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Canaan (CAN)
NASDAQ:CAN
US Market

Canaan (CAN) AI Stock Analysis

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CAN

Canaan

(NASDAQ:CAN)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$0.69
▼(-4.58% Downside)
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (ongoing losses and negative cash flow) and bearish technicals (downtrend with negative momentum). A strong and optimistic Q3 earnings call with raised guidance provides meaningful support, but valuation signals are limited due to negative earnings and no dividend.
Positive Factors
Sustained Revenue Growth & Guidance
Material sequential and year-over-year revenue growth, plus raised Q4 guidance, signals durable demand for Canaan’s mining hardware and services. Sustained top-line expansion improves scale economics, supports capacity investments, and underpins a pathway to margin recovery if demand persists.
Product Innovation & Energy Efficiency
Launching the Avalon A16 with materially improved joules-per-terahash is a structural competitive advantage in power-sensitive mining. Better energy efficiency lowers operating costs for customers, extends product lifecycle relevance, and helps Canaan defend share against rivals over multiple cycles.
Scale of Mining Operations & Crypto Treasury
Large deployed and operating hashrate plus significant crypto holdings provide operational scale and optional balance-sheet liquidity. These assets offer strategic optionality—treasury can fund operations or investments and hashrate underpins recurring mining revenue independent of hardware sales cycles.
Negative Factors
Persistent Negative Margins and Losses
Chronic negative gross and net margins indicate structural issues in cost control, pricing, or product mix. Continued unprofitability undermines retained earnings, constrains reinvestment, and prolongs dependence on external capital, making long-term sustainable profitability uncertain without structural fixes.
Negative Operating and Free Cash Flow Trends
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow erode financial flexibility and heighten reliance on external funding. Over the medium term this can limit capex for R&D and capacity, increase financing costs, and force dilutive capital raises that impair shareholder value and strategic autonomy.
Nasdaq Minimum Bid Price Non-Compliance Risk
A compliance notice and potential delisting risk is a structural corporate-governance headwind. Loss of Nasdaq listing would reduce liquidity, deter institutional buyers, and could compel remedial actions (reverse split, equity raises) that materially affect capital access and long-term investor base.

Canaan (CAN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Canaan Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCanaan, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in developing and selling Bitcoin mining machines and related services. It focuses on the development of green mining. The company was founded by Jia Xuan Li, Xiang Fu Liu and Nan Geng Zhang on January 19, 2013 and is headquartered in Singapore.
How the Company Makes MoneyCanaan generates revenue primarily through the sale of its ASIC mining machines, which are in high demand as the cryptocurrency market expands. The company also earns income from software services that optimize mining operations for clients, providing them with critical analytics and management tools. Key revenue streams include direct sales of mining equipment, recurring revenue from software subscriptions, and strategic partnerships with cryptocurrency mining farms and pools that enhance market reach and operational efficiency.

