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Stanmore Resources Ltd (AU:SMR)
ASX:SMR

Stanmore Resources Ltd (SMR) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:SMR

Stanmore Resources Ltd

(Sydney:SMR)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
AU$2.50
▲(4.17% Upside)
Stanmore Resources Ltd's overall score is driven by solid financial performance and technical indicators, despite valuation concerns due to a high P/E ratio. The earnings call provided a balanced view of operational strengths and market challenges, contributing positively to the score.
Positive Factors
Operational Recovery
The recovery in ROM coal mining volumes indicates resilience in operations, allowing the company to maintain production guidance despite weather challenges, which supports long-term stability and growth.
Safety Performance
Achieving a zero serious accident frequency rate demonstrates strong safety protocols, which can enhance operational efficiency and reduce potential liabilities, contributing to sustainable long-term operations.
Cash Flow and Liquidity
Strong operating cash flows and a robust liquidity position of over USD 400 million provide financial flexibility, enabling the company to invest in growth opportunities and weather economic fluctuations.
Negative Factors
Suppressed Coal Pricing
Ongoing suppressed coal pricing due to global demand softness can pressure margins and revenue, potentially impacting long-term profitability and financial health if conditions persist.
Production Challenges
Production challenges at Isaac Plains due to weather impact the ability to meet full-year guidance, which could affect revenue stability and operational efficiency if not addressed.
Unexpected Costs
Unexpected stamp duty costs significantly above expectations can strain financial resources, affecting cash flow and potentially limiting investment in strategic initiatives.

Stanmore Resources Ltd (SMR) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Stanmore Resources Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionStanmore Resources Limited engages in the exploration, development, production, and sale of metallurgical coal in Australia. The company holds interests in the Isaac Plains, Isaac Downs, Isaac South, Clifford, The Range, Mackenzie, Belview, Tennyson, and Lilyvale projects in the Bowen and Surat basins of Queensland, as well as 50% interests in the Millennium and Mavis Downs mine located near Moranbah, Queensland. It also exports its products. The company was formerly known as Stanmore Coal Limited and changed its name to Stanmore Resources Limited in May 2021. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Brisbane, Australia. Stanmore Resources Limited is a subsidiary of Golden Investments (Australia) Pte. Ltd.
How the Company Makes MoneyStanmore Resources generates revenue primarily through the sale of metallurgical coal, which is utilized in the steel-making process. The company's revenue model is based on mining operations that extract coal from its licensed tenements, which are then processed and sold to customers, including steel manufacturers and energy producers. Key revenue streams include direct sales contracts with major steel producers, spot market sales, and long-term supply agreements. Additionally, Stanmore Resources may benefit from strategic partnerships with other mining companies or stakeholders in the resource sector, enhancing their operational efficiency and market reach. Factors contributing to its earnings also include fluctuations in global coal prices, demand for metallurgical coal, and operational cost management.

Stanmore Resources Ltd Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 24, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:Mar 02, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong operational recoveries and safety improvements. However, the company faces ongoing challenges with suppressed coal pricing and production issues at certain sites. Financially, while cash flow and liquidity are strong, unexpected costs have impacted the bottom line.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
ROM Coal Mining Volume Recovery
Stanmore reported a strong recovery in ROM coal mining volumes, supporting the maintenance of full-year saleable production guidance despite significant weather challenges.
Zero Serious Accident Frequency Rate
The company achieved a serious accident frequency rate of 0 for the first time since late 2023, showcasing a strong safety performance.
South Walker Creek Production Surge
South Walker Creek delivered its highest ROM production since mid-2022, with over 1 million tonnes produced in June alone.
Poitrel Production and Sales Increase
Poitrel saw a 7% increase in ROM production and a 14% increase in coal sales quarter-on-quarter, despite adverse weather conditions.
Positive Operating Cash Flows
Stanmore generated positive operating cash flows of approximately USD 90 million, with a strong liquidity position of over USD 400 million.
Negative Updates
Suppressed Metallurgical Coal Pricing
Metallurgical coal pricing conditions remained suppressed due to high Chinese steel exports and global demand softness.
Isaac Plains Production Challenges
Isaac Plains struggled with weather-affected production, resulting in a 60% increase in ROM volumes but still below the run rate to achieve full-year guidance.
Lower Average Sales Price
The consolidated average sales price dropped to USD 127 per tonne from USD 139 in the prior quarter, due to various market factors.
Unexpected Stamp Duty Costs
Stanmore faced a higher-than-expected stamp duty assessment of USD 24 million, significantly above the anticipated USD 2-3 million.
Company Guidance
During the Stanmore Resources Limited June 2025 quarterly activities report, the company highlighted several key performance metrics and provided guidance for the remainder of the year. Despite challenging weather conditions resulting in over 110 millimeters of rain in April, the company successfully maintained its full-year saleable production guidance due to a strong recovery in run-of-mine (ROM) coal mining volumes. The company reported a serious accident frequency rate of 0 for the first time since late 2023, demonstrating strong safety performance. Financially, Stanmore generated positive cash flow and maintained a liquidity position of over USD 400 million, with net debt reduced to below USD 100 million. ROM production at South Walker Creek and Poitrel increased, with Poitrel's coal sales up by 14% quarter-on-quarter. However, saleable production at Isaac Plains was somewhat below the run rate, yet guidance remains unchanged. The company reported a consolidated average sales price of USD 127 per tonne, representing a realization of just under 70% of the premium low-volatility index. Despite soft metallurgical coal prices, the company remains optimistic about recovering in the second half, with expectations of improved yields and higher ROM volumes.

