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Ampol Limited (AU:ALD)
ASX:ALD

Ampol Limited (ALD) AI Stock Analysis

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AU

Ampol Limited

(Sydney:ALD)

66Neutral
Ampol Limited scores moderately overall. The company faces financial challenges with declining revenues and profitability, and liquidity concerns are evident. Technical analysis indicates positive momentum, but valuation concerns suggest caution. The lack of new earnings call and corporate events data leaves these areas unassessed. Overall, while there is positive technical momentum, financial stability and valuation concerns weigh on the stock's attractiveness.

Ampol Limited (ALD) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Ampol Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAmpol Limited purchases, refines, distributes, and markets petroleum products in Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, and the United States. The company operates through Convenience Retail, and Fuels and Infrastructure segments. The Convenience Retail segment sells fuels through Ampol's network of stores. The Fuels and Infrastructure segment wholesales fuels and lubricant supplies. It distributes its products through a network of depots, diesel stops, marine facilities, and service station sites. The company was formerly known as Caltex Australia Limited and changed its name to Ampol Limited in May 2020. Ampol Limited was founded in 1900 and is based in Alexandria, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyAmpol Limited generates revenue primarily through the sale of petroleum products, which includes refined fuels and lubricants. The company operates one of the largest fuel retail networks in Australia, supplying fuel to both retail and commercial customers. A significant portion of its earnings comes from its refining operations, where crude oil is processed into various finished products like gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel. The convenience retailing segment also contributes to its revenue by offering food, beverages, and other consumer goods at its service stations. Ampol's strategic partnerships and supply agreements with various industries and sectors bolster its revenue streams. Additionally, the company leverages its logistics and distribution capabilities to ensure efficient product delivery, further enhancing its profitability.

Ampol Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
37.37B34.85B37.75B38.25B20.69B15.18B
Gross Profit
3.04B2.43B2.93B2.38B1.80B806.90M
EBIT
1.16B0.001.03B824.60M629.70M-482.20M
EBITDA
1.69B973.80M1.50B1.59B1.19B-213.80M
Net Income Common Stockholders
705.20M122.50M549.10M795.90M560.00M-484.90M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
18.38M123.90M300.60M126.00M566.30M367.60M
Total Assets
5.29B12.87B12.81B13.33B8.85B7.36B
Total Debt
562.56M4.08B3.69B3.61B2.26B1.72B
Net Debt
544.18M3.95B3.39B3.49B1.70B1.35B
Total Liabilities
2.21B9.29B8.84B9.28B5.51B4.14B
Stockholders Equity
3.07B3.16B3.56B3.63B3.07B2.95B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
512.60M229.40M964.70M541.40M310.40M41.00M
Operating Cash Flow
1.18B0.001.50B948.30M634.60M267.60M
Investing Cash Flow
-586.30M-688.50M-535.60M-1.46B-313.20M462.60M
Financing Cash Flow
-647.00M-405.10M-779.90M91.90M-126.90M-391.80M

Ampol Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price26.32
Price Trends
50DMA
23.72
Positive
100DMA
25.99
Positive
200DMA
27.65
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.74
Negative
RSI
70.32
Negative
STOCH
85.52
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:ALD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 26.32 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.46, above the 50-day MA of 23.72, and below the 200-day MA of 27.65, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.74 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.32 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.52 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:ALD.

Ampol Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (56)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AUALD
66
Neutral
$6.14B50.113.66%2.63%-7.78%-77.69%
56
Neutral
$7.19B3.84-4.29%5.74%0.33%-52.26%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:ALD
Ampol Limited
26.32
-8.53
-24.49%
BEPTF
Beach Energy
0.77
-0.32
-29.36%
STOSF
Santos Limited
3.92
-0.95
-19.51%
DE:2AH
Viva Energy Group Ltd.
1.01
-0.94
-48.21%

Ampol Limited Corporate Events

Ampol Limited Simplifies Energy Solutions with Strategic Divestments
May 12, 2025

Ampol Limited has announced its decision to divest its retail electricity businesses in Australia and New Zealand as part of its strategy to simplify its energy solutions. This move allows Ampol to concentrate on its electric vehicle charging network and renewable fuels, aiming to improve earnings and respond more effectively to the evolving energy transition. The divestment is expected to generate approximately $65 million in pre-tax proceeds and uplift the company’s EBITDA by around $30 million annually by the end of 2025, in addition to a previously announced cost reduction program.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ALD) stock is a Buy with a A$31.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ampol Limited stock, see the AU:ALD Stock Forecast page.

