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Stanmore Resources Ltd (AU:SMR)
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Stanmore Resources Ltd (SMR) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:SMR

Stanmore Resources Ltd

(Sydney:SMR)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
AU$2.50
▲(21.36% Upside)
Stanmore Resources Ltd's overall stock score is driven by its strong historical financial performance and positive earnings call highlights. However, technical indicators suggest potential weakness, and the high P/E ratio indicates overvaluation, which are significant risks.

Stanmore Resources Ltd (SMR) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Stanmore Resources Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionStanmore Resources Ltd (SMR) is a mining and resource company focused on the exploration and production of high-quality metallurgical coal, primarily serving the steel manufacturing industry. With operations primarily located in Australia, the company is engaged in developing and operating coal projects that leverage advanced mining technologies and sustainable practices. Stanmore Resources aims to provide reliable and efficient supply chains while maintaining a strong commitment to environmental responsibility and community engagement.
How the Company Makes MoneyStanmore Resources generates revenue primarily through the sale of metallurgical coal to domestic and international markets. The company's revenue model is based on long-term contracts and spot market sales, which allow it to capitalize on fluctuating coal prices. Key revenue streams include direct coal sales, royalties from mineral extraction, and potential partnerships with major steel producers and trading companies that enhance its market access and operational efficiencies. Additionally, cost management strategies and investments in technology help improve margins, contributing to the overall financial performance of the company.

Stanmore Resources Ltd Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 24, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:Mar 02, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong operational recoveries and safety improvements. However, the company faces ongoing challenges with suppressed coal pricing and production issues at certain sites. Financially, while cash flow and liquidity are strong, unexpected costs have impacted the bottom line.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
ROM Coal Mining Volume Recovery
Stanmore reported a strong recovery in ROM coal mining volumes, supporting the maintenance of full-year saleable production guidance despite significant weather challenges.
Zero Serious Accident Frequency Rate
The company achieved a serious accident frequency rate of 0 for the first time since late 2023, showcasing a strong safety performance.
South Walker Creek Production Surge
South Walker Creek delivered its highest ROM production since mid-2022, with over 1 million tonnes produced in June alone.
Poitrel Production and Sales Increase
Poitrel saw a 7% increase in ROM production and a 14% increase in coal sales quarter-on-quarter, despite adverse weather conditions.
Positive Operating Cash Flows
Stanmore generated positive operating cash flows of approximately USD 90 million, with a strong liquidity position of over USD 400 million.
Negative Updates
Suppressed Metallurgical Coal Pricing
Metallurgical coal pricing conditions remained suppressed due to high Chinese steel exports and global demand softness.
Isaac Plains Production Challenges
Isaac Plains struggled with weather-affected production, resulting in a 60% increase in ROM volumes but still below the run rate to achieve full-year guidance.
Lower Average Sales Price
The consolidated average sales price dropped to USD 127 per tonne from USD 139 in the prior quarter, due to various market factors.
Unexpected Stamp Duty Costs
Stanmore faced a higher-than-expected stamp duty assessment of USD 24 million, significantly above the anticipated USD 2-3 million.
Company Guidance
During the Stanmore Resources Limited June 2025 quarterly activities report, the company highlighted several key performance metrics and provided guidance for the remainder of the year. Despite challenging weather conditions resulting in over 110 millimeters of rain in April, the company successfully maintained its full-year saleable production guidance due to a strong recovery in run-of-mine (ROM) coal mining volumes. The company reported a serious accident frequency rate of 0 for the first time since late 2023, demonstrating strong safety performance. Financially, Stanmore generated positive cash flow and maintained a liquidity position of over USD 400 million, with net debt reduced to below USD 100 million. ROM production at South Walker Creek and Poitrel increased, with Poitrel's coal sales up by 14% quarter-on-quarter. However, saleable production at Isaac Plains was somewhat below the run rate, yet guidance remains unchanged. The company reported a consolidated average sales price of USD 127 per tonne, representing a realization of just under 70% of the premium low-volatility index. Despite soft metallurgical coal prices, the company remains optimistic about recovering in the second half, with expectations of improved yields and higher ROM volumes.

