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Nickel Mines Ltd. (AU:NIC)
ASX:NIC

Nickel Mines Ltd. (NIC) AI Stock Analysis

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AU

Nickel Mines Ltd.

(Sydney:NIC)

49Neutral
Nickel Mines Ltd. faces significant financial challenges with declining revenue and profitability, increased financial leverage, and negative operating cash flow. Technical analysis supports a bearish outlook with the stock trading below key moving averages. Despite positive operational achievements and a strong 2025 outlook, current risks such as FX losses, quota limitations, and soft nickel prices weigh heavily. The high dividend yield is attractive but may not be sustainable without improvements in financial performance.

Nickel Mines Ltd. (NIC) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Nickel Mines Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNickel Mines Ltd. (NIC) is an Australian-based mining company primarily engaged in the exploration and production of nickel resources. The company has significant operations in Indonesia, focusing on the acquisition, construction, and operation of nickel processing plants. Nickel Mines Ltd. is known for its low-cost production capabilities and strategic partnerships in the region, playing a crucial role in the global supply chain of nickel, which is essential for stainless steel production and increasingly important for electric vehicle batteries.
How the Company Makes MoneyNickel Mines Ltd. generates revenue through the extraction, processing, and sale of nickel products. The company operates through joint ventures and partnerships, particularly in Indonesia, where it has access to rich nickel laterite deposits. Its revenue streams are mainly derived from selling processed nickel pig iron (NPI) to the stainless steel industry and other sectors requiring nickel. Additionally, Nickel Mines Ltd. benefits from its strategic alliances with major Chinese industrial companies, which provide expertise and financial backing, enhancing its production capacity and market reach. These partnerships and operational efficiencies enable the company to maintain a competitive edge in the global nickel market, thus contributing significantly to its earnings.

Nickel Mines Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow
Breakdown
Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.76B1.76B860.59M760.41M679.36M
Gross Profit
659.78M419.02M288.79M239.88M240.11M
EBIT
411.80M399.15M273.95M233.09M228.84M
EBITDA
405.85M457.29M306.58M285.61M276.09M
Net Income Common Stockholders
178.41M229.33M137.94M160.67M162.62M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
774.97M212.70M189.62M455.45M70.87M
Total Assets
4.07B3.94B2.44B1.60B1.28B
Total Debt
845.02M824.73M450.60M58.32M92.47M
Net Debt
560.97M612.03M260.98M-397.13M21.59M
Total Liabilities
1.16B1.27B650.17M192.38M249.49M
Stockholders Equity
2.43B1.91B1.38B1.22B608.10M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
170.76M-120.42M179.15M199.44M12.36M
Operating Cash Flow
229.76M52.35M243.39M210.17M54.98M
Investing Cash Flow
-1.15B-371.39M-753.90M-330.80M-9.77M
Financing Cash Flow
1.06B327.96M228.67M555.22M-43.65M

Nickel Mines Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.62
Price Trends
50DMA
0.61
Positive
100DMA
0.70
Negative
200DMA
0.77
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
61.71
Neutral
STOCH
89.06
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:NIC, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.62 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.53, above the 50-day MA of 0.61, and below the 200-day MA of 0.77, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.06 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AU:NIC.

Nickel Mines Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (49)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AUBSL
72
Outperform
$10.25B19.045.09%2.73%-5.64%-33.77%
AUIGO
58
Neutral
$3.03B1,418.92-36.53%7.41%-28.50%-532.61%
AUS32
54
Neutral
£12.77B55.78-3.53%3.79%-19.74%―
49
Neutral
$1.94B-1.23-21.28%3.73%1.19%-29.73%
AUNIC
49
Neutral
AU$2.58B17.84-7.32%6.72%-6.64%-209.78%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:NIC
Nickel Mines Ltd.
0.62
-0.31
-33.33%
AU:S32
South32
2.82
-0.72
-20.38%
AU:BSL
Bluescope Steel
23.21
1.74
8.08%
AU:IGO
IGO
4.07
-3.43
-45.72%