Ampol Divests Flick to Focus on EV Charging; Meridian Expands Market Share
May 12, 2025

Ampol Limited, through its subsidiary Z Energy, is divesting its retail electricity business, Flick, to focus on electric vehicle (EV) charging solutions. Meridian Energy Limited will acquire Flick’s customer contracts and hedge book for NZ$70 million, increasing its market share to 18%. The transaction will enable Meridian to expand its customer base and explore strategic opportunities with Ampol in EV charging and energy solutions, enhancing its industry positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ALD) stock is a Buy with a A$31.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ampol Limited stock, see the AU:ALD Stock Forecast page.

Ampol Limited Outlines Strategic Priorities for 2025
May 6, 2025

Ampol Limited has outlined its strategic priorities for 2025, focusing on enhancing its core business, maximizing the value of its Lytton refinery, and expanding its convenience retail offerings. The company aims to complete the Ultra Low Sulfur Fuels project by the end of 2025 and is committed to a $50 million cost reduction target. Additionally, Ampol plans to expand its energy offerings by extending EV charging networks and exploring the feasibility of a renewable fuels industry in Australia, positioning itself for future growth and sustainability.

Ampol Limited Announces Director’s Interest Changes
Apr 29, 2025

Ampol Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically regarding Matthew William Halliday’s holdings. The changes include the acquisition of 21,724 fully paid ordinary shares and 76,984 share rights, while disposing of 93,964 performance rights and 21,724 restricted shares. These adjustments reflect the company’s ongoing management of its executive incentive programs, impacting the director’s equity position and aligning with Ampol’s strategic compensation plans.

Ampol Limited Issues Unquoted Equity Securities for Employee Incentive
Apr 29, 2025

Ampol Limited has announced the issuance of 6,041 unquoted equity securities under an employee incentive scheme, which are not intended to be listed on the ASX. This move is part of the company’s strategy to incentivize employees and align their interests with the company’s performance, potentially impacting its operational dynamics and stakeholder engagement.

Ampol Limited Reports Strong Q1 2025 Performance Amid Strategic Moves
Apr 16, 2025

Ampol Limited reported a strong first quarter in 2025, with mid-single digit EBIT growth in both its Convenience Retail and New Zealand segments, despite challenges such as declining tobacco sales and the impact of Cyclone Alfred on refinery production. The company also made strategic moves to strengthen its financial position, including divesting holdings in Channel Infrastructure and benefiting from the acquisition of Z Energy. Additionally, Ampol is on track with its productivity program aimed at reducing costs, and anticipates potential benefits from lower fuel prices and a weaker Australian dollar, which could positively impact retail fuel volumes and margins.

Ampol Limited Announces Change of Registry Address
Apr 11, 2025

Ampol Limited has announced a change in the address of its share registry office in Sydney, effective from April 14, 2025. The relocation to Liberty Place will require all documentation lodgements by member organizations and stakeholders to be made at the new address, while contact details remain unchanged.

Ampol Limited Announces Annual General Meeting
Apr 7, 2025

Ampol Limited has released a notice for its upcoming Annual General Meeting, indicating ongoing corporate governance and shareholder engagement. This announcement underscores Ampol’s commitment to maintaining transparency and communication with its stakeholders, which is crucial for its strategic positioning in the competitive energy market.

