tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Comet Ridge Ltd (AU:COI)
ASX:COI
Australian Market

Comet Ridge Ltd (COI) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
11 Followers

Top Page

AU:COI

Comet Ridge Ltd

(Sydney:COI)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.14
▼(-3.57% Downside)
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance—ongoing net losses and significantly negative free cash flow—despite a comparatively manageable balance sheet. Technicals provide support with price strength above key moving averages and positive MACD, while valuation remains less supportive due to a negative P/E and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Low leverage / balance sheet strength
Reported debt-to-equity near 0.09 and an improving equity base give Comet Ridge structural financial flexibility. Over the medium term this reduces refinancing and interest-rate risk, providing runway to fund exploration and appraisal programs without immediate heavy borrowing.
Resumption of revenue and narrower losses
Return to measurable revenue and a substantially reduced net loss demonstrate early commercial progress and lower execution risk. Persisting revenue provides a platform for scaling appraisal activity, supports staged investment decisions, and improves the odds of future monetisation through partners.
Focused CSG asset base and permit holdings
A clear, concentrated strategy on CSG in Queensland means ownership of geological assets, permits and appraisal optionality. Structurally this focused business model supports targeted appraisal programs and potential third-party monetisation paths that can crystallise value over months.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow
Sustained negative OCF and very large negative FCF indicate ongoing cash burn and structural funding needs. Over the medium term this forces reliance on external capital, risks dilution or constrained project schedules, and limits the company's ability to self-fund development.
Very weak and negative net margins
A net margin near -88.6% shows operations are well short of covering costs despite revenue restarting. Structurally, such deep negative margins mean the company needs sustained revenue growth or material cost reductions to reach breakeven, else profitability remains elusive.
Negative returns on equity
A negative ROE (~-3.1%) signals the current asset base is not generating shareholder returns. Over months this undermines investor confidence, makes non-dilutive financing harder to obtain, and highlights the need for clearer capital allocation or successful project monetisation to reverse returns.

Comet Ridge Ltd (COI) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Comet Ridge Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionComet Ridge Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the oil and gas exploration activities in Australia. The company's flagship asset includes Mahalo gas project covering an area of 989 square kilometers located in the Bowen Basin, Queensland. It holds 100% interests in the ATP 743, ATP 744, and ATP 1015 projects located in the Galilee Basin, Queensland; and Mahalo North, Mahalo East, and Mahalo Far East projects located in the Southern Bowen Basin, Queensland. The company also holds 29.6% interest in the PEL 6 and 59.09% interest in PEL 427 projects covering an area of 900 square kilometers located in the Gunnedah Basin, New South Wales. Comet Ridge Limited was incorporated in 2003 and is based in Brisbane, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyComet Ridge Ltd generates revenue primarily through the exploration and development of coal seam gas projects. The company earns money by identifying and developing gas resources, which are then either sold directly to energy utilities and industrial users or through joint ventures and partnerships with other energy companies. Revenue streams are also generated from selling interests in its exploration projects or through production sharing agreements. Significant partnerships with other energy sector players can enhance project development and provide additional revenue opportunities through shared investment and technology transfer.

Comet Ridge Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Comet Ridge Ltd faces significant financial challenges, primarily due to its inability to generate revenue and achieve profitability. While the balance sheet structure is relatively sound with low debt levels, the persistent negative income and cash flow figures are concerning. The company must focus on improving its revenue generation and operational efficiency to enhance its financial health.
Income Statement
Comet Ridge Ltd has consistently reported zero revenue over the past several years, indicating a lack of operational income generation. The gross profit has been negative, reflecting costs exceeding any revenue achieved. The net profit margin remains negative due to persistent net losses, which is a significant concern for profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, highlighting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
The company holds a relatively low level of debt compared to equity, with a debt-to-equity ratio that suggests moderate leverage. However, the equity ratio indicates a stable financial structure with a significant portion of assets funded by shareholder equity. The return on equity remains negative, reflecting ongoing losses and raising concerns about shareholder value.
Cash Flow
Operating cash flow has been negative, indicating challenges in generating cash from core operations. There is a negative free cash flow, signaling that capital expenditures exceed cash generated, which could be a concern for future liquidity. The free cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable, reflecting a lack of profitability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.002.79M0.000.000.0020.00K
Gross Profit-247.00K2.79M-198.00K-124.00K-71.00K-79.98K
EBITDA-535.00K-17.00K-4.92M-3.52M-7.45M-6.88M
Net Income-2.47M-2.47M-7.17M-6.57M-8.63M-6.96M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets125.00M125.00M120.30M111.36M109.36M76.23M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments13.30M13.30M16.78M11.65M8.00M3.97M
Total Debt6.95M6.95M7.44M7.21M19.44M0.00
Total Liabilities44.68M44.68M47.80M47.05M61.81M25.82M
Stockholders Equity80.32M80.32M72.51M64.31M47.55M50.41M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-4.13M-20.43M-8.94M-9.20M-11.69M-4.36M
Operating Cash Flow-4.12M-4.12M-4.22M-3.80M-3.36M-1.98M
Investing Cash Flow-10.45M-10.61M-4.63M-6.54M-20.33M891.00K
Financing Cash Flow11.25M11.25M13.97M14.62M27.72M-2.00K

