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Bitcoin Depot (BTM)
NASDAQ:BTM
US Market
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Bitcoin Depot (BTM) AI Stock Analysis

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BTM

Bitcoin Depot

(NASDAQ:BTM)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▲(34.23% Upside)
Bitcoin Depot's overall score is driven by strong earnings performance and reasonable valuation. However, financial risks due to high leverage and bearish technical indicators weigh on the score. Regulatory challenges and seasonality also pose potential risks.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The 20% revenue growth reflects strong market demand and effective business strategies, indicating a robust position in the cryptocurrency ATM sector.
International Expansion
Successful international expansion into Australia and Hong Kong enhances global presence, diversifying revenue sources and reducing reliance on domestic markets.
Strategic Partnerships
The partnership with Wild Bill’s Tobacco provides access to new locations, potentially increasing transaction volumes and strengthening market penetration.
Negative Factors
Regulatory Challenges
State regulations limiting transaction sizes and fees could constrain revenue growth and operational flexibility, posing long-term challenges.
High Leverage
High leverage increases financial risk and limits the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities, potentially impacting long-term stability.
New York Market Uncertainty
Inability to secure a BitLicense restricts entry into the lucrative New York market, hindering potential expansion and revenue opportunities.

Bitcoin Depot (BTM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Bitcoin Depot Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBitcoin Depot is a leading cryptocurrency ATM provider that focuses on making digital currencies accessible to the general public. Operating in the fintech sector, Bitcoin Depot specializes in the deployment of Bitcoin ATMs (BTMs) across various locations, allowing users to easily buy and sell Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies using cash or debit cards. The company aims to simplify the process of cryptocurrency transactions, catering to both new and experienced users by providing a user-friendly interface and a network of conveniently located machines.
How the Company Makes MoneyBitcoin Depot generates revenue primarily through transaction fees charged on each cryptocurrency purchase and sale made at its Bitcoin ATMs. When customers buy Bitcoin, they pay a premium over the market price, which includes the transaction fee. Additionally, the company earns revenue from selling Bitcoin to customers at a markup, which is factored into the price of the cryptocurrency. Key revenue streams also include partnerships with retail locations where the BTMs are installed, as these partnerships often involve revenue-sharing agreements. Furthermore, Bitcoin Depot may benefit from increased transaction volumes during market surges, as heightened interest in cryptocurrency often leads to more transactions at their ATMs.

Bitcoin Depot Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Bitcoin Depot delivered strong revenue and profit growth, expanded its kiosk network both domestically and internationally, and improved compliance standards. However, the company faces challenges from new state regulations, typical seasonality, and limited progress in the New York market.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and Profit Growth
Bitcoin Depot reported revenue of $162.5 million for Q3 2025, a 20% increase from 2024. Adjusted EBITDA rose by 75% to $16.1 million, and gross profit increased by 40% to $28.2 million.
Kiosk Expansion and Optimization
The company ended Q3 with approximately 9,300 active machines and expects continued growth. The kiosk growth and optimization plan resulted in a 40% increase in gross profit year over year.
International Expansion Success
Bitcoin Depot expanded into Australia with over 260 kiosks and commenced operations in Hong Kong, further enhancing its global footprint.
Strategic Acquisition
In October, Bitcoin Depot acquired assets from National Bitcoin ATM, adding over 500 kiosks to its network, solidifying its leadership in North America.
Improved Compliance Standards
The company rolled out new compliance standards, requiring customer identification for all transactions, and introduced protections for seniors, reinforcing consumer protection.
Negative Updates
Impact of State Regulations
Recent state regulations imposing transaction size caps or fee caps affected the company's near-term outlook, resulting in anticipated lower revenues for Q4.
Seasonality and Compliance Challenges
Q4 results are expected to be impacted by typical seasonality and the company's proactive compliance changes, which have modestly affected transaction activity.
Uncertainty in New York Market
Bitcoin Depot's efforts to obtain a BitLicense from NYDFS have not advanced, with no Bitcoin ATM operators having received a license, limiting operations in New York.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, Bitcoin Depot reported impressive financial performance, with revenue reaching $162.5 million, a 20% increase from the previous year. The company's median transaction size rose by 40% to $350, while total transaction volume climbed to $162.5 million. Gross profit saw a significant 40% increase to $28.2 million, and adjusted EBITDA surged by 75% to $16.1 million. Bitcoin Depot ended the quarter with approximately 9,300 active kiosks and expanded its international presence by deploying over 260 kiosks in Australia and commencing operations in Hong Kong. Despite facing regulatory challenges, such as transaction size and fee caps in over 15 states, the company continued to strengthen its balance sheet, reporting $72.9 million in cash and digital assets, and executing strategic M&A, including acquiring National Bitcoin ATM to add over 500 kiosks to its network. Looking ahead, Bitcoin Depot forecasts Q4 revenues between $112 to $115 million, with adjusted EBITDA in the low single-digit millions, while focusing on operational excellence and compliance to maintain its leadership position in the Bitcoin ATM market.