Stanmore Resources Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Stanmore Resources Ltd shows strong revenue and profitability historically, but recent operational and cash flow challenges could impact future performance. The balance sheet is stable, but leverage and liquidity need attention.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Stanmore Resources Ltd showed strong growth in revenue and profitability over the years. The gross profit margin is robust, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin in the latest year is lower than previous periods, reflecting increased expenses or cost pressures. The absence of EBIT in the most recent annual data is a concern, potentially signaling operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet demonstrates a solid equity base with a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating financial stability. However, there is a notable decrease in stockholders' equity and total assets over the years, suggesting potential asset write-downs or increased liabilities. The equity ratio remains healthy, but careful monitoring of leverage is advised.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
The cash flow statements indicate strong operating cash flows in prior years, though the most recent period shows reduced free cash flow and negative operating cash flow. This could signal potential liquidity issues. The company needs to improve its cash generation to maintain financial flexibility.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.40B2.80B2.70B277.60M300.19M
Gross Profit2.00B2.44B2.22B51.04M32.91M
EBITDA699.70M1.06B1.12B48.50M19.70M
Net Income191.50M472.40M666.80M7.55M-8.14M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.20B3.61B3.32B322.70M312.75M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments288.90M446.30M432.40M45.60M5.04M
Total Debt672.30M775.70M864.20M75.71M29.25M
Total Liabilities1.37B1.85B1.98B204.70M160.31M
Stockholders Equity1.83B2.57B1.33B162.30M152.44M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow222.00M543.60M1.06B65.95M-29.40M
Operating Cash Flow407.70M736.90M1.18B127.50M-15.70M
Investing Cash Flow-249.80M-258.60M-1.43B-97.13M-13.70M
Financing Cash Flow-314.90M-462.90M640.40M27.45M2.20M

Stanmore Resources Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.06
Price Trends
50DMA
2.05
Positive
100DMA
2.09
Negative
200DMA
2.13
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
42.89
Neutral
STOCH
9.36
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:SMR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.06 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.22, above the 50-day MA of 2.05, and below the 200-day MA of 2.13, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.36 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:SMR.

Stanmore Resources Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$5.80B8.7211.40%2.12%52.51%82.60%
$7.33B7.3811.04%10.49%-8.45%-24.30%
$3.38B7.6717.04%8.48%-1.53%-7.57%
AU$1.90B490.700.15%8.42%-18.98%-99.05%
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
AU$153.58M26.341.34%-5.47%-86.96%
AU$645.43M-28.58%5.62%-23.26%-1008.87%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:SMR
Stanmore Resources Ltd
2.06
-0.95
-31.56%
AU:BRL
Bathurst Resources Ltd
0.64
-0.08
-11.72%
AU:NHC
New Hope Corporation Limited
4.01
-0.47
-10.45%
AU:WHC
Whitehaven Coal Limited
7.04
0.40
5.99%
AU:YAL
Yancoal Australia
5.55
-0.34
-5.79%
AU:CRN
Coronado Global Resources Inc. Shs Chess Depository Interests Repr 10 Sh
0.29
-0.71
-71.00%

Stanmore Resources Ltd Corporate Events

Stanmore Resources Reports Strong Q3 Performance Amid Market Challenges
Oct 20, 2025

Stanmore Resources Ltd reported improved operational performance in the third quarter of 2025, with increased ROM and saleable coal production. The company has successfully maintained its safety record, with no serious accidents reported. Despite challenges in the global metallurgical coal market, Stanmore has demonstrated financial resilience, reducing net debt and maintaining strong liquidity. The company is on track to meet its revised full-year production guidance, supported by healthy inventory levels and improved market conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SMR) stock is a Buy with a A$2.60 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stanmore Resources Ltd stock, see the AU:SMR Stock Forecast page.

