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American Vanguard Corporation (AVD)
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American Vanguard (AVD) AI Stock Analysis

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AVD

American Vanguard

(NYSE:AVD)

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Underperform 40 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:40Underperform
Price Target:
$5.00
▼(-5.12% Downside)
American Vanguard's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its poor financial performance, characterized by declining revenues, negative profitability, and high financial leverage. The technical analysis provides mixed signals, with short-term bearish momentum but some longer-term support. The valuation is unattractive due to a negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield. These factors collectively suggest significant risks and challenges for the company.
Positive Factors
Innovation and Sustainability
By prioritizing innovation and sustainability, AVD can tap into the growing demand for eco-friendly agricultural solutions, potentially increasing market share and revenue over the long term.
Partnerships and Collaborations
Strategic partnerships and collaborations can expand AVD's product offerings and market reach, fostering long-term growth and competitive advantage in the agricultural sector.
Market Position in Agriculture
Operating in the essential agricultural sector provides AVD with a stable demand base, as food production remains a critical global need, supporting long-term business resilience.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
Consistent revenue declines suggest challenges in maintaining market share and competitiveness, potentially impacting long-term financial health and growth prospects.
High Financial Leverage
High financial leverage can restrict AVD's financial flexibility, increasing vulnerability to economic downturns and limiting capacity for strategic investments.
Negative Profitability Margins
Negative profitability margins indicate operational challenges and inefficiencies, which can hinder AVD's ability to generate sustainable profits and invest in growth opportunities.

American Vanguard (AVD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

American Vanguard Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAmerican Vanguard Corporation (AVD) is a diversified specialty chemical company that focuses on the development and marketing of innovative crop protection products and other agricultural solutions. Operating primarily in the agricultural sector, the company offers a range of products, including insecticides, herbicides, fungicides, and soil fumigants. AVD is dedicated to enhancing agricultural productivity and sustainability through its advanced chemical formulations and technologies.
How the Company Makes MoneyAmerican Vanguard generates revenue through the sale of its agricultural products, which are sold to distributors and directly to farmers. The company’s primary revenue streams include the sale of crop protection chemicals, specialty fertilizers, and other related products. Additionally, AVD often engages in partnerships and collaborations with other agricultural companies and research institutions to develop new products and technologies, which can enhance its market reach and product offerings. The company's focus on innovation and sustainability also positions it well in a market increasingly driven by environmental considerations, potentially leading to additional revenue opportunities through the development of eco-friendly products.

American Vanguard Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 16, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call reflects a mixed performance for American Vanguard in Q1 2025. While the company has made significant improvements in cost management, inventory control, and debt reduction, these efforts were overshadowed by substantial declines in net sales, EBITDA, and gross margins, alongside operational challenges. The reduction in full-year guidance and internal control issues also contribute to a cautious outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Operating Expenses Reduction
Operating expenses dropped by $5 million in Q1 2025 compared to the previous year, indicating effective cost management strategies.
Inventory and Working Capital Improvements
Net trade working capital reduced by $86 million, and channel inventories in the U.S. are at historic lows, indicating efficient inventory management.
Product Sales Increases
Metam sales increased by 14% and Thimet sales by 17% in Q1 2025 compared to the previous year, driven by increased peanut acreage.
Debt Reduction
The company ended Q1 2025 with debt approximately $20 million or 14% lower than the same time last year.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Net Sales and EBITDA
Q1 2025 net sales were $116 million, down from $135 million in the previous year, and adjusted EBITDA was $3 million compared to $15.5 million in the previous year.
Impact of Product Cancellations and Market Weakness
The absence of a canceled product, weakness in the Mexican agave market, and drought conditions in Australia negatively impacted the financial performance.
Lowered Revenue and EBITDA Guidance
Full-year adjusted EBITDA target range decreased to $40 million to $44 million from $45 million to $52 million, with a revised revenue estimate of $535 million to $545 million.
Gross Profit Margin Decline
Gross profit margin declined to 26% during Q1 2025 from 31% in the previous year due to a weaker pricing environment and lower volume.
Internal Control Weaknesses
The company identified internal control weaknesses at its Australian subsidiary and faced delays in SEC filings due to related issues.
Company Guidance
During the American Vanguard First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance indicating a challenging start to the year, with first-quarter net sales of $116 million, down from $135 million in the same period last year, and adjusted EBITDA declining to $3 million from $15.5 million. Despite a 14% decrease in revenue year-over-year, driven by continued destocking, the company highlighted operational improvements, including a $5 million reduction in operating expenses and an $86 million improvement in net trade working capital. However, due to a weaker-than-expected first quarter, American Vanguard reduced its full-year adjusted EBITDA target range to $40 million-$44 million from $45 million-$52 million and adjusted revenue estimates to $535 million-$545 million. The company remains optimistic about a recovery, with key products like Metam and Thimet showing growth, and is focused on cost containment and capital management to improve its financial position.

