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Bitcoin Depot (BTM)
NASDAQ:BTM
US Market

Bitcoin Depot (BTM) AI Stock Analysis

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BTM

Bitcoin Depot

(NASDAQ:BTM)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$1.00
▼(-7.41% Downside)
The score is held back primarily by high balance-sheet leverage and clearly bearish technicals (price below key moving averages with negative MACD). Offsetting factors include strong cash flow and a solid Q3 earnings performance with expansion progress, while valuation appears reasonable but lacks dividend support.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation
Sustained FCF growth and nearly one-to-one conversion of net income to free cash flow provide durable internal funding. This enables funding kiosk deployments, compliance investments, and selective M&A without reliance on frequent equity raises, supporting long-term operational resilience.
Network Scale
A ~9,300 kiosk footprint plus international deployments builds broad retail distribution and recurring transaction flow. Physical scale in convenience channels creates customer convenience advantages and higher brand recognition, reinforcing steady fee-generating volumes over the medium term.
M&A Consolidation
Targeted acquisitions (e.g., +500 kiosks) and recent deals expand market share and accelerate rollouts. Consolidation in a fragmented industry can deliver unit cost reductions, faster geographic penetration and network effects, making growth more efficient and sustainable over time.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
Very high leverage restricts financial flexibility and raises refinancing, covenant and interest-rate risks. Elevated debt increases sensitivity to revenue or margin shocks, limits capital allocation for growth or compliance, and could force operational trade-offs if cash flows weaken.
Legal / Arbitration Risk
A material arbitration award creates a real contingent liability that could require cash outflows or reserves. Legal disputes also divert management attention, can affect lender perceptions and covenants, and introduce execution risk for M&A and expansion plans until resolved.
Regulatory Constraints
Transaction size/fee caps and lack of NY licensing progress structurally limit addressable market and per-transaction economics. Ongoing regulatory fragmentation raises compliance costs, reduces revenue upside in key states, and complicates a scalable national roll-out strategy.

Bitcoin Depot (BTM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Bitcoin Depot Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBitcoin Depot Inc. owns and operates a network of cryptocurrency kiosks in North America. It provides users to buy and sell bitcoin, litecoin, and ethereum cryptocurrencies; and engages in the sale of cryptocurrency to consumers at a network of retail locations through its BDCheckout product offering and through its website over the counter trade. The company was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia. Bitcoin Depot Inc. is a subsidiary of BT Assets, Inc.
How the Company Makes MoneyBitcoin Depot generates revenue primarily through transaction fees charged on each cryptocurrency purchase and sale made at its Bitcoin ATMs. When customers buy Bitcoin, they pay a premium over the market price, which includes the transaction fee. Additionally, the company earns revenue from selling Bitcoin to customers at a markup, which is factored into the price of the cryptocurrency. Key revenue streams also include partnerships with retail locations where the BTMs are installed, as these partnerships often involve revenue-sharing agreements. Furthermore, Bitcoin Depot may benefit from increased transaction volumes during market surges, as heightened interest in cryptocurrency often leads to more transactions at their ATMs.

