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Santos Limited (AU:STO)
ASX:STO

Santos Limited (STO) AI Stock Analysis

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AU

Santos Limited

(Sydney:STO)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
AU$8.50
▲(11.40%Upside)
The stock's overall score is driven by strong technical momentum and fair valuation, despite challenges in financial performance due to declining revenues and cash flow constraints. The lack of earnings call data and corporate events information means the score is primarily influenced by financial performance, technical analysis, and valuation.

Santos Limited (STO) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Santos Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSantos Limited (STO) is a leading independent oil and gas producer in the Asia-Pacific region, headquartered in Adelaide, Australia. The company is engaged in the exploration, development, production, and sale of natural gas and oil. Santos operates across several sectors, including LNG (liquefied natural gas), domestic gas, oil, and gas liquids. Its core products and services focus on providing energy solutions to customers in Australia and across Asia, leveraging its portfolio of high-quality natural gas assets.
How the Company Makes MoneySantos Limited generates revenue primarily through the exploration, production, and sale of natural gas and oil. The company's key revenue streams include the sale of LNG, domestic gas, and other gas liquids. Santos has significant investments in LNG projects, such as the PNG LNG project in Papua New Guinea and the GLNG project in Queensland, Australia, which contribute substantially to its earnings. Additionally, Santos engages in strategic partnerships and joint ventures with other major energy companies, which enhance its production capabilities and market reach, further boosting its revenue. The company's earnings are also influenced by global oil and gas prices, production volumes, and operational efficiencies.

Santos Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Santos Limited demonstrates strong profitability with a solid equity base, indicated by healthy gross profit margins and a manageable debt-to-equity ratio. Nonetheless, declining revenue and decreased free cash flow highlight challenges in cash management and revenue growth, impacting overall financial stability.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Santos Limited has shown strong gross profit margins, consistently above 60% in recent years, indicating effective cost management. However, there is a notable decline in total revenue from 2022 to 2024, with a revenue decrease of 8.2% in 2024 compared to 2023. The net profit margin in 2024 is 22.7%, slightly lower than 24% in 2023, showing solid profitability despite revenue challenges. EBIT margin data for 2024 is missing, but EBITDA margins remain healthy. Overall, strong profitability metrics are tempered by declining revenue trends.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company maintains a stable balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.43 in 2024, reflecting manageable leverage. The equity ratio of 52.4% indicates a strong equity base. However, the return on equity has decreased to 7.9% in 2024 from 9.3% in 2023, suggesting a decline in efficiency at generating profits from equity. The balance sheet remains robust, with consistent asset management, albeit with some pressure on equity returns.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Santos Limited experienced a significant decline in free cash flow from 2023 to 2024, dropping by 49.5%, highlighting potential cash flow management challenges. Operating cash flow data is missing for 2024, making it difficult to fully assess cash generation capabilities. Despite this, the company has maintained positive free cash flow, though at reduced levels, suggesting a need for improved cash flow management to support financial stability.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.40B5.89B7.79B4.64B3.39B
Gross Profit3.70B2.22B5.64B1.59B1.76B
EBITDA3.67B3.97B4.97B2.65B941.00M
Net Income1.22B1.42B2.11B476.94M-357.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets29.63B29.76B28.86B31.02B17.66B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.86B2.28B2.46B2.97B1.32B
Total Debt6.69B6.16B5.52B8.02B5.00B
Total Liabilities14.10B14.48B14.01B17.45B10.43B
Stockholders Equity15.54B15.28B14.84B13.57B7.23B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow449.00M889.00M2.15B1.07B1.29B
Operating Cash Flow2.85B3.26B3.86B2.14B1.48B
Investing Cash Flow-2.69B-2.90B-1.67B-76.29M-1.46B
Financing Cash Flow-206.00M-860.00M-3.40B-464.50M246.00M

Santos Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price7.63
Price Trends
50DMA
6.55
Positive
100DMA
6.48
Positive
200DMA
6.59
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.35
Negative
RSI
71.61
Negative
STOCH
45.78
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:STO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.63 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.17, above the 50-day MA of 6.55, and above the 200-day MA of 6.59, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.35 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.61 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:STO.