Canaan Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 18, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 15, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong performance in terms of revenue growth, record sales in mining machines, and successful expansion into consumer markets. However, challenges such as increased mining costs due to US tariffs and operational efficiency expenses were noted. Despite market volatility concerns, the company remains optimistic about future growth and strategic initiatives.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Total revenue for Q3 2025 exceeded $150 million, up 50.2% quarter over quarter and 104.4% year over year, surpassing guidance range of $125 million to $145 million.
Record Mining Machine Sales
Delivered a record high of 10 exahash per second of computing power in Q3, up 55.6% sequentially and 37.7% year over year.
Consumer Mining Success
The Avalon Home series generated over $12 million in revenue, a sequential increase of 115.3%, with a gross margin of approximately 33%.
Increased Bitcoin Holdings
Bitcoin holding reached an all-time high of 1,582 BTC by the end of Q3, with an additional purchase of 100 Bitcoins in early November.
Strategic Expansion
Signed a purchase agreement for over 50,000 A15 Pro models with a US-based miner client, highlighting growing recognition in North America.
Negative Updates
Increased Mining Costs
US reciprocal tariff policy increased mining costs in North America, affecting operational challenges.
Operational Efficiency Challenges
Recorded $1.5 million in one-time expenses related to operational efficiency initiatives, including organizational optimization.
Impairment Expenses
Recorded $1.2 million in impairment related to mining machines deployed in Kazakhstan.
Market Volatility Concerns
Bitcoin price volatility and global market uncertainties pose ongoing challenges to demand and strategic planning.
Company Guidance
During Canaan Inc.'s Q3 2025 earnings call, the company reported robust financial results and provided optimistic guidance for the upcoming quarter. Total revenue rose to over $150 million, marking a 50.2% increase quarter-over-quarter and a 104.4% rise year-over-year, surpassing their guidance range of $125 million to $145 million. The company achieved a gross profit of $16.6 million, significantly up from $9.3 million in Q2, driven by record sales of 10 exahash per second of computing power and a 33.8% year-over-year increase in average selling price to $11.8 per terahash. The Avalon Home series contributed 10.3% to total product revenue with a substantial gross margin of approximately 33%. Canaan's mining operations generated $30.55 million in revenue, with total deployed hash rate reaching 9.3 exahash per second and a Bitcoin holding of 1,582 BTC by quarter-end. Looking ahead to Q4, Canaan expects total revenue to range from $175 million to $205 million, influenced by ongoing demand recovery in North America and strategic expansions in mining and energy projects.

Canaan Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement and cash flow are weak, with persistent losses, negative margins, and negative operating/free cash flow trends. The balance sheet is comparatively better with manageable leverage and some liquidity, but shrinking equity and negative ROE keep overall financial quality below average.
Income Statement
25
Negative
Canaan has experienced significant revenue fluctuations over the years, marked by a decline from 2019 to 2023. The gross profit margin has consistently been negative, indicating challenges in covering production costs. The net profit margin is also negative, reflecting ongoing losses. Despite a brief positive turn in 2021, recent years have shown negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, highlighting persistent operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company's debt-to-equity ratio remains relatively low, suggesting manageable leverage levels. However, the equity ratio has decreased over recent years, indicating shrinking equity relative to assets. Return on equity is negative, reflecting the company's inability to generate profits from shareholders' equity. Despite these challenges, the balance sheet shows some liquidity strength with cash reserves.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Canaan's cash flow analysis reveals negative trends in operating and free cash flow, indicating challenges in generating cash from core operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, consistent with the company's net losses. While financing activities have provided liquidity, the negative growth in free cash flow raises concerns about long-term sustainability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue345.36M269.32M211.48M651.53M771.14M68.58M
Gross Profit-17.91M-84.32M-240.78M230.29M440.83M5.79M
EBITDA-113.12M-143.33M-330.11M76.87M285.16M-34.11M
Net Income-265.97M-249.75M-414.15M69.88M308.44M-32.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets592.17M463.01M493.30M690.00M884.74M158.76M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments65.90M96.49M96.15M105.65M421.67M69.50M
Total Debt48.19M94.99M1.43M3.75M4.88M9.90M
Total Liabilities268.57M196.76M145.11M77.86M341.44M92.50M
Stockholders Equity323.60M266.25M348.19M607.67M543.31M66.26M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-386.52M-218.57M-126.93M-1.82B196.23M50.69M
Operating Cash Flow-276.46M-199.26M-123.62M-1.73B201.86M52.75M
Investing Cash Flow134.51M60.97M39.63M-30.86M846.22K-46.87M
Financing Cash Flow270.77M139.75M90.00M-371.93M138.93M-118.59M

Canaan Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.72
Price Trends
50DMA
0.84
Negative
100DMA
1.02
Negative
200DMA
0.87
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Positive
RSI
41.29
Neutral
STOCH
9.35
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CAN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.72 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.77, below the 50-day MA of 0.84, and below the 200-day MA of 0.87, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.35 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CAN.

