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Strike Energy Limited (AU:STX)
ASX:STX

Strike Energy Limited (STX) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:STX

Strike Energy Limited

(Sydney:STX)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.10
▼(-2.00% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/07/26
The score is weighed down primarily by weak financial performance (large revenue decline, deeply negative margins, and negative/declining free cash flow). Technicals also remain bearish with the stock below major moving averages and negative MACD. Valuation provides limited support due to losses (negative P/E) and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Manageable leverage and strong equity base
A low debt-to-equity ratio and a ~69% equity ratio provide balance-sheet flexibility, lowering refinancing risk and supporting capital allocation for multi‑stage gas development. This stability helps fund midstream access or absorb project timing delays without immediate debt strain.
High EBITDA margin indicates operational cash strength
A near-60% EBITDA margin implies the asset base can generate operating cash before non‑cash items and financing. That operational cashflow potential supports funding development or JV carry arrangements, and provides a durable cushion if production volumes stabilise.
Gas-focused model with domestic market access
Concentrating on domestic gas commercialisation aligns with persistent local gas demand and regulatory emphasis on secure supply. A clear gas-led strategy and focus on offtake/ infrastructure increases the likelihood of long-term contract opportunities and predictable revenue streams once production is scaled.
Negative Factors
Severe revenue decline and negative margins
A 77% revenue collapse combined with deeply negative net margins indicates underlying commercial and operational deficiencies. Persistently low top-line and negative profitability constrain reinvestment in projects, impair partner confidence, and raise the likelihood of dilution or restructuring to sustain operations.
Negative and worsening free cash flow
Declining negative free cash flow reduces the company’s ability to self‑fund development capex or meet working capital needs. Over a multi‑month horizon this raises dependency on external financing, JV carry arrangements, or asset sales, increasing execution risk for planned gas projects.
Capital destruction signalled by negative ROE
A -53% ROE shows the company is destroying shareholder capital rather than generating returns. This persistent poor profitability impairs access to fresh equity on reasonable terms, pressures management to change strategy, and indicates material work is needed to achieve durable earnings recovery.

Strike Energy Limited (STX) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Strike Energy Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionStrike Energy Limited explores for and develops oil and gas resources in Australia. The company primarily focuses on the Project Haber, Ocean Hill, Perth Basin Geothermal, Walyering, West, and South Erregulla projects located in the Perth Basin. Strike Energy Limited was incorporated in 1997 and is based in West Perth, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyStrike Energy generates revenue primarily through the exploration, extraction, and sale of natural gas. Its revenue model is centered around the production of gas from its operational projects, where it sells gas to utility companies, industrial customers, and on the spot market. Key revenue streams include long-term gas supply agreements and contracts with major energy consumers, as well as sales from its production activities. Additionally, the company may benefit from joint ventures and partnerships with other energy firms, enabling shared resources and access to new markets. Factors contributing to its earnings include fluctuating commodity prices, the demand for natural gas, and advancements in extraction technologies that lower operational costs.

Strike Energy Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are pressured by sharply negative revenue growth (-77%), very weak profitability (net margin -216.36% and negative EBIT margin), and declining/negative free cash flow. The balance sheet is comparatively steadier with manageable leverage (debt-to-equity 0.27) and a strong equity ratio (69.47%), but negative ROE (-53.07%) underscores ongoing profitability issues.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Strike Energy Limited's income statement shows significant volatility. The company experienced a substantial decline in revenue growth, with a negative growth rate of -77% in the latest year. Gross profit margin is low at 4.76%, and the net profit margin is deeply negative at -216.36%, indicating challenges in profitability. The EBIT margin is also negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies. However, the EBITDA margin is relatively strong at 59.86%, suggesting some operational cash flow strength.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.27, indicating manageable leverage. However, the return on equity is negative at -53.07%, highlighting profitability issues. The equity ratio stands at 69.47%, suggesting a strong equity base relative to total assets. Overall, the balance sheet shows stability in terms of leverage but struggles with profitability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates challenges with free cash flow, which is negative and has declined by 16.06% recently. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive at 1.53, suggesting some ability to generate cash from operations. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting cash flow difficulties. Overall, the cash flow position is weak, with significant room for improvement.
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue72.91M72.72M45.60M0.000.000.00
Gross Profit-619.00K3.46M20.55M-1.07M-1.16M-324.00K
EBITDA64.83M43.53M9.17M-13.45M-10.44M-81.00K
Net Income-154.11M-157.33M8.58M-18.36M-15.73M6.78M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets541.91M426.63M527.19M341.87M158.75M164.08M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments69.48M41.09M38.91M129.04M13.90M74.72M
Total Debt110.44M80.80M23.90M30.73M18.46M6.05M
Total Liabilities171.52M130.16M74.75M55.03M41.87M25.96M
Stockholders Equity370.39M296.47M452.44M286.85M116.87M138.13M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-98.44M-44.39M-77.12M-79.66M-62.53M-28.82M
Operating Cash Flow26.84M42.61M21.59M-12.17M-9.19M2.98M
Investing Cash Flow-128.46M-91.79M-98.71M68.24M-63.78M-41.92M
Financing Cash Flow140.56M53.03M-13.17M59.21M12.25M92.07M

