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Stanmore Resources Ltd (AU:SMR)
ASX:SMR

Stanmore Resources Ltd (SMR) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:SMR

Stanmore Resources Ltd

(Sydney:SMR)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
AU$2.50
▼(-3.47% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/03/26
The score is primarily supported by strong cash generation and a generally manageable balance sheet, offset by the 2025 swing to operating and net losses and rising debt. Technicals are mixed with weaker near-term trend signals, while valuation is helped by the dividend but constrained by negative earnings (negative P/E).
Positive Factors
Robust cash generation
Sustained high operating and free cash flow provides durable internal funding for capex, maintenance, dividends and debt servicing. This cash generation capacity improves resilience to commodity cycles and funds strategic investment without immediate reliance on external capital.
Negative Factors
Profitability deterioration
A swing to operating and net losses undermines retained earnings and raises questions on earnings quality and margin sustainability. Persistent or recurring unprofitability would constrain reinvestment, dividend capacity and increase sensitivity to commodity price and cost shocks.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Robust cash generation
Sustained high operating and free cash flow provides durable internal funding for capex, maintenance, dividends and debt servicing. This cash generation capacity improves resilience to commodity cycles and funds strategic investment without immediate reliance on external capital.
Read all positive factors

Stanmore Resources Ltd (SMR) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Stanmore Resources Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Stanmore Resources Limited engages in the exploration, development, production, and sale of metallurgical coal in Australia. The company holds interests in the Isaac Plains, Isaac Downs, Isaac South, Clifford, The Range, Mackenzie, Belview, Tennys...
How the Company Makes Money
Stanmore makes money primarily by selling coal it mines and processes from its operated assets, with revenue largely driven by the volume of saleable tonnes produced and the realized coal price (typically linked to global metallurgical coal benchm...

Stanmore Resources Ltd Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 22, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a predominantly positive operational and financial outcome for 2025 with a strong fourth-quarter recovery, record Q4 throughput, improved market pricing and a materially strengthened liquidity and balance-sheet position (net debt reduced to USD 33m and USD 482m total liquidity). These positives are tempered by notable lowlights: earlier severe wet-weather impacts, a short-term port closure and shipping disruption affecting January/Q1, two serious safety incidents, and medium-term challenges at Isaac Plains as it approaches economic limits. Management is focused on approvals (Isaac Downs), cost preservation, and reprofiling production to mitigate weather impacts. Overall the positives around production recovery, cash generation and market tailwinds outweigh the operational and weather-related headwinds.
Positive Updates
Strong Full-Year Production and Sales
Full-year saleable production of 14.0 million tonnes (at the midpoint of revised guidance) and total sales of 14.1 million tonnes, with a very strong fourth-quarter finish delivering record quarterly operational results.
Negative Updates
Significant Wet-Weather Disruption
Severe wet-weather impacts in the first half of 2025 materially disrupted operations across the portfolio (Isaac Plains most affected). Recent ex-tropical cyclone Koji caused further supply disruptions across the Bowen Basin and increased operational risk during the wet season.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Strong Full-Year Production and Sales
Full-year saleable production of 14.0 million tonnes (at the midpoint of revised guidance) and total sales of 14.1 million tonnes, with a very strong fourth-quarter finish delivering record quarterly operational results.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management said 2026 guidance will be released with the FY2025 results in February and reiterated key metrics and outlook: FY2025 saleable production was 14.0 Mt (mid‑point) with total sales 14.1 Mt and ROM mined 20.5 Mt, ending the year with >1.5 Mt ROM inventories (Poitrel ~1.0 Mt); December CHPP feed hit a record 425,000 t/month and the 12‑month serious accident frequency was 0.33; prices improved from ~USD190/t to ~USD218/t during the quarter and are around ~USD250/t for premium hard coking coal and ~USD173/t for PCI more recently; cash at 31 Dec was USD212m (after a USD35m debt repayment), net debt fell ~USD60m over the quarter to USD33m (from USD90m prior quarter), undrawn RCF of USD200m gives total liquidity of USD482m; FY capex was USD85m (mid‑point), FY net debt rose just USD7m YoY after USD60m dividends and a USD24m stamp duty, FOB cash costs are expected to finish within guidance, South Walker is expected to run toward expanded capacity, Poitrel to remain robust, Isaac Plains is expected to decline as parts approach economic limits (around 2028) and the Isaac Downs EIS is targeted for H1 2026, with prime strip ratios expected to revert toward ~8.5x.

Stanmore Resources Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong 2025 operating cash flow (~$591M) and free cash flow (~$458M) support fundamentals, and leverage remains manageable (debt-to-equity ~0.42). However, profitability deteriorated sharply in 2025 (EBIT slightly negative; net margin ~-2.5%) and total debt rose versus 2024, increasing cycle and earnings-volatility risk.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.95B2.40B2.80B2.70B277.60M
Gross Profit1.05B2.00B2.44B2.22B51.04M
EBITDA411.57M699.70M1.06B1.12B50.72M
Net Income-48.85M191.50M472.40M666.80M7.55M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.10B3.20B3.61B3.32B322.70M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments211.64M288.90M446.30M432.40M45.60M
Total Debt729.49M672.30M775.70M864.20M75.71M
Total Liabilities1.37B1.37B1.85B1.98B204.70M
Stockholders Equity1.72B1.83B2.57B1.33B162.30M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow305.91M222.00M543.60M1.06B65.95M
Operating Cash Flow394.08M407.70M736.90M1.18B127.50M
Investing Cash Flow-114.87M-249.80M-258.60M-1.43B-97.13M
Financing Cash Flow-358.17M-314.90M-462.90M640.40M27.45M

Stanmore Resources Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price2.59
Price Trends
50DMA
2.71
Negative
100DMA
2.50
Positive
200DMA
2.23
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.01
Positive
RSI
42.61
Neutral
STOCH
50.64
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:SMR, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2.59 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.75, below the 50-day MA of 2.71, and above the 200-day MA of 2.23, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.64 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AU:SMR.