Comet Ridge Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.14
Price Trends
50DMA
0.12
Positive
100DMA
0.12
Positive
200DMA
0.13
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
59.69
Neutral
STOCH
55.56
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:COI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.14 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.13, above the 50-day MA of 0.12, and above the 200-day MA of 0.13, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:COI.

Comet Ridge Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
64
Neutral
AU$341.79M18.1016.49%14.63%-4.57%-52.65%
51
Neutral
AU$846.54M-10.30-14.41%
50
Neutral
AU$164.51M-65.24-4.74%70.00%
50
Neutral
AU$157.44M44.001.40%
49
Neutral
AU$329.68M-12.99-13.47%
45
Neutral
AU$377.94M-1.91-42.02%59.48%-1714.71%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:COI
Comet Ridge Ltd
0.14
>-0.01
-5.52%
AU:CVN
Carnarvon Energy Limited
0.09
-0.06
-41.33%
AU:BTL
Empire Energy Group Limited
0.27
0.04
15.22%
AU:HZN
Horizon Oil Limited
0.21
0.04
25.00%
AU:STX
Strike Energy Limited
0.11
-0.12
-52.27%
AU:TBN
Tamboran Resources Limited
0.21
0.03
20.59%

Comet Ridge Ltd Corporate Events

Comet Ridge Clears ASX Hurdle for Full Mahalo Gas Project Acquisition
Dec 30, 2025

Comet Ridge Limited has received confirmation from the ASX that its proposed acquisition of Santos QNT’s 42.86% stake in the Mahalo Gas Project, which will increase Comet Ridge’s ownership of the project to 100%, will not trigger the need for shareholder approval or require the company to re-comply with initial listing requirements under ASX Listing Rules 11.1.2 and 11.1.3. This clarification removes a key regulatory hurdle for the transaction, smoothing the path for Comet Ridge to consolidate full control of its flagship Mahalo Gas Project, potentially strengthening its operational flexibility and strategic positioning in supplying gas to the east coast Australian market.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:COI) stock is a Buy with a A$0.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Comet Ridge Ltd stock, see the AU:COI Stock Forecast page.

Comet Ridge Wins Key Federal Environmental Approval for Mahalo North Gas Project
Dec 22, 2025

Comet Ridge has secured key federal environmental approval under the Environment Protection and Biodiversity Conservation Act for its 100%-owned Mahalo North natural gas development in Queensland’s Bowen Basin, complementing an existing Queensland environmental authority. The EPBC approval, following extensive assessment by federal agencies, allows the company to build, operate, decommission and rehabilitate up to 68 coal seam gas wells and associated infrastructure over a 141 km² area, and comes shortly after Comet Ridge agreed to acquire full ownership of the adjacent Mahalo Gas Project and advanced its NAIF financing assessment, marking a major step toward expanding its Mahalo Gas Hub and boosting future gas supply to Australia’s east coast market.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:COI) stock is a Buy with a A$0.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Comet Ridge Ltd stock, see the AU:COI Stock Forecast page.

Santos Limited Divests Non-Core Assets to Focus on Key Projects
Dec 17, 2025

Santos Limited, a prominent player in the energy sector, has announced the divestment of its 42.86% interest in the Mahalo Joint Venture to Comet Ridge Limited for A$40 million upfront and up to A$20 million in contingent payments. This move, along with the completed sale of its interests in the Petrel and Tern fields to Eni Australia, underscores Santos’ strategy to optimize its portfolio by monetizing non-core assets and focusing on near-term priorities like the Barossa and Pikka projects, ultimately aiming to enhance shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:COI) stock is a Hold with a A$0.14 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Comet Ridge Ltd stock, see the AU:COI Stock Forecast page.

Comet Ridge Acquires Full Ownership of Mahalo Gas Project
Dec 16, 2025

Comet Ridge Limited has announced its acquisition of Santos QNT Pty Ltd’s 42.86% interest in the Mahalo Gas Project, resulting in Comet Ridge holding 100% ownership of the Mahalo Gas Hub. This strategic move allows Comet Ridge to optimize the development of the gas resource, increasing its 2P Reserves and 2C Resources to 677 PJ. The acquisition positions Comet Ridge as a key player in the east coast gas market, with plans to target domestic gas sales and enhance its operational capabilities as the sole operator of the Mahalo Gas Hub.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:COI) stock is a Hold with a A$0.14 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Comet Ridge Ltd stock, see the AU:COI Stock Forecast page.

