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Whitehaven Coal Limited (AU:WHC)
ASX:WHC
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Whitehaven Coal Limited (WHC) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:WHC

Whitehaven Coal Limited

(Sydney:WHC)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
AU$6.50
▼(-4.41% Downside)
Whitehaven Coal Limited's overall stock score is driven by solid financial performance and attractive valuation metrics. However, technical indicators suggest weak momentum, which could limit short-term price appreciation. Investors should consider the company's strong fundamentals but remain cautious of the current market trends.

Whitehaven Coal Limited (WHC) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Whitehaven Coal Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWhitehaven Coal Limited develops and operates coal mines in New South Wales and Queensland. It operates through three segments: Open Cut Operations, Underground Operations, and Coal Trading and Blending. The company produces metallurgical and thermal coal. It operates four mines, including three open cut and one underground located in the Gunnedah Coal Basin in New South Wales. The company sells coal in Japan, Korea, Taiwan, India, Malaysia, New Caledonia, Vietnam, Thailand, Indonesia, and Europe. Whitehaven Coal Limited was founded in 1999 and is based in Sydney, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyWhitehaven Coal Limited generates revenue primarily through the production and sale of thermal and metallurgical coal. The company sells its coal to both domestic and international customers, with a significant portion of its revenue coming from exports to Asia, where demand for coal remains high for power generation and industrial use. Key revenue streams include long-term supply contracts with power utilities and steel manufacturers, spot market sales, and partnerships with logistics companies for the transportation and delivery of coal. Factors contributing to its earnings include coal market prices, production efficiency, and operational cost management. Additionally, Whitehaven Coal's strategic investments in technology and infrastructure support its revenue growth and cost optimization efforts.

Whitehaven Coal Limited Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 20, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong performance in integrating and operating new assets in Queensland, significant achievements in safety, and fulfillment of production guidance in New South Wales. However, logistical challenges in Daunia and inflationary pressures on production costs were highlighted as areas of concern.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Production and Integration in Queensland
Successfully integrated Queensland operations with 4.8 million tonnes ROM production and 3.2 million tonnes in sales, reflecting strong operational performance.
Record Safety Performance in New South Wales
New South Wales reported a TRIFR of 3.3, marking a 30% improvement from FY '23.
Fulfillment of Guidance in New South Wales
New South Wales operations achieved ROM production of 19.7 million tonnes, well within the guidance range, and average coal price of AUD 217 per tonne for the full year.
Successful Transition and Asset Performance
Smooth transition of Queensland assets into Whitehaven's portfolio, with both Blackwater and Daunia showing strong production results.
Coal Price Realization Stability
New South Wales operations achieved an average realized coal price of AUD 207 per tonne, consistent with market averages.
Negative Updates
Rail Logistics Challenges in Daunia
Rail service allocation issues in Daunia led to sales slippage into the September quarter.
Inflationary Pressures on Production Costs
Production costs slightly exceeded guidance by AUD 1 due to inflation and lower than expected production from Narrabri.
Uncertainty in Realized Pricing for Queensland Secondary Products
Realized pricing for PCI and semi-soft coal products impacted by Russian supply, achieving 66% of the PLV hard coke price, below historical averages.
Company Guidance
During the Q4 2024 earnings call for Whitehaven Coal (WHC.AX), comprehensive guidance was provided regarding production, sales, pricing, and operational metrics. The company achieved a strong ROM production of 4.8 million tonnes in Queensland and 4.9 million tonnes in New South Wales, meeting their guidance. Queensland sales were reported at 3.2 million tonnes, with some slippage expected to fall into the September quarter. The average coal price in Queensland was AUD 271 per tonne, while New South Wales achieved AUD 207 per tonne for the quarter. Safety performance was a highlight, with a TRIFR of 3.3 in New South Wales and 6.6 in Queensland. Total managed ROM production was 9.7 million tonnes for the quarter, with an annual total of 24.5 million tonnes, marking a 34% increase. The financial guidance included a net debt of AUD 1.3 billion as of June 30, and an emphasis on prudent capital management. The company also addressed integration and operational challenges, particularly regarding rail logistics in Queensland, and provided insights on their strategic focus, including potential changes in capital allocation and asset management.

