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Birchtech (BCHT)
OTHER OTC:BCHT

Birchtech (BCHT) AI Stock Analysis

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BCHT

Birchtech

(OTC:BCHT)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$4.00
▲(15.94% Upside)
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance—negative profitability, significant cash burn, and deeply negative equity. Technicals are roughly neutral without strong momentum, and valuation is constrained by losses and no indicated dividend support. A favorable patent judgment provides a meaningful positive offset but does not outweigh the balance-sheet and cash-flow risks.
Positive Factors
Patent judgment strengthens IP
The $78.4M final judgment is a durable change: it legally affirms core patents, improves negotiating leverage versus competitors, and creates a potential non-operating cash inflow or licensing leverage that can materially strengthen the company’s competitive moat and strategic options.
Sharp TTM revenue growth
A 224% TTM revenue increase signals meaningful commercial traction and market acceptance of products or services. If sustainable, this revenue expansion provides a base to absorb SG&A, scale operations, and improve long-term margin leverage as fixed costs are spread across higher sales.
Healthy gross margins
A ~47% gross margin indicates underlying unit economics that can support profitability if operating costs are controlled. Durable product-level margins suggest pricing power or cost advantage that can enable future operating leverage as revenue scales and fixed overhead is optimized.
Negative Factors
Negative profitability and volatility
Persistently negative net and EBITDA margins, combined with volatile historical results, undermine the company’s ability to self-fund growth and create uncertainty for planning. Ongoing losses limit reinvestment capacity and make sustained profit recovery a material execution risk.
Material operating cash burn
Material negative operating and free cash flow indicate the business currently consumes cash to operate. This durable cash burn raises funding dependency, increases dilution and refinancing risk, and constrains the company’s ability to invest in growth without external capital.
Deeply negative stockholders' equity
A deeply negative equity base reflects accumulated losses or write-downs and materially weakens the capital cushion. This structural solvency concern restricts borrowing capacity, complicates covenant metrics, and elevates the probability of distress or costly recapitalization needs.

Birchtech (BCHT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Birchtech Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBirchtech Corp., an environmental services and technology company, engages in developing and delivering solutions to the power industry in the United States and internationally. It provides mercury capture solutions. Its Sorbent Enhancement Additive (SEA) technology offers total mercury control with solutions based on a thorough scientific understanding of actual and probable interactions involved in mercury capture in coal-fired flue gas. The company is also involved in the extraction and processing of rare earth elements. In addition, it provides water purification solutions that focus on PFAS/PFOS removal from potable water. Birchtech Corp. was formerly known as Midwest Energy Emissions Corp. and changed its name to Birchtech Corp. in October 2024. The company is headquartered in Corsicana, Texas.
How the Company Makes Money

Birchtech Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite sharp TTM revenue growth (+224%) and solid gross margin (~47%), profitability is weak (negative net and EBITDA margins), results have been volatile, operating/free cash flow are materially negative, and stockholders’ equity has turned deeply negative—raising solvency and funding-risk concerns.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue surged sharply (+224%), but profitability remains weak: net margin is negative (about -7%) and EBITDA margin is also negative. Results have been highly volatile over time—2023 showed strong positive net margin, followed by steep losses in 2024 and continued losses in TTM—reducing confidence in earnings quality and sustainability despite solid gross margins (~47% in TTM).
Balance Sheet
12
Very Negative
The balance sheet is strained, with stockholders’ equity turning deeply negative in TTM, which is a major solvency red flag and makes leverage ratios less meaningful (debt-to-equity flips negative). While total debt is not extremely large versus total assets in TTM, the negative equity position suggests accumulated losses and/or write-downs have materially weakened the capital base compared with prior annual periods that included positive equity (2024).
Cash Flow
9
Very Negative
Cash generation is a key weakness. TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow and free cash flow are both materially negative, and free cash flow declined further versus the prior period. While free cash flow is roughly in line with net losses (i.e., losses are not purely “paper” profits), the ongoing cash burn heightens funding risk—especially given the weakened equity position.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue13.84B17.41T17.94M21.62M13.01M8.16M
Gross Profit7.11T7.10T5.77M7.02M5.07M2.72M
EBITDA795.77M-10.58M8.00M561.78K-113.00K-2.44M
Net Income-757.20M-10.80M5.90M-1.58M-3.63M-5.83M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.14B10.26M27.47M9.34M8.13M7.38M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.77B34.56M20.94M1.50M1.39M591.02K
Total Debt274.77M3.06M11.23M9.94M12.54M15.39M
Total Liabilities11.28B90.69M28.25M16.76M18.37M20.58M
Stockholders Equity-1.14M1.19M-782.90K-7.42M-10.24M-13.20M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.74B-49.15M19.23M60.26K195.00K-1.24M
Operating Cash Flow-1.71B-41.05M19.23M70.99K205.98K-1.24M
Investing Cash Flow-21.39M-8.09M0.00-10.73K-10.97K42.50K
Financing Cash Flow0.00-125.69M209.50K55.66K602.28K288.31K

Birchtech Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison

Birchtech Corporate Events

Legal Proceedings
Birchtech Wins Final Judgment in Patent Infringement Case
Positive
Jan 5, 2026

On December 29, 2025, the U.S. District Court for the District of Delaware entered a final judgment in favor of Birchtech Corp. in its patent infringement lawsuit against the remaining CERT defendants, concluding a case that had previously produced a jury verdict for the company on March 1, 2024. The court awarded Birchtech $78.4 million in damages including pre-judgment interest, denied the defendants’ motions on implied license and infringement liability, granted Birchtech’s request for pre- and post-judgment interest, and rejected its bid for enhanced damages, solidifying a significant financial and legal victory that reinforces the company’s intellectual property position against competitors.

The most recent analyst rating on (BCHTD) stock is a Buy with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Birchtech stock, see the BCHTD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 20, 2026