Stanmore Resources Schedules Investor Call for Quarterly Report Discussion
Oct 14, 2025

Stanmore Resources Limited announced an upcoming investor call to discuss their September 2025 Quarterly Activities Report, scheduled for October 21, 2025. The call, hosted by CEO Marcelo Matos and CFO Shane Young, will provide insights into the company’s recent activities and future plans, potentially impacting its operational strategy and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SMR) stock is a Buy with a A$2.60 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stanmore Resources Ltd stock, see the AU:SMR Stock Forecast page.

Perpetual Limited Ceases Substantial Holding in Stanmore Resources
Sep 9, 2025

Perpetual Limited and its related bodies corporate have ceased to be substantial holders in Stanmore Resources Ltd as of September 5, 2025. This change in substantial holding could impact Stanmore Resources’ market dynamics and shareholder composition, potentially influencing its strategic decisions and stakeholder relationships.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SMR) stock is a Hold with a A$2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stanmore Resources Ltd stock, see the AU:SMR Stock Forecast page.

Stanmore Resources Reports Stable Half-Year Financial Results
Aug 24, 2025

Stanmore Resources Ltd has released its half-year financial results for the period ending June 30, 2025. The announcement confirms that there have been no material changes to the company’s previously reported ore reserves and mineral resources. This stability in resource estimates is crucial for maintaining investor confidence and ensuring the company’s ongoing operations and market positioning remain strong.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SMR) stock is a Hold with a A$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stanmore Resources Ltd stock, see the AU:SMR Stock Forecast page.

Stanmore Resources Reports Resilient 1H 2025 Results Amid Weather Challenges
Aug 24, 2025

Stanmore Resources Ltd reported resilient production and financial performance for the first half of 2025, despite facing challenges from extraordinary wet weather conditions. The company achieved a serious accident frequency rate of zero, maintained FOB cost performance within guidance, and generated an underlying EBITDA of US$147 million. Although revenue decreased by 29% due to lower sales prices and volumes, the company maintained strong cash flows and liquidity. Stanmore completed significant expansion projects and increased its reserves and resources, positioning itself for future growth. However, due to macroeconomic uncertainties, the company decided to withhold an interim dividend, opting for cautious cash management.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SMR) stock is a Hold with a A$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stanmore Resources Ltd stock, see the AU:SMR Stock Forecast page.

Stanmore Resources Reports Financial Downturn for H1 2025
Aug 24, 2025

Stanmore Resources Ltd reported a significant decline in revenue and profit for the six months ending June 30, 2025, compared to the previous year. The decrease in profit was attributed to lower sales prices and the absence of a one-off gain from the previous period. Despite the financial downturn, the company maintained its joint venture interests and did not declare any new dividends after the period.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SMR) stock is a Hold with a A$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stanmore Resources Ltd stock, see the AU:SMR Stock Forecast page.

Stanmore Resources Schedules Investor Call for 2025 Half Year Results
Aug 18, 2025

Stanmore Resources Limited announced an upcoming Investor Call on August 25, 2025, to discuss its 2025 Half Year Report and Results. The call, led by CEO Marcelo Matos and CFO Shane Young, will provide stakeholders with insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SMR) stock is a Buy with a A$3.95 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stanmore Resources Ltd stock, see the AU:SMR Stock Forecast page.

Stanmore Resources Ltd: Resilient Recovery Amid Market Challenges
Aug 7, 2025

Stanmore Resources Ltd’s recent earnings call conveyed a sentiment of resilience and operational success amidst challenging market conditions. The company demonstrated a solid operational recovery and robust safety performance, maintaining a strong financial position with positive cash flow and liquidity despite facing pricing pressures and unexpected costs.

Stanmore Resources Appoints Ben Gargett as Alternate Director
Jul 25, 2025

Stanmore Resources Limited has appointed Mr. Ben Gargett as an alternate director, nominated by non-executive director Mr. Matthew Latimore. Mr. Gargett, a Chartered Accountant and former PwC partner, brings extensive resources sector experience, enhancing the company’s leadership and potentially strengthening its operational and strategic capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SMR) stock is a Buy with a A$3.95 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stanmore Resources Ltd stock, see the AU:SMR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025