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Westpac Banking Corporation (AU:WBC)
ASX:WBC

Westpac Banking (WBC) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:WBC

Westpac Banking

(Sydney:WBC)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
AU$41.00
▼(-3.87% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:12/30/25
The score is driven primarily by mid-level financial quality: solid profitability/ROE but offset by rising leverage and multi-year cash-flow volatility. Technicals are supportive with price above key moving averages and positive MACD, while valuation is moderate with a decent dividend. Earnings-call takeaways are mixed due to profit pressure and higher costs/transform execution risk despite strong deposit and lending growth.
Positive Factors
Strong Deposit Growth
The 10% growth in consumer deposits indicates strong customer trust and effective digital banking solutions, which can enhance liquidity and funding stability.
Business Lending Growth
Significant growth in business and institutional lending suggests strong market demand and effective credit offerings, supporting revenue expansion.
Digital Innovations
The launch of digital platforms like Biz Edge and Westpac One enhances operational efficiency and customer experience, driving competitive advantage.
Negative Factors
Rising Leverage
Increasing leverage raises financial risk, potentially affecting Westpac's ability to withstand economic downturns and increasing sensitivity to interest rate changes.
UNITE Program Delays
Delays in the UNITE program could hinder operational improvements and cost efficiencies, impacting long-term strategic goals and profitability.
Cash Flow Volatility
Volatile cash flow patterns undermine financial predictability, complicating investment planning and potentially affecting stakeholder confidence.

Westpac Banking (WBC) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Westpac Banking Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWestpac Banking Corporation provides various banking and financial services in Australia, New Zealand, and internationally. It offers savings, term deposit, business transaction, not-for-profit transaction, foreign currency, farm management deposit, project and retention trust, and statutory trust accounts; home, personal, business, and commercial loans; car and equipment finance; business overdrafts and bank guarantees; debit and credit cards; international and travel services; share trading services; investment products; and home, car, travel, life, caravan and trailer, credit card and loan repayment, boat, and business insurance products. The company also provides corporate and institutional, transaction banking, financial market, corporate and structured finance, trade and supply chain financing, and industry specific banking and treasury services, as well as online banking services. It serves individuals; micro, small, and medium enterprises; commercial business and private wealth clients; and commercial, corporate, institutional, and government customers. The company was formerly known as Bank of New South Wales and changed its name to Westpac Banking Corporation in October 1982. The company was founded in 1817 and is based in Sydney, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyWestpac makes money primarily through its interest income, which is the difference between the interest it earns on loans and mortgages and the interest it pays on deposits. Another significant revenue stream is non-interest income, which comes from fees and commissions, wealth management services, and trading activities. Additionally, the bank generates income through its extensive network of financial products and services, catering to both retail and corporate clients. Strategic partnerships and investments in technology also contribute to Westpac's ability to expand its service offerings and improve operational efficiencies, further enhancing its revenue generation capabilities.