Canaan Risk Analysis

Canaan disclosed 91 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Canaan reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Canaan Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
57
Neutral
$562.72M-15.45-5.88%9.79%63.17%
48
Neutral
$308.97M-21.987.15%-11.78%
48
Neutral
$423.02M-1.54-10.03%42.17%-215.37%
47
Neutral
$78.39M-4.23-12.36%-66.00%28.84%
46
Neutral
$402.45M-62.67%83.38%50.44%
46
Neutral
$21.24M-1.11-7.04%154.52%47.31%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CAN
Canaan
0.72
-1.52
-67.94%
DDD
3D Systems
2.33
-1.40
-37.53%
INVE
Identiv
3.45
-0.11
-3.09%
NNDM
Nano Dimension
1.92
-0.45
-18.99%
EBON
Ebang International Holdings
3.27
-2.53
-43.62%
CRSR
Corsair Gaming
5.15
-4.14
-44.56%

Canaan Corporate Events

Canaan Receives Nasdaq Deficiency Notice Over Minimum Bid Price
Jan 16, 2026

On January 14, 2026, Canaan Inc. received a notice from Nasdaq that the company was not in compliance with the exchange’s minimum bid price rule after its American depositary shares traded below US$1.00 for 30 consecutive business days, a development that underscores ongoing pressure on the crypto‑mining hardware maker’s market valuation. Nasdaq has granted Canaan a 180‑day grace period, until July 13, 2026, to lift its ADS closing bid price back to at least US$1.00 for 10 straight trading days, with the possibility of an additional compliance period subject to a transfer application and other listing conditions; failure to remedy the deficiency could ultimately lead to delisting, although the ADSs remain listed and trading on the Nasdaq Global Market while the company monitors its share price and considers measures such as a potential reverse stock split to preserve its listing status.

The most recent analyst rating on (CAN) stock is a Hold with a $1.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canaan stock, see the CAN Stock Forecast page.

Canaan Posts Record Crypto Treasury and Hashrate Growth, Expands Energy-Efficient Mining Initiatives
Jan 14, 2026

In an unaudited update for December 2025 released on January 14, 2026, Canaan reported that its installed hashrate grew 82% year-on-year and operating hashrate 61%, significantly outpacing the roughly 34% growth in the global Bitcoin network over the same period. The company mined 86 BTC in December, ended 2025 with deployed hashrate of 9.91 EH/s and operating hashrate of 7.65 EH/s, and expanded global installed power capacity to 250.4 MW, while improving average miner efficiency to 24.3 J/TH. Canaan’s crypto treasury reached record levels of 1,750 BTC and 3,951 ETH as of December 31, 2025, reflecting a year-long treasury strategy centered on reinvestment and balance-sheet expansion, including 1,091 BTC mined, 128 BTC purchased, and a major build-up of ETH via conversion of stablecoins from machine sales. These metrics underscore the company’s strengthening position as both an infrastructure operator and digital-asset holder, providing additional financial flexibility and reinforcing its long-term bet on Bitcoin and ETH as strategic assets. The firm also highlighted a renewed US$30 million share repurchase program approved on December 17, 2025, signaling management’s confidence in its valuation, and detailed ongoing global mining projects spanning the Americas, Ethiopia, the Middle East and Malaysia, with an estimated total computing power potential of 10.68 EH/s. Additionally, Canaan announced on January 6, 2026 a 3 MW proof-of-concept in Manitoba, Canada, to recover heat from Avalon computing systems for greenhouse operations, positioning the company at the intersection of crypto mining and energy solutions and supporting its push into energy-efficiency initiatives and practical reuse of computing waste heat.

The most recent analyst rating on (CAN) stock is a Buy with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canaan stock, see the CAN Stock Forecast page.

