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Texas Instruments (TXN)
NASDAQ:TXN

Texas Instruments (TXN) AI Stock Analysis

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TX

Texas Instruments

(NASDAQ:TXN)

72Outperform
Texas Instruments displays strong financial fundamentals with solid profitability and a robust balance sheet. However, moderated growth and challenges in cash flow efficiency warrant careful observation. Technical indicators suggest potential downward momentum, while the high P/E ratio raises valuation concerns. Mixed earnings call insights highlight both opportunities and risks. Overall, Texas Instruments demonstrates resilience but faces challenges in sustaining its growth trajectory amid global uncertainties.
Positive Factors
Demand Recovery
The company's management is confident that the Industrial segment is past the bottom, indicating a strong recovery.
Earnings Outlook
Texas Instruments delivered better-than-expected results and provided a solid outlook, driven by a synchronized recovery in end markets, particularly industrials.
End Market Performance
The company continues to witness a recovery across most end markets, with Industrial and Automotive sectors performing better than expected.
Negative Factors
Inventory Management
Concerns remain that GMs & cash flow will stay weaker for longer, with idiosyncratic tariff risk.
Pricing Pressure
Competition from Chinese companies is intensifying, which could lead to pricing pressure in the future.
Trade Tensions
TI is front and center in US-China trade tensions given the significant US front end manufacturing footprint and exposure to China.

Texas Instruments (TXN) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Texas Instruments Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTexas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) is a global semiconductor company that designs and manufactures a broad range of analog and embedded processing chips. Headquartered in Dallas, Texas, the company serves various sectors including industrial, automotive, personal electronics, communications equipment, and enterprise systems. Its core products include analog integrated circuits, embedded processors, and digital light processing (DLP) technology.
How the Company Makes MoneyTexas Instruments makes money primarily through the sale of its analog and embedded processing products. The company's revenue model is centered on designing and manufacturing semiconductor solutions that are integral to electronic systems and devices. Key revenue streams include analog chips, which account for a significant portion of sales due to their applications in power management, data conversion, and signal conditioning, and embedded processors, which are used in various control and processing tasks across different industries. Texas Instruments also benefits from long-standing relationships and partnerships with large-scale original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and distributors who integrate its products into their devices and systems. Additionally, TI's focus on innovation and operational efficiency, along with its robust manufacturing capabilities, contribute to its profitability and competitive positioning in the semiconductor market.

Texas Instruments Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Shows how much revenue each business unit generates, highlighting which segments are driving growth and which may need strategic adjustments.
Chart InsightsTexas Instruments' Analog segment shows a recovery trend in 2024 after a dip, indicating potential stabilization. However, Embedded Processing continues to face challenges, with revenues not rebounding to previous highs, suggesting ongoing demand or competitive pressures. The 'Other' segment remains volatile, reflecting potential strategic shifts or market uncertainties. Investors should monitor how Texas Instruments adapts its strategies to address these dynamics, especially in Embedded Processing, to sustain long-term growth.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Texas Instruments Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Texas Instruments demonstrates solid financial health with strong profitability and effective use of equity capital. While income statement reflects robust margins, growth has moderated. The balance sheet remains strong, with manageable leverage. Cash flow generation is stable, yet free cash flow growth has slowed, warranting attention. Overall, the company is well-positioned, but should focus on enhancing growth and cash flow efficiency.
Income Statement
84
Very Positive
Texas Instruments shows solid profitability with a TTM gross profit margin of 58.0% and a net profit margin of 30.4%. The revenue growth rate over the recent period is 2.6%, indicating modest growth. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong at 34.3% and 44.2%, respectively, showcasing operational efficiency. However, the decline from previous years suggests potential challenges in sustaining growth.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is robust with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.78, indicating manageable leverage. The return on equity (ROE) stands at 29.7%, reflecting effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio is 48.6%, suggesting a healthy proportion of equity financing. However, the slight increase in total debt over time signals a need for cautious debt management.
Cash Flow
76
Positive
The company maintains a stable cash flow, with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.26, indicating strong cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.30, suggesting room for improvement in free cash flow generation. A slight decline in free cash flow growth rate highlights potential pressures on cash reserves.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
15.64B17.52B20.03B18.34B14.46B
Gross Profit
9.09B11.02B13.77B12.38B9.27B
EBIT
5.46B7.33B10.14B8.96B5.89B
EBITDA
7.54B9.01B11.22B10.06B7.20B
Net Income Common Stockholders
4.80B6.51B8.75B7.77B5.59B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
7.58B8.57B9.07B9.74B6.57B
Total Assets
35.51B32.35B27.21B24.68B19.35B
Total Debt
13.60B11.22B8.73B7.74B6.80B
Net Debt
10.40B8.26B5.68B3.11B3.69B
Total Liabilities
18.61B15.45B12.63B11.34B10.16B
Stockholders Equity
16.90B16.90B14.58B13.33B9.19B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.50B1.35B5.92B6.29B5.49B
Operating Cash Flow
6.32B6.42B8.72B8.76B6.14B
Investing Cash Flow
-3.20B-4.36B-3.58B-4.09B-922.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-2.88B-2.14B-6.72B-3.14B-4.55B