Nickel Mines Ltd. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 23, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: -20.51%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 27, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected strong operational performance and significant achievements in safety, sustainability, and production records. However, challenges included lower reported EBITDA due to FX losses, quota limitations affecting sales, and the impact of soft nickel prices. Despite these challenges, the outlook for 2025 is positive with key projects on track and fully funded.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Safety and Sustainability Achievements
Nickel Industries Limited recorded 17.4 million man hours with only two LTIs in 2024. LTIFR and TRIFR were well below the world steel average. The company was shortlisted for a Green PROPER rating for the third consecutive year and targeting a Gold rating. It achieved the highest MSCI rating of any Indonesian metals and mining company, with an S&P rating increase from seven in 2021 to 37 in 2024.
Record Production and Operational Performance
The company delivered US$72.4 million in operational revenue in the December quarter. Record quarterly mining of over 7 million tonnes and a record month in November with 1.3 million tonnes sold. ONI RKEF operations achieved a record of 12,362 tonnes of nickel in MPI, contributing to total quarterly production of 32,784 tonnes, a 7% increase from the previous quarter.
Strong Performance from Hengjaya Mine and Exploration Success
The Hengjaya Mine delivered strong EBITDA figures, with US$35.6 million in the December quarter. The Sampala Project showed promising exploration results with significant nickel and cobalt grades, indicating a potential for over 1 billion wet metric tonnes of ore.
Positive Outlook for 2025
Encouraging prospects for 2025 with the ENC HPAL commissioning expected in the second half, potential increase in Hengjaya Mine RKAB from 9 million to 19 million tonnes, and the development of the Sampala Project, all of which are fully funded.
Negative Updates
Lower Reported EBITDA
Reported EBITDA from RKEF operations was significantly lower at US$22.1 million compared to US$60 million in the September quarter. The decline was attributed to a US$20 million FX loss in the December quarter.
Challenges with RKAB Quota and Delayed Ore Sales
Reached RKAB quota of 9 million tonnes early in December, limiting ore sales and resulting in an US$8.5 million loss in December. The quota increase to 19 million tonnes is expected in the second half of 2025.
Soft Nickel Price Impact
The company operated against a backdrop of continued soft nickel prices throughout 2024, affecting overall revenue and profitability.
Company Guidance
During the Nickel Industries Limited December 2024 quarterly results call, Managing Director Justin Werner highlighted several key performance metrics and strategic initiatives. The company worked 17.4 million man hours in 2024, recording only two Lost Time Injuries (LTIs), which contributed to an LTIFR of 0.11 and TRIFR of 1.43, both well below the world steel average. Financially, the quarter saw operations deliver US$72.4 million, with a record US$14.7 million from a 10% interest in HNC, HPAL. Total nickel production in MPI reached 32,784 tonnes, a 7% increase from the previous quarter. While reported EBITDA from RKEF operations was US$22.1 million, adjusting for foreign exchange impacts revealed an underlying EBITDA of US$42 million, 17.5% higher than the previous quarter. Mining operations achieved a record 7 million tonnes for the quarter, with November alone delivering US$27 million in EBITDA. Despite challenges, including soft nickel prices and reaching the RKAB quota, the company remains optimistic about 2025, targeting a significant increase in EBITDA with several projects and initiatives, such as ENC, HPAL commissioning and the development of the Sampala Project, which is expected to exceed 1 billion wet metric tonnes of ore.

Nickel Mines Ltd. Corporate Events

Nickel Industries Achieves Safety Milestones and Sustainability Recognition
Apr 29, 2025

Nickel Industries Limited reported a low lost time injury frequency rate of 0.05 for the quarter ending March 2025, with no lost time injuries recorded during this period. The company also maintained a total recordable injury frequency rate of 1.48 and received a Green PROPER rating for the third consecutive year, underscoring its commitment to safety and environmental sustainability.

Nickel Industries Limited Releases 2024 Annual Report and AGM Notice
Apr 17, 2025

Nickel Industries Limited has released its Annual Report for the year ending December 31, 2024, and announced its Annual General Meeting scheduled for May 22, 2025. This release provides shareholders with insights into the company’s performance over the past year and outlines strategic directions, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

Nickel Industries Reports Change in Substantial Holder Interests
Apr 10, 2025

Nickel Industries Limited has reported a change in the interests of its substantial holder, L1 Capital Pty Ltd and L1 Capital Strategic Equity Management Pty Ltd. The announcement details the changes in voting power and relevant interests, indicating a shift in the substantial holder’s stake in the company. This change could have implications for the company’s governance and shareholder dynamics, potentially affecting its strategic decisions and market perception.

Nickel Industries to Release Quarterly Report with Webcast
Apr 7, 2025

Nickel Industries Limited has announced that it will release its Quarterly Activities Report on April 29, 2025, with a webcast led by Managing Director Justin Werner to discuss the quarter’s activities and results. This announcement is significant as it provides stakeholders with insights into the company’s operational performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor relations.

Nickel Industries Reports Strong Q1 Performance Amid Weather Challenges
Mar 25, 2025

Nickel Industries Limited announced an expected 20% increase in EBITDA for the March 2025 quarter, despite challenges from heavy rainfall and flooding. The company’s operations, including the Hengjaya Mine and Oracle RKEF, demonstrated resilience, with the mine delivering significantly higher output than the previous year. Temporary halts in operations due to flooding were managed without significant damage or repair costs, and efforts are underway to upgrade stormwater systems to prevent future disruptions.

Nickel Industries Secures Approval for Major Expansion at Hengjaya Mine
Mar 19, 2025

Nickel Industries Limited has received approval from the Ministry of Mines for a feasibility study to increase ore sales at its Hengjaya Mine from 9 million to 19 million wet metric tonnes per year. This development marks a significant step towards boosting the company’s production capacity, with full approval expected by the second half of 2025, aligning with the commissioning of their Excelsior Nickel Cobalt HPAL project. The company anticipates that this expansion will enhance its operational capabilities and strengthen its market position.

