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American Vanguard Corporation (AVD)
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American Vanguard (AVD) AI Stock Analysis

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AVD

American Vanguard

(NYSE:AVD)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$4.50
▲(0.45% Upside)
American Vanguard's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance and concerning valuation metrics. Despite positive developments highlighted in the earnings call, such as improved EBITDA and cost management, the company's financial health remains a significant risk. Technical indicators also suggest bearish momentum, further weighing down the score.
Positive Factors
EBITDA Growth
Significant EBITDA growth indicates improved operational efficiency and cost management, enhancing long-term profitability and competitiveness.
Cost Management
Effective cost management strategies improve margins and free up resources for strategic investments, supporting sustainable growth.
U.S. Crop Business Performance
Strong performance in the U.S. crop segment underscores market leadership and product demand, bolstering revenue stability.
Negative Factors
Rising Debt Levels
Increased leverage can strain financial flexibility and elevate risk, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth.
Declining Cash Flow
Weak cash generation limits the company's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives, posing a risk to financial health.
International Market Challenges
Challenges in international markets may hinder revenue growth and diversification, affecting long-term market expansion.

American Vanguard (AVD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

American Vanguard Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAmerican Vanguard Corporation (AVD) is a diversified specialty chemical company that focuses on the development and marketing of innovative crop protection products and other agricultural solutions. Operating primarily in the agricultural sector, the company offers a range of products, including insecticides, herbicides, fungicides, and soil fumigants. AVD is dedicated to enhancing agricultural productivity and sustainability through its advanced chemical formulations and technologies.
How the Company Makes MoneyAmerican Vanguard generates revenue through the sale of its agricultural products, which are sold to distributors and directly to farmers. The company’s primary revenue streams include the sale of crop protection chemicals, specialty fertilizers, and other related products. Additionally, AVD often engages in partnerships and collaborations with other agricultural companies and research institutions to develop new products and technologies, which can enhance its market reach and product offerings. The company's focus on innovation and sustainability also positions it well in a market increasingly driven by environmental considerations, potentially leading to additional revenue opportunities through the development of eco-friendly products.

American Vanguard Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 16, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a positive sentiment overall, with significant improvements in EBITDA, gross margins, and cost management. While there were challenges in international markets and trade tensions with China, the company's cost control measures and strong performance in the U.S. crop segment offset these issues.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant EBITDA Growth
Adjusted EBITDA increased from $1.8 million in the previous year to $8.2 million in the current quarter, marking an increase of more than 350%.
Improved Gross Profit Margins
Gross profit margins increased by 300 basis points compared to the same period last year.
Reduced Operating Expenses
Operating expenses were reduced by approximately $6 million compared to Q3 of 2024, and $14 million over the nine-month period.
Strong U.S. Crop Business Performance
The U.S. crop business showed strength, particularly with herbicides up about 50% and granular soil insecticides up about 5%.
Successful Cost Control Initiatives
The company reduced selling, general, and administrative expenses, and cut research and product development costs, focusing on ROI.
Positive Outlook for Free Cash Flow
Expected to generate reasonably attractive cash flow in Q4, with plans to apply this towards debt paydown.
Negative Updates
Lowered Net Sales Forecast
Net sales forecast for 2025 was lowered to $520 million to $535 million due to various market conditions, particularly in Mexico, Central America, and Australia.
Challenges in International Markets
International sales were down, affected by strategic decisions in Brazil, droughts in Australia, and market conditions in Central America and Mexico.
Product Liability Claims Impact
Specialty business experienced weakness due to product liability matters, impacting the horticultural segment.
Trade Tensions with China
Trade tensions with China created uncertainty, particularly affecting U.S. soybean growers.
Company Guidance
During the American Vanguard Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, CEO Dak Kaye highlighted a significant improvement in financial performance, with adjusted EBITDA rising from $1.8 million in the prior year to $8.2 million in the current quarter, an increase of over 350%. Gross profit margins improved by 300 basis points, largely due to optimized manufacturing efforts and cost control measures. Operating expenses were reduced by approximately $6 million compared to Q3 2024, and net trade working capital decreased by $24 million year-over-year. The company's net debt stands at $165 million, showing a modest reduction of $2 million from the previous year. Looking ahead, American Vanguard maintains its full-year 2025 adjusted EBITDA target of $40 million to $44 million, despite lowering its net sales forecast to $520 million to $535 million due to market conditions in Mexico, Central America, and Australia.