Ampol Limited Announces Change in Substantial Holder Interests
Mar 28, 2025

Ampol Limited has announced a change in the interests of a substantial holder, with State Street Bank and Trust Company and its affiliates holding significant voting power in the company. This change in substantial holding could impact Ampol’s governance and decision-making processes, potentially influencing its strategic direction and stakeholder relations.

Ampol Resumes Operations Post-Cyclone Alfred with Minimal Financial Impact
Mar 25, 2025

Ampol Limited announced that its refinery has resumed normal operations following a temporary shutdown due to Cyclone Alfred. The cyclone caused damage to a crude storage tank, resulting in an estimated repair cost of $20 million and increased demurrage costs of $5 million per month for three months. The company expects to recover about half of these costs through insurance, minimizing the financial impact on its operations.

Ampol’s Z Energy Sells Stake in Channel Infrastructure for NZ$95 Million
Mar 19, 2025

Ampol Limited announced that its subsidiary, Z Energy Limited, has agreed to sell its entire 12.67% shareholding in Channel Infrastructure. The sale, which aligns with Ampol’s capital allocation framework, will generate approximately NZ$95 million in proceeds, which will be used for debt reduction. The transaction does not affect the long-term commercial agreements between Z Energy and Channel Infrastructure, ensuring continued reliable fuel supply in New Zealand.

Ampol Limited Announces New Director Appointment
Mar 3, 2025

Ampol Limited has announced the appointment of Stephen Pearce as a new director, effective March 1, 2025. The announcement indicates that Pearce currently holds no relevant interests in securities or contracts with the company, suggesting a fresh perspective without existing financial ties, which could influence the company’s strategic direction.

Ampol Limited Appoints New Director Helen Nash
Mar 3, 2025

Ampol Limited has announced the appointment of Helen Nash as a director, effective from March 1, 2025. The initial director’s interest notice indicates that Helen Nash currently holds no relevant interests in securities or contracts related to the company. This appointment is part of Ampol’s ongoing efforts to strengthen its leadership team and enhance its strategic direction, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder relations.

Ampol Releases 2024 Annual Report Highlighting Sustainability and Market Strength
Feb 23, 2025

Ampol Limited has released its 2024 Annual Report, indicating a continued focus on sustainability and strengthening its market position in the energy sector. This announcement reaffirms Ampol’s strategic priorities and aims to provide stakeholders with insights into its operational progress and future initiatives.

Ampol Limited Announces Dividend Distribution for 2024
Feb 23, 2025

Ampol Limited has announced a new dividend distribution for its shareholders, with a payment of AUD 0.05 per share. This dividend is related to the financial period ending on December 31, 2024, and is scheduled to be paid on April 3, 2025. The announcement reflects the company’s ongoing efforts to provide returns to its investors, which could have positive implications for its market positioning and stakeholder confidence.

Ampol Limited Reports Sharp Drop in 2024 Financial Results
Feb 23, 2025

Ampol Limited reported a significant decline in its financial performance for the twelve months ending December 31, 2024, with revenue from ordinary activities down by 7.6% and a steep drop in profit after tax attributable to members of the parent on both statutory and replacement cost bases. The company declared a significantly reduced final dividend and experienced a decline in net tangible asset backing per share and return on equity, indicating challenging market conditions and financial pressures.

Ampol Limited Unveils 2024 Full-Year Financial Results
Feb 23, 2025

Ampol Limited has released its full-year financial and operational results for the period ending December 31, 2024, highlighting key achievements and providing insights into its expectations for 2025. The announcement reflects the company’s strategic positioning and potential impact on stakeholders, offering an outlook on the future market and operational strategies.

Ampol Limited Schedules 2024 Full-Year Results Briefing
Feb 17, 2025

Ampol Limited, a leading company in the fuel and convenience retail industry, announced that it will release its full-year results for 2024 on 24 February 2025. The results briefing will be conducted by the company’s Managing Director and CEO, Matt Halliday, and Group Chief Financial Officer, Greg Barnes, through a webcast and conference call. This announcement allows stakeholders to gain insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction over the past year.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.