Westpac Banking Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 02, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:May 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Westpac demonstrated strong growth in deposits and business lending, and launched significant digital innovations. However, the company faced challenges with decreased net profit, increased expenses, and delays in the UNITE program. Customer and brand advocacy continue to require attention.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Deposit Growth
Consumer deposits grew by 10%, reflecting the effectiveness of Westpac's banking app and competitive product suite.
Business Lending and Institutional Growth
Business lending increased by 15%, and institutional lending grew by 17%, driven by strong performance in sectors such as health, professional services, and agriculture.
Launch of Digital Innovations
Introduced Biz Edge and Westpac One, enhancing digital capabilities and improving decision-making processes, with Biz Edge processing nearly $5 billion in business lending applications since March.
Employee Engagement and Development
Westpac invested in employee development programs, resulting in strong engagement scores and efforts to attract and retain top talent.
Consumer Resilience and Improved Service Quality
Supported 46,000 hardship packages, with 75% of customers recovering, and improved service quality with a 30% reduction in time to trade for financial market clients.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Net Profit
Net profit, excluding notables, decreased by 2% to $7 billion, and statutory net profit fell by 1% to $6.9 billion.
Increased Operating Expenses
Expenses rose by 9% due to higher restructuring charges and investments, resulting in a higher cost-to-income ratio of 53%.
Customer and Brand Advocacy Challenges
The bank needs to improve customer and brand advocacy, particularly in the small business sector, as consumer NPS ranking is currently equal second.
UNITE Program Delays
The UNITE transformation program experienced delays, with completion now expected in FY '29 instead of FY '28, and increased investment required.
Margin Pressures
The business banking margin faced pressure, with a noted decline in net interest margin by 1 basis point.
Company Guidance
During Westpac's Full Year 2025 Results Briefing, the company provided guidance on various financial metrics and strategic initiatives. Net profit, excluding notable items, decreased by 2% to $7 billion, while statutory net profit fell by 1% to $6.9 billion. The return on tangible equity experienced a slight contraction, partly cushioned by a share buyback. The cost-to-income ratio rose to 53% due to higher expenses driven by their transformation agenda, although efforts under the Fit for Growth program aim to offset this in FY '26. The Board declared a second half dividend of $0.77, contributing to a full-year dividend of $1.53 per share, equating to a payout ratio of 75% of profit after tax, excluding notable items. The company continues to focus on streamlining operations through the UNITE program, with an investment of $660 million in FY '25, slightly above guidance, and plans to invest between $850 million and $950 million in FY '26. Westpac also highlighted improvements in customer service metrics, such as a 30% reduction in financial market clients' time to trade in the Commercial division and a 21% decline in reported customer scam losses, thanks to new initiatives like SafeCall and SafeBlock. Additionally, the company sees promising growth in consumer deposits, which grew by 10%, supported by their award-winning banking app and competitive product suite.

Westpac Banking Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Earnings are resilient with solid profitability and steady ROE (~9–10%), but quality is weighed down by rising leverage (debt-to-equity ~3.19x in 2025 vs ~2.89x in 2024) and highly volatile operating/free cash flow across 2022–2025 despite a strong 2025 rebound.
Income Statement
66
Positive
Profitability is solid with consistent earnings across the cycle (net income mostly ~$5.5B–$7.2B from 2021–2025) and healthy recent operating profitability (2025 annual net margin ~11.8%, operating margin ~17.6%). Revenue trends are mixed: modest growth in 2024 vs 2023, a decline in 2022, and a very large 2025 revenue jump versus 2024 that likely reflects volatility or comparability issues in the reported revenue line. Overall, earnings look resilient, but revenue consistency and margin stability are weaker than ideal.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
The balance sheet shows typical bank leverage but has meaningfully increased in the most recent year: debt-to-equity rose to ~3.19x in 2025 from ~2.89x in 2024 (and ~1.57x–1.91x in 2021–2023). Equity is fairly steady (~$68B–$73B) while assets have grown to ~$1.13T. Returns on equity are steady around ~9–10% recently, which is respectable, but the upward leverage trend raises risk sensitivity if credit conditions or funding costs deteriorate.
Cash Flow
47
Neutral
Cash generation is volatile. Operating and free cash flow were strongly positive in 2025 (~$13.9B operating, ~$13.6B free cash flow) and also positive in 2020–2021, but turned negative in 2022–2024 (notably large outflows in 2022–2023). While 2025 shows a sharp recovery and free cash flow is close to net income (~0.97x), the multi-year swing from deeply negative to strongly positive reduces confidence in cash-flow stability and predictability.
BreakdownSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue57.90B21.05B21.00B19.27B21.81B
Gross Profit21.81B21.05B20.73B20.09B21.59B
EBITDA10.59B0.0011.55B10.06B-1.06B
Net Income6.91B6.98B7.20B5.69B5.46B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.13T1.08T1.03T1.01T935.88B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0.00168.07B176.87B181.02B70.91B
Total Debt232.44B207.17B138.20B126.71B113.17B
Total Liabilities1.05T1.01T957.24B943.69B863.78B
Stockholders Equity72.77B71.70B72.50B70.45B72.03B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow13.55B-1.17B-35.73B-18.27B16.44B
Operating Cash Flow13.93B-933.00M-35.49B-18.10B16.67B
Investing Cash Flow-68.45B-80.24B1.71B2.81B5.62B
Financing Cash Flow39.20B45.08B30.35B48.29B18.64B

Westpac Banking Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price42.65
Price Trends
50DMA
39.46
Positive
100DMA
38.89
Positive
200DMA
36.61
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.99
Negative
RSI
68.70
Neutral
STOCH
85.67
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:WBC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 42.65 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 40.72, above the 50-day MA of 39.46, and above the 200-day MA of 36.61, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.99 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.67 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:WBC.

