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Canaan (CAN)
NASDAQ:CAN
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Canaan (CAN) AI Stock Analysis

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CAN

Canaan

(NASDAQ:CAN)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$0.58
▲(35.58% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:01/27/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (ongoing losses and negative cash flow) and bearish technicals (downtrend with negative momentum). A strong and optimistic Q3 earnings call with raised guidance provides meaningful support, but valuation signals are limited due to negative earnings and no dividend.
Positive Factors
Sustained Revenue Acceleration
Sustained, large revenue acceleration indicates renewed product demand and improving market traction. Over multiple quarters this trend supports stronger scale economics and revenue visibility, reducing execution risk for capacity expansion and R&D investments over the next several quarters.
Record Mining Machine Sales & Product Traction
Record hardware deliveries and meaningful consumer-product margins show product competitiveness and portfolio diversification. Higher unit shipments plus a consumer SKU with ~33% gross margin improve long-term revenue mix and margin sustainability as scale and product mix shift.
Operational Scale, Crypto Treasury & Capital Support
Rapid hashrate growth, a sizable crypto treasury and a $72M institutional investment materially boost liquidity and optionality. Crypto holdings and capital support can fund operations, backstop expansion, and enable strategic projects (data centers, energy initiatives) beyond periodic cash-flow swings.
Negative Factors
Persistent Negative Margins & Cash Flow
Ongoing negative gross and net margins and recurring negative operating/free cash flow indicate the company still struggles to convert revenue into sustainable profits. Over months this weak cash generation increases reliance on external funding and pressurizes investment in R&D and capex.
Nasdaq Minimum Bid Price Noncompliance Risk
A formal deficiency notice elevates delisting risk, which can impair access to US capital markets, increase liquidity premia and distract management. Over the medium term this structural listing risk may force dilutive actions or corporate steps that affect strategic flexibility.
Rising Mining Costs, Impairments and Operational Expenses
Higher structural operating costs from tariffs, one-time efficiency charges and impairments point to margin pressure and execution risk. If tariffs and efficiency investments persist, they will erode unit economics and require sustained higher pricing or efficiency gains to maintain profitability.

Canaan (CAN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Canaan Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCanaan, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in developing and selling Bitcoin mining machines and related services. It focuses on the development of green mining. The company was founded by Jia Xuan Li, Xiang Fu Liu and Nan Geng Zhang on January 19, 2013 and is headquartered in Singapore.
How the Company Makes MoneyCanaan generates revenue primarily through the sale of its ASIC mining machines, which are in high demand as the cryptocurrency market expands. The company also earns income from software services that optimize mining operations for clients, providing them with critical analytics and management tools. Key revenue streams include direct sales of mining equipment, recurring revenue from software subscriptions, and strategic partnerships with cryptocurrency mining farms and pools that enhance market reach and operational efficiency.