American Vanguard Financial Statement Overview

Summary
American Vanguard faces significant financial challenges across its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statements. The company is dealing with declining revenues, negative profitability margins, and high financial leverage, posing risks to long-term stability. Cash flow volatility further exacerbates these issues, suggesting the need for strategic improvements in operational efficiency and financial management.
Income Statement
35
Negative
American Vanguard has experienced significant revenue declines over the past few years. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) shows a decrease in total revenue from the previous periods. Gross Profit Margin has also decreased significantly, indicating cost management issues. The company is currently operating with negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, reflecting operational inefficiencies and financial distress.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The company's balance sheet shows a high Debt-to-Equity ratio, suggesting a reliance on debt financing, which could pose a risk in terms of financial stability. The Return on Equity (ROE) has turned negative, indicating that the company is not generating sufficient returns from its equity base. The Equity Ratio remains moderate, suggesting some level of balance between debt and equity, but overall financial leverage is high.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates challenges, with volatile free cash flow and negative Operating Cash Flow to Net Income ratios in recent years. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income ratio has improved but still indicates inefficiencies in cash generation relative to net income. The growth rate of free cash flow has been unstable, reflecting inconsistent cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue529.07M547.31M579.37M609.62M556.87M458.70M
Gross Profit110.87M120.32M179.16M241.35M213.24M172.59M
EBITDA-84.96M-81.59M45.08M66.36M53.41M38.87M
Net Income-125.48M-126.34M7.52M27.40M18.59M15.24M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets651.98M636.72M767.55M726.31M694.16M667.18M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments14.48M12.51M11.42M20.33M16.29M15.92M
Total Debt208.53M167.81M162.09M76.25M78.08M119.81M
Total Liabilities421.16M403.61M397.54M356.33M321.42M306.45M
Stockholders Equity230.82M233.11M370.01M369.98M372.74M360.74M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow18.30M-3.77M-70.81M42.55M77.28M77.95M
Operating Cash Flow20.54M3.92M-58.75M57.10M87.32M89.20M
Investing Cash Flow-1.28M-6.62M-17.02M-14.47M-20.04M-35.80M
Financing Cash Flow-24.27M4.54M66.74M-38.26M-65.87M-43.21M

American Vanguard Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.27
Price Trends
50DMA
5.31
Negative
100DMA
4.78
Positive
200DMA
4.72
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.12
Negative
RSI
51.23
Neutral
STOCH
68.47
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AVD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.27 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.03, below the 50-day MA of 5.31, and above the 200-day MA of 4.72, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.47 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AVD.

American Vanguard Risk Analysis

American Vanguard disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. American Vanguard reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

American Vanguard Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$1.05B8.2842.00%11.96%16.52%141.96%
62
Neutral
$111.00M-2.16-28.28%-1718.93%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
53
Neutral
$338.49M-33.37%8.88%-349.99%
46
Neutral
$139.70M-973.22%57.83%40.94%
44
Neutral
$155.59M
40
Underperform
$145.00M-42.97%-9.57%-3226.39%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AVD
American Vanguard
5.10
-0.56
-9.89%
UAN
CVR Partners
99.67
34.20
52.24%
IPI
Intrepid Potash
25.21
-2.53
-9.12%
BHST
BioHarvest Sciences
7.13
1.41
24.65%
BIOX
Bioceres Crop Solutions
1.79
-4.69
-72.38%
LVRO
Lavoro Limited
1.33
-3.34
-71.52%

American Vanguard Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
American Vanguard Extends Loan Agreement with BMO Bank
Positive
Aug 19, 2025

On August 18, 2025, American Vanguard‘s subsidiary, AMVAC Chemical Corporation, amended its senior credit facility with a group of commercial lenders led by BMO Bank. The amendment extends the maturity date of the loan agreement to December 31, 2026, and adjusts the borrowing capacity under the revolving credit facility. This extension is seen as a vote of confidence in American Vanguard’s ongoing transformation and improvement, allowing the management to better demonstrate the company’s earnings potential to investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (AVD) stock is a Buy with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on American Vanguard stock, see the AVD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
American Vanguard Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Aug 1, 2025

On July 31, 2025, American Vanguard reported its financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2025. The company achieved a substantial improvement in adjusted EBITDA, which increased by more than 80% compared to the previous year, reaching $11 million. The gross profit margin improved to 31% from 29% last year, driven by enhancements in manufacturing and procurement processes. The company also reduced its debt by $22 million and inventory by $53 million compared to the previous year. CEO Dak Kaye highlighted the company’s progress in business transformation and operational improvements, which have been supported by an early recovery in the agriculture economy. American Vanguard reiterated its full-year 2025 revenue and adjusted EBITDA targets, emphasizing continued efforts to control expenses and maximize investor returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (AVD) stock is a Buy with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on American Vanguard stock, see the AVD Stock Forecast page.

American Vanguard Corporation Reports Improved Q2 2025 Results
Aug 1, 2025

American Vanguard Corporation is a company that develops, manufactures, and distributes chemical, biological, and biorational products primarily for agricultural, commercial, and consumer use. In its latest earnings report for the quarter ending June 30, 2025, American Vanguard Corporation reported net sales of $129.3 million, a slight increase from the previous year. However, the company faced a net loss of $849,000, an improvement from the $11.7 million loss in the same quarter of the previous year. Key financial metrics showed a gross profit of $40.5 million, with operating income reaching $4.4 million, a significant turnaround from the $9.2 million operating loss in the prior year. Despite the challenges, the company managed to reduce operating expenses and transformation costs significantly. Looking ahead, American Vanguard Corporation remains focused on its digital and structural transformation projects to enhance operational efficiency and improve financial performance.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 28, 2025