M28.54M33.88M43.11M30.17M15.14M
Gross Profit
11.74M11.15M20.05M27.28M17.61M5.63M
EBIT
-36.67M-39.62M-25.08M-26.49M-35.28M-33.31M
EBITDA
-31.07M-34.87M-21.54M-24.07M-32.75M-31.35M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-30.35M-39.26M-26.94M-39.41M-37.77M-62.57M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
13.94M16.09M30.77M51.34M48.57M66.37M
Total Assets
14.52M53.67M75.27M96.23M138.30M127.73M
Total Debt
1.47M22.14M21.24M1.34M2.17M1.29M
Net Debt
-12.47M8.67M4.16M-45.77M-36.54M-55.77M
Total Liabilities
9.89M51.82M51.10M29.30M30.34M24.16M
Stockholders Equity
4.64M1.85M24.16M44.57M84.50M81.54M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
0.00-29.46M-22.21M-26.70M-42.34M-45.21M
Operating Cash Flow
0.00-29.22M-19.97M-21.09M-26.84M-25.89M
Investing Cash Flow
0.0011.24M-9.67M31.16M-20.69M-20.72M
Financing Cash Flow
0.0015.43M-907.00K-3.27M29.64M47.15M

CASI Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.87
Price Trends
50DMA
2.03
Negative
100DMA
2.27
Negative
200DMA
3.86
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Negative
RSI
45.77
Neutral
STOCH
55.66
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CASI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.87 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.90, below the 50-day MA of 2.03, and below the 200-day MA of 3.86, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.66 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CASI.

CASI Pharmaceuticals Risk Analysis

CASI Pharmaceuticals disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CASI Pharmaceuticals reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CASI Pharmaceuticals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (53)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
53
Neutral
$5.14B3.23-45.01%2.85%17.55%-0.69%
45
Neutral
$37.59M256.43%238.96%35.96%
41
Neutral
$28.97M-1094.50%11.40%-18.18%
41
Neutral
$22.11M-79.46%-95.30%-135.89%
41
Neutral
$28.33M-853.05%34.97%
41
Neutral
$24.81M-70.06%146.47%57.85%
39
Underperform
$28.33M-239.87%61.97%-6.89%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CASI
CASI Pharmaceuticals
1.87
-1.82
-49.32%
CLGN
Collplant Holdings
1.93
-4.02
-67.56%
PYPD
PolyPid
2.78
-1.71
-38.08%
GBIO
Generation Bio
0.37
-2.70
-87.95%
MDAI
Spectral AI
1.46
-0.15
-9.32%
FEMY
Femasys
1.04
-0.17
-14.05%
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.