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Nickel Mines Ltd. (AU:NIC)
ASX:NIC
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Nickel Mines Ltd. (NIC) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:NIC

Nickel Mines Ltd.

(Sydney:NIC)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.50
▼(-28.57% Downside)
Nickel Mines Ltd. has a moderate overall score driven by a mixed financial performance and valuation concerns. While technical indicators show some positive trends, the company's financial challenges and negative P/E ratio weigh heavily on the score. The earnings call provided some optimism with operational achievements, but immediate cash flow and production issues remain significant.

Nickel Mines Ltd. (NIC) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Nickel Mines Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNickel Industries Limited engages in nickel ore mining and nickel pig iron production operations in Singapore and Indonesia. The company holds an 80% interest in the Hengjaya Mine that covers an area of 5,983 hectares located in the Morowali Regency of Central Sulawesi; 80% interest in the Ranger Nickel project; and 70% interest in the Angel Nickel project. It also has an option to acquire a 70% interest in the Oracle Nickel project. The company was formerly known as Nickel Mines Limited and changed its name to Nickel Industries Limited in June 2022. Nickel Industries Limited was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Sydney, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyNickel Mines generates revenue primarily through the sale of nickel pig iron (NPI) and ferronickel, which are used in the production of stainless steel. The company's revenue model is driven by the global demand for nickel, especially from the EV market, where nickel is a key component in lithium-ion batteries. Nickel Mines benefits from long-term off-take agreements with major customers, ensuring a steady demand for its products. Additionally, the company's strategic partnerships with established players in the mining and metals industry enhance its market position and operational efficiencies. Fluctuations in nickel prices on global commodity markets also significantly impact the company's earnings, making it essential for Nickel Mines to maintain competitive production costs and efficient operations.

Nickel Mines Ltd. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 27, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook with both strong operational achievements and some challenges. Record ore sales and strong production from HNC were highlights, but there were notable production decreases and cash flow challenges. The outlook for future projects like Sampala is positive, but immediate issues like the ENC commissioning delay and cash flow management need addressing.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Safety and Sustainability Performance
Achieved an LTIFR of 0.05 with no lost time injuries over 4.6 million work hours for the quarter. Released the 2024 sustainability report and established the Nickel Industries Foundation and a biodiversity area.
Record Ore Sales from Hengjaya Mine
Achieved record ore sales of over 3 million wet metric tonnes with a 33% increase in EBITDA to USD 41.4 million, and EBITDA per tonne margin rose by 25%.
HNC Production Exceeds Expectations
Produced 2,075 tonnes of nickel from HPAL operations, operating 38% above nameplate capacity, and achieved a strong EBITDA margin of over USD 6,000 per tonne.
Positive Outlook for Sampala Project
Sampala project progressing well with 16 drill rigs on site and over 1,000 holes completed in the quarter. Targeting an exploration resource of over 1 billion wet metric tonnes of ore.
Negative Updates
Decrease in RKEF Nickel Production
RKEF nickel metal production decreased by 4% due to kiln realignment and power station maintenance, leading to lower EBITDA compared to the previous quarter.
Delays in ENC Cathode Plant Commissioning
Commissioning of the ENC cathode plant was deferred to better align with working capital requirements and sales license issuance, impacting short-term production plans.
Cash Flow Challenges
Cash flow from operations was broadly neutral despite a good EBITDA quarter, primarily due to a large working capital build for inventory.
Company Guidance
In the June quarter activities webcast for Nickel Industries Limited, Managing Director Justin Werner highlighted key metrics and achievements. The company reported an LTIFR of 0.05 with no lost time injuries over 4.6 million work hours in the quarter. The 12-month rolling TRIFR stood at 1.29. Financially, the quarter saw USD 86 million in adjusted EBITDA, contributing to a first-half total of USD 183.6 million, a significant improvement over the first half of 2024. RKEF nickel metal production reached 30,463 tonnes, while HPAL production from HNC was 2,075 tonnes. EBITDA margins remained robust, with MHP payabilities close to 90%, despite increased sulfur costs. The Hengjaya Mine recorded over 3 million wet metric tonnes in ore sales, with EBITDA surging by 33% from the March quarter. The company also advanced the Sampala project, aiming for a first ore delivery in the second half of 2026, with a current margin of USD 13.7 per wet metric tonne.

Nickel Mines Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Nickel Mines Ltd. shows a mixed financial picture with a solid asset base and positive trends in free cash flow. However, challenges in revenue growth, profitability, increased financial leverage, and declining operating cash flow present potential risks.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Nickel Mines Ltd. has experienced significant volatility in its income statement. The company saw a substantial drop in revenue from 2023 to 2024, with a negative net income indicating challenges in profitability. The gross profit and EBITDA margins have also decreased compared to prior years, reflecting