Santos Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AUSTO
75
Outperform
$24.53B13.227.94%4.31%-7.99%-12.27%
AUWDS
71
Outperform
AU$45.52B8.4010.07%7.12%0.71%120.95%
68
Neutral
$14.70B9.576.41%5.37%4.12%-71.24%
AUBPT
58
Neutral
$3.00B32.552.70%6.98%6.43%
AUSTX
45
Neutral
AU$415.70M57.35-4.01%801.92%-985.71%
AUTBN
35
Underperform
AU$376.24M-10.88%56.73%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:STO
Santos Limited
7.66
0.38
5.22%
AU:BPT
Beach Energy
1.30
-0.14
-9.41%
AU:STX
Strike Energy Limited
0.14
-0.14
-50.00%
AU:TBN
Tamboran Resources Limited
0.18
<0.01
5.88%
AU:WDS
Woodside Energy Group
23.72
-2.48
-9.47%

Santos Limited Corporate Events

Santos Limited Enters Acquisition Talks with XRG Consortium
Jun 27, 2025

Santos Limited has entered into a process and exclusivity deed with XRG P.J.S.C., a subsidiary of Abu Dhabi National Oil Company, for a potential acquisition of all Santos shares. This agreement grants XRG exclusive due diligence access for six weeks, with provisions for negotiating a binding scheme implementation deed. While the deal could significantly impact Santos’ operations and market positioning, there is no certainty it will proceed.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:STO) stock is a Hold with a A$7.60 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Santos Limited stock, see the AU:STO Stock Forecast page.

Santos Advances Barossa LNG Project with FPSO Milestone
Jun 18, 2025

Santos Limited has announced a major milestone with the arrival and successful hookup of the BW Opal FPSO vessel at the Barossa gas field, marking progress towards first gas production in the third quarter of 2025. This development is part of the Barossa LNG project, which has seen an investment of US$3.95 billion and is expected to significantly increase Santos’ production capacity. The project is poised to deliver stable cash flows and enhance shareholder returns, while also contributing to energy security in Asia. Additionally, the company is actively investing in community development through the Barossa Aboriginal Future Fund, supporting local infrastructure and cultural projects in the Northern Territory.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:STO) stock is a Hold with a A$7.60 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Santos Limited stock, see the AU:STO Stock Forecast page.

Santos Limited Receives Acquisition Proposal from XRG Consortium
Jun 15, 2025

Santos Limited has received a non-binding indicative proposal from the XRG Consortium, led by a subsidiary of Abu Dhabi National Oil Company, to acquire all ordinary shares of Santos at a cash offer price of US$5.76 per share. This proposal represents a significant premium over recent trading prices and is subject to due diligence and regulatory approvals. The Santos Board is considering the proposal and intends to recommend it to shareholders, pending agreement on terms and absence of a superior offer.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:STO) stock is a Hold with a A$7.60 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Santos Limited stock, see the AU:STO Stock Forecast page.

Santos Limited’s ‘BBB’ Credit Rating Reaffirmed by Fitch
Jun 12, 2025

Santos Limited has had its ‘BBB’ credit rating with a stable outlook reaffirmed by Fitch Ratings, highlighting its strong business profile and diversified asset base. The rating reflects Santos’ disciplined low-cost operating model, which has enabled the company to maintain low production costs despite industry inflation and invest in major growth projects. These projects are expected to enhance production and shareholder returns, with a target payout ratio of up to 100% of free cash flow through dividends and share buybacks by 2026. The reaffirmed credit rating supports Santos’ access to global debt capital markets and underscores its financial resilience.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:STO) stock is a Hold with a A$7.60 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Santos Limited stock, see the AU:STO Stock Forecast page.

Santos Limited Updates Registry Address for Sydney Office
Jun 10, 2025

Santos Limited announced a change in the registry address for its Sydney office of Computershare Investor Services Pty Limited, effective 10 June 2025. This administrative update is part of the company’s ongoing efforts to streamline operations, with no changes to telephone numbers or postal addresses, ensuring minimal disruption for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:STO) stock is a Hold with a A$7.60 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Santos Limited stock, see the AU:STO Stock Forecast page.

Santos Limited Issues Share Acquisition Rights to Employees
May 9, 2025

Santos Limited announced the issuance of 3,428,591 share acquisition rights as part of an employee incentive scheme. This move is likely to enhance employee engagement and align their interests with the company’s growth objectives, potentially strengthening Santos’ position in the competitive energy market.