Strike Energy Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.10
Price Trends
50DMA
0.11
Negative
100DMA
0.11
Negative
200DMA
0.12
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
40.03
Neutral
STOCH
55.56
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:STX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.1 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.10, below the 50-day MA of 0.11, and below the 200-day MA of 0.12, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:STX.

Strike Energy Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
AU$390.62M31.1716.49%14.63%-4.57%-52.65%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
52
Neutral
AU$1.01B-14.53-14.41%
50
Neutral
AU$161.52M-64.29-4.74%70.00%
49
Neutral
AU$157.44M44.001.40%
49
Neutral
AU$342.12M-13.48-13.47%
45
Neutral
AU$349.14M-1.83-42.02%59.48%-1714.71%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:STX
Strike Energy Limited
0.10
-0.09
-47.57%
AU:COI
Comet Ridge Ltd
0.14
0.02
12.50%
AU:CVN
Carnarvon Energy Limited
0.09
-0.03
-23.48%
AU:BTL
Empire Energy Group Limited
0.28
0.09
48.65%
AU:HZN
Horizon Oil Limited
0.24
0.06
36.36%
AU:TBN
Tamboran Resources Limited
0.22
0.02
13.16%

Strike Energy Limited Corporate Events

Strike Energy Sees Higher WA Capacity Benchmark Bolstering South Erregulla Gas Project
Feb 2, 2026

Strike Energy has highlighted a draft determination by Western Australia’s Economic Regulation Authority proposing a Benchmark Reserve Capacity Price of $491,700 per megawatt per year for the 2028/29 capacity year, a 36% uplift on the current benchmark, reflecting higher new-entrant costs and the growing value of dispatchable generation as the SWIS moves away from coal. While the BRCP is only a benchmark and final capacity payments will depend on market supply–demand conditions, Strike’s 85 MW South Erregulla peaking gas plant is already accredited within the Reserve Capacity Mechanism for 2026/27 and 2027/28, and the company expects full certification for 2028/29, viewing the higher proposed benchmark as a supportive signal for new firming assets and confirming the project remains on track for targeted completion on 1 October 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:STX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Strike Energy Limited stock, see the AU:STX Stock Forecast page.

Strike Energy Advances South Erregulla Power Project as Walyering Strategy Balances Output and Revenue
Jan 29, 2026

Strike Energy reported continued operational progress in the December quarter, with its South Erregulla 85 MW Peaking Gas Power Project 72% complete and on schedule for targeted completion in October 2026, underpinned by strong safety performance and key construction milestones across the power station and transmission infrastructure. At its Walyering field, the company produced 1.59 PJ of gas and condensate, generating $16.6 million in gas sales revenue, installed a new heat exchanger to defer compression requirements, and implemented a value-optimisation strategy that reduced own production to 10 TJ/day while relying more on third-party gas purchases to meet firm contracts, contributing to relatively stable sales volumes and revenues despite lower production and a substantial drawdown in cash and undrawn debt as Strike advances its Perth Basin growth pipeline.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:STX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.11 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Strike Energy Limited stock, see the AU:STX Stock Forecast page.

Strike Energy Delays West Erregulla Reserves Update to Early 2026
Dec 22, 2025

Strike Energy has postponed the release of its updated reserves and resources certification for the West Erregulla and Erregulla Deep projects, shifting the expected completion to the first quarter of 2026. The company said additional time is needed to finalise an independent review and ensure its disclosures are robust, defensible and compliant with Petroleum Resource Management System best-practice standards, stressing that the delay does not reflect any adverse technical outcomes and is subject to internal governance and joint venture approvals.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:STX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.11 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Strike Energy Limited stock, see the AU:STX Stock Forecast page.

