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Viva Energy Group Ltd. (AU:VEA)
ASX:VEA

Viva Energy Group Ltd. (VEA) AI Stock Analysis

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AU

Viva Energy Group Ltd.

(Sydney:VEA)

Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
AU$2.00
▲(3.09%Upside)
The overall stock score reflects Viva Energy's mixed financial performance with revenue growth but profitability concerns, balanced by short-term technical strength. The negative P/E ratio and high dividend yield point to valuation challenges amidst operational hurdles.

Viva Energy Group Ltd. (VEA) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Viva Energy Group Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionViva Energy Group Limited operates as an energy company in Australia, Singapore, and Papua New Guinea. It operates through three segments: Retail, Fuels and Marketing; Refining; and Supply, Corporate and Overheads. The Retail, Fuels and Marketing segment supplies and markets fuel products through a network of approximately 1,330 retail service stations under Shell, Liberty, Westside Petroleum, and Viva Energy brands, as well as to other retail operators and wholesalers; supplies fuel, lubricants, and specialty hydrocarbon products to commercial customers in the aviation, marine, transport, resources, and construction and manufacturing industries. The Refining segment owns and operates a refinery in Geelong, Victoria; and offers specialty products, such as liquid petroleum gas, bitumen, oils, chemical products, gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel, as well as aviation gasoline for use in piston engine aircraft, and aromatic and aliphatic based solvent products. The Supply, Corporate and Overheads segment owns and manages an integrated supply chain of terminals, storage tanks, depots, pipelines, and distribution assets in Australia. The company was incorporated in 2018 and is based in Docklands, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyViva Energy Group Ltd. generates revenue primarily through the sale of refined petroleum products. The company's key revenue streams include retail fuel sales, where it markets fuel through a vast network of Shell-branded service stations, and commercial fuel sales, supplying diesel, gasoline, and lubricant products to industries such as aviation, marine, mining, and transport. Additionally, Viva Energy operates the Geelong Refinery, which plays a critical role in its supply chain and revenue generation by refining crude oil into various fuel products. Strategic partnerships, such as the licensing agreement with Shell for branding and product technology, also enhance its market presence and contribute to its earnings.

Viva Energy Group Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Viva Energy Group Ltd. has shown resilience in revenue growth and positive free cash flow, but faces challenges with negative net income and increased leverage in 2024. Continued cost management and debt reduction are crucial.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Viva Energy Group Ltd. has shown a consistent increase in total revenue from 2020 to 2024, with a notable recovery post-2020. However, the company experienced a negative net income in 2024, resulting in a negative net profit margin. Gross profit margin has improved over the years, indicating better cost management. The absence of EBIT in 2024 indicates operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased significantly from 2023 to 2024, indicating higher leverage and potential risk. However, it maintains a reasonable equity ratio. The decline in stockholders' equity and the increase in total debt suggest financial strain.
Cash Flow
62
Positive
Viva Energy's free cash flow has fluctuated over the years but remains positive in 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is challenging to assess due to a zero operating cash flow in 2024. The positive free cash flow to net income ratio in previous years indicates operational efficiency despite recent setbacks.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
29.99B26.74B26.43B15.87B12.38B
Gross Profit
2.95B2.18B1.69B1.04B386.10M
EBIT
22.10M241.90M831.20M426.20M-197.10M
EBITDA
625.30M562.40M1.34B923.00M221.20M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-76.30M3.80M514.30M232.90M-36.20M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
192.70M215.50M290.50M96.70M49.10M
Total Assets
12.13B9.08B9.31B8.02B7.16B
Total Debt
5.53B3.00B2.46B2.67B2.69B
Net Debt
5.34B2.78B2.17B2.58B2.64B
Total Liabilities
10.23B7.07B6.95B5.91B5.11B
Stockholders Equity
1.90B2.01B2.36B2.11B2.06B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
17.50M181.60M802.70M342.00M64.70M
Operating Cash Flow
598.40M674.30M1.11B528.00M230.00M
Investing Cash Flow
-1.54B-694.30M-284.50M-217.40M526.50M
Financing Cash Flow
909.10M-55.00M-628.10M-263.00M-826.90M

Viva Energy Group Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.94
Price Trends
50DMA
1.75
Positive
100DMA
1.96
Negative
200DMA
2.32
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Positive
RSI
59.71
Neutral
STOCH
69.26
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:VEA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.94 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.90, above the 50-day MA of 1.75, and below the 200-day MA of 2.32, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.26 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:VEA.