Santos Limited Announces Cessation of Share Acquisition Rights
May 9, 2025

Santos Limited announced the cessation of 7,639 share acquisition rights under the ASX security code STOAZ due to the lapse of conditional rights, as the conditions were not met or became incapable of being satisfied. This announcement may impact the company’s capital structure and could have implications for stakeholders, highlighting the importance of meeting conditional requirements in securities management.

Santos Limited Issues and Converts Unquoted Equity Securities
May 9, 2025

Santos Limited has announced the issuance and conversion of unquoted equity securities, specifically 466 ordinary fully paid shares, as of April 28, 2025. This move is part of the company’s ongoing financial strategies and may impact its market positioning by potentially increasing shareholder value and enhancing capital structure.

Santos Limited Sets Ambitious Carbon Storage Target
May 6, 2025

Santos Limited has announced an ambitious carbon storage target, aiming to enhance its operations in carbon storage projects. This target, while not a forecast, represents a significant growth goal for the company and requires extensive collaboration with stakeholders, including customers, governments, and regulators. The projects to achieve this target are in the early planning stages, and their commercial and economic viability is yet to be confirmed.

Santos Limited Announces Change in Director’s Interest
May 5, 2025

Santos Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically regarding Kevin Thomas Gallagher, who has acquired an additional 566,343 share acquisition rights. This change, effective from May 2, 2025, was a result of the Long-Term Incentive Grant approved by shareholders, indicating a strategic move to align the director’s interests with the company’s long-term performance goals.

Santos Limited Announces Director’s Share Acquisition
Apr 17, 2025

Santos Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically involving Kevin Thomas Gallagher, who has acquired 139,466 fully paid ordinary shares. This change reflects a transfer of beneficial interest in shares held by the employee share plan trustee, deferred for two years as part of the 2024 STI award. The announcement highlights the company’s ongoing commitment to aligning the interests of its leadership with its operational goals, potentially impacting stakeholder confidence and market perception.

Santos Limited Reports Strong Q1 2025 Results and Project Progress
Apr 17, 2025

Santos Limited reported strong financial results for the first quarter of 2025, with a 9% increase in free cash flow from operations, driven by higher production in Western Australia and robust LNG sales. The company is nearing completion of significant development projects, including the Barossa LNG and Pikka phase 1, which are expected to boost production by over 30% by 2027. Santos continues to focus on operational excellence and project execution, maintaining resilience amid volatile markets. The company’s carbon capture and storage initiative, Moomba CCS, is performing well, supporting its decarbonization strategy.

Santos Limited Ceases 29,191 Share Acquisition Rights
Apr 11, 2025

Santos Limited announced the cessation of 29,191 share acquisition rights due to the lapse of conditional rights that were not met. This development may impact the company’s capital structure and could influence investor sentiment, reflecting the challenges in meeting certain operational or financial conditions.

Santos Limited Issues New Securities to Strengthen Market Position
Apr 11, 2025

Santos Limited has announced the issuance of 6,474 ordinary fully paid securities, effective from April 11, 2025. This move is part of the company’s ongoing financial strategies, potentially impacting its market position and offering implications for stakeholders regarding the company’s growth and investment opportunities.

Santos Limited Reports Key Project Advancements and Strong Shareholder Support at 2025 AGM
Apr 10, 2025

Santos Limited announced significant progress in its key projects during the 2025 Annual General Meeting. The Pikka project’s pipeline is nearly complete a year ahead of schedule, potentially allowing for early production. The Barossa LNG project is 95.2% complete and is expected to start gas production in the third quarter of 2025. The company received strong shareholder support for its climate strategy, reflecting confidence in its decarbonization efforts. Santos remains resilient amid global market volatility, with a strong balance sheet and plans to increase production by over 30% by 2027, positioning itself well for future growth.

Santos Limited Highlights Strong Performance and Strategic Focus at 2025 AGM
Apr 10, 2025

At the 2025 Annual General Meeting, Santos Limited highlighted its strong cash flow generation and successful execution of major projects, contributing to new production. The company achieved its best personal safety performance in a decade, despite facing global challenges such as geopolitical instability and energy security concerns. Santos continues to focus on sustainable growth and decarbonization, positioning itself to navigate the evolving energy landscape.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 17, 2025