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Bitcoin Depot (BTM)
NASDAQ:BTM
US Market
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Bitcoin Depot (BTM) AI Stock Analysis

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BTM

Bitcoin Depot

(NASDAQ:BTM)

Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$4.00
▲(10.50% Upside)
Bitcoin Depot's overall stock score reflects strong revenue growth and operational improvements, but is weighed down by financial instability due to high leverage and bearish technical indicators. The positive earnings call sentiment and strategic initiatives provide some support, but valuation concerns persist.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
2Q25 results exceed expectations with total revenues of $172.1M, up 5% quarter-over-quarter and 6% year-over-year, ahead of consensus estimates.
Kiosk Deployment
Bitcoin Depot's fundamentals continue to improve alongside deployed kiosk count growth, with nearly 9,000 kiosks installed.
Negative Factors
Market Challenges
Management issued formal financial guidance for the first time in a year, indicating improved visibility into near-term operating results.
Market Perception
The market does not fully appreciate BTM's return to growth in 2025.

Bitcoin Depot (BTM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Bitcoin Depot Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBitcoin Depot (BTM) is a leading fintech company specializing in cryptocurrency ATM services. The company operates a vast network of Bitcoin ATMs across the United States, allowing users to buy and sell Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies using cash. Its core service is providing a user-friendly and accessible platform for people to engage in cryptocurrency transactions, bridging the gap between traditional fiat currency and digital assets.
How the Company Makes MoneyBitcoin Depot makes money primarily through transaction fees charged on each transaction conducted via its ATMs. Users pay a fee when buying or selling cryptocurrencies at these machines, which constitutes the primary revenue stream for the company. Additionally, Bitcoin Depot may generate income from partnerships with convenience stores and other retail establishments where its ATMs are located, possibly sharing revenue or paying a leasing fee for space. The company also benefits from the increasing adoption of cryptocurrencies, which can drive more transactions and, consequently, more fee-based revenue.

Bitcoin Depot Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 12, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 18, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was positive overall, with strong revenue and profit growth, successful strategic initiatives, and operational improvements. However, some challenges remain, particularly regarding seasonal revenue fluctuations and regulatory hurdles in California.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and Profit Growth
Bitcoin Depot reported a 6% increase in revenue year-over-year, with net income nearly tripling to $12.3 million. Gross profit increased by 32% and adjusted EBITDA rose by 46% to $18.5 million.
Successful Kiosk Optimization Strategy
The company's kiosk optimization plan contributed to a 30% increase in median transaction size and steady growth in total transaction volume to $172.1 million.
International Expansion
Bitcoin Depot deployed over 200 kiosks in Australia and is exploring entry into two additional countries in 2025.
Operational and Financial Efficiency
Operating expenses declined by 9%, and the company simplified its corporate structure, reducing its effective cash tax rate by roughly 12%.
Strategic M&A Activities
Bitcoin Depot acquired Pelicoin, enhancing its presence in the Gulf South and consolidating the market.
Negative Updates
Seasonal Revenue Decline Expected
Revenue is expected to experience a typical seasonal decline from Q2 to Q3, attributed to historical trends and tax return seasonality.
Challenges in California
The company has less than 200 kiosks in California due to regulatory challenges and is working on legislative changes to improve operations in the state.
Debt Increase
Total debt increased to $69.7 million, although the company made a voluntary accelerated principal payment of $5 million on its term loan.
Company Guidance
During Bitcoin Depot's Second Quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported a 6% year-over-year increase in revenue, reaching $172.1 million, and a near threefold rise in net income to $12.3 million. The median transaction size surged by 30% to $300, while total transaction volume reached $172.1 million. Gross profit was up 32% year-over-year to $30.9 million, with a gross margin improvement of 360 basis points to 17.9%. Adjusted EBITDA increased by 46% to $18.5 million. The company ended Q2 with approximately 9,000 active machines and plans to expand its kiosk fleet further, with international expansion efforts including over 200 kiosks deployed in Australia. Bitcoin Depot also enhanced its corporate governance by appointing a new Chief Compliance Officer and simplifying its corporate structure, which reduced its effective cash tax rate by roughly 12%. With a combined cash and digital assets total of nearly $60 million, the company is well-positioned for future growth, aiming for high single-digit revenue growth and 20% to 30% adjusted EBITDA growth in Q3 compared to the previous year.