Stanmore Resources Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
AU$4.93B17.505.87%8.48%-1.53%-7.57%
72
Outperform
AU$10.92B14.864.93%11.73%-8.45%-24.30%
66
Neutral
AU$7.44B23.2311.25%1.92%52.51%82.60%
62
Neutral
AU$2.33B-42.81-3.46%7.32%-18.98%-99.05%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
50
Neutral
AU$147.63M-13.68-2.06%-5.47%-86.96%
44
Neutral
AU$544.85M-0.80-52.66%4.79%-23.91%-352.91%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:SMR
Stanmore Resources Ltd
2.59
1.02
64.76%
AU:BRL
Bathurst Resources Ltd
0.62
-0.09
-13.38%
AU:NHC
New Hope Corporation Limited
5.84
2.61
80.58%
AU:WHC
Whitehaven Coal Limited
9.08
4.79
111.75%
AU:YAL
Yancoal Australia
8.27
3.80
84.89%
AU:CRN
Coronado Global Resources Inc. Shs Chess Depository Interests Repr 10 Sh
0.33
0.09
35.42%

Stanmore Resources Ltd Corporate Events

Stanmore Resources Sets Date for 2026 AGM and Director Nomination Deadline
Mar 17, 2026
Stanmore Resources has scheduled its 2026 Annual General Meeting for 20 May 2026 at 10:00 a.m. AEST. The company has also set 27 March 2026 as the deadline for shareholders to nominate candidates for election to the board, signalling the start of ...
Stanmore Resources Sets FX Rate for FY2025 Dividend Distribution
Feb 27, 2026
Stanmore Resources has updated its previously announced dividend notification to confirm the currency exchange rate that will be applied for shareholders receiving the payout in foreign currency. The rate is based on the Reserve Bank of Australia&...
Stanmore Resources Declares USD 0.089 Final Dividend for 2025
Feb 22, 2026
Stanmore Resources has declared a final dividend of USD 0.089 per ordinary fully paid share for the twelve-month period ending 31 December 2025. The distribution will be paid on 13 March 2026, with shares trading ex-dividend from 26 February and a...
Stanmore Resources Files Updated ASX Corporate Governance Statement
Feb 22, 2026
Stanmore Resources has lodged its updated corporate governance statement for the year ended 31 December 2025, confirming that the document is current as of 23 February 2026 and available on its website. The filing, together with the required Appen...
Stanmore Resources Details Board Structure in 2025 Corporate Governance Statement
Feb 22, 2026
Stanmore Resources has released its Corporate Governance Statement for the year ended 31 December 2025, detailing the framework and practices governing the company and its subsidiaries. The statement, current as of 23 February 2026 and approved by...
Stanmore lifts coal reserves and enhances quality disclosure in 2025 update
Feb 22, 2026
Stanmore Resources has reported total coal resources of 5.1 billion tonnes across its controlled Queensland tenements for the year ended 31 December 2025, alongside run-of-mine coal reserves of 571 million tonnes and marketable coal reserves of 38...
Stanmore Posts 2025 Results and Confirms Stable Coal Reserves
Feb 22, 2026
Stanmore Resources has released its 2025 full-year financial results and accompanying investor presentation for the year ended 31 December 2025. The materials outline operating performance, social performance, financial outcomes, guidance for 2026...
Stanmore Delivers Record Coal Output and Boosts Shareholder Returns Amid Softer Prices
Feb 22, 2026
Stanmore Resources reported a resilient 2025 despite softer coal markets, lifting run-of-mine output to a record 20.5 million tonnes and saleable production to 14.0 million tonnes after completing a capital investment program. Safety performance r...
Stanmore Resources Swings to Loss on Lower Coal Prices but Lifts Final Dividend
Feb 22, 2026
Stanmore Resources reported a sharp reversal in performance for the year to 31 December 2025, with revenue falling 21% to US$1.88 billion and a net loss of US$47.2 million, compared with a US$191.5 million profit a year earlier. Management attribu...
Stanmore Resources Ends 2025 With Record Output, Strong Cash Generation and Higher Liquidity
Jan 26, 2026
Stanmore Resources closed 2025 with record quarterly and full-year coal production and sales, delivering 6.0 Mt of ROM coal and 3.9 Mt of saleable coal in the December quarter and 14.0 Mt of saleable coal for the year, in line with revised guidanc...
Stanmore Resources Sets Investor Call to Review December Quarter Performance
Jan 19, 2026
Stanmore Resources Limited has scheduled an investor call for January 27, 2026, to discuss its December 2025 Quarterly Activities Report, to be led by Chief Executive Officer and Executive Director Marcelo Matos and Chief Financial Officer Shane Y...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 03, 2026