Canaan Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 10, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The call highlighted very strong 2025 operational and revenue achievements — record quarterly and annual revenue, large institutional orders, record computing power sold, product launches (A16 XP), and expansion of mining operations and crypto treasury. However, significant near-term headwinds were emphasized: severe Bitcoin price volatility, non-cash valuation losses and inventory write-downs compressing profitability, an adjusted EBITDA loss, and an extremely cautious 2026 revenue outlook ($60–$70 million), implying a sharp slowdown. While the company has solid execution, liquidity, and strategic initiatives (power pipeline, product upgrades, and manufacturing footprint), the negative near-term demand outlook and notable one-time and recurring margin pressures weigh heavily on sentiment.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly and Full-Year Revenue
Q4 revenue of $196 million (company-stated QoQ growth of +30.4% in CEO remarks and +13.4% in CFO remarks) and +121.1% year-over-year. Full-year 2025 revenue of $530 million, up 139.6% YoY — the highest annual revenue in recent years.
Strong Product Sales and Computing Power Sold
Q4 product revenue $165 million, up +39.1% QoQ and +124.5% YoY. Record computing power sold in Q4 of 14.6 exahash (EH), up +45.7% QoQ and +60.9% YoY. Full-year computing power sold reached a record 36.5 EH, up +40.7% YoY.
Major North American Order and Timely Delivery
Secured a large-scale order of more than 50,000 A15 Pro units from a leading North American miner; revenue from North American customers in Q4 reached $125 million (accounting for >75% of product sales). The order was fully delivered by early January 2026.
Mining Business Expansion and Crypto Treasury
Mining revenue for full-year 2025 reached $113.2 million (vs. $44 million in 2024, an increase of ~+157% YoY). End-of-Q4 installed hash rate 9.91 EH (+8.6% QoQ), energized 7.7 EH; mined ~300 BTC in Q4; digital asset holdings of 1,750 BTC and 3,951 ETH (year-end valuation approx. $166 million).
Product and R&D Progress: A16 XP Launch
Launched A16 XP (next-generation air-cooled model) delivering >300 TH per unit with industry-leading power efficiency of 12.8 J/TH. Chip mass production underway; management expects mass production ramp beginning after Lunar New Year with volume ramp-up by end of Q1 2026.
Global Manufacturing Footprint and Supply Chain Resilience
Production footprint across Malaysia, the U.S., and Mainland China enabling compliance flexibility. Company reports securing key foundry capacity earlier than peers and completed cross-region coordination to meet tight delivery timelines during large order shipments.
Liquidity and Capital Management
Q4 cash inflow from sales ~$75 million and ~$80 million from strategic equity financing; ended Q4 with cash balance of $81 million. Executed $2 million of ADS repurchases (2.8 million ADSs) under a $30 million repurchase program. Operating expenses in Q4 were $38 million, down ~6% QoQ, reflecting cost discipline.
Negative Updates
Sharp Near-Term Revenue Outlook
Company provided a very cautious outlook for 2026 with expected total revenue of only $60–$70 million (management repeated similar Q1 guidance), implying a material contraction from 2025 levels and signaling significant near-term demand weakness.
Profitability Pressure and Adjusted EBITDA Loss
Q4 gross margin declined to $14.6 million from $16.6 million in Q3. Non-cash items (year-end Bitcoin fair value loss of $44 million and $15 million fair value loss on preferred share conversions) contributed to an adjusted EBITDA loss of $40.5 million.
Inventory Write-Downs and ASP Compression
Recorded inventory write-downs of $13.9 million in Q4. Management noted average selling price (ASP) softened due to volume discounts for large institutional orders and weaker Bitcoin prices, compressing margins.
Bitcoin Price Volatility and Mining Shutdown Risk
Severe Bitcoin price volatility: peaked near $126,000 in Oct 2025, fell below $100,000 in Nov and below $90,000 in Dec, and dropped to ~$60,000 by Feb 5, 2026. Management reported network hash rate at record highs and observed shutdowns/closures among higher-cost miners — a headwind to rig demand.
Concentration Risk Toward North America
Over 75% of Q4 product sales came from North American customers ($125 million of Q4 product revenue), indicating geographic concentration risk should North American demand weaken or regulatory/compliance conditions change.
Margin Mix Tradeoffs from Strategic Deliveries
Company prioritized large industrial orders (strategic long-term relationships) over higher-margin Avalon/Home series in Q4, which lowered the ASP and pressured gross profit in the quarter.
Industry Supply/Demand & Foundry Cost Pressure
Foundry capacity for advanced nodes is tight due to AI demand; management acknowledged upward pressure on A16 unit costs (wafers, packaging, components) and that A16 will face higher unit cost versus A15, requiring yield and efficiency improvements to offset cost increases.
Company Guidance
Canaan gave a cautious 2026 outlook, guiding total revenue of $60–70 million (the CFO reiterated the same $60–70M range for Q1) versus $530 million in 2025, and said it expects H1 pricing and demand pressure but is preparing for a recovery later in the year; management is prioritizing capital discipline, project‑level financing (no one‑off large capex), and pursuing a U.S. power pipeline that could reach gigawatt scale by year‑end 2026. Product and timing guidance includes A16 mass production beginning after Lunar New Year with volume ramp by end‑Q1 2026, and management cited economic thresholds such as an all‑in payback Bitcoin price of ~$100–110k and marginal shutdown levels of ~ $37k for A15 Pro (competitor S21+ ~$50k, S19 XP ~$66k) and ~ $30k for A16. To preserve liquidity while preparing to act on recovery, the company ended Q4 with about $81M cash, repurchased ~2.8M ADS for $2M under a $30M program, and is taking conservative steps (Q4 inventory write‑down $13.9M; non‑cash fair‑value loss $44M).

