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Viva Energy Group Ltd. (AU:VEA)
ASX:VEA

Viva Energy Group Ltd. (VEA) AI Stock Analysis

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AU

Viva Energy Group Ltd.

(Sydney:VEA)

54Neutral
Viva Energy's overall score indicates caution. The company shows strength in revenue growth but is challenged by its profitability and leverage, impacting its financial performance score. Technically, the stock is experiencing bearish trends, and valuation metrics raise concerns due to negative earnings. These factors suggest potential risks, warranting careful consideration for investors.

Viva Energy Group Ltd. (VEA) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Viva Energy Group Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionViva Energy Group Ltd. (VEA) is one of Australia's leading energy companies, primarily engaged in the refining, distribution, and marketing of petroleum products. The company operates in several sectors, including retail fuel, commercial fuel, aviation, and marine. Its core products and services revolve around the supply of fuels, lubricants, and specialty hydrocarbon products, with a significant presence through its Shell-branded service station network across Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyViva Energy Group Ltd. generates revenue primarily through the sale of refined petroleum products. The company's key revenue streams include retail fuel sales, where it markets fuel through a vast network of Shell-branded service stations, and commercial fuel sales, supplying diesel, gasoline, and lubricant products to industries such as aviation, marine, mining, and transport. Additionally, Viva Energy operates the Geelong Refinery, which plays a critical role in its supply chain and revenue generation by refining crude oil into various fuel products. Strategic partnerships, such as the licensing agreement with Shell for branding and product technology, also enhance its market presence and contribute to its earnings.

Viva Energy Group Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow
Breakdown
Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
26.74B26.43B15.87B12.38B16.53B
Gross Profit
2.18B1.69B1.04B386.10M835.80M
EBIT
241.90M831.20M426.20M-197.10M225.10M
EBITDA
562.40M1.34B923.00M221.20M681.40M
Net Income Common Stockholders
3.80M514.30M232.90M-36.20M113.30M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
215.50M290.50M96.70M49.10M127.20M
Total Assets
9.08B9.31B8.02B7.16B8.79B
Total Debt
3.00B2.46B2.67B2.69B2.71B
Net Debt
2.78B2.17B2.58B2.64B2.59B
Total Liabilities
7.07B6.95B5.91B5.11B6.07B
Stockholders Equity
2.01B2.36B2.11B2.06B2.72B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
181.60M802.70M342.00M64.70M278.70M
Operating Cash Flow
674.30M1.11B528.00M230.00M440.50M
Investing Cash Flow
-694.30M-284.50M-217.40M526.50M-339.20M
Financing Cash Flow
-55.00M-628.10M-263.00M-826.90M-90.40M

Viva Energy Group Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1.84
Price Trends
50DMA
1.69
Positive
100DMA
2.11
Negative
200DMA
2.44
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Negative
RSI
67.36
Neutral
STOCH
92.64
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:VEA, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1.84 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.62, above the 50-day MA of 1.69, and below the 200-day MA of 2.44, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.64 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AU:VEA.

Viva Energy Group Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (56)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AUSOL
65
Neutral
$13.66B24.005.85%3.16%36.14%-3.50%
AUSTO
63
Neutral
$19.05B10.207.94%6.90%-7.99%-12.27%
AUORG
62
Neutral
$18.40B12.8914.75%5.58%8.09%-13.99%
56
Neutral
$6.91B3.46-4.86%5.95%0.08%-49.21%
AUBPT
56
Neutral
$2.69B28.592.70%4.27%6.43%
AUVEA
54
Neutral
€2.96B23.48-3.93%6.25%12.72%-1996.00%
AUCTP
50
Neutral
AU$46.95M630.000.25%-15.16%-99.57%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:VEA
Viva Energy Group Ltd.
1.84
-1.48
-44.58%
AU:BPT
Beach Energy
1.22
-0.41
-25.37%
AU:ORG
Origin Energy Limited
11.03
1.64
17.50%
AU:STO
Santos Limited
6.06
-1.41
-18.88%
AU:SOL
Washington H. Soul Pattinson and Co.
37.34
5.63
17.76%
AU:CTP
Central Petroleum Limited
0.06
-0.01
-14.29%

