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Stanmore Resources Ltd
(Sydney:SMR)
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Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
AU$2.50
▲(7.30% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:04/03/26
The score is primarily supported by strong cash generation and a generally manageable balance sheet, offset by the 2025 swing to operating and net losses and rising debt. Technicals are mixed with weaker near-term trend signals, while valuation is helped by the dividend but constrained by negative earnings (negative P/E).
Positive Factors
Robust cash generation
Sustained high operating cash flow (~$591M) and large free cash flow (~$458M) provide durable internal funding for capex, dividends and debt servicing. Strong FCF reduces reliance on external financing and improves resilience through commodity cycles, supporting strategic flexibility.
Negative Factors
Profitability deterioration in 2025
Transition to negative EBIT and a ~-2.5% net margin in 2025 indicates meaningful earnings pressure. Persistent or recurring losses would erode retained earnings, constrain reinvestment and dividend capacity, and heighten the company's sensitivity to commodity and cost swings over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Robust cash generation
Sustained high operating cash flow (~$591M) and large free cash flow (~$458M) provide durable internal funding for capex, dividends and debt servicing. Strong FCF reduces reliance on external financing and improves resilience through commodity cycles, supporting strategic flexibility.
Read all positive factors
Stanmore Resources Ltd (SMR) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)
Market Cap
AU$2.10B
Dividend Yield7.32%
Average Volume (3M)2.40M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.17
Revenue Growth-19.76%
EPS Growth-125.65%
CountryAU
Employees414
SectorBasic Materials
Sector Strength58
IndustryCoal
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.05
Shares Outstanding901,381,700
10 Day Avg. Volume1,813,584
30 Day Avg. Volume2,404,891
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.34
Price to Book (P/B)1.21
Price to Sales (P/S)1.07
P/FCF Ratio6.84
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
AU$3.08Price Target Upside31.97% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering2
EPS Forecast (FY)0.04
Revenue Forecast (FY)AU$2.07B
Stanmore Resources Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Stanmore Resources Limited, based in Brisbane, Australia, is actively engaged in the full spectrum of metallurgical coal operations across Australia, from exploration and development to production and sales. The company's portfolio includes variou...
How the Company Makes Money
Stanmore Resources makes money primarily by producing and selling metallurgical coal. Revenue is generated when coal is extracted from its mines, processed to meet customer specifications (including via coal preparation/washing where applicable), ...
Stanmore Resources Ltd Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Feb 22, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a predominantly positive operational and financial outcome for 2025 with a strong fourth-quarter recovery, record Q4 throughput, improved market pricing and a materially strengthened liquidity and balance-sheet position (net debt reduced to USD 33m and USD 482m total liquidity). These positives are tempered by notable lowlights: earlier severe wet-weather impacts, a short-term port closure and shipping disruption affecting January/Q1, two serious safety incidents, and medium-term challenges at Isaac Plains as it approaches economic limits. Management is focused on approvals (Isaac Downs), cost preservation, and reprofiling production to mitigate weather impacts. Overall the positives around production recovery, cash generation and market tailwinds outweigh the operational and weather-related headwinds.Positive Updates
Strong Full-Year Production and Sales
Full-year saleable production of 14.0 million tonnes (at the midpoint of revised guidance) and total sales of 14.1 million tonnes, with a very strong fourth-quarter finish delivering record quarterly operational results.