Bitcoin Depot Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Bitcoin Depot delivered strong revenue and profit growth, expanded its kiosk network both domestically and internationally, and improved compliance standards. However, the company faces challenges from new state regulations, typical seasonality, and limited progress in the New York market.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and Profit Growth
Bitcoin Depot reported revenue of $162.5 million for Q3 2025, a 20% increase from 2024. Adjusted EBITDA rose by 75% to $16.1 million, and gross profit increased by 40% to $28.2 million.
Kiosk Expansion and Optimization
The company ended Q3 with approximately 9,300 active machines and expects continued growth. The kiosk growth and optimization plan resulted in a 40% increase in gross profit year over year.
International Expansion Success
Bitcoin Depot expanded into Australia with over 260 kiosks and commenced operations in Hong Kong, further enhancing its global footprint.
Strategic Acquisition
In October, Bitcoin Depot acquired assets from National Bitcoin ATM, adding over 500 kiosks to its network, solidifying its leadership in North America.
Improved Compliance Standards
The company rolled out new compliance standards, requiring customer identification for all transactions, and introduced protections for seniors, reinforcing consumer protection.
Negative Updates
Impact of State Regulations
Recent state regulations imposing transaction size caps or fee caps affected the company's near-term outlook, resulting in anticipated lower revenues for Q4.
Seasonality and Compliance Challenges
Q4 results are expected to be impacted by typical seasonality and the company's proactive compliance changes, which have modestly affected transaction activity.
Uncertainty in New York Market
Bitcoin Depot's efforts to obtain a BitLicense from NYDFS have not advanced, with no Bitcoin ATM operators having received a license, limiting operations in New York.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, Bitcoin Depot reported impressive financial performance, with revenue reaching $162.5 million, a 20% increase from the previous year. The company's median transaction size rose by 40% to $350, while total transaction volume climbed to $162.5 million. Gross profit saw a significant 40% increase to $28.2 million, and adjusted EBITDA surged by 75% to $16.1 million. Bitcoin Depot ended the quarter with approximately 9,300 active kiosks and expanded its international presence by deploying over 260 kiosks in Australia and commencing operations in Hong Kong. Despite facing regulatory challenges, such as transaction size and fee caps in over 15 states, the company continued to strengthen its balance sheet, reporting $72.9 million in cash and digital assets, and executing strategic M&A, including acquiring National Bitcoin ATM to add over 500 kiosks to its network. Looking ahead, Bitcoin Depot forecasts Q4 revenues between $112 to $115 million, with adjusted EBITDA in the low single-digit millions, while focusing on operational excellence and compliance to maintain its leadership position in the Bitcoin ATM market.

Bitcoin Depot Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: moderate profitability and improving revenue trend (income statement score 65) plus strong cash generation and conversion (cash flow score 75), but significant leverage and weak equity profile (balance sheet score 40) increase financial risk.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Bitcoin Depot's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM gross profit margin of 19.1% and net profit margin of 2.4% indicate moderate profitability. Revenue growth is positive at 4.5% TTM, recovering from a decline in the previous year. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively low, suggesting room for operational efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals significant leverage with a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.43 TTM, indicating potential financial risk. The return on equity is negative, reflecting challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is low, suggesting a reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows strong free cash flow growth of 28.7% TTM, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.91, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, demonstrating efficient cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue635.64M573.70M688.97M646.83M548.98M245.13M
Gross Profit121.40M91.44M101.03M72.30M56.03M31.09M
EBITDA65.64M34.22M26.23M35.04M26.79M17.38M
Net Income9.16M-11.69M-26.10M3.98M5.94M14.41M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets80.10M77.38M93.40M108.33M53.06M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments30.98M30.47M38.08M38.03M41.15M
Total Debt63.51M31.33M62.62M69.31M29.38M
Total Liabilities96.59M68.00M83.96M89.35M33.76M
Stockholders Equity-23.63M-15.81M7.21M17.54M19.30M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow37.46M11.79M41.08M30.14M15.35M16.90M
Operating Cash Flow38.32M22.54M41.10M31.25M23.28M18.28M
Investing Cash Flow-14.10M-11.37M-22.00K-3.11M-19.32M-1.38M
Financing Cash Flow2.95M-11.58M-48.86M-28.54M-7.02M17.66M

Bitcoin Depot Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.08
Price Trends
50DMA
1.37
Negative
100DMA
2.27
Negative
200DMA
3.14
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.10
Positive
RSI
30.34
Neutral
STOCH
11.01
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BTM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.08 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.27, below the 50-day MA of 1.37, and below the 200-day MA of 3.14, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.01 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BTM.