Viva Energy Group Ltd. Corporate Events

Viva Energy Highlights Operational Insights at Macquarie Conference
May 6, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd. presented at the Macquarie Australia Conference in May 2025, providing a general overview of its operations and financial outlook. The presentation emphasized that the information is for informational purposes only and not financial advice, highlighting the inherent risks and uncertainties in forward-looking statements. Stakeholders are advised to conduct independent assessments before making investment decisions.

Viva Energy Appoints New Director Mark Chung
May 5, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd. has announced the appointment of Mark Chung as a director, effective May 5, 2025. The initial director’s interest notice reveals that Mark Chung currently holds no relevant interests in the company’s securities, indicating a fresh start in his role without existing financial ties to the company.

Viva Energy Announces Director Departure
May 5, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd. has announced a change in its board of directors, with Michael Muller ceasing to be a director as of May 5, 2025. This update is part of the company’s compliance with ASX listing rules and the Corporations Act, ensuring transparency and proper governance. The announcement does not indicate any immediate impact on the company’s operations or strategic direction.

Viva Energy Sees Shift in Substantial Holder Interests
Apr 24, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd. has experienced a change in the interests of a substantial holder, with State Street Bank and Trust Company and its affiliates adjusting their voting power in the company. This announcement highlights the dynamic nature of shareholder interests and could impact the company’s governance and strategic decisions, as the substantial holder retains significant voting power and influence over Viva Energy’s operations.

Viva Energy’s Substantial Holder Voting Power Shifts
Apr 22, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd. has experienced a change in the interests of its substantial holder, Ubique Asset Management Pty Ltd. The voting power of Ubique Asset Management has decreased from 6.26% to 5.14% due to various transactions including on-market purchases and in-specie transfers. This shift in voting power may impact the company’s shareholder dynamics and influence future corporate decisions.

Viva Energy Director Increases Shareholding
Apr 17, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd has announced a change in the director’s interest, with Sarah Ryan acquiring an additional 10,000 ordinary shares, bringing her total to 119,667 shares. This on-market acquisition reflects a potential increase in confidence or strategic interest in the company’s future prospects, possibly impacting stakeholders’ perceptions and the company’s market positioning.

Viva Energy Reports Steady Progress in 1Q2025 with Strategic Acquisitions and Cost Initiatives
Apr 14, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd. reported its 1Q2025 operating update, highlighting progress in achieving its EBITDA guidance for the first half of 2025. The company completed the acquisition of the remaining 50% interest in Liberty Convenience, which is expected to contribute significantly to its C&M segment. Despite a decline in C&I sales due to adverse weather, the company saw growth in retail fuel margins and convenience sales. The Geelong Refinery faced challenges due to a power outage, but the upgrade to Ultra Low Sulphur Gasoline is on track. Viva Energy is also implementing cost reduction initiatives and network expansions, aiming for significant synergies and operational efficiencies by FY2026.

Viva Energy Announces Board Changes with New Non-Executive Director Appointment
Apr 11, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd. announced the resignation of Michael Muller from its Board and the appointment of Mark Chung as a Non-Executive Director, effective 5 May 2025. Mark Chung, who brings extensive experience from his roles at Vitol and Bank of America Merrill Lynch, is expected to strengthen the Board with his expertise in the Asia Pacific energy sector. This leadership change is anticipated to bolster Viva Energy’s strategic positioning in the energy market, potentially impacting its operations and stakeholder relationships.

Viva Energy Group Ltd. Announces Change in Substantial Holder Interests
Apr 9, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd. has announced a change in the interests of a substantial holder, State Street Bank and Trust Company, which has lent securities and retains a relevant interest. This change in voting power and relevant interests may impact the company’s governance and shareholder dynamics, potentially affecting its strategic decisions and stakeholder relations.