Canaan Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement and cash flow are weak, with persistent losses, negative margins, and negative operating/free cash flow trends. The balance sheet is comparatively better with manageable leverage and some liquidity, but shrinking equity and negative ROE keep overall financial quality below average.
Income Statement
25
Negative
Canaan has experienced significant revenue fluctuations over the years, marked by a decline from 2019 to 2023. The gross profit margin has consistently been negative, indicating challenges in covering production costs. The net profit margin is also negative, reflecting ongoing losses. Despite a brief positive turn in 2021, recent years have shown negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, highlighting persistent operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company's debt-to-equity ratio remains relatively low, suggesting manageable leverage levels. However, the equity ratio has decreased over recent years, indicating shrinking equity relative to assets. Return on equity is negative, reflecting the company's inability to generate profits from shareholders' equity. Despite these challenges, the balance sheet shows some liquidity strength with cash reserves.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Canaan's cash flow analysis reveals negative trends in operating and free cash flow, indicating challenges in generating cash from core operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, consistent with the company's net losses. While financing activities have provided liquidity, the negative growth in free cash flow raises concerns about long-term sustainability.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue529.74M269.32M211.48M651.53M771.14M
Gross Profit41.16M-84.32M-240.78M230.29M440.83M
EBITDA-75.22M-143.33M-330.11M76.87M285.16M
Net Income-210.27M-249.75M-414.15M69.88M308.44M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets602.88M463.01M493.30M690.00M884.74M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments80.78M96.49M96.15M105.65M421.67M
Total Debt54.90M94.99M1.43M3.75M4.88M
Total Liabilities165.52M196.76M145.11M77.86M341.44M
Stockholders Equity437.37M266.25M348.19M607.67M543.31M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-218.57M-126.93M-1.82B196.23M
Operating Cash Flow0.00-199.26M-123.62M-1.73B201.86M
Investing Cash Flow0.0060.97M39.63M-30.86M846.22K
Financing Cash Flow0.00139.75M90.00M-371.93M138.93M

Canaan Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.43
Price Trends
50DMA
0.70
Negative
100DMA
0.97
Negative
200DMA
0.85
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Positive
RSI
39.33
Neutral
STOCH
19.90
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CAN, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.43 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.56, below the 50-day MA of 0.70, and below the 200-day MA of 0.85, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.90 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CAN.

Canaan Risk Analysis

Canaan disclosed 91 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Canaan reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Canaan Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
53
Neutral
$594.16M-2.01%9.79%63.17%
48
Neutral
$263.91M-20.007.15%-11.78%
48
Neutral
$433.87M-1.64-10.03%42.17%-215.37%
47
Neutral
$76.49M-3.98-12.36%-66.00%28.84%
46
Neutral
$299.10M-0.95-59.93%83.38%50.44%
46
Neutral
$17.60M-0.92-7.04%154.52%47.31%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CAN
Canaan
0.43
-0.86
-66.74%
DDD
3D Systems
2.05
-1.51
-42.42%
INVE
Identiv
3.20
-0.35
-9.86%
NNDM
Nano Dimension
2.00
-0.20
-9.09%
EBON
Ebang International Holdings
2.58
-2.37
-47.86%
CRSR
Corsair Gaming
5.40
-5.99
-52.59%

Canaan Corporate Events

Canaan Receives Nasdaq Deficiency Notice Over Minimum Bid Price
Jan 16, 2026

On January 14, 2026, Canaan Inc. received a notice from Nasdaq that the company was not in compliance with the exchange’s minimum bid price rule after its American depositary shares traded below US$1.00 for 30 consecutive business days, a development that underscores ongoing pressure on the crypto‑mining hardware maker’s market valuation. Nasdaq has granted Canaan a 180‑day grace period, until July 13, 2026, to lift its ADS closing bid price back to at least US$1.00 for 10 straight trading days, with the possibility of an additional compliance period subject to a transfer application and other listing conditions; failure to remedy the deficiency could ultimately lead to delisting, although the ADSs remain listed and trading on the Nasdaq Global Market while the company monitors its share price and considers measures such as a potential reverse stock split to preserve its listing status.