Strike Energy Director’s 5 Million Unlisted Options Lapse Unexercised
Dec 19, 2025

Strike Energy Limited has disclosed a change in the interests of non-executive director Mary Hackett, whose indirect holding is via Segocia Pty Ltd. On 15 December 2025, 5,000,000 unlisted options held indirectly by Hackett expired unexercised and were cancelled, leaving her with an unchanged indirect holding of 828,389 fully paid ordinary shares. The transaction did not occur during a closed trading period and required no consideration, reflecting a routine expiry of incentive securities rather than an active divestment, but it reduces Hackett’s option-based exposure to future equity upside in the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:STX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.11 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Strike Energy Limited stock, see the AU:STX Stock Forecast page.

Strike Energy Director Stephen Bizzell’s 5 Million Options Expire Unexercised
Dec 19, 2025

Strike Energy Limited has disclosed a change in director Stephen Bizzell’s relevant interests in the company’s securities, reporting the expiry and cancellation of 5,000,000 unlisted options that were held indirectly through BCP Alpha Investments Pty Ltd. Following the lapse of these options, Bizzell’s indirect interests now comprise only fully paid ordinary shares held via trustee and custodian arrangements, a development that slightly simplifies the director’s equity exposure and removes a sizeable tranche of potential future dilution from the company’s capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:STX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.11 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Strike Energy Limited stock, see the AU:STX Stock Forecast page.

Strike Energy Director’s 6 Million Unlisted Options Lapse Unexercised
Dec 19, 2025

Strike Energy Limited has reported a change in director Neville Power’s holdings, with no impact on his substantial indirect shareholding in the company. Power previously held 23,719,885 fully paid ordinary shares and 6,000,000 unlisted options through the Myube Trust, an entity he controls. The company disclosed that all 6,000,000 unlisted options, which carried an exercise price of $0.40 and were due to expire on 24 November, have lapsed unexercised and been cancelled, leaving Power’s indirect interest solely in fully paid shares. The transaction did not involve any trading during a closed period and required no consideration, indicating a routine expiry rather than an active divestment, and suggests no immediate change in the director’s equity exposure to the company’s share price performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:STX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.11 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Strike Energy Limited stock, see the AU:STX Stock Forecast page.

Strike Energy Director’s 7 Million Unlisted Options Lapse on Expiry
Dec 19, 2025

Strike Energy Limited has reported a change in the interests of director John Poynton, with the expiry and cancellation of 7 million unlisted options that were previously held indirectly via Cliffway Pty Ltd and carried an exercise price of $0.40. Following the lapse of these options without exercise, Poynton’s indirect interests now consist solely of fully paid ordinary shares, including those held under HSBC Custody Nominees (Australia) Ltd, while there has been no change to the separate margin lending facility secured over shares held by Mulloway Pty Ltd, indicating a simplification of his equity exposure without altering existing security arrangements.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:STX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.11 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Strike Energy Limited stock, see the AU:STX Stock Forecast page.

Strike Energy Director Acquires Performance Rights
Dec 5, 2025

Strike Energy Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with Peter Stokes acquiring 7,860,661 unlisted performance rights. This acquisition, part of a long-term incentive and on-boarding performance plan, reflects the company’s commitment to aligning leadership incentives with its strategic goals.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:STX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Strike Energy Limited stock, see the AU:STX Stock Forecast page.

Strike Energy Faces First Strike on Remuneration Report at AGM
Nov 13, 2025

Strike Energy Limited held its Annual General Meeting on November 13, 2025, where several resolutions were voted on by shareholders. Notably, the adoption of the Remuneration Report faced significant opposition, receiving more than 25% of votes against it, marking a first strike under the Corporations Act. Other resolutions, including the re-election and election of directors, approval of a selective buy-back of performance shares, and the employee share incentive plan, were carried. However, the proposal for termination benefits for senior executives was not carried.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:STX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.11 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Strike Energy Limited stock, see the AU:STX Stock Forecast page.

Strike Energy Releases 2025 ESG Report Emphasizing Sustainability and Indigenous Engagement
Nov 13, 2025

Strike Energy Limited has released its ESG Report for 2025, emphasizing its commitment to sustainability and respectful engagement with indigenous communities. The report outlines the company’s strategies and objectives, highlighting its focus on maintaining positive, long-term relationships and acknowledging the cultural significance of the lands where it operates.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:STX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.11 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Strike Energy Limited stock, see the AU:STX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 07, 2026