Canaan Launches 3 MW Compute Heat Recovery Pilot for Canadian Greenhouse
Jan 6, 2026

On January 6, 2026, Canaan Inc. announced a 3.0 MW proof-of-concept heat recovery project in partnership with Bitforest Investment in Manitoba, Canada, using its Avalon liquid-cooled computing servers to capture and reuse waste heat as a supplemental source for greenhouse operations. Over an initial 24‑month term, Canaan will deploy 360 Avalon A1566HA-460T servers and four liquid-cooling container modules, with the recovered heat preheating intake water for electric boilers in a closed-loop system that aims to capture about 90% of the electricity consumed as usable heat, reduce the need for conventional cooling infrastructure, and benefit from a low power cost of US$0.035/kWh. The initiative positions Canaan to build a replicable, data-driven model for industrial heat reuse—particularly for agriculture in colder climates—potentially improving capital and operating efficiency, supporting carbon-pricing-driven decarbonization in greenhouse heating, and reinforcing the company’s broader push into energy-efficient, sustainable applications of high-density computing beyond traditional crypto mining.

The most recent analyst rating on (CAN) stock is a Buy with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canaan stock, see the CAN Stock Forecast page.

Canaan Inc. Renews $30 Million Share Buyback Program Amid Industry Advances
Dec 17, 2025

Canaan Inc. has renewed its US$30 million share buyback program, reflecting confidence in its long-term value and strategic progress, while highlighting improved operational performance and expanded global customer engagement in Q3 2025. This move underscores the company’s disciplined capital allocation and commitment to shareholder value amidst industry volatility and conservative market valuation comparisons, positioning it as a resilient player in the crypto-mining sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (CAN) stock is a Buy with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canaan stock, see the CAN Stock Forecast page.

Canaan Inc. Announces November 2025 Bitcoin Production and Strategic Developments
Dec 10, 2025

Canaan Inc. reported its November 2025 bitcoin production and mining operations, highlighting an increase in both deployed and operating hashrates despite market challenges. The company achieved a stable production of 89 BTC and expanded its cryptocurrency treasury to 1,730 BTC and 3,951 ETH. Canaan’s strategic acquisition of 100 BTC during price dips and its plans to bring online approximately 1 EH/s of mining capacity by year-end underscore its focus on sustainable growth. Additionally, a significant US$72 million investment from top-tier institutional investors and the launch of the next-generation Avalon A16 series mining machines further bolster Canaan’s market position and growth prospects.

The most recent analyst rating on (CAN) stock is a Buy with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canaan stock, see the CAN Stock Forecast page.

Canaan Inc. Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results with Record Revenues
Nov 18, 2025

On November 18, 2025, Canaan Inc. announced its unaudited financial results for the third quarter of 2025, showcasing a strong performance with total revenues reaching $150.5 million, a 104.4% increase year-over-year. The company achieved record-breaking sales in computing power and mining revenues, with significant growth in its cryptocurrency treasury. Canaan’s strategic initiatives, including the introduction of new products and expansion in North America, have bolstered its market position and operational efficiency, despite challenges such as increased mining difficulty and tariff pressures.

The most recent analyst rating on (CAN) stock is a Hold with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canaan stock, see the CAN Stock Forecast page.

Canaan Inc. Reports Strong October 2025 Bitcoin Mining Performance and Strategic Advances
Nov 12, 2025

Canaan Inc. reported its October 2025 bitcoin mining operations, highlighting a consistent operational performance with improvements in deployed and operating hashrate, miner efficiency, and installed power capacity. The company produced 92 BTC and increased its cryptocurrency treasury to 1,610 BTC and 3,950 ETH. Notable developments include a gas-to-computing pilot in Canada and the unveiling of the Avalon A16 series, which features advanced energy-efficient technology. Canaan also secured a significant U.S. order for over 50,000 Avalon A15 Pro mining machines and regained compliance with Nasdaq’s minimum bid price requirement, reflecting confidence in its strategic direction and operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (CAN) stock is a Hold with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canaan stock, see the CAN Stock Forecast page.