Viva Energy Group Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AUVEA
63
Neutral
€3.12B23.48-3.93%6.14%12.72%-1996.00%
57
Neutral
$7.22B3.15-4.49%5.63%0.82%-49.15%
$1.97B32.002.70%3.83%
$11.84B12.6214.75%5.52%
$13.89B11.677.94%5.31%
$9.60B20.255.85%3.16%
AUCTP
46
Neutral
AU$43.97M590.000.25%-15.16%-99.57%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:VEA
Viva Energy Group Ltd.
1.94
-1.19
-38.16%
BEPTF
Beach Energy
0.86
-0.17
-16.50%
OGFGF
Origin Energy Limited
6.88
0.49
7.67%
STOSF
Santos Limited
4.16
-0.40
-8.77%
WSOUF
Washington H. Soul Pattinson and Co.
20.53
0.14
0.69%
AU:CTP
Central Petroleum Limited
0.06
0.00
0.00%

Viva Energy Group Ltd. Corporate Events

Viva Energy Appoints New Director with Significant Shareholding
Jun 2, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd. has announced the appointment of John Joyce as a director, effective from June 2, 2025. Joyce holds 13,118 ordinary shares in the company, indicating a significant personal investment. This appointment could influence the company’s strategic direction and stakeholder confidence, as directors with substantial shareholdings often align their interests closely with those of the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:VEA) stock is a Buy with a A$3.65 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Viva Energy Group Ltd. stock, see the AU:VEA Stock Forecast page.

Viva Energy’s LNG Terminal in Geelong Receives Green Light
May 30, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd. has received a positive environmental assessment from the Victorian Government for its proposed LNG terminal in Geelong, allowing the project to proceed with conditions. This development is crucial for ensuring a secure gas supply to the south-east market and represents a significant growth opportunity for Viva Energy, leveraging its strategic position in Geelong. The project is now moving towards the Final Investment Decision, contingent on securing financial and commercial arrangements, with first gas delivery targeted for winter 2028.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:VEA) stock is a Buy with a A$3.65 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Viva Energy Group Ltd. stock, see the AU:VEA Stock Forecast page.

Viva Energy’s 2025 AGM: Key Resolutions Passed with Strong Shareholder Support
May 20, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd. held its 2025 Annual General Meeting, where several key resolutions were passed. The meeting resulted in the adoption of the remuneration report and the re-election of directors, with strong support from shareholders. The grant of performance rights under the company’s long-term incentive plan was also approved, indicating continued confidence in the company’s leadership and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:VEA) stock is a Buy with a A$3.65 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Viva Energy Group Ltd. stock, see the AU:VEA Stock Forecast page.

Viva Energy’s 2025 AGM Highlights Strategic Focus and Leadership
May 20, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd. held its 2025 Annual General Meeting as a hybrid event, welcoming participants both in person and online. The meeting included addresses from the Chairman and CEO, and presentations on the company’s operations and strategies. The event highlighted the company’s leadership team and acknowledged recent board changes, reflecting Viva Energy’s ongoing commitment to governance and strategic growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:VEA) stock is a Buy with a A$3.65 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Viva Energy Group Ltd. stock, see the AU:VEA Stock Forecast page.

Viva Energy Appoints John Joyce as Non-Executive Director
May 15, 2025

Viva Energy Group Limited has appointed John Joyce as an independent Non-Executive Director, effective from 2 June 2025. Joyce brings over 30 years of retail leadership experience, having held senior roles at ALDI Stores Australia and Rebel Group. His expertise in operational performance and growth in retail is expected to support Viva Energy’s focus on its convenience strategy, potentially enhancing its market positioning and operational efficiency.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:VEA) stock is a Buy with a A$3.65 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Viva Energy Group Ltd. stock, see the AU:VEA Stock Forecast page.