Viva Energy Announces Change in Substantial Holding
Apr 2, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd. has announced a change in the substantial holding of its voting shares, which involves various entities such as State Street Global Advisors and State Street Bank and Trust Company. This change in voting power and relevant interests could impact the company’s governance and decision-making processes, potentially influencing its strategic direction and stakeholder relations.

Viva Energy’s Successful Inaugural Dividend Reinvestment Plan
Mar 31, 2025

Viva Energy Group Limited announced the successful participation in its inaugural Dividend Reinvestment Plan (DRP) for the final dividend of 2024, with 52% of the company’s issued capital participating, including its major shareholder VIP Energy Australia B.V. The DRP resulted in the issuance of 19,041,596 shares at a discounted price, reflecting strong shareholder engagement and potentially enhancing the company’s capital base without incurring brokerage or transaction costs.

Viva Energy Group Ltd. Announces Cessation of Deferred Share Rights
Mar 28, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd. announced the cessation of 3,469 deferred share rights due to the lapse of conditional rights, as the conditions were not met or became incapable of being satisfied. This announcement may impact the company’s issued capital and could have implications for stakeholders regarding the company’s financial strategies or market positioning.

Viva Energy Issues Unquoted Equity Securities as Employee Incentives
Mar 28, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd. announced the issuance of unquoted equity securities, including 3,243,908 deferred share rights and 199,567 performance rights, as part of an employee incentive scheme. This move is likely aimed at enhancing employee engagement and aligning their interests with the company’s long-term goals, potentially impacting its operational dynamics and stakeholder relationships.

Viva Energy Updates Director’s Securities Holdings
Mar 28, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd. has announced a change in the director’s interest notice, specifically regarding Scott Wyatt’s securities. On March 25, 2025, Scott Wyatt was awarded 121,941 deferred share rights under the 2024 Short-Term Incentive Plan (STIP), increasing his holdings in deferred share rights. This change reflects the company’s ongoing remuneration strategy and may influence the market perception of its executive compensation practices.

Viva Energy Director Increases Shareholding
Mar 25, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd. announced a change in the director’s interest, with Nicola Wakefield Evans acquiring an additional 30,000 ordinary shares, bringing her total to 106,500 shares. This on-market acquisition reflects confidence in the company’s future prospects and may influence stakeholder perceptions positively.

Viva Energy Group Sees Change in Substantial Holder’s Voting Power
Mar 19, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd. has announced a change in the interests of a substantial holder, L1 Capital Pty Ltd, which affects the voting power in the company. The voting power of L1 Capital has decreased from 7.80% to 6.54%, indicating a reduction in their stake in Viva Energy Group Ltd. This change in substantial holding could impact the company’s shareholder dynamics and influence within the market.

Viva Energy Updates Dividend Reinvestment Plan Details
Mar 19, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd. has announced an update regarding its Dividend Reinvestment Plan (DRP) price, which pertains to the dividend distribution for the six-month period ending December 31, 2024. This update is significant for stakeholders as it reflects the company’s financial strategies and commitment to shareholder returns, potentially affecting investor sentiment and market positioning.

Viva Energy Announces Change in Substantial Holder Interests
Mar 13, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd. has announced a change in the interests of a substantial holder, with State Street Global Advisors Europe Limited and State Street Bank and Trust Company being key entities involved in the holding of voting securities. The change in voting power reflects a shift in the control and management of these securities, which may impact the company’s governance and influence in decision-making processes.

Viva Energy Group Ltd. Announces Change in Substantial Holder Interests
Mar 12, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd. has experienced a change in the interests of a substantial holder, with State Street Global Advisors Europe Limited and State Street Bank and Trust Company being key entities involved. This adjustment in voting power reflects a shift in the control and management of securities, potentially impacting the company’s governance and decision-making processes.