Canaan Inc. Secures $72 Million in Direct Offering
Nov 7, 2025

On November 7, 2025, Canaan Inc. announced the successful closing of a US$72 million registered direct offering with institutional investors including Brevan Howard, Galaxy Digital, and Weiss Asset Management. This offering, initially announced on November 4, 2025, involves the sale of American depositary shares, each representing 15 Class A ordinary shares, at a price of US$1.131 per ADS. This capital infusion is expected to enhance Canaan’s operational capabilities and strengthen its market position in the crypto mining industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (CAN) stock is a Hold with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canaan stock, see the CAN Stock Forecast page.

Canaan Inc. Secures $72 Million Investment from Leading Institutional Investors
Nov 4, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Canaan Inc. announced a strategic investment of $72 million from Brevan Howard, Galaxy Digital, and Weiss Asset Management through the purchase of American depositary shares. This investment, which involves no derivative instruments, marks a significant shift in Canaan’s capital markets strategy, aligning it with prominent institutional investors in the digital asset ecosystem. The capital will enhance Canaan’s financial position, focusing on high-return computing and energy infrastructure projects, thereby reducing reliance on future capital raises.

The most recent analyst rating on (CAN) stock is a Hold with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canaan stock, see the CAN Stock Forecast page.

Canaan Inc. Announces $72 Million ADS Offering to Boost North American Expansion
Nov 4, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Canaan Inc. announced a US$72 million registered direct offering of American Depositary Shares (ADSs), with plans to issue 63,660,477 ADSs at a price of US$1.131 each. The proceeds from this offering are intended to fund the acquisition and development of data center sites in North America, expand Bitcoin mining machine production capacity, and support research and development. This strategic move is expected to enhance Canaan’s operational capabilities and strengthen its market position in the digital mining industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (CAN) stock is a Hold with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canaan stock, see the CAN Stock Forecast page.

Canaan Inc. Raises $7.8 Million and Launches New Bitcoin Miner
Oct 31, 2025

Canaan Inc. announced updates to its at-the-market (ATM) offering program, raising approximately $7.8 million through the sale of about 4.84 million American depositary shares at an average price of $1.61 per ADS. The company has paused further sales for the rest of 2025, with future sales dependent on market conditions and cash requirements. This move is part of Canaan’s strategy to enhance financial flexibility for growth initiatives. Additionally, Canaan launched its latest bitcoin mining machine, the Avalon A16 series, on October 28, 2025, showcasing advancements in power efficiency and manufacturing quality.

The most recent analyst rating on (CAN) stock is a Hold with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canaan stock, see the CAN Stock Forecast page.

Canaan Secures 4.5 MW Mining Server Contract in Japan
Oct 31, 2025

Canaan Inc. announced on October 30, 2025, a significant 4.5-megawatt sales contract with a Japanese utility to deploy Avalon A1566HA-488T hydro-cooled mining servers. This project aims to enhance grid stability and efficiency in Japan by using Canaan’s advanced smart control chip technology. The initiative highlights Canaan’s strategic positioning at the intersection of AI infrastructure, renewable energy, and blockchain computing, aligning with Japan’s digital-asset reforms and showcasing its commitment to sustainable energy solutions.

The most recent analyst rating on (CAN) stock is a Hold with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canaan stock, see the CAN Stock Forecast page.

Canaan Launches Advanced Avalon A16 Bitcoin Miner at Dubai Summit
Oct 29, 2025

Canaan Inc. announced the launch of its latest Avalon A16 series bitcoin mining machine at the Blockchain Life 2025 summit in Dubai on October 28, 2025. The A16XP model offers 300 terahash per second with an energy efficiency of 12.8 joules per terahash, marking a significant advancement in mining performance. This launch underscores Canaan’s commitment to innovation and strengthens its position in the bitcoin mining industry by enhancing operational efficiency and expanding its global footprint.

The most recent analyst rating on (CAN) stock is a Hold with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canaan stock, see the CAN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 27, 2026