American Vanguard Financial Statement Overview

Summary
American Vanguard faces significant financial challenges. Despite positive revenue growth, profitability has deteriorated, and leverage has increased, raising concerns about financial stability. Cash flow generation is weak, with negative growth and low cash conversion ratios. The company needs to address operational inefficiencies and manage debt levels to improve its financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
American Vanguard's income statement shows a concerning trend with declining profitability. The TTM data reveals a negative net profit margin of -23.72% and a negative EBIT margin of -19.18%, indicating operational challenges. Revenue growth is positive at 19% TTM, but the company has struggled to convert this into profit, as evidenced by the negative EBITDA margin of -16.06%. Historical data shows a decline from positive margins in 2022, highlighting a significant downturn in financial performance.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a moderate level of financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 0.90 TTM from 0.21 in 2022, indicating rising leverage. Return on equity has turned negative at -49.15% TTM, a sharp decline from positive returns in previous years, suggesting inefficiencies in generating shareholder value. The equity ratio remains stable, but the increased debt levels pose a potential risk.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows significant challenges, with free cash flow growth at -83.67% TTM, indicating a substantial decline in cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.10, reflecting weak cash conversion efficiency. Although the free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively high at 0.89, the overall cash flow position is concerning due to negative growth and low operating cash flow coverage.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue530.07M547.31M579.37M609.62M557.68M458.70M
Gross Profit127.80M120.32M179.16M241.35M170.72M172.59M
EBITDA-5.44M-9.43M44.72M62.79M57.00M43.29M
Net Income-112.10M-126.34M7.52M27.40M18.59M15.24M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets655.01M636.72M767.55M726.31M694.16M680.29M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments16.80M12.51M11.42M20.33M16.29M15.92M
Total Debt200.59M167.81M162.09M76.25M78.08M119.81M
Total Liabilities434.02M403.61M397.54M356.33M321.42M319.56M
Stockholders Equity220.99M233.11M370.01M369.98M372.74M360.74M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.91M-3.77M-70.81M42.55M76.32M75.06M
Operating Cash Flow6.63M3.92M-58.75M57.10M86.36M90.32M
Investing Cash Flow-2.28M-6.62M-17.02M-14.47M-20.04M-35.80M
Financing Cash Flow-222.00K4.54M66.74M-38.26M-65.87M-44.44M

American Vanguard Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.48
Price Trends
50DMA
5.01
Negative
100DMA
4.91
Negative
200DMA
4.62
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.14
Negative
RSI
46.13
Neutral
STOCH
68.93
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AVD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.48 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.72, below the 50-day MA of 5.01, and below the 200-day MA of 4.62, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.93 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AVD.

American Vanguard Risk Analysis

American Vanguard disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. American Vanguard reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

American Vanguard Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$1.01B7.9342.00%12.54%16.52%141.96%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
53
Neutral
$343.46M-33.37%8.88%-349.99%
49
Neutral
$111.00M-2.16-20.52%-27.90%-4194.67%
47
Neutral
$128.11M-40.84%-4.29%-276.74%
44
Neutral
$110.38M
41
Neutral
$143.18M-200.22%45.88%43.12%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AVD
American Vanguard
4.62
-1.53
-24.88%
UAN
CVR Partners
95.08
26.17
37.98%
IPI
Intrepid Potash
25.80
-1.28
-4.73%
BHST
BioHarvest Sciences
6.52
0.39
6.36%
BIOX
Bioceres Crop Solutions
1.59
-5.10
-76.23%
LVRO
Lavoro Limited
0.75
-4.15
-84.69%

American Vanguard Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
American Vanguard Reports Q3 2025 Financial Improvement
Positive
Nov 12, 2025

American Vanguard reported a substantial improvement in its financial performance for the third quarter of 2025, with an adjusted EBITDA of $8.2 million compared to $1.8 million in the same period last year. The company attributes these results to greater manufacturing efficiency, reduced operational expenses, and lower net trade working capital, despite a challenging agricultural environment. The company maintained its full-year 2025 EBITDA guidance of $40 million to $44 million and plans to focus on its business improvement plan, which has already shown positive results. Additionally, American Vanguard intends to rename its non-crop business to the Specialty business to better align with industry peers and highlight its advanced technologies.

The most recent analyst rating on (AVD) stock is a Hold with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on American Vanguard stock, see the AVD Stock Forecast page.

American Vanguard Reports Improved Q3 2025 Results
Nov 11, 2025

American Vanguard Corporation is a diversified specialty and agricultural products company that develops, manufactures, and markets solutions for crop protection and nutrition, turf and ornamental management, and commercial pest control.

American Vanguard’s Earnings Call Highlights Robust Growth
Nov 11, 2025

American Vanguard Corporation’s recent earnings call exuded a positive sentiment, highlighting significant financial improvements. The company reported notable gains in EBITDA, gross margins, and effective cost management strategies. Despite facing challenges in international markets and trade tensions with China, American Vanguard’s robust performance in the U.S. crop sector served as a counterbalance to these issues.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
American Vanguard Extends Loan Agreement with BMO Bank
Positive
Aug 19, 2025

On August 18, 2025, American Vanguard‘s subsidiary, AMVAC Chemical Corporation, amended its senior credit facility with a group of commercial lenders led by BMO Bank. The amendment extends the maturity date of the loan agreement to December 31, 2026, and adjusts the borrowing capacity under the revolving credit facility. This extension is seen as a vote of confidence in American Vanguard’s ongoing transformation and improvement, allowing the management to better demonstrate the company’s earnings potential to investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (AVD) stock is a Buy with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on American Vanguard stock, see the AVD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 21, 2025