The most recent analyst rating on (CAN) stock is a Hold with a $1.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canaan stock, see the CAN Stock Forecast page.

Canaan Posts Record Crypto Treasury and Hashrate Growth, Expands Energy-Efficient Mining Initiatives
Jan 14, 2026

In an unaudited update for December 2025 released on January 14, 2026, Canaan reported that its installed hashrate grew 82% year-on-year and operating hashrate 61%, significantly outpacing the roughly 34% growth in the global Bitcoin network over the same period. The company mined 86 BTC in December, ended 2025 with deployed hashrate of 9.91 EH/s and operating hashrate of 7.65 EH/s, and expanded global installed power capacity to 250.4 MW, while improving average miner efficiency to 24.3 J/TH. Canaan’s crypto treasury reached record levels of 1,750 BTC and 3,951 ETH as of December 31, 2025, reflecting a year-long treasury strategy centered on reinvestment and balance-sheet expansion, including 1,091 BTC mined, 128 BTC purchased, and a major build-up of ETH via conversion of stablecoins from machine sales. These metrics underscore the company’s strengthening position as both an infrastructure operator and digital-asset holder, providing additional financial flexibility and reinforcing its long-term bet on Bitcoin and ETH as strategic assets. The firm also highlighted a renewed US$30 million share repurchase program approved on December 17, 2025, signaling management’s confidence in its valuation, and detailed ongoing global mining projects spanning the Americas, Ethiopia, the Middle East and Malaysia, with an estimated total computing power potential of 10.68 EH/s. Additionally, Canaan announced on January 6, 2026 a 3 MW proof-of-concept in Manitoba, Canada, to recover heat from Avalon computing systems for greenhouse operations, positioning the company at the intersection of crypto mining and energy solutions and supporting its push into energy-efficiency initiatives and practical reuse of computing waste heat.

The most recent analyst rating on (CAN) stock is a Buy with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canaan stock, see the CAN Stock Forecast page.

Canaan Launches 3 MW Compute Heat Recovery Pilot for Canadian Greenhouse
Jan 6, 2026

On January 6, 2026, Canaan Inc. announced a 3.0 MW proof-of-concept heat recovery project in partnership with Bitforest Investment in Manitoba, Canada, using its Avalon liquid-cooled computing servers to capture and reuse waste heat as a supplemental source for greenhouse operations. Over an initial 24‑month term, Canaan will deploy 360 Avalon A1566HA-460T servers and four liquid-cooling container modules, with the recovered heat preheating intake water for electric boilers in a closed-loop system that aims to capture about 90% of the electricity consumed as usable heat, reduce the need for conventional cooling infrastructure, and benefit from a low power cost of US$0.035/kWh. The initiative positions Canaan to build a replicable, data-driven model for industrial heat reuse—particularly for agriculture in colder climates—potentially improving capital and operating efficiency, supporting carbon-pricing-driven decarbonization in greenhouse heating, and reinforcing the company’s broader push into energy-efficient, sustainable applications of high-density computing beyond traditional crypto mining.

The most recent analyst rating on (CAN) stock is a Buy with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canaan stock, see the CAN Stock Forecast page.

Canaan Inc. Renews $30 Million Share Buyback Program Amid Industry Advances
Dec 17, 2025

Canaan Inc. has renewed its US$30 million share buyback program, reflecting confidence in its long-term value and strategic progress, while highlighting improved operational performance and expanded global customer engagement in Q3 2025. This move underscores the company’s disciplined capital allocation and commitment to shareholder value amidst industry volatility and conservative market valuation comparisons, positioning it as a resilient player in the crypto-mining sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (CAN) stock is a Buy with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canaan stock, see the CAN Stock Forecast page.