Macquarie Group Ceases Substantial Holding in Nickel Mines Ltd.
Mar 17, 2025

Nickel Mines Ltd., a company involved in the nickel industry, has announced that Macquarie Group Limited and its controlled entities have ceased to be substantial holders in the company. This change in substantial holding could impact the company’s shareholder structure and influence its market dynamics, potentially affecting investor perceptions and stakeholder interests.

Macquarie Group Acquires Substantial Stake in Nickel Industries
Mar 12, 2025

Macquarie Group Limited and its controlled entities have become substantial holders in Nickel Industries Limited, acquiring significant voting power and control over a portion of the company’s securities. This development indicates a strategic investment by Macquarie, potentially impacting Nickel Industries’ market position and signaling confidence in its growth prospects, which could influence stakeholder perceptions and future market dynamics.

PT Karunia Bara Perkasa Ceases Substantial Holding in Nickel Industries
Mar 12, 2025

Nickel Industries Limited has announced that PT Karunia Bara Perkasa has ceased to be a substantial holder in the company as of March 11, 2025. This change was due to the sale of shares owned by PT Harum Energy Tbk. through a block trade, significantly impacting the voting securities held by the former substantial holder.

Nickel Industries Faces Potential Royalty Hike Amid Expansion Plans
Mar 12, 2025

Nickel Industries Limited has announced that the Indonesian Government is considering increasing royalties on nickel ore sales, potentially impacting the company’s financials. The proposed changes would raise royalties from the current 10% to between 14% and 19%, depending on nickel prices, which could have increased the company’s 2024 royalties by approximately US$8 million. However, these changes would only affect nickel ore sales, not other nickel products or operations. The company is also expanding its production capabilities with the Excelsior Nickel Cobalt HPAL project, aligning with Indonesia’s focus on refined nickel products and not currently subject to royalties.

Nickel Industries Announces Board Resignation
Mar 11, 2025

Nickel Industries Limited announced the resignation of Mr. Dasa Sutantio from his position as a Non-Executive Director, effective March 11, 2025. This change in the board may impact the company’s governance and strategic direction, potentially influencing its market positioning and stakeholder relations.

Nickel Industries Faces Share Price Volatility Amid Market and Regulatory Pressures
Mar 11, 2025

Nickel Industries Limited has experienced a significant drop in its share price from $0.755 to $0.595, alongside increased trading volume. This fluctuation is attributed to several factors: a substantial block trade by PT Harum Energy TBK, which sold 178.5 million shares as part of its liquidity management, and a proposed increase in Indonesian nickel royalties from 10% to a range of 14-19%. Additionally, broader market conditions, such as a downturn in the Dow Jones Index, have also impacted the company’s share price. The company confirms compliance with listing rules and maintains transparency with stakeholders.

Nickel Industries Limited Releases Annual Financial Results
Feb 24, 2025

Nickel Industries Limited presented its annual results, providing insights into its financial performance over the past year. This release is positioned to inform stakeholders about the company’s operational status and market stance, although specific details on the exact impact on operations or industry positioning were not disclosed in this document.

Nickel Industries Declares Dividend for Shareholders
Feb 24, 2025

Nickel Industries Limited announced a dividend distribution of AUD 0.015 per share for the period ending December 31, 2024. This announcement indicates the company’s financial health and its ability to return value to shareholders, potentially affecting its market positioning and stakeholder relations.

Nickel Industries Declares Final Dividend and Launches Reinvestment Plan Amid Market Challenges
Feb 24, 2025

Nickel Industries Limited has announced a final dividend of 1.5 cents per share for 2024, bringing the total dividend for the year to 4 cents. They have also introduced a Dividend Reinvestment Plan (DRP) allowing shareholders to receive additional shares instead of cash. This move comes amid challenging global nickel market conditions and reflects a focus on financial discipline and strategic investment. Major shareholders and directors, accounting for over 54% of shares, have committed to the DRP, highlighting confidence in the company’s market position and future prospects, including upcoming projects poised to deliver significant value.

Nickel Industries Limited Reaffirms Commitment to Corporate Governance Standards
Feb 24, 2025

Nickel Industries Limited has issued a Corporate Governance Statement detailing its adherence to the ASX Corporate Governance Council’s Principles and Recommendations. The company complies with these guidelines to ensure transparent management and oversight, demonstrating a clear delineation of roles between its board and management. This commitment reflects its focus on maintaining accountability and operational efficiency, potentially strengthening its position in the industry and enhancing stakeholder confidence.

Nickel Industries Faces Financial Challenges Amid Expansion Efforts
Feb 24, 2025

Nickel Industries Limited reported a challenging financial year ending December 2024, with a decline in sales revenue and a significant operating loss. Despite these setbacks, the company achieved record production levels of finished nickel metal and increased its interests in key projects, indicating a strategic focus on growth and expansion, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

Nickel Industries to Release 2024 Annual Report
Feb 21, 2025

Nickel Industries Limited has announced it will release its 2024 Annual Report on 24 February 2025. The company will host a webcast led by Managing Director Justin Werner to discuss the results, signaling transparency and engagement with stakeholders, which may impact investor sentiment and market positioning.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.