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American Vanguard (AVD)
NYSE:AVD
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American Vanguard (AVD) AI Stock Analysis

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AVD

American Vanguard

(NYSE:AVD)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▼(-20.84% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/10/26
AVD’s score is held back mainly by weak financial performance, particularly ongoing net losses and negative operating/free cash flow. Offsetting this, the latest earnings call indicated meaningful margin and EBITDA improvement with reiterated 2026 guidance, supporting a moderate earnings-call score. Technicals show a short-term rebound but remain below longer-term averages, and valuation is difficult to support due to the negative P/E.
Positive Factors
Margin & EBITDA Recovery
A large improvement in gross margin and a ~245% jump in adjusted EBITDA reflect material operating leverage and better product mix. These changes suggest structural margin repair from pricing, cost control and mix, improving the company's ability to generate sustainable operating profits if maintained.
Negative Factors
Negative Cash Flow & Net Losses
Persistent negative net income and operating cash flow mean the business is not self-funding, increasing reliance on external financing. This weak cash conversion raises execution risk for multi-year initiatives, heightens sensitivity to margin setbacks, and can constrain reinvestment and deleveraging plans.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Margin & EBITDA Recovery
A large improvement in gross margin and a ~245% jump in adjusted EBITDA reflect material operating leverage and better product mix. These changes suggest structural margin repair from pricing, cost control and mix, improving the company's ability to generate sustainable operating profits if maintained.
Read all positive factors

American Vanguard (AVD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

American Vanguard Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
American Vanguard Corporation, through its various subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and markets a diverse portfolio of specialized chemicals for agricultural, commercial, and consumer applications across the United States and internationally....
How the Company Makes Money
American Vanguard makes money primarily by selling crop protection and pest control products. Revenue is generated from (1) sales of formulated products (finished, branded or labeled pesticides and pest management solutions) to distributors, retai...

American Vanguard Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a cautiously optimistic tone. Company delivered modest top-line growth (7%) with strong profitability improvement (adjusted EBITDA up ~245% and gross margin +500 bps) and improved liquidity and inventory discipline. However, meaningful risks remain: international timing issues, generics competition, elevated debt levels from refinancing, and broader agricultural headwinds and geopolitical uncertainties. Management has clear multi-year targets and execution plans, but several benefits are expected to accrue over the medium term, leaving near-term execution and macro risks to manage.
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Net sales of $124.0M in Q1 2026, up ~7% versus $116.0M in Q1 2025, driven primarily by U.S. businesses.
Negative Updates
International Revenue Pressure
International sales declined ~7% year-over-year, with Brazil and India weaker due to timing of deliveries and customer purchase delays, partially offset by gains in Central America, Mexico and Australia.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Revenue Growth
Net sales of $124.0M in Q1 2026, up ~7% versus $116.0M in Q1 2025, driven primarily by U.S. businesses.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company reiterated 2026 guidance calling for net sales of $530–$550 million and adjusted EBITDA of $44–48 million, noting Q1 results of $124 million sales (up 7% YoY), $10.3 million adjusted EBITDA (up ~245% from $3.0M), gross margin of 31% (vs. 26%, +500 bps) and operating expenses at 26.7% of sales (vs. 27.9%); by segment Q1 U.S. crop sales rose 17%, specialty +6% and international declined 7%. Management highlighted balance-sheet and working-capital metrics including cash of $71 million (vs. $12M prior), total debt $267M (vs. $166M), net debt ~ $196M (vs. $154M), inventories $175M (vs. $185M), and at least $4M of annualized savings from L.A. facility rationalization. Looking ahead they target >$600M annual revenue by 2028 (~20% above 2025), 50 new product launches over five years to drive $100M of annualized revenue by 2030, a long‑term ~15% EBITDA margin (with near‑term double‑digit margin improvement), plans to pay down/refinance debt over ~2–2.5 years, and are focused on sales growth, operating efficiency and improved net trade working capital to drive free cash flow and lower net debt.

American Vanguard Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are weak despite some top-line and gross-margin recovery. Income statement remains pressured with TTM net income deeply negative (-$45.6M) and a negative net margin (~-8.7%). Cash flow is a major concern with TTM operating cash flow (-$36.1M) and free cash flow (-$40.6M) still negative, indicating the business is not self-funding. Balance sheet leverage looks conservative on a TTM debt-to-equity basis (~0.10), but returns are poor (ROE ~-21.9%) and metrics have shown volatility across periods.
Income Statement
32
Negative
Balance Sheet
56
Neutral
Cash Flow
28
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue522.88M515.11M547.31M579.37M609.62M557.68M
Gross Profit155.79M147.56M120.32M179.16M241.35M170.72M
EBITDA-6.25M-11.79M-9.43M44.72M62.79M57.00M
Net Income-45.56M-49.88M-126.34M7.52M27.40M18.59M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets665.24M596.54M636.72M767.55M726.31M694.16M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments70.91M12.43M12.51M11.42M20.33M16.29M
Total Debt283.14M191.39M167.81M162.09M76.25M78.08M
Total Liabilities475.62M404.14M403.61M397.54M356.33M321.42M
Stockholders Equity189.62M192.40M233.11M370.01M369.98M372.74M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-40.59M-25.27M-3.77M-70.81M42.55M76.32M
Operating Cash Flow-36.06M-21.19M3.92M-58.75M57.10M86.36M
Investing Cash Flow-4.13M-3.61M-6.62M-17.02M-14.47M-20.04M
Financing Cash Flow98.91M23.70M4.54M66.74M-38.26M-65.87M

American Vanguard Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.79
Price Trends
50DMA
2.72
Positive
100DMA
3.54
Negative
200DMA
4.18
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Negative
RSI
56.99
Neutral
STOCH
64.77
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AVD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.79 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.72, above the 50-day MA of 2.72, and below the 200-day MA of 4.18, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.77 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AVD.

American Vanguard Risk Analysis

American Vanguard disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. American Vanguard reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

American Vanguard Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$1.23B10.1440.08%12.33%19.00%61.11%
68
Neutral
$454.04M31.732.85%9.55%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
52
Neutral
$83.82M-1.84-21.86%-0.96%66.81%
47
Neutral
$70.04M-6.12-88.01%26.90%-18.62%
43
Neutral
$27.07M-0.11-149.05%-31.20%-754.78%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AVD
American Vanguard
2.93
-1.68
-36.44%
UAN
CVR Partners
116.51
43.43
59.43%
IPI
Intrepid Potash
33.80
-2.03
-5.67%
BHST
BioHarvest Sciences
3.09
-4.19
-57.55%
BIOX
Bioceres Crop Solutions
0.43
-4.21
-90.78%

American Vanguard Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
American Vanguard shareholders back board, governance and bonuses
Positive
Jun 8, 2026
American Vanguard Corporation reported the outcomes of its 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on June 3, 2026, where shareholders elected seven directors, including Chair Pat Gottschalk and several incumbent board members, to serve until the...
Executive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
American Vanguard Announces Board Realignment and Director Departures
Neutral
Apr 15, 2026
American Vanguard Corporation has amended its governance structure following a First Lien Term Loan agreement that its subsidiary AMVAC Chemical and affiliates entered into with lenders led by Centerbridge Partners, filed on March 19, 2026. Under ...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
American Vanguard Restructures Debt with New Term Loans
Neutral
Mar 19, 2026
On March 13, 2026, AMVAC Chemical Corporation, a subsidiary of American Vanguard, entered into new first-lien and second-lien term loan credit agreements totaling $285 million with lender groups led by Centerbridge Partners and BMO Bank. Proceeds ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 10, 2026