Canaan Inc. Announces November 2025 Bitcoin Production and Strategic Developments
Dec 10, 2025

Canaan Inc. reported its November 2025 bitcoin production and mining operations, highlighting an increase in both deployed and operating hashrates despite market challenges. The company achieved a stable production of 89 BTC and expanded its cryptocurrency treasury to 1,730 BTC and 3,951 ETH. Canaan’s strategic acquisition of 100 BTC during price dips and its plans to bring online approximately 1 EH/s of mining capacity by year-end underscore its focus on sustainable growth. Additionally, a significant US$72 million investment from top-tier institutional investors and the launch of the next-generation Avalon A16 series mining machines further bolster Canaan’s market position and growth prospects.

The most recent analyst rating on (CAN) stock is a Buy with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canaan stock, see the CAN Stock Forecast page.

Canaan Inc. Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results with Record Revenues
Nov 18, 2025

On November 18, 2025, Canaan Inc. announced its unaudited financial results for the third quarter of 2025, showcasing a strong performance with total revenues reaching $150.5 million, a 104.4% increase year-over-year. The company achieved record-breaking sales in computing power and mining revenues, with significant growth in its cryptocurrency treasury. Canaan’s strategic initiatives, including the introduction of new products and expansion in North America, have bolstered its market position and operational efficiency, despite challenges such as increased mining difficulty and tariff pressures.

The most recent analyst rating on (CAN) stock is a Hold with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canaan stock, see the CAN Stock Forecast page.

Canaan Inc. Reports Strong October 2025 Bitcoin Mining Performance and Strategic Advances
Nov 12, 2025

Canaan Inc. reported its October 2025 bitcoin mining operations, highlighting a consistent operational performance with improvements in deployed and operating hashrate, miner efficiency, and installed power capacity. The company produced 92 BTC and increased its cryptocurrency treasury to 1,610 BTC and 3,950 ETH. Notable developments include a gas-to-computing pilot in Canada and the unveiling of the Avalon A16 series, which features advanced energy-efficient technology. Canaan also secured a significant U.S. order for over 50,000 Avalon A15 Pro mining machines and regained compliance with Nasdaq’s minimum bid price requirement, reflecting confidence in its strategic direction and operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (CAN) stock is a Hold with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canaan stock, see the CAN Stock Forecast page.

Canaan Inc. Secures $72 Million in Direct Offering
Nov 7, 2025

On November 7, 2025, Canaan Inc. announced the successful closing of a US$72 million registered direct offering with institutional investors including Brevan Howard, Galaxy Digital, and Weiss Asset Management. This offering, initially announced on November 4, 2025, involves the sale of American depositary shares, each representing 15 Class A ordinary shares, at a price of US$1.131 per ADS. This capital infusion is expected to enhance Canaan’s operational capabilities and strengthen its market position in the crypto mining industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (CAN) stock is a Hold with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canaan stock, see the CAN Stock Forecast page.

Canaan Inc. Secures $72 Million Investment from Leading Institutional Investors
Nov 4, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Canaan Inc. announced a strategic investment of $72 million from Brevan Howard, Galaxy Digital, and Weiss Asset Management through the purchase of American depositary shares. This investment, which involves no derivative instruments, marks a significant shift in Canaan’s capital markets strategy, aligning it with prominent institutional investors in the digital asset ecosystem. The capital will enhance Canaan’s financial position, focusing on high-return computing and energy infrastructure projects, thereby reducing reliance on future capital raises.

The most recent analyst rating on (CAN) stock is a Hold with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canaan stock, see the CAN Stock Forecast page.

Canaan Inc. Announces $72 Million ADS Offering to Boost North American Expansion
Nov 4, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Canaan Inc. announced a US$72 million registered direct offering of American Depositary Shares (ADSs), with plans to issue 63,660,477 ADSs at a price of US$1.131 each. The proceeds from this offering are intended to fund the acquisition and development of data center sites in North America, expand Bitcoin mining machine production capacity, and support research and development. This strategic move is expected to enhance Canaan’s operational capabilities and strengthen its market position in the digital mining industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (CAN) stock is a Hold with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canaan stock, see the CAN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 27, 2026