Comet Ridge Advances in NAIF Financing for Mahalo JV Gas Project
Nov 27, 2025

Comet Ridge Limited has received approval from the Northern Australia Infrastructure Facility (NAIF) to advance to the Due Diligence stage for debt financing of its Mahalo JV Gas Project. This development aligns with the Federal Government’s Future Gas Strategy, emphasizing the need for more domestic natural gas. While NAIF’s approval marks progress, it does not guarantee financing, and Comet Ridge is working on finalizing a comprehensive funding package to reach a Final Investment Decision by mid-2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:COI) stock is a Hold with a A$0.14 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Comet Ridge Ltd stock, see the AU:COI Stock Forecast page.

Comet Ridge Ltd Successfully Passes All AGM Resolutions
Nov 14, 2025

Comet Ridge Ltd announced that all resolutions proposed at its 2025 Annual General Meeting were successfully passed by shareholders. The approval of these resolutions, with significant majorities, reflects strong shareholder support and could positively impact the company’s strategic direction and operational initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:COI) stock is a Hold with a A$0.14 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Comet Ridge Ltd stock, see the AU:COI Stock Forecast page.

Comet Ridge Highlights Strategic Gas Exploration Focus
Nov 14, 2025

Comet Ridge Ltd has released a presentation aimed at shareholders and investors, emphasizing its position as a significant player in the east coast gas market. The company highlights its strategic focus on gas exploration and development, while acknowledging the inherent risks and uncertainties in the industry. The presentation includes forward-looking statements and projections, which are subject to change due to various market and environmental factors.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:COI) stock is a Hold with a A$0.14 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Comet Ridge Ltd stock, see the AU:COI Stock Forecast page.

Comet Ridge Appoints New CFO to Advance Gas Projects
Nov 10, 2025

Comet Ridge Limited has appointed Mr. Robin Polson as its new Chief Financial Officer, effective November 10, 2025. Mr. Polson brings over three decades of experience in corporate finance, having held roles in finance and investment banking across South Africa, The Netherlands, and Australia. His expertise in gas marketing and funding is expected to benefit Comet Ridge as it progresses with the Mahalo JV gas project, aiming to deliver natural gas to the east coast market. This strategic appointment underscores the company’s commitment to advancing its projects and enhancing its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:COI) stock is a Hold with a A$0.14 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Comet Ridge Ltd stock, see the AU:COI Stock Forecast page.

Comet Ridge Advances Mahalo Gas Hub Projects with Significant Progress
Oct 31, 2025

Comet Ridge Ltd has reported significant progress in its Mahalo Gas Hub projects during the September 2025 quarter. The company, in collaboration with Santos and Jemena, is advancing the Front End Engineering Design (FEED) for upstream and pipeline facilities. Notably, the Mahalo East project received independent certification of substantial gas reserves, and a final investment decision is anticipated upon FEED completion. These developments are expected to enhance Comet Ridge’s operational capabilities and strengthen its market position in the Queensland gas sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:COI) stock is a Buy with a A$0.21 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Comet Ridge Ltd stock, see the AU:COI Stock Forecast page.

Comet Ridge Ltd Focuses on East Coast Gas Market
Oct 20, 2025

Comet Ridge Ltd has released a presentation aimed at shareholders and investors, providing an overview of its operations and strategic focus on the east coast gas market. The presentation highlights the company’s commitment to developing gas resources to address regional energy needs, while also acknowledging the inherent risks and uncertainties in the energy sector. The company emphasizes the importance of understanding market trends and potential fluctuations in demand and pricing, which could impact future performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:COI) stock is a Buy with a A$0.21 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Comet Ridge Ltd stock, see the AU:COI Stock Forecast page.

Comet Ridge Ltd Announces AGM with Webcast Option
Oct 13, 2025

Comet Ridge Ltd has announced its Annual General Meeting (AGM) to be held on November 14, 2025, in Brisbane, with an option for shareholders to participate via a live webcast. Shareholders are encouraged to vote online by submitting their proxy forms before the deadline, and those attending in person are requested to register in advance.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:COI) stock is a Buy with a A$0.21 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Comet Ridge Ltd stock, see the AU:COI Stock Forecast page.

Comet Ridge Announces Retirement of Director Gillian Swaby
Oct 13, 2025

Comet Ridge Limited announced that Ms. Gillian Swaby will retire as a Non-Executive Director at the conclusion of the 2025 AGM, scheduled for November 14, 2025. Ms. Swaby, who joined the board in 2004 and has been the Chair of the Audit Committee since 2009, played a key role in the company’s merger with Chartwell Energy. Her departure marks the end of a significant tenure, with Chairman James McKay acknowledging her impactful contributions and leadership.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:COI) stock is a Buy with a A$0.21 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Comet Ridge Ltd stock, see the AU:COI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 09, 2026