Viva Energy Highlights Operational Insights at Macquarie Conference
May 6, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd. presented at the Macquarie Australia Conference in May 2025, providing a general overview of its operations and financial outlook. The presentation emphasized that the information is for informational purposes only and not financial advice, highlighting the inherent risks and uncertainties in forward-looking statements. Stakeholders are advised to conduct independent assessments before making investment decisions.

Viva Energy Appoints New Director Mark Chung
May 5, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd. has announced the appointment of Mark Chung as a director, effective May 5, 2025. The initial director’s interest notice reveals that Mark Chung currently holds no relevant interests in the company’s securities, indicating a fresh start in his role without existing financial ties to the company.

Viva Energy Announces Director Departure
May 5, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd. has announced a change in its board of directors, with Michael Muller ceasing to be a director as of May 5, 2025. This update is part of the company’s compliance with ASX listing rules and the Corporations Act, ensuring transparency and proper governance. The announcement does not indicate any immediate impact on the company’s operations or strategic direction.

Viva Energy Sees Shift in Substantial Holder Interests
Apr 24, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd. has experienced a change in the interests of a substantial holder, with State Street Bank and Trust Company and its affiliates adjusting their voting power in the company. This announcement highlights the dynamic nature of shareholder interests and could impact the company’s governance and strategic decisions, as the substantial holder retains significant voting power and influence over Viva Energy’s operations.

Viva Energy’s Substantial Holder Voting Power Shifts
Apr 22, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd. has experienced a change in the interests of its substantial holder, Ubique Asset Management Pty Ltd. The voting power of Ubique Asset Management has decreased from 6.26% to 5.14% due to various transactions including on-market purchases and in-specie transfers. This shift in voting power may impact the company’s shareholder dynamics and influence future corporate decisions.

Viva Energy Director Increases Shareholding
Apr 17, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd has announced a change in the director’s interest, with Sarah Ryan acquiring an additional 10,000 ordinary shares, bringing her total to 119,667 shares. This on-market acquisition reflects a potential increase in confidence or strategic interest in the company’s future prospects, possibly impacting stakeholders’ perceptions and the company’s market positioning.

Viva Energy Reports Steady Progress in 1Q2025 with Strategic Acquisitions and Cost Initiatives
Apr 14, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd. reported its 1Q2025 operating update, highlighting progress in achieving its EBITDA guidance for the first half of 2025. The company completed the acquisition of the remaining 50% interest in Liberty Convenience, which is expected to contribute significantly to its C&M segment. Despite a decline in C&I sales due to adverse weather, the company saw growth in retail fuel margins and convenience sales. The Geelong Refinery faced challenges due to a power outage, but the upgrade to Ultra Low Sulphur Gasoline is on track. Viva Energy is also implementing cost reduction initiatives and network expansions, aiming for significant synergies and operational efficiencies by FY2026.

Viva Energy Announces Board Changes with New Non-Executive Director Appointment
Apr 11, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd. announced the resignation of Michael Muller from its Board and the appointment of Mark Chung as a Non-Executive Director, effective 5 May 2025. Mark Chung, who brings extensive experience from his roles at Vitol and Bank of America Merrill Lynch, is expected to strengthen the Board with his expertise in the Asia Pacific energy sector. This leadership change is anticipated to bolster Viva Energy’s strategic positioning in the energy market, potentially impacting its operations and stakeholder relationships.

Viva Energy Group Ltd. Announces Change in Substantial Holder Interests
Apr 9, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd. has announced a change in the interests of a substantial holder, State Street Bank and Trust Company, which has lent securities and retains a relevant interest. This change in voting power and relevant interests may impact the company’s governance and shareholder dynamics, potentially affecting its strategic decisions and stakeholder relations.