Bitcoin Depot Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Bitcoin Depot shows strong revenue growth and improved operational margins, but faces challenges in profitability and financial stability due to high leverage. The cash flow position is robust, indicating effective cash management. The company needs to focus on improving profitability and reducing financial risk to enhance its overall financial health.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Bitcoin Depot shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The company has achieved a significant revenue growth rate of 150.9% in the TTM period, indicating strong top-line expansion. However, the net profit margin remains low at 0.44%, suggesting challenges in translating revenue growth into profitability. The gross profit margin has improved to 18.69%, reflecting better cost management. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also improved, indicating operational efficiency gains.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 33.31, indicating significant leverage, which poses financial risk. The return on equity is negative, reflecting challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is low, suggesting a heavy reliance on debt financing. Overall, the balance sheet indicates financial instability and potential risk due to high leverage.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows positive trends, with a free cash flow growth rate of 9.3% in the TTM period, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.84, suggesting strong cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.79, indicating efficient cash utilization. Overall, the cash flow statement reflects strong cash management and liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue608.43M573.70M688.97M646.83M548.98M245.13M
Gross Profit113.69M91.44M101.03M72.30M56.03M31.09M
EBITDA59.21M34.22M26.23M35.12M26.79M17.38M
Net Income2.68M-11.69M-26.10M3.98M5.94M14.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets109.05M80.10M77.38M93.40M108.33M53.06M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments59.60M30.98M29.76M38.08M38.03M41.15M
Total Debt71.83M63.51M31.33M62.62M69.31M29.38M
Total Liabilities104.36M96.59M68.00M83.96M89.35M33.76M
Stockholders Equity2.16M-23.63M-15.81M7.21M17.54M19.30M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow29.40M11.79M41.08M30.14M15.35M16.90M
Operating Cash Flow37.47M22.54M41.10M31.25M23.28M18.28M
Investing Cash Flow-17.34M-11.37M-22.00K-3.11M-19.32M-1.38M
Financing Cash Flow-15.99M-11.58M-48.86M-28.54M-7.02M17.66M

Bitcoin Depot Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.62
Price Trends
50DMA
4.95
Negative
100DMA
3.91
Negative
200DMA
2.76
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.36
Positive
RSI
29.27
Positive
STOCH
27.92
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BTM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.62 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.23, below the 50-day MA of 4.95, and above the 200-day MA of 2.76, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.36 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 29.27 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.92 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BTM.

Bitcoin Depot Risk Analysis

Bitcoin Depot disclosed 83 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Bitcoin Depot reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Bitcoin Depot Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$17.89B11.9510.28%3.72%9.74%1.61%
55
Neutral
$228.92M-125.22%-33.99%-121.80%
54
Neutral
$246.46M77.58%-3.35%99.18%
54
Neutral
$9.44M-107.11%-82.44%22.28%
47
Neutral
$8.91M-11.74%31.69%86.25%
39
Underperform
$8.44M-461.16%-11.36%64.27%
$31.40M47.85-15.83%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BTM
Bitcoin Depot
3.62
2.09
136.60%
ABTS
Abits Group
3.76
-3.64
-49.19%
NCPL
NetCapital
2.00
-0.73
-26.74%
MIGI
Mawson Infrastructure Group
0.40
-0.78
-66.10%
TOP
Zhong Yang Financial Group Ltd.
1.16
-0.94
-44.76%
SWIN
Solowin Holdings
4.01
1.47
57.87%

Bitcoin Depot Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Bitcoin Depot Appoints Alex Holmes to Board
Positive
Aug 26, 2025

On August 20, 2025, Bitcoin Depot Inc. appointed Alex Holmes to its Board of Directors, filling the vacancy left by Tim Vanderham’s resignation. Holmes, who has extensive experience in the financial and crypto sectors, is also joining the Board’s Audit Committee, meeting Nasdaq’s standards for an independent director. His past leadership roles include transforming MoneyGram International into a global fintech leader and pioneering blockchain adoption, which positions him as a strategic asset for Bitcoin Depot’s future endeavors.

M&A Transactions
Bitcoin Depot Completes Merger with BT Assets
Neutral
May 30, 2025

On May 30, 2025, Bitcoin Depot completed a merger agreement with BT Assets and other associated entities, resulting in BT HoldCo becoming a wholly owned subsidiary. This restructuring involved the termination of a previous tax agreement and the issuance of new shares, aligning the economic interests of the company’s founder, Brandon Mintz, with public stockholders. The merger maintains Mintz’s control over the voting power, ensuring Bitcoin Depot remains a ‘controlled company’ under NASDAQ rules.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 26, 2025