Whitehaven Coal Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Whitehaven Coal Limited demonstrates solid financial performance with strong revenue growth and profitability. The balance sheet is stable with manageable leverage, and the company generates healthy operating cash flow. However, declining free cash flow and reduced gross profit margins may pose challenges.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Whitehaven Coal Limited has shown strong revenue growth with a 2.85% increase in the latest year, despite a previous decline. The gross profit margin remains healthy at 34.96%, although it has decreased from previous years. The net profit margin improved to 11.13%, indicating better profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 25.93% and 36.33%, respectively, showcasing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.36, indicating a balanced approach to leverage. Return on equity is reasonable at 11.38%, reflecting decent profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 48.21%, suggesting a stable financial structure with a significant portion of assets funded by equity.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Operating cash flow is strong, but free cash flow has declined by 27.27%, which could impact future investments. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.60, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.65 suggests some pressure on free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.84B5.83B3.82B6.06B4.92B1.56B
Gross Profit2.19B2.04B1.91B4.59B3.60B418.93M
EBITDA2.03B2.12B930.00M4.11B3.07B-388.68M
Net Income649.00M649.00M355.00M2.67B1.95B-543.91M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.83B11.83B13.31B7.61B6.24B4.65B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.21B1.21B405.00M2.78B1.22B95.20M
Total Debt2.03B2.03B1.89B188.95M244.70M992.71M
Total Liabilities6.13B6.13B8.04B2.35B2.03B1.95B
Stockholders Equity5.70B5.70B5.27B5.26B4.21B2.71B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow731.00M737.00M-127.00M3.34B2.37B45.37M
Operating Cash Flow1.11B1.13B327.00M3.58B2.52B136.23M
Investing Cash Flow16.00M16.00M-3.81B-306.94M-177.19M-103.59M
Financing Cash Flow-294.00M-319.00M1.12B-1.72B-1.23B-44.19M

Whitehaven Coal Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.80
Price Trends
50DMA
6.61
Positive
100DMA
6.11
Positive
200DMA
5.85
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Negative
RSI
60.11
Neutral
STOCH
84.37
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:WHC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.8 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.48, above the 50-day MA of 6.61, and above the 200-day MA of 5.85, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.37 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:WHC.

Whitehaven Coal Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
AU$7.14B7.4513.05%10.76%-8.45%-24.30%
70
Outperform
AU$3.47B7.9216.72%8.25%-1.53%-7.57%
67
Neutral
$5.62B8.3911.40%2.21%52.51%82.60%
64
Neutral
AU$182.38M31.28-5.47%-86.96%
58
Neutral
AU$1.82B469.7710.47%8.59%-18.98%-99.05%
55
Neutral
AU$519.70M-1.13-10.15%5.26%-23.26%-1008.87%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:WHC
Whitehaven Coal Limited
6.80
-0.24
-3.44%
BTURF
Bathurst Resources Ltd
0.49
-0.02
-3.92%
NHPEF
New Hope Corporation Limited
2.94
-0.03
-1.01%
YACAF
Yancoal Australia
3.66
-0.07
-1.88%
AU:SMR
Stanmore Resources Ltd
2.02
-1.04
-33.99%
AU:CRN
Coronado Global Resources Inc. Shs Chess Depository Interests Repr 10 Sh
0.31
-0.88
-73.95%

Whitehaven Coal Limited Corporate Events

Whitehaven Coal Limited Updates on Buy-Back Program
Sep 16, 2025

Whitehaven Coal Limited has announced an update regarding its ongoing on-market buy-back program. As of September 17, 2025, the company has repurchased a total of 5,538,694 ordinary fully paid securities, with 134,131 bought back on the previous day. This buy-back initiative is part of the company’s strategy to manage its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WHC) stock is a Hold with a A$6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Whitehaven Coal Limited stock, see the AU:WHC Stock Forecast page.