Viva Energy Announces Change in Substantial Holding
Apr 2, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd. has announced a change in the substantial holding of its voting shares, which involves various entities such as State Street Global Advisors and State Street Bank and Trust Company. This change in voting power and relevant interests could impact the company’s governance and decision-making processes, potentially influencing its strategic direction and stakeholder relations.

Viva Energy’s Successful Inaugural Dividend Reinvestment Plan
Mar 31, 2025

Viva Energy Group Limited announced the successful participation in its inaugural Dividend Reinvestment Plan (DRP) for the final dividend of 2024, with 52% of the company’s issued capital participating, including its major shareholder VIP Energy Australia B.V. The DRP resulted in the issuance of 19,041,596 shares at a discounted price, reflecting strong shareholder engagement and potentially enhancing the company’s capital base without incurring brokerage or transaction costs.

Viva Energy Group Ltd. Announces Cessation of Deferred Share Rights
Mar 28, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd. announced the cessation of 3,469 deferred share rights due to the lapse of conditional rights, as the conditions were not met or became incapable of being satisfied. This announcement may impact the company’s issued capital and could have implications for stakeholders regarding the company’s financial strategies or market positioning.

Viva Energy Issues Unquoted Equity Securities as Employee Incentives
Mar 28, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd. announced the issuance of unquoted equity securities, including 3,243,908 deferred share rights and 199,567 performance rights, as part of an employee incentive scheme. This move is likely aimed at enhancing employee engagement and aligning their interests with the company’s long-term goals, potentially impacting its operational dynamics and stakeholder relationships.

Viva Energy Updates Director’s Securities Holdings
Mar 28, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd. has announced a change in the director’s interest notice, specifically regarding Scott Wyatt’s securities. On March 25, 2025, Scott Wyatt was awarded 121,941 deferred share rights under the 2024 Short-Term Incentive Plan (STIP), increasing his holdings in deferred share rights. This change reflects the company’s ongoing remuneration strategy and may influence the market perception of its executive compensation practices.

Viva Energy Director Increases Shareholding
Mar 25, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd. announced a change in the director’s interest, with Nicola Wakefield Evans acquiring an additional 30,000 ordinary shares, bringing her total to 106,500 shares. This on-market acquisition reflects confidence in the company’s future prospects and may influence stakeholder perceptions positively.

Viva Energy Group Sees Change in Substantial Holder’s Voting Power
Mar 19, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd. has announced a change in the interests of a substantial holder, L1 Capital Pty Ltd, which affects the voting power in the company. The voting power of L1 Capital has decreased from 7.80% to 6.54%, indicating a reduction in their stake in Viva Energy Group Ltd. This change in substantial holding could impact the company’s shareholder dynamics and influence within the market.

Viva Energy Updates Dividend Reinvestment Plan Details
Mar 19, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd. has announced an update regarding its Dividend Reinvestment Plan (DRP) price, which pertains to the dividend distribution for the six-month period ending December 31, 2024. This update is significant for stakeholders as it reflects the company’s financial strategies and commitment to shareholder returns, potentially affecting investor sentiment and market positioning.

Viva Energy Announces Change in Substantial Holder Interests
Mar 13, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd. has announced a change in the interests of a substantial holder, with State Street Global Advisors Europe Limited and State Street Bank and Trust Company being key entities involved in the holding of voting securities. The change in voting power reflects a shift in the control and management of these securities, which may impact the company’s governance and influence in decision-making processes.

Viva Energy Group Ltd. Announces Change in Substantial Holder Interests
Mar 12, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd. has experienced a change in the interests of a substantial holder, with State Street Global Advisors Europe Limited and State Street Bank and Trust Company being key entities involved. This adjustment in voting power reflects a shift in the control and management of securities, potentially impacting the company’s governance and decision-making processes.

Viva Energy Director Increases Shareholding
Mar 12, 2025

Viva Energy Group Ltd. has announced a change in the interests of its director, Robert Hill, in the company’s securities. On March 6, 2025, Hill acquired an additional 10,000 ordinary shares through an on-market trade, increasing his total holdings to 189,584 ordinary shares. This acquisition reflects a strategic move by the director, potentially signaling confidence in the company’s future performance.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.