Negative Updates
Significant Wet-Weather Disruption
Severe wet-weather impacts in the first half of 2025 materially disrupted operations across the portfolio (Isaac Plains most affected). Recent ex-tropical cyclone Koji caused further supply disruptions across the Bowen Basin and increased operational risk during the wet season.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Full-Year Production and Sales
Full-year saleable production of 14.0 million tonnes (at the midpoint of revised guidance) and total sales of 14.1 million tonnes, with a very strong fourth-quarter finish delivering record quarterly operational results.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management said 2026 guidance will be released with the FY2025 results in February and reiterated key metrics and outlook: FY2025 saleable production was 14.0 Mt (mid‑point) with total sales 14.1 Mt and ROM mined 20.5 Mt, ending the year with >1.5 Mt ROM inventories (Poitrel ~1.0 Mt); December CHPP feed hit a record 425,000 t/month and the 12‑month serious accident frequency was 0.33; prices improved from ~USD190/t to ~USD218/t during the quarter and are around ~USD250/t for premium hard coking coal and ~USD173/t for PCI more recently; cash at 31 Dec was USD212m (after a USD35m debt repayment), net debt fell ~USD60m over the quarter to USD33m (from USD90m prior quarter), undrawn RCF of USD200m gives total liquidity of USD482m; FY capex was USD85m (mid‑point), FY net debt rose just USD7m YoY after USD60m dividends and a USD24m stamp duty, FOB cash costs are expected to finish within guidance, South Walker is expected to run toward expanded capacity, Poitrel to remain robust, Isaac Plains is expected to decline as parts approach economic limits (around 2028) and the Isaac Downs EIS is targeted for H1 2026, with prime strip ratios expected to revert toward ~8.5x.Stanmore Resources Ltd Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 1.95B | 2.40B | 2.80B | 2.70B | 277.60M |
| Gross Profit | 1.05B | 2.00B | 2.44B | 2.22B | 51.04M |
| EBITDA | 411.57M | 699.70M | 1.06B | 1.12B | 50.72M |
| Net Income | -48.85M | 191.50M | 472.40M | 666.80M | 7.55M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 3.10B | 3.20B | 3.61B | 3.32B | 322.70M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 211.64M | 288.90M | 446.30M | 432.40M | 45.60M |
| Total Debt | 729.49M | 672.30M | 775.70M | 864.20M | 104.19M |
| Total Liabilities | 1.37B | 1.37B | 1.85B | 1.98B | 300.12M |
| Stockholders Equity | 1.72B | 1.83B | 1.75B | 1.33B | 162.30M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 305.91M | 222.00M | 543.60M | 1.06B | 65.95M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 394.08M | 407.70M | 736.90M | 1.18B | 127.50M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -114.87M | -249.80M | -258.60M | -1.43B | -97.13M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -358.17M | -314.90M | -462.90M | 640.40M | 27.45M |
Stanmore Resources Ltd Technical Analysis
Negative
2.33
Price Trends
2.47
Negative
2.56
Negative
2.39
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.04
Positive
37.55
Neutral
10.21
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:SMR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.33 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.60, below the 50-day MA of 2.47, and below the 200-day MA of 2.39, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.21 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:SMR.
Stanmore Resources Ltd Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
66 Neutral | AU$4.51B | 28.96 | 5.87% | 8.48% | -20.55% | -72.75% | |
66 Neutral | AU$6.22B | 9.87 | 11.25% | 1.92% | -13.80% | 268.90% | |
63 Neutral | AU$7.25B | 16.64 | 4.93% | 11.73% | -13.48% | -63.82% | |
62 Neutral | AU$2.10B | -29.86 | -2.82% | 7.32% | -19.76% | -125.65% | |
61 Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% | |
42 Neutral | AU$318.53M | -0.33 | -98.22% | 4.79% | -14.94% | -255.82% | |
41 Neutral | AU$8.08M | -2.03 | -425.94% | ― | ― | ― |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
AU:SMR
Stanmore Resources Ltd
2.33
0.58
33.14%
AU:NHC
New Hope Corporation Limited
5.34
1.77
49.75%
AU:WHC
Whitehaven Coal Limited
7.63
2.20
40.46%
AU:YAL
Yancoal Australia
5.49
-0.26
-4.47%
AU:BCB
Bowen Coking Coal Ltd
0.08
-0.02
-21.88%
AU:CRN
Coronado Global Resources Inc. Shs Chess Depository Interests Repr 10 Sh
0.19
0.05
35.71%
Stanmore Resources Ltd Corporate Events
Stanmore Restores Production Momentum After Cyclone Disruption
Apr 28, 2026
Stanmore Resources reported that its March-quarter operations rebounded strongly after severe wet weather linked to ex-Tropical Cyclone Koji disrupted production early in the period. Supported by strong opening inventories, the company delivered 3...
Stanmore Sets 2026 Hybrid AGM and Flags Key Governance Votes
Apr 20, 2026
Stanmore Resources has released details for its 2026 Annual General Meeting, which will be held as a hybrid event on 20 May in Brisbane and online, enabling both in-person and virtual participation by shareholders. The company has circulated a pro...
Stanmore Resources Releases 2025 Annual Report Detailing Operations and Growth Plans
Apr 20, 2026
Stanmore Resources has released its 2025 Annual Report, outlining the performance of its metallurgical coal operations in Queensland’s Bowen Basin and its portfolio of undeveloped coal projects and tenements. The report includes the chair...
Stanmore Resources Sets Out 2025 Sustainability and ESG Priorities
Apr 20, 2026
Stanmore Resources has released its 2025 Sustainability ESG Report, outlining its approach to managing environmental, social and governance issues across its coal mining operations. The report details performance and initiatives in areas such as ...
Stanmore Resources Sets Hybrid 2026 AGM to Enhance Shareholder Engagement
Apr 20, 2026
Stanmore Resources has called its 2026 Annual General Meeting for 20 May as a hybrid event in Brisbane and online, reflecting its ongoing use of digital platforms to engage investors. Shareholders are encouraged to register in advance, attend virt...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.