Texas Instruments Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price162.86
Price Trends
50DMA
175.94
Negative
100DMA
182.03
Negative
200DMA
190.88
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-6.21
Negative
RSI
50.31
Neutral
STOCH
77.37
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TXN, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 162.86 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 158.41, below the 50-day MA of 175.94, and below the 200-day MA of 190.88, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -6.21 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TXN.

Texas Instruments Risk Analysis

Texas Instruments disclosed 18 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Texas Instruments reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Texas Instruments Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$123.13B19.6535.19%1.05%4.45%-10.01%
MUMU
76
Outperform
$77.73B16.7210.10%0.58%71.05%
74
Outperform
$164.31B15.7341.96%2.29%12.13%36.17%
AMAMD
73
Outperform
$157.01B96.342.89%13.69%91.75%
TXTXN
72
Outperform
$147.95B30.8629.04%3.27%-4.48%-17.82%
ADADI
69
Neutral
$96.51B62.054.43%1.93%-19.28%-44.00%
59
Neutral
$10.72B10.22-6.67%3.02%7.39%-11.27%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TXN
Texas Instruments
162.86
-11.55
-6.62%
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
96.64
-63.56
-39.68%
ADI
Analog Devices
194.59
-5.98
-2.98%
AMAT
Applied Materials
151.55
-51.99
-25.54%
MU
Micron
79.78
-34.06
-29.92%
QCOM
Qualcomm
148.56
-17.32
-10.44%

Texas Instruments Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 23, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 7.04%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presents a mixed view. There is notable revenue growth and signs of market recovery, particularly in the industrial and automotive sectors. However, there are challenges such as declining gross profit margins, increased operating expenses, and high inventory levels. The global environment remains uncertain due to geopolitical tensions and tariffs.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
First-quarter revenue was $4.1 billion, an increase of 2% sequentially and 11% year over year.
Industrial Market Recovery
The industrial market increased upper single digits after seven consecutive quarters of sequential decline.
Automotive Market Growth
The automotive market increased low single digits and showed a shallow correction pattern.
Operating Profit Increase
Operating profit was $1.3 billion in the quarter, up 3% from the year-ago quarter.
Strong Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow on a trailing twelve-month basis was $1.7 billion.
Geopolitically Dependable Capacity
The company emphasized its flexibility and preparedness to navigate evolving supply chain dynamics.
Negative Updates
Gross Profit Margin Decline
Gross profit margin decreased 90 basis points sequentially.
Increased Operating Expenses
Operating expenses in the quarter were $989 million, up 6% from a year ago.
Inventory Increase
Inventory at the end of the quarter was $4.7 billion, up $160 million from the prior quarter.
High Uncertainty in Global Market
The company acknowledged high uncertainty due to tariffs and geopolitical factors disrupting global supply chains.
Company Guidance
During Texas Instruments Incorporated's first quarter 2025 earnings call, guidance for the second quarter was provided, projecting revenue between $4.17 billion and $4.53 billion, with earnings per share estimated to range from $1.21 to $1.47. The company reported first-quarter revenue of $4.1 billion, a 2% sequential increase and an 11% rise year-over-year. The industrial market showed a recovery, increasing in the upper single digits sequentially, while automotive grew by low single digits. Capital expenditures were noted at $1.1 billion for the quarter, with free cash flow on a trailing twelve-month basis at $1.7 billion. Additionally, the effective tax rate for the second quarter is expected to be around 12% to 13%. The company highlighted its focus on maintaining flexibility in response to geopolitical challenges and the semiconductor cycle, emphasizing its strategic ambitions to ensure long-term success.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.