Bitcoin Depot Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Bitcoin Depot shows mixed financial performance. Revenue and cash flow are improving, with a 4.5% revenue growth and strong free cash flow growth of 28.7%. However, high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.43 and low equity pose financial risks. Profitability is moderate, with room for operational improvements.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Bitcoin Depot's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM gross profit margin of 19.1% and net profit margin of 2.4% indicate moderate profitability. Revenue growth is positive at 4.5% TTM, recovering from a decline in the previous year. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively low, suggesting room for operational efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals significant leverage with a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.43 TTM, indicating potential financial risk. The return on equity is negative, reflecting challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is low, suggesting a reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows strong free cash flow growth of 28.7% TTM, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.91, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, demonstrating efficient cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue635.64M573.70M688.97M646.83M548.98M245.13M
Gross Profit121.40M91.44M101.03M72.30M56.03M31.09M
EBITDA65.64M34.22M26.23M35.04M26.79M17.38M
Net Income9.16M-11.69M-26.10M3.98M5.94M14.41M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets125.28M80.10M77.38M93.40M108.33M53.06M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments59.27M30.98M30.47M38.08M38.03M41.15M
Total Debt72.15M63.51M31.33M62.62M69.31M29.38M
Total Liabilities104.26M96.59M68.00M83.96M89.35M33.76M
Stockholders Equity18.53M-23.63M-15.81M7.21M17.54M19.30M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow37.46M11.79M41.08M30.14M15.35M16.90M
Operating Cash Flow38.32M22.54M41.10M31.25M23.28M18.28M
Investing Cash Flow-14.10M-11.37M-22.00K-3.11M-19.32M-1.38M
Financing Cash Flow2.95M-11.58M-48.86M-28.54M-7.02M17.66M

Bitcoin Depot Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.49
Price Trends
50DMA
2.97
Negative
100DMA
3.80
Negative
200DMA
3.13
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.38
Positive
RSI
20.14
Positive
STOCH
3.46
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BTM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.49 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.36, below the 50-day MA of 2.97, and below the 200-day MA of 3.13, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.38 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 20.14 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 3.46 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BTM.

Bitcoin Depot Risk Analysis

Bitcoin Depot disclosed 83 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Bitcoin Depot reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Bitcoin Depot Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
$458.33M7.3838.27%29.96%66.09%
65
Neutral
$676.48M5.3922.44%9.52%496.04%
61
Neutral
$108.56M12.401375.23%8.60%
41
Neutral
$25.55M-1.04-3.52%83.39%
38
Underperform
$20.54M-0.35-13.86%-32.19%
37
Underperform
$2.01M-0.01-164.77%-200.22%76.90%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BTM
Bitcoin Depot
1.49
-0.49
-24.75%
GREE
Greenidge Generation Holdings
1.36
-0.78
-36.45%
BTBT
Bit Digital
2.09
-2.16
-50.82%
LGHL
Lion Group Holding
0.39
-8.91
-95.81%
ARBK
Argo Blockchain
0.22
-0.91
-80.53%
FUFU
BitFuFu
2.81
-2.59
-47.96%

Bitcoin Depot Corporate Events

Bitcoin Depot Inc. Reports Strong Q3 2025 Growth
Nov 14, 2025

Bitcoin Depot Inc., a leading U.S.-based Bitcoin ATM operator, provides users with the ability to convert cash into Bitcoin through its extensive network of kiosks across North America.

Bitcoin Depot’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth Amid Challenges
Nov 14, 2025

Bitcoin Depot’s recent earnings call revealed a generally positive sentiment, highlighting the company’s robust revenue and profit growth, as well as its successful expansion of kiosk networks both domestically and internationally. However, the call also acknowledged challenges posed by new state regulations, seasonal fluctuations, and limited progress in the New York market.

Private Placements and Financing
Bitcoin Depot Secures $13.8M Through Stock Offering
Neutral
Oct 8, 2025

On October 6, 2025, Bitcoin Depot Inc. entered into a securities purchase agreement with institutional investors to sell 4,285,716 shares of its Class A common stock at $3.50 per share in a registered direct offering, expected to close around October 8, 2025. The company anticipates net proceeds of approximately $13.8 million, which will be used for general corporate purposes, potentially impacting its operational capabilities and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (BTM) stock is a Hold with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bitcoin Depot stock, see the BTM Stock Forecast page.

Bitcoin Depot Inc. Reports Strong Earnings and Growth
Sep 1, 2025

The recent earnings call for Bitcoin Depot Inc. painted a largely positive picture, highlighting strong revenue and profit growth, successful strategic initiatives, and operational improvements. Despite these achievements, the company acknowledged ongoing challenges, particularly with seasonal revenue fluctuations and regulatory hurdles in California.

Executive/Board Changes
Bitcoin Depot Appoints Alex Holmes to Board
Positive
Aug 26, 2025

On August 20, 2025, Bitcoin Depot Inc. appointed Alex Holmes to its Board of Directors, filling the vacancy left by Tim Vanderham’s resignation. Holmes, who has extensive experience in the financial and crypto sectors, is also joining the Board’s Audit Committee, meeting Nasdaq’s standards for an independent director. His past leadership roles include transforming MoneyGram International into a global fintech leader and pioneering blockchain adoption, which positions him as a strategic asset for Bitcoin Depot’s future endeavors.

The most recent analyst rating on (BTM) stock is a Hold with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bitcoin Depot stock, see the BTM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 21, 2025