tiprankstipranks
Broadcom (AVGO)
NASDAQ:AVGO

Broadcom (AVGO) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
29,445 Followers

Top Page

AVBroadcom
(NASDAQ:AVGO)
67Neutral
Broadcom's robust financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are key strengths, highlighting its strong position in the semiconductor industry. However, the high P/E ratio suggests overvaluation, and the technical indicators point to potential short-term weakness. These factors result in a moderate overall stock score.
Positive Factors
AI Infrastructure
Broadcom is seen as one of the biggest beneficiaries of AI fabric build-outs, as networking acts as a key bottleneck in AI training clusters.
Financial Performance
Broadcom's successful integration of its acquisitions is evidenced in its improving financials, with a 10-year CAGR of 28% for revenue and 35% for EBITDA.
Negative Factors
Apple Chip Development
There is a focus on management commentary around reports that Apple is planning to switch away from Broadcom to internally developed custom chips.

Broadcom (AVGO) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Broadcom Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBroadcom, Inc. is a technology company offering semiconductor and infrastructure software solutions. It operates through two segments: Semiconductor Solutions (includes semiconductor solution product lines and IP licensing) and Infrastructure Software (Includes mainframe, BizOps and cyber security software solutions and FC SAN business). The company was founded in 1961 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.
How the Company Makes MoneyBroadcom makes money through the sale of its semiconductor solutions and infrastructure software. The semiconductor solutions segment generates revenue by providing products for wired infrastructure, wireless communications, enterprise storage, and industrial markets. These products include chips and components for networking, broadband, and wireless communication devices. The infrastructure software segment contributes to revenue through licensing fees and support services for its software solutions, which cater to data center, mainframe, cybersecurity, and enterprise markets. Additionally, Broadcom engages in strategic partnerships and acquisitions to bolster its technology offerings and expand its market reach, contributing to its financial growth.

Broadcom Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Broadcom shows strong financial performance with significant revenue growth, solid profitability margins, and robust cash flow generation. Moderate debt and substantial cash reserves provide financial flexibility, although there's room for improvement in cost management.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Broadcom demonstrates strong financial performance with a robust gross profit margin of 63.0% and a solid net profit margin of 11.4% for the latest period. The company has achieved consistent revenue growth, notably a 44.0% increase from the previous year. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 26.1% and 46.0%, respectively, indicating efficient operational management. However, a decline in EBIT suggests room for improvement in cost management.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.0, signaling manageable leverage levels. The return on equity stands at 8.7%, reflecting moderate profitability from shareholder investments. An equity ratio of 40.9% indicates a strong asset base supported by equity. The company maintains a substantial cash position, providing a buffer against potential liabilities. However, the increase in total debt warrants careful monitoring.
Cash Flow
88
Very Positive
Broadcom's cash flow statement highlights excellent free cash flow growth at 10.1%, driven by robust operating cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 3.4 suggests strong cash generation relative to reported earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 3.3 indicates effective cash management and reinvestment capabilities. These metrics underscore the company's strong liquidity position and cash flow stability.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
51.57B35.82B33.20B27.45B23.89B
Gross Profit
32.51B24.69B22.09B16.84B13.52B
EBIT
13.46B16.21B14.22B8.52B4.01B
EBITDA
23.72B20.55B19.16B14.69B11.13B
Net Income Common Stockholders
5.89B14.08B11.49B6.74B2.96B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
9.35B14.19B12.42B12.16B7.62B
Total Assets
165.65B72.86B73.25B75.57B75.93B
Total Debt
67.57B39.23B39.52B39.73B41.06B
Net Debt
58.22B25.04B27.10B27.57B33.44B
Total Liabilities
97.97B48.87B50.54B50.58B52.03B
Stockholders Equity
67.68B23.99B22.71B24.99B23.90B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
19.41B17.63B16.31B13.32B11.60B
Operating Cash Flow
19.96B18.09B16.74B13.76B12.06B
Investing Cash Flow
-23.07B-689.00M-667.00M-245.00M-11.11B
Financing Cash Flow
-1.73B-15.62B-15.82B-8.97B1.61B

Broadcom Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price187.48
Price Trends
50DMA
224.73
Negative
100DMA
200.99
Negative
200DMA
178.82
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-8.25
Positive
RSI
32.14
Neutral
STOCH
12.30
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AVGO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 187.48 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 219.20, below the 50-day MA of 224.73, and above the 200-day MA of 178.82, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -8.25 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.30 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AVGO.