Viva Energy Director Increases Shareholding
Mar 12, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd. has announced a change in the interests of its director, Robert Hill, in the company’s securities. On March 6, 2025, Hill acquired an additional 10,000 ordinary shares through an on-market trade, increasing his total holdings to 189,584 ordinary shares. This acquisition reflects a strategic move by the director, potentially signaling confidence in the company’s future performance.

Viva Energy Announces Cessation of Securities Due to Unmet Conditions
Feb 28, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd. announced the cessation of certain securities, specifically deferred share rights and performance rights, due to unmet conditions. This development indicates a potential impact on the company’s capital structure and may influence stakeholder perceptions regarding the company’s operational and financial strategies.

Viva Energy Director Increases Shareholding
Feb 28, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd. has announced a change in the director’s interest, with Director Arnoud De Meyer acquiring an additional 14,000 ordinary shares through an on-market trade. This acquisition increases his total holdings to 185,943 ordinary shares, reflecting confidence in the company’s future prospects and potentially impacting stakeholder perceptions positively.

Viva Energy Updates Director’s Interest Following Performance Rights Vesting
Feb 28, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd. has announced a change in the director’s interest notice for Scott Wyatt. The update reflects the vesting and exercise of deferred share rights and performance rights, resulting in an increase in ordinary shares held by Mr. Wyatt. The changes include the vesting of 162,983 deferred share rights from the 2022 STI and 99,505 from the 2023 STI, as well as the vesting of 906,319 performance rights from the 2022 LTI, with a small portion lapsed and canceled. This adjustment in director’s interests indicates a positive performance outcome for the company, aligning with its remuneration strategy.

Viva Energy Launches Dividend Reinvestment Plan for Shareholders
Feb 24, 2025

Viva Energy Group Limited has announced the establishment of a Dividend Reinvestment Plan (DRP) applicable from the FY2024 final dividend. This plan allows eligible shareholders in Australia and New Zealand to reinvest their dividends to acquire additional shares at a 1.5% discount, free of brokerage and other transaction costs. The DRP is voluntary, and shareholders can choose to participate or continue receiving dividends as per their existing instructions. This initiative is expected to enhance shareholder value by offering a cost-effective way to increase holdings in the company.

Viva Energy Group Ltd. Announces FY2024 Results
Feb 24, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd. released its full-year results for the year ended 31 December 2024. The presentation highlights the company’s performance and financial outcomes, while emphasizing that the information is for general purposes and not financial advice. The release underscores the importance of independent assessment and consultation with professional advisers before making investment decisions, as the presentation includes assumptions and forward-looking statements that are subject to change.

Viva Energy Reports 5% EBITDA Growth Amid Strategic Transformations
Feb 24, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd. reported a 5% increase in EBITDA to $748.6 million for FY2024, driven by strong sales growth in its Commercial business and improved refinery operations. Despite challenges such as lower demand in the convenience sector and declining regional refining margins, the company is progressing with its transformation strategy, including the acquisition of OTR Group and plans to capture $90 million in synergies. The company is also targeting cost reductions and expects store conversions to drive growth, with 40 to 60 OTR stores planned for conversion or opening in the coming year.

Viva Energy Reports 2024 Financial Results Amid Market Challenges
Feb 24, 2025

Viva Energy Group Limited reported its financial results for the year ended December 31, 2024, showing a significant decrease in net profit on a historical cost basis, with a loss of $76.3 million compared to a profit of $3.8 million the previous year. However, on a replacement cost basis, which the company uses to better reflect its operating performance by excluding oil price fluctuations, the net profit was $254.2 million, down from $318.2 million in 2023. This decline reflects challenges in the market, impacting earnings per share and net tangible assets per share, which also saw substantial decreases.

Viva Energy Group to Announce Full Year 2024 Financial Results
Feb 18, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd. announced that its financial results for the year ending December 31, 2024, will be released on February 25, 2025. The briefing, which will be conducted by the CEO and CFO, will be accessible via webcast and conference call, highlighting the company’s transparent communication with stakeholders. This announcement may provide insights into the company’s financial health and future prospects, potentially affecting its market positioning and stakeholder confidence.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.