Westpac Banking Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
AU$118.86B19.937.92%4.53%5.21%-9.07%
70
Outperform
AU$298.42B28.8413.34%3.00%6.39%7.78%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
61
Neutral
AU$145.69B21.129.08%3.90%1.57%0.13%
61
Neutral
AU$17.73B19.0429.52%2.69%6.44%22.38%
58
Neutral
AU$147.96B21.8910.36%4.00%-4.56%-1.63%
56
Neutral
AU$75.48B20.8010.30%3.27%3.65%1.58%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:WBC
Westpac Banking
42.72
12.27
40.28%
AU:ANZ
ANZ Group Holdings
39.98
11.65
41.15%
AU:CPU
Computershare Limited
30.33
-9.54
-23.93%
AU:MQG
Macquarie Group Limited
209.55
-9.75
-4.45%
AU:NAB
National Australia Bank Limited
49.04
15.24
45.08%
AU:CBA
Commonwealth Bank of Australia
177.27
24.95
16.38%

Westpac Banking Corporate Events

Westpac Issues New Shares on Conversion of Unquoted Securities
Feb 27, 2026

Westpac Banking Corporation has notified the market of the issuance of 65,427 ordinary fully paid shares following the exercise or conversion of previously unquoted options or other convertible securities. The new shares, issued on 23 February 2026, represent a minor increase in Westpac’s equity base, reflecting ongoing use of equity-linked instruments while having limited impact on overall capital structure or existing shareholders’ positions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WBC) stock is a Hold with a A$44.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Westpac Banking stock, see the AU:WBC Stock Forecast page.

Westpac CIO Scott Collary to Retire After Six-Year Technology Overhaul
Feb 9, 2026

Westpac Banking Corporation announced that Chief Information Officer Scott Collary will retire later this year after six years with the bank and a long career in financial services. During his tenure, Collary led a broad technology modernisation program, improving resilience and simplifying core systems across the organisation.

The bank credited Collary with significantly strengthening its technology foundations, particularly in cyber security and scam prevention, which has enhanced protection for customers against evolving threats. Westpac said he will remain during a transition period while a search is conducted for his successor, signalling a managed handover designed to maintain stability in its technology operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WBC) stock is a Sell with a A$34.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Westpac Banking stock, see the AU:WBC Stock Forecast page.

Westpac Issues 498,125 Unquoted Share Rights Under Employee Incentive Scheme
Jan 20, 2026

Westpac Banking Corporation has notified the market of the issue of 498,125 unquoted share rights under its employee incentive scheme, effective 13 January 2026. These equity awards, which will not be quoted on the ASX, reflect Westpac’s ongoing use of share-based remuneration to align employees’ interests with those of shareholders and support long-term performance and retention within the group.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WBC) stock is a Hold with a A$39.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Westpac Banking stock, see the AU:WBC Stock Forecast page.

Westpac Issues 91,383 Unquoted Share Rights Under Employee Incentive Scheme
Jan 20, 2026

Westpac Banking Corporation has notified the market of the issue of 91,383 unquoted share rights under an employee incentive scheme, effective 13 January 2026. The additional equity-based awards, which are not intended to be quoted on the ASX, reflect the bank’s ongoing use of share rights to reward and retain staff, further aligning employee interests with shareholder value without immediately diluting the pool of quoted securities.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WBC) stock is a Hold with a A$39.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Westpac Banking stock, see the AU:WBC Stock Forecast page.