Broadcom Risk Analysis

Broadcom disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Broadcom reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Broadcom Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$173.83B16.8039.27%2.13%12.13%36.17%
75
Outperform
$2.83T39.4891.87%0.03%114.20%146.26%
AMAMD
73
Outperform
$161.82B97.922.85%13.69%91.75%
TXTXN
70
Outperform
$177.37B37.5028.39%2.74%-10.72%-26.60%
67
Neutral
$878.27B151.868.71%1.16%43.99%-62.55%
59
Neutral
$22.39B11.53-18.05%2.31%5.00%-25.89%
54
Neutral
$92.36B-18.89%2.11%-2.08%-1212.72%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AVGO
Broadcom
187.48
54.99
41.51%
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
100.75
-104.38
-50.88%
INTC
Intel
21.33
-21.38
-50.06%
NVDA
Nvidia
115.99
30.05
34.97%
QCOM
Qualcomm
154.46
-4.67
-2.93%
TXN
Texas Instruments
194.84
28.85
17.38%

Broadcom Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Dec 12, 2024 | % Change Since: 4.05% | Next Earnings Date: Mar 6, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong positive sentiment with significant revenue growth driven by AI and successful integration of VMware. However, some challenges were noted in non-AI semiconductor and broadband segments.
Highlights
Record Revenue Growth
Fiscal year 2024 consolidated revenue grew 44% year-over-year to a record $51.6 billion. Excluding VMware, revenue grew over 9% organically.
AI Revenue Surge
AI revenue grew 220% from $3.8 billion in fiscal '23 to $12.2 billion in fiscal '24, representing 41% of semiconductor revenue.
Infrastructure Software Growth
Infrastructure software segment revenue was $5.8 billion in Q4, up 196% year-on-year.
Strong Cash Return to Shareholders
Broadcom returned a record $22 billion in cash to shareholders, up 45% year-on-year through dividends, buybacks, and eliminations.
VMware Integration Success
The integration of VMware is largely complete, with operating margin reaching 70% exiting 2024.
Lowlights
Decline in Non-AI Semiconductor Revenue
Non-AI semiconductor revenue declined by 23% year-on-year to $4.5 billion in Q4.
Broadband Segment Weakness
Q4 broadband revenue was $465 million, down 51% year-on-year.
Industrial Segment Decline
Q4 industrial resales of $173 million declined 27% year-on-year.
Company Guidance
During the earnings call for Q4 2024, Broadcom provided guidance for the first quarter of fiscal year 2025, projecting consolidated revenue of approximately $14.6 billion, a 22% increase year-on-year. Semiconductor revenue is expected to grow by about 10% year-on-year to $8.1 billion, with AI-related revenue projected to rise by 65% year-on-year to $3.8 billion. Non-AI semiconductor revenue, however, is anticipated to decline by mid-teens percentage year-on-year. Infrastructure software revenue is forecasted to grow by 41% year-on-year to $6.5 billion. The company also expects adjusted EBITDA to be about 66% of revenue for Q1. The guidance reflects Broadcom's strategic focus on expanding its AI segment, which is expected to significantly outpace growth in its non-AI semiconductor business.

Broadcom Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Broadcom Secures $7.5 Billion Credit Facility
Neutral
Jan 13, 2025

Broadcom Inc. has entered into a new credit agreement that establishes a $7.5 billion five-year unsecured revolving credit facility with Bank of America and other lenders. This facility will be used for general corporate purposes, replacing an existing credit agreement, and includes provisions for issuing multicurrency letters of credit, although no borrowings were outstanding on the closing date.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.