Yancoal Australia (YAL) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $7.21B
• Dividend Yield: 11.73%
• Average Volume (3M): 2.93M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 7.5
• Beta (1Y): 0.54
• Revenue Growth: -8.45%
• EPS Growth: -24.30%
• Country: AU
• Employees: 3,689
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 52
• Industry: Coal
• EPS (TTM): 0.12
• Shares Outstanding: 1,320,439,500
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 5,167,436
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 2,933,173
• PEG Ratio: -0.21
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.92
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.27
• P/FCF Ratio: 6.00
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.83
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.95
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 2.10
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 2.77
• 1Y Price Target: $5.76
• Price Target Upside: 5.50% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 2
• EPS Forecast (FY): 0.56
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $8.63B

• Rating: 73 Outperform
• Price Target: AU$6.00 ▲(9.89% Upside)

Yancoal Australia Ltd. has a strong financial foundation with low debt and high profitability, supported by an attractive valuation. However, declining revenues and coal prices, along with logistical challenges, pose risks. The technical indicators suggest a neutral market sentiment.

Positive Factors

Operational Efficiency

Achieving the best operational performance in five years indicates strong management and operational efficiency, which can lead to sustained profitability and competitive advantage.

Financial Position

A strong cash position and lack of interest-bearing debt enhance financial stability, providing flexibility for strategic investments and weathering market downturns.

Production Growth

Increased production capacity supports revenue potential and market share expansion, crucial for long-term growth in a competitive industry.

Negative Factors

Revenue Decline

Significant revenue contraction may indicate challenges in market demand or pricing power, potentially impacting long-term profitability and growth.

Coal Price Decline

Falling coal prices can pressure margins and reduce revenue, posing a risk to financial performance if the trend persists over the long term.

Global Demand Challenges

Reduced demand from key markets due to increased domestic production and alternative energy sources can limit growth opportunities and affect future sales.

Yancoal Australia Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Yancoal Australia Ltd engages in the exploration, development, production, and marketing of metallurgical and thermal coal in Australia, Japan, Singapore, China, South Korea, Taiwan, Thailand, and internationally. It owns 95% interests in the Moolarben coal mine located in the Western Coalfields of New South Wales; 100% interests in the Stratford Duralie mines located within the New South Wales Gloucester Basin; 100% interests in the Yarrabee mine located to the northeast of Blackwater in Central Queensland's Bowen Basin; and 80% interests in the Mount Thorley mine and 84.5% interests in the Warkworth mine located in the Hunter Valley region of New South Wales. In addition, it owns 100% interest in the Ashton mine located in the Upper Hunter Valley region of New South Wales; the Austar mine located in New South Wales; and 50% interest in the Middlemount mine located in the Queensland's Bowen Basin, as well as holds interest in the Cameby Downs mine located in the Southeast Queensland, and the Hunter Valley coal mine located in the New South Wales. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is based in Sydney, Australia. Yancoal Australia Ltd is a subsidiary of Yankuang Energy Group Company Limited.

How the Company Makes Money

Yancoal Australia generates revenue primarily through the sale of coal, which includes both thermal coal used for electricity generation and metallurgical coal utilized in steel manufacturing. The company has established key revenue streams by supplying coal to various markets, including Asia, where demand for energy and steel production is high. Additionally, Yancoal benefits from long-term contracts with major customers, ensuring stable cash flow. The company also engages in strategic partnerships and joint ventures, which enhance its market position and operational efficiency. Factors such as global coal prices, production costs, and demand from key markets significantly influence Yancoal's earnings.

Yancoal Australia Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Yancoal Australia Ltd. shows strong profitability with a high gross profit margin and a solid balance sheet with low debt levels. However, declining revenues and fluctuations in cash flows present challenges.

Income Statement

Yancoal Australia Ltd. demonstrates strong profitability with a high gross profit margin consistently over 70% in recent years. However, there is a notable decline in total revenue from $10.657 billion in 2022 to $6.766 billion in 2024, indicating significant revenue contraction. The absence of EBIT in 2024 further impacts the profitability metrics, although EBITDA remains robust.

Balance Sheet

The company maintains a solid financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio, decreasing from 0.08 in 2023 to 0.01 in 2024, indicating minimal leverage. The equity ratio remains strong, showing stability in asset financing primarily through equity. However, the drop in total assets from 2022 may signal underlying asset management challenges.