Whitehaven Coal Updates on Share Buy-Back Progress
Sep 15, 2025

Whitehaven Coal Limited has announced an update regarding its ongoing share buy-back program. As of September 16, 2025, the company has repurchased a total of 5,338,185 ordinary fully paid securities, with an additional 66,378 securities bought back on the previous day. This buy-back initiative is part of Whitehaven Coal’s strategy to manage its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WHC) stock is a Buy with a A$8.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Whitehaven Coal Limited stock, see the AU:WHC Stock Forecast page.

Whitehaven Coal Updates on Buy-Back Program
Sep 15, 2025

Whitehaven Coal Limited has announced an update regarding its ongoing on-market buy-back program. As of September 15, 2025, the company has repurchased a total of 5,338,185 ordinary fully paid securities. This buy-back initiative is part of Whitehaven Coal’s strategy to manage its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WHC) stock is a Hold with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Whitehaven Coal Limited stock, see the AU:WHC Stock Forecast page.

Whitehaven Coal Updates on Market Buy-Back Progress
Sep 12, 2025

Whitehaven Coal Limited has announced an update regarding its ongoing on-market buy-back of ordinary fully paid securities. As of September 12, 2025, the company has repurchased a total of 5,297,036 securities, including 40,847 securities bought back on the previous day. This buy-back initiative is part of Whitehaven Coal’s strategy to manage its capital structure and deliver value to its shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WHC) stock is a Hold with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Whitehaven Coal Limited stock, see the AU:WHC Stock Forecast page.

Whitehaven Coal Updates on Buy-Back Program
Sep 11, 2025

Whitehaven Coal Limited announced an update on its ongoing on-market buy-back program, reporting the repurchase of 40,326 ordinary fully paid securities on the previous day. This buy-back initiative reflects the company’s strategic efforts to manage its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WHC) stock is a Hold with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Whitehaven Coal Limited stock, see the AU:WHC Stock Forecast page.

Whitehaven Coal Updates on Buy-Back Program
Sep 10, 2025

Whitehaven Coal Limited has announced an update on its ongoing on-market buy-back program, detailing the acquisition of 38,194 securities on the previous day, bringing the total number of securities bought back to 5,177,669. This buy-back initiative is part of the company’s strategy to manage its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WHC) stock is a Hold with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Whitehaven Coal Limited stock, see the AU:WHC Stock Forecast page.

Whitehaven Coal Limited Updates on Buy-Back Program
Sep 8, 2025

Whitehaven Coal Limited has announced an update regarding its ongoing on-market buy-back program, with a total of 129,808 ordinary fully paid securities bought back on the previous day. This buy-back initiative reflects the company’s strategic efforts to manage its capital structure and enhance shareholder value, potentially impacting its market positioning and financial performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WHC) stock is a Hold with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Whitehaven Coal Limited stock, see the AU:WHC Stock Forecast page.

Whitehaven Coal Updates on Share Buy-Back Progress
Sep 8, 2025

Whitehaven Coal Limited has announced an update regarding its ongoing share buy-back program. The company reported that it bought back 79,640 ordinary fully paid securities on the previous day, adding to a total of 4,968,221 securities repurchased before that day. This move is part of Whitehaven’s strategy to manage its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WHC) stock is a Hold with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Whitehaven Coal Limited stock, see the AU:WHC Stock Forecast page.

Whitehaven Coal Updates on Share Buy-Back Program
Sep 4, 2025

Whitehaven Coal Limited has announced an update on its ongoing share buy-back program, revealing that a total of 4,898,156 securities have been bought back prior to the previous day, with an additional 70,065 securities purchased on the previous day. This buy-back initiative is part of the company’s strategy to manage its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WHC) stock is a Hold with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Whitehaven Coal Limited stock, see the AU:WHC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 16, 2025