Stanmore Resources Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Stanmore Resources Ltd demonstrates a strong revenue base and profitability over the years. However, recent operational and cash flow challenges could impact future performance. The balance sheet remains stable, but attention to leverage and liquidity is crucial to sustain growth.
Income Statement
Stanmore Resources Ltd showed strong growth in revenue and profitability over the years. The gross profit margin is robust, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin in the latest year is lower than previous periods, reflecting increased expenses or cost pressures. The absence of EBIT in the most recent annual data is a concern, potentially signaling operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet demonstrates a solid equity base with a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating financial stability. However, there is a notable decrease in stockholders' equity and total assets over the years, suggesting potential asset write-downs or increased liabilities. The equity ratio remains healthy, but careful monitoring of leverage is advised.
Cash Flow
The cash flow statements indicate strong operating cash flows in prior years, though the most recent period shows reduced free cash flow and negative operating cash flow. This could signal potential liquidity issues. The company needs to improve its cash generation to maintain financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.54B2.40B2.80B2.70B277.60M300.19M
Gross Profit1.67B2.00B2.44B2.22B51.04M32.91M
EBITDA516.56M699.70M1.06B1.12B50.72M19.70M
Net Income-24.35M191.50M472.40M666.80M7.55M-8.14M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.19B3.20B3.61B3.32B322.70M312.75M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments181.82M288.90M446.30M432.40M45.60M5.04M
Total Debt596.92M672.30M775.70M864.20M75.71M29.25M
Total Liabilities1.47B1.37B1.85B1.98B204.70M160.31M
Stockholders Equity1.72B1.83B2.57B1.33B162.30M152.44M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow303.02M222.00M543.60M1.06B65.95M-29.40M
Operating Cash Flow437.68M407.70M736.90M1.18B127.50M-15.70M
Investing Cash Flow-365.76M-249.80M-258.60M-1.43B-97.13M-13.70M
Financing Cash Flow-357.25M-314.90M-462.90M640.40M27.45M2.20M

Stanmore Resources Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.40
Price Trends
50DMA
2.31
Positive
100DMA
2.18
Positive
200DMA
2.10
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.08
Negative
RSI
71.79
Negative
STOCH
92.22
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:SMR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.4 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.44, above the 50-day MA of 2.31, and above the 200-day MA of 2.10, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.79 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.22 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:SMR.

Stanmore Resources Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
AU$6.38B9.6611.40%1.92%52.51%82.60%
73
Outperform
AU$6.73B7.1011.04%11.73%-8.45%-24.30%
71
Outperform
AU$3.41B7.7217.04%8.48%-1.53%-7.57%
66
Neutral
AU$2.42B616.280.15%7.32%-18.98%-99.05%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
51
Neutral
AU$628.67M-1.14-36.13%4.79%-23.91%-352.91%
50
Neutral
AU$172.78M27.981.34%-5.47%-86.96%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:SMR
Stanmore Resources Ltd
2.60
-0.26
-9.09%
AU:BRL
Bathurst Resources Ltd
0.71
-0.05
-5.96%
AU:NHC
New Hope Corporation Limited
4.07
-0.39
-8.74%
AU:WHC
Whitehaven Coal Limited
7.83
2.02
34.70%
AU:YAL
Yancoal Australia
5.22
-0.08
-1.58%
AU:CRN
Coronado Global Resources Inc. Shs Chess Depository Interests Repr 10 Sh
0.37
-0.37
-50.00%

Stanmore Resources Ltd Corporate Events

Stanmore Resources Reports Strong Q3 Performance Amid Market Challenges
Oct 20, 2025

Stanmore Resources Ltd reported improved operational performance in the third quarter of 2025, with increased ROM and saleable coal production. The company has successfully maintained its safety record, with no serious accidents reported. Despite challenges in the global metallurgical coal market, Stanmore has demonstrated financial resilience, reducing net debt and maintaining strong liquidity. The company is on track to meet its revised full-year production guidance, supported by healthy inventory levels and improved market conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SMR) stock is a Buy with a A$2.60 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stanmore Resources Ltd stock, see the AU:SMR Stock Forecast page.

Stanmore Resources Schedules Investor Call for Quarterly Report Discussion
Oct 14, 2025

Stanmore Resources Limited announced an upcoming investor call to discuss their September 2025 Quarterly Activities Report, scheduled for October 21, 2025. The call, hosted by CEO Marcelo Matos and CFO Shane Young, will provide insights into the company’s recent activities and future plans, potentially impacting its operational strategy and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SMR) stock is a Buy with a A$2.60 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stanmore Resources Ltd stock, see the AU:SMR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 03, 2025