Cash Flow

Yancoal's free cash flow grew significantly from 2023 to 2024, demonstrating effective cash management and capital allocation. Although operating cash flow data for 2024 is unavailable, historical trends suggest strong cash generation capabilities. The company faces potential risks with fluctuating capital expenditures and financing cash flows.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	6.26B	6.77B	7.80B	10.66B	5.52B	3.55B
Gross Profit	2.83B	5.37B	4.55B	7.51B	2.70B	855.00M
EBITDA	2.15B	2.47B	3.51B	6.34B	2.18B	-147.00M
Net Income	959.00M	1.22B	1.82B	3.59B	791.00M	-1.04B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	11.78B	12.36B	11.81B	13.37B	12.34B	11.05B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.79B	2.46B	1.40B	2.70B	1.50B	637.00M
Total Debt	128.00M	112.00M	146.00M	673.00M	3.44B	4.21B
Total Liabilities	2.98B	3.04B	3.37B	5.34B	6.19B	5.86B
Stockholders Equity	8.80B	9.31B	8.44B	8.03B	6.14B	5.19B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	947.00M	1.43B	639.00M	6.01B	1.64B	337.00M
Operating Cash Flow	1.77B	2.13B	1.26B	6.56B	1.91B	616.00M
Investing Cash Flow	-823.00M	-687.00M	-596.00M	-334.00M	-317.00M	-602.00M
Financing Cash Flow	-754.00M	-498.00M	-1.98B	-5.13B	-761.00M	-314.00M

Yancoal Australia Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 5.46
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:YAL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.46 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.07, above the 50-day MA of 5.35, and above the 200-day MA of 5.45, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.04 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:YAL.

Yancoal Australia Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
WHC	77 Outperform	AU$7.04B	10.59	11.40%	1.92%	52.51%	82.60%
YAL	73 Outperform	$7.21B	7.51	11.04%	11.73%	-8.45%	-24.30%
NHC	71 Outperform	AU$3.65B	8.32	17.04%	8.48%	-1.53%	-7.57%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%
SMR	63 Neutral	AU$2.74B	706.98	0.15%	7.32%	-18.98%	-99.05%
CRN	51 Neutral	AU$687.35M	-1.32	-36.13%	4.79%	-23.91%	-352.91%
BRL	50 Neutral	AU$153.58M	26.34	1.34%	―	-5.47%	-86.96%

Yancoal Australia Corporate Events

Yancoal Reports No Share Capital Changes in December HKEX Filing

Yancoal Australia has lodged its monthly return for equity securities and Hong Kong Depositary Receipts with the Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited for the period ended 31 December 2025, confirming that there were no movements in its authorised or registered share capital during the month. The routine filing, submitted on 7 January 2026, signals capital structure stability for investors in its Hong Kong-listed securities, with the issuer noting that details will roll forward into the next monthly reporting period.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:YAL) stock is a Buy with a A$6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Yancoal Australia stock, see the AU:YAL Stock Forecast page.

Yancoal Australia Secures New Bank Guarantee Agreements for 2026

Yancoal Australia Ltd announced new agreements for bank guarantee facilities with independent financial institutions, effective from January 2026. These agreements, including the 2026 Australian Entities Framework Bank Guarantee Agreement and the 2026 Premier Coal Framework Bank Guarantee Agreement, are set to enhance the company’s financial operations and stability by providing structured financial support for its subsidiaries over the coming years.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:YAL) stock is a Buy with a A$6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Yancoal Australia stock, see the AU:YAL Stock Forecast page.

Yancoal Australia Releases November 2025 Monthly Return Notice

Yancoal Australia Ltd has released its monthly return notice for November 2025, as per the requirements of the Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited. The notice pertains to the movements in securities, specifically for equity issuers and Hong Kong Depositary Receipts. This submission is part of the company’s compliance with Chapter 19B of the Exchange Listing Rules, indicating a routine update with no significant changes in the company’s authorized or registered share capital.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:YAL) stock is a Buy with a A$6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Yancoal Australia stock, see the AU:YAL Stock Forecast page.

Yancoal Australia Submits October 2025 Monthly Return Notice

Yancoal Australia Ltd has submitted its monthly return notice for October 2025 to the Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited, detailing movements in securities. This submission reflects the company’s compliance with regulatory requirements and its ongoing transparency in financial reporting, which is crucial for maintaining investor confidence and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:YAL) stock is a Buy with a A$6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Yancoal Australia stock, see the AU:YAL Stock Forecast page.

Yancoal Australia Reports Steady Q3 2025 Performance Amid Market Challenges

Yancoal Australia reported a steady performance for the third quarter of 2025, with ROM coal production reaching 15.8 Mt and saleable coal production at 12.3 Mt. Despite weather-related delays, the company managed to recover sales deficits from the previous quarter, achieving an average realized coal price of A$140 per tonne. The company’s cash balance stood at $1.8 billion, positioning it well to explore opportunities amid current market conditions. Yancoal remains on track to meet its operational guidance for 2025, with production and cost metrics aligning with expectations. The company noted that international coal indices faced strong supply and subdued demand, yet average prices improved marginally from the previous quarter.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:YAL) stock is a Buy with a A$6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Yancoal Australia stock, see the AU:YAL Stock Forecast page.