Westpac Director Anthony Miller Increases Equity Holding Through Incentive Plan
Jan 20, 2026

Westpac Banking Corporation has disclosed a change in the interests of director Anthony James Miller, notifying the ASX that his holdings in Westpac securities increased following the grant of additional equity under the Westpac Group Equity Incentive Plan. Miller received 45,691 restricted rights and 45,692 performance rights, as well as additional fully paid ordinary shares, lifting his share rights to 375,914 and his ordinary shareholding to 343,348. The transaction, which did not involve any on-market trading or cash consideration and did not occur during a closed period, reflects Westpac’s continued use of equity-based remuneration to align executive and director incentives with shareholder interests and long-term corporate performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WBC) stock is a Hold with a A$39.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Westpac Banking stock, see the AU:WBC Stock Forecast page.

Westpac Issues 640,065 New Shares on Conversion of Unquoted Securities
Jan 15, 2026

Westpac Banking Corporation has notified the market of the issue of 640,065 new ordinary fully paid shares following the exercise or conversion of previously unquoted equity securities. The new shares, dated 31 December 2025, represent the conversion of unquoted options or other convertible instruments into listed equity, modestly increasing Westpac’s share capital and reflecting ongoing utilisation of employee or investor equity incentive arrangements without signaling any major strategic shift.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WBC) stock is a Hold with a A$39.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Westpac Banking stock, see the AU:WBC Stock Forecast page.

Westpac Sets March 2026 Distribution for Capital Notes 10
Dec 28, 2025

Westpac Banking Corporation has announced a quarterly distribution on its Westpac Capital Notes 10 (ASX code WBCPM), a listed hybrid capital security, with a fully franked cash payment of AUD 1.1789 per note to be paid on 23 March 2026. The distribution, covering the period from 23 December 2025 to 22 March 2026, is based on an annualised distribution rate of 4.7809%, derived from the three‑month BBSW plus a 3.10% margin adjusted for franking, underscoring Westpac’s ongoing access to, and support for, hybrid capital markets and providing income stability for noteholders within the bank’s broader capital management framework.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WBC) stock is a Sell with a A$32.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Westpac Banking stock, see the AU:WBC Stock Forecast page.

Westpac Sets March 2026 Fully Franked Distribution on Capital Notes 9
Dec 28, 2025

Westpac Banking Corporation has declared a fully franked quarterly distribution of AUD 1.2306 per Westpac Capital Notes 9 (ASX: WBCPL), payable on 23 March 2026 to holders on the record date of 13 March 2026, with the securities trading ex-distribution from 12 March 2026. The distribution, covering the period from 23 December 2025 to 22 March 2026, reflects an annualised distribution rate of 4.9909%, derived from the three‑month BBSW plus a 3.40% margin adjusted for tax, underscoring the bank’s ongoing commitment to servicing its hybrid capital investors and maintaining confidence in its additional tier 1 funding structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WBC) stock is a Sell with a A$32.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Westpac Banking stock, see the AU:WBC Stock Forecast page.

Westpac Sets March 2026 Distribution for Capital Notes 8
Dec 28, 2025

Westpac Banking Corporation has announced a fully franked quarterly distribution on its ASX-listed Westpac Capital Notes 8 (WBCPK), set at AUD 1.1439 per security for the period from 22 December 2025 to 21 March 2026, with an ex-date of 12 March 2026, record date of 13 March 2026, and payment scheduled for 23 March 2026. The distribution rate for this period is 4.6393% per annum, derived from a 3‑month BBSW of 3.7275% plus a 2.90% margin, adjusted for a 30% tax rate, underscoring the ongoing cost of Westpac’s hybrid capital and providing income visibility for noteholders while signaling continued access to and utilisation of hybrid markets as part of the bank’s broader capital management strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WBC) stock is a Sell with a A$32.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Westpac Banking stock, see the AU:WBC Stock Forecast page.

Westpac Cancels 50,000 Shares Under On‑Market Buy-Back
Dec 23, 2025

Westpac Banking Corporation has cancelled 50,000 ordinary fully paid shares as part of an on‑market buy-back, effective 22 December 2025. The reduction in issued capital reflects the bank’s ongoing capital management strategy, which can enhance earnings per share and return surplus capital to shareholders, and underscores continued use of buy-backs as a tool to optimise its balance sheet and support shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WBC) stock is a Sell with a A$32.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Westpac Banking stock, see the AU:WBC Stock Forecast page.

Westpac Updates Market on Progress of On‑Market Share Buy-Back
Dec 18, 2025

Westpac Banking Corporation has provided an updated notification to the ASX regarding its ongoing on-market share buy-back program for its ordinary fully paid shares (code: WBC). As of 19 December 2025, the bank reported that it had repurchased a cumulative total of 88,723,655 shares prior to the previous trading day and bought back an additional 50,000 shares on the previous day, continuing the capital management initiative first notified in November 2023 and last updated in November 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WBC) stock is a Hold with a A$38.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Westpac Banking stock, see the AU:WBC Stock Forecast page.

Westpac’s 2025 AGM: Key Resolutions and Leadership Changes
Dec 11, 2025

Westpac Banking Corporation held its 2025 Annual General Meeting where all resolutions were decided by poll. Key outcomes included the re-election of Peter Nash and the election of David Cohen, Pip Greenwood, and Debra Hazelton as directors, with significant support from shareholders. However, an amendment to the constitution was not carried. These decisions reflect Westpac’s strategic direction and governance priorities, impacting its leadership structure and potentially influencing its market positioning and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WBC) stock is a Hold with a A$38.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Westpac Banking stock, see the AU:WBC Stock Forecast page.

Westpac Updates Voting Share Control Status
Dec 11, 2025

Westpac Banking Corporation has announced the aggregated percentage of voting shares controlled by its entities, which stands at 0.27% of the total voting shares issued. This update, in line with an exemption granted by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission, reflects Westpac’s ongoing management of its shareholding structure and its influence over voting rights, which could have implications for its operational control and stakeholder engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WBC) stock is a Hold with a A$38.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Westpac Banking stock, see the AU:WBC Stock Forecast page.

Westpac CEO Outlines Strategic Vision at 2025 AGM
Dec 11, 2025

Westpac’s CEO addressed shareholders at the 2025 Annual General Meeting, emphasizing the company’s commitment to becoming a more resilient and customer-focused bank. The CEO highlighted the importance of improving service standards to build trust and loyalty, with the ultimate goal of being the top bank for customers. Westpac is pursuing a growth and transformation agenda, supported by a strong balance sheet, and is guided by five strategic priorities to achieve its ambitions. The company reported a solid financial performance for the year, with strong momentum in its target segments.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WBC) stock is a Hold with a A$38.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Westpac Banking stock, see the AU:WBC Stock Forecast page.

Westpac’s 2025 Transformation and Sustainability Commitment
Dec 10, 2025

In 2025, Westpac has embarked on a transformative agenda under new leadership, aiming to improve operational efficiency and customer experiences, which is expected to enhance shareholder returns. The completion of the five-year CORE program has improved risk management and governance, while the removal of a $500 million risk capital overlay by APRA has bolstered the bank’s capital position. Westpac’s commitment to sustainability is evident as it remains Australia’s largest lender to renewable energy, supporting the nation’s transition while ensuring energy reliability and affordability. Financially, Westpac’s net profit was slightly down to $7 billion, reflecting its strategy of balancing growth and necessary investments in innovation and transformation.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WBC) stock is a Hold with a A$38.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Westpac Banking stock, see the AU:WBC Stock Forecast page.

Westpac Updates Dividend Reinvestment Plan Details
Dec 3, 2025

Westpac Banking Corporation has updated its previous announcement regarding its dividend distribution, providing new details on the Dividend Reinvestment Plan (DRP) price, participation rate, and foreign currency payment options. This update is part of the company’s ongoing financial reporting for the six-month period ending September 30, 2025, and reflects Westpac’s commitment to maintaining transparency and shareholder engagement through clear communication of its financial strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WBC) stock is a Hold with a A$38.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Westpac Banking stock, see the AU:WBC Stock Forecast page.

Westpac Releases Latest Sustainability Update
Dec 1, 2025

Westpac has released its latest sustainability update, highlighting its ongoing commitment to sustainable practices. The update reflects Westpac’s efforts to integrate sustainability into its operations, which is crucial for maintaining its competitive edge and meeting stakeholder expectations in a rapidly evolving market landscape.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:WBC) stock is a Hold with a A$38.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Westpac Banking stock, see the AU:WBC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025