tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Carnarvon Energy Limited (AU:CVN)
ASX:CVN

Carnarvon Energy Limited (CVN) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
20 Followers

Top Page

AU:CVN

Carnarvon Energy Limited

(Sydney:CVN)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.08
▼(-16.00% Downside)
The score is held up by a very strong, low-debt balance sheet, but is weighed down by the absence of revenue and ongoing operating losses with inconsistent cash generation. Technicals also remain bearish (price below key moving averages and negative MACD), and valuation is not compelling given the elevated P/E and no dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strategic Investment
This investment enhances Carnarvon's market position in Western Australia's gas sector, providing exposure to rising regional gas prices and potential supply shortfalls.
Balance Sheet Strength
A strong balance sheet with low leverage provides financial flexibility, allowing the company to invest in growth opportunities without significant financial strain.
Governance Stability
Stable governance and shareholder support, as evidenced by the successful AGM resolutions, contribute to long-term strategic stability and execution.
Negative Factors
Revenue Generation
The absence of revenue generation indicates challenges in monetizing assets, which could hinder sustainable profitability and long-term growth.
Operating Losses
Ongoing operating losses suggest difficulties in achieving operational efficiency, which may impact the company's ability to generate consistent profits.
Cash Flow Volatility
Volatile cash flow, with significant declines, poses risks to financial stability and limits the company's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives reliably.

Carnarvon Energy Limited (CVN) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Carnarvon Energy Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCarnarvon Energy Limited explores for, develops, and produces oil and gas in Australia. The company owns interests in the Dorado project located in the Bedout Sub-basin permits of Western Australia; the Buffalo project situated in Bonaparte Basin; and the Labyrinth project located in the Roebuck Basin in the North West Shelf of Western Australia. It also holds interests in the Taurus project located in the North West Shelf; the Condor and Eagle projects located in the Vulcan Sub-Basin; the Outtrim project located in the Exmouth Sub-Basin; and the Pepper project that is situated in Barrow Sub-basin of the Northern Carnarvon Basin. The company was formerly known as Carnarvon Petroleum Limited and changed its name to Carnarvon Energy Limited in November 2021. Carnarvon Energy Limited was incorporated in 1983 and is headquartered in West Perth, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyCarnarvon Energy Limited generates revenue primarily through the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas resources. The company's key revenue streams include the sale of crude oil and natural gas extracted from its operated and non-operated ventures. Carnarvon often partners with other energy companies to share the costs and risks associated with exploration and production activities. By participating in joint ventures and farm-out agreements, Carnarvon enhances its capacity to explore and develop its resource acreage. These partnerships also provide access to advanced technology and expertise, which contribute significantly to Carnarvon's ability to monetize its hydrocarbon discoveries.

Carnarvon Energy Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Carnarvon Energy Limited faces significant financial challenges, particularly with its income statement showing no revenue and persistent losses. While the balance sheet displays liquidity strength with substantial cash reserves and low debt, the negative return on equity and ongoing cash flow issues present concerns. Overall, the company's financial position is unstable, and improvements in revenue generation and operational efficiency are crucial for future stability.
Income Statement
Carnarvon Energy Limited shows persistent challenges in generating revenue, as total revenue has been consistently zero over the years. The net profit margin remains negative due to ongoing losses, and there are no signs of revenue growth. Margins such as EBIT and EBITDA are also negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies and a lack of profitability.
Balance Sheet
The company's balance sheet indicates strong liquidity with substantial cash reserves compared to its minimal debt, resulting in a low debt-to-equity ratio. However, the return on equity is negative due to recurring losses, which is a concern. The equity ratio is healthy, indicating a solid asset base relative to equity.
Cash Flow
Despite negative free cash flow in recent years, there is a noticeable improvement in operating cash flow for the most recent period. However, the company's ability to generate cash from operations remains weak compared to its net losses. Continued negative free cash flow growth rate highlights the company's struggle to cover its capital expenditures from operational activities.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-707.00-707.00K-231.00K-256.00K-269.00K-256.00K
EBITDA9.07M-4.98M-549.00K-3.05M-22.85M17.47M
Net Income6.89M3.65M-656.00K-4.10M-53.75M17.14M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets276.32M276.32M267.59M268.57M273.65M257.27M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments186.14M186.14M179.55M95.52M112.42M98.44M
Total Debt388.00K388.00K601.00K220.00K441.00K644.00K
Total Liabilities4.79M4.79M1.26M2.22M3.67M2.76M
Stockholders Equity271.53M271.53M266.33M266.36M269.98M254.51M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.14K3.14K-1.95M-18.28M-43.76M-14.39M
Operating Cash Flow6.01K6.01K1.26M-4.64M-5.62M-4.86M
Investing Cash Flow-2.87K-2.87K83.77M-13.79M-52.56M-9.47M
Financing Cash Flow-202.00-202.00467.00K-58.00K68.36M378.00K

Carnarvon Energy Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.10
Price Trends
50DMA
0.09
Positive
100DMA
0.09
Positive
200DMA
0.10
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
63.09
Neutral
STOCH
76.14
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:CVN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.1 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.09, above the 50-day MA of 0.09, and below the 200-day MA of 0.10, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.09 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.14 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:CVN.

Carnarvon Energy Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
64
Neutral
AU$341.79M18.1016.49%14.63%-4.57%-52.65%
50
Neutral
AU$159.23M44.001.40%
50
Neutral
AU$167.50M-66.67-4.74%70.00%
49
Neutral
AU$323.46M-12.75-13.47%
49
Neutral
AU$30.26M-10.00-7.26%-220.00%
46
Neutral
AU$121.36M-20.26-7.73%17.02%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:CVN
Carnarvon Energy Limited
0.10
-0.06
-38.71%
AU:COI
Comet Ridge Ltd
0.15
>-0.01
-3.33%
AU:BTL
Empire Energy Group Limited
0.26
0.04
15.91%
AU:HZN
Horizon Oil Limited
0.21
0.04
22.09%
AU:MAY
Melbana Energy Limited
0.01
-0.02
-57.14%
AU:KKO
Kinetiko Energy Ltd.
0.08
<0.01
4.11%

Carnarvon Energy Limited Corporate Events

Carnarvon Energy’s 2025 AGM Resolutions Successfully Passed
Nov 7, 2025

Carnarvon Energy Limited announced the results of its 2025 Annual General Meeting, where all proposed resolutions were passed. The re-election of Mr. Russell Delroy as a Director and the adoption of the remuneration report for the year ending June 30, 2025, were approved, indicating stable governance and shareholder support.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CVN) stock is a Buy with a A$0.14 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Carnarvon Energy Limited stock, see the AU:CVN Stock Forecast page.

Carnarvon Energy Strengthens Market Position with Strategic Investment in Strike Energy
Oct 29, 2025

Carnarvon Energy Limited has completed a strategic A$86 million investment in Strike Energy Limited, securing a 19.9% shareholding and becoming its largest investor. This move enhances Carnarvon’s exposure to Western Australia’s gas and electricity markets, complementing its core interests in the Bedout Basin. The company maintains a strong financial position with A$99 million in cash and no debt, allowing it to advance its exploration and production activities. Despite a delay in drilling due to rig availability, Carnarvon continues to progress its environmental approval plans and remains confident in its long-term development strategy. The investment in Strike Energy is seen as a timely response to an anticipated shortfall in Western Australia’s domestic gas supply, positioning Carnarvon to capitalize on rising regional gas prices.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CVN) stock is a Buy with a A$0.14 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Carnarvon Energy Limited stock, see the AU:CVN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025