Bitcoin Depot Risk Analysis

Bitcoin Depot disclosed 83 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Bitcoin Depot reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Bitcoin Depot Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$494.45M7.5138.27%29.96%66.09%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
$699.14M5.4422.44%9.52%496.04%
55
Neutral
$80.68M8.991375.23%8.60%
45
Neutral
$21.33M-6.03-3.52%83.39%
40
Underperform
$348.89K>-0.01-164.77%-200.22%76.90%
39
Underperform
$7.93M-0.02-13.86%-32.19%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BTM
Bitcoin Depot
1.08
-0.58
-34.94%
GREE
Greenidge Generation Holdings
1.32
-0.14
-9.59%
BTBT
Bit Digital
2.11
-1.14
-35.08%
LGHL
Lion Group Holding
1.55
-93.03
-98.36%
ARBK
Argo Blockchain
3.88
-103.97
-96.40%
FUFU
BitFuFu
2.86
-2.34
-45.00%

Bitcoin Depot Corporate Events

Regulatory Filings and ComplianceStock Split
Bitcoin Depot Gains Approval to Pursue Reverse Stock Split
Neutral
Jan 13, 2026

On January 12, 2026, Bitcoin Depot Inc. obtained written consent from a majority stockholder group holding approximately 91.4% of its voting power to approve a reverse stock split of its common stock at a ratio to be set between one-for-five and one-for-twenty. The approval authorizes the board to determine the exact split ratio, to file an amendment to the company’s certificate of incorporation to effect the reverse split any time before June 30, 2026, or to abandon the split entirely if it later concludes the move is not in the best interests of the company or its stockholders, with a Schedule 14C information statement to be filed and distributed under SEC rules.

The most recent analyst rating on (BTM) stock is a Hold with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bitcoin Depot stock, see the BTM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Bitcoin Depot amends credit agreement, prepays term loans
Positive
Dec 29, 2025

On December 19, 2025, Bitcoin Depot subsidiaries entered into a second amendment to their existing credit agreement with Silverview Credit Partners and other lenders, under which the borrowing entity made a $7 million prepayment to reduce the outstanding principal of both Tranche A and Tranche B term loans by $3.5 million each, thereby revising the remaining amortization schedule. The amendment also raised the monetary judgment threshold that could trigger an event of default to $3.5 million and carved out an event-of-default exception for certain existing matters, changes that together adjust the company’s leverage profile and slightly ease its default risk parameters under the lending arrangement.

The most recent analyst rating on (BTM) stock is a Hold with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bitcoin Depot stock, see the BTM Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder Meetings
Bitcoin Depot shareholders show strong support at annual meeting
Positive
Dec 18, 2025

At its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on December 12, 2025, Bitcoin Depot Inc. reported a high participation rate, with 93.44% of its 413.8 million eligible common shares voting. Shareholders unanimously backed the company’s slate of seven directors, with no votes cast against any nominee, and also ratified Wolf & Company, P.C. as independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, signaling strong investor support for the firm’s current leadership and governance structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (BTM) stock is a Hold with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bitcoin Depot stock, see the BTM Stock Forecast page.

Legal Proceedings
Bitcoin Depot to Contest Arbitration Tribunal Ruling
Negative
Nov 24, 2025

On November 24, 2025, Bitcoin Depot announced that an arbitration tribunal ruled in favor of Cash Cloud, awarding them $18.47 million in a dispute over alleged breaches of a 2020 agreement with BitAccess. The company plans to contest the ruling and believes the Canadian tribunal’s decision may impact a related U.S. Bankruptcy Court case with similar allegations and damages.

The most recent analyst rating on (BTM) stock is a Buy with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bitcoin Depot stock, see the BTM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Bitcoin Depot Announces Leadership Changes for 2026
Positive
Nov 21, 2025

On November 21, 2025, Bitcoin Depot announced significant leadership changes effective January 1, 2026. Founder Brandon Mintz will transition from CEO to Executive Chairman, focusing on strategic growth, while Scott Buchanan, the current President and COO, will assume the role of CEO. Elizabeth Simer has been appointed as the new COO. These changes aim to support Bitcoin Depot’s long-term strategy, operational scaling, and M&A objectives, positioning the company to capitalize on strategic opportunities and maintain its leadership in the Bitcoin ATM market.

The most recent analyst rating on (BTM) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bitcoin Depot stock, see the BTM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 31, 2025