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Air T (AIRT)
NASDAQ:AIRT

Air T (AIRT) AI Stock Analysis

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AIRT

Air T

(NASDAQ:AIRT)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$19.50
▼(-3.47% Downside)
Air T's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance and valuation, reflecting significant challenges in profitability and high leverage. However, recent corporate events provide a positive outlook, potentially enhancing operational flexibility and growth prospects. Technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, further weighing on the score.
Positive Factors
Operational Flexibility
New financing agreements enhance Air T's operational flexibility, allowing it to refinance debt and support strategic growth, which can lead to improved financial stability and expansion opportunities.
Strategic Growth Initiatives
The acquisition of Regional Express Holdings could expand Air T's market presence and diversify its revenue streams, aligning with long-term growth strategies and enhancing competitive positioning in the aviation sector.
Segment Revenue Growth
Growth in the Ground Support Equipment and Digital Solutions segments indicates potential for future revenue expansion, supporting Air T's diversification strategy and resilience in fluctuating market conditions.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue Trend
A declining revenue trend poses a challenge to Air T's financial health, potentially impacting its ability to invest in growth initiatives and maintain competitive advantages in the long term.
High Leverage
Significant leverage increases financial risk and limits flexibility, potentially hindering Air T's ability to navigate economic downturns and invest in strategic opportunities.
Negative Profitability
Ongoing negative profitability reflects operational inefficiencies and challenges in cost management, which may affect Air T's long-term sustainability and shareholder value.

Air T (AIRT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Air T Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAir T, Inc. (AIRT) is a diversified holding company that operates primarily in the air cargo and logistics sector. The company engages in various businesses, including air freight services, ground handling, and cargo transportation. Air T's core products and services revolve around providing efficient and reliable air cargo solutions to customers, enhancing connectivity and logistics capabilities in the aviation industry.
How the Company Makes MoneyAir T generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by offering air freight and cargo services. The company earns money from transporting goods via air, which involves charging clients for shipping services based on weight, distance, and delivery speed. Additionally, Air T benefits from ground handling services, where it manages cargo loading and unloading operations at airports. Key partnerships with airlines and logistics companies enhance its service offerings and expand its customer base. The company may also realize revenue from ancillary services related to cargo logistics, such as warehousing and distribution, which further contribute to its overall earnings.

Air T Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Air T faces significant financial challenges with declining revenues, negative profitability, and high leverage. The income statement shows a declining revenue trend and negative net profit margin. The balance sheet reveals high debt levels and negative return on equity. Cash flow management is relatively strong, providing some cushion against operational losses.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Air T's income statement shows a declining revenue trend with a negative revenue growth rate of -5.77% in the TTM period. The company has a negative net profit margin of -2.01%, indicating losses. However, the gross profit margin is relatively stable at around 20.95%, suggesting some operational efficiency. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are low, reflecting challenges in achieving profitability.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 18.22, indicating significant leverage and potential financial risk. The return on equity is negative at -4.90%, reflecting the company's inability to generate profit from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is low, suggesting a heavy reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth by -40.61% in the TTM period. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.30, indicating some ability to generate cash from operations despite net losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively high at 0.93, suggesting efficient cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue279.21M291.85M286.83M247.32M177.08M175.12M
Gross Profit58.49M60.19M52.38M48.83M39.38M31.67M
EBITDA11.86M7.97M5.53M741.00K20.06M-4.32M
Net Income-5.61M-6.14M-6.82M-12.29M10.93M-7.28M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets184.74M173.78M177.17M189.56M207.60M140.75M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments18.64M6.35M7.10M5.81M6.47M12.40M
Total Debt135.52M129.12M125.20M137.52M143.99M95.94M
Total Liabilities177.43M168.24M158.37M163.87M171.12M119.44M
Stockholders Equity69.00K-3.22M4.77M11.90M24.61M13.72M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow13.00M7.82M16.10M15.73M-34.64M-7.82M
Operating Cash Flow13.95M23.50M17.18M16.91M-33.08M-1.82M
Investing Cash Flow7.94M-20.19M-2.50M-6.17M-33.39M2.52M
Financing Cash Flow-13.55M-4.80M-13.91M-12.38M59.25M71.00K

Air T Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price20.20
Price Trends
50DMA
21.13
Negative
100DMA
22.21
Negative
200DMA
20.38
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.33
Negative
RSI
49.84
Neutral
STOCH
46.68
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AIRT, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 20.2 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.58, below the 50-day MA of 21.13, and below the 200-day MA of 20.38, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.33 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.68 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AIRT.

Air T Risk Analysis

Air T disclosed 63 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Air T reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Air T Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
$65.97M5.649.93%21.10%31.75%
62
Neutral
$276.91M-25.07-3.26%
52
Neutral
$14.28M-2.27
48
Neutral
$55.07M-9.78-157.83%-1.72%-137.31%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AIRT
Air T
20.20
0.34
1.71%
ATXG
Addentax Group
0.47
-0.18
-27.69%
PSIG
PS International Group
4.22
0.85
25.22%
SFWL
Shengfeng Development Limited Class A
0.80
-0.27
-25.23%
PAL
Proficient Auto Logistics, Inc.
10.10
0.95
10.38%
NCEW
New Century Logistics (BVI) Ltd.
4.53
-16.27
-78.22%

Air T Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Air T Secures New Financing Agreements with Alerus
Positive
Dec 1, 2025

On November 24, 2025, Air T‘s subsidiaries, Air T Acquisition 22.1, LLC and Contrail Aviation Services, LLC, completed significant financing agreements with Alerus Financial. Air T Acquisition 22.1 secured a $6 million term loan to refinance existing debt, with terms including a 5% interest rate and a maturity date in 2032. Contrail Aviation Services established a $15 million revolving loan facility to support engine purchases and working capital, with a maturity date in 2027. These financial arrangements are expected to enhance Air T’s operational flexibility and support its strategic growth objectives.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Air T Updates Investor Presentation with Financial Insights
Neutral
Nov 12, 2025

AIR T, INC. updated its investor presentation for potential investor groups, reflecting its financial performance and strategic initiatives as of September 30, 2025. The company reported a revenue of $135 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $9.3 million for the six-month period ended September 30, 2025. The update highlights a decrease in revenue compared to the prior year, primarily due to lower sales in the Commercial Aircraft Engines and Parts segment, while the Ground Support Equipment and Digital Solutions segments showed revenue growth. The company continues to focus on empowering dynamic management and capitalizing on growth opportunities across its diverse business segments.

M&A Transactions
Air T Advances in Regional Express Acquisition
Positive
Nov 12, 2025

On November 11, 2025, Air T, Inc. announced its progress in acquiring Regional Express Holdings Limited, an Australian regional airline. The acquisition bid received approval from a majority of Rex’s creditors, and Air T anticipates completing the transaction by the end of 2025, pending court and other necessary approvals.

M&A Transactions
Air T Announces Acquisition of Regional Express Holdings
Neutral
Oct 21, 2025

On October 21, 2025, Air T, Inc. announced its entry into a process to acquire Regional Express Holdings Limited, a regional airline in Australia. The acquisition involves Air T’s indirect subsidiary acquiring all outstanding capital stock of Rex, pending necessary approvals. The transaction is expected to close by the end of 2025, but it is subject to numerous conditions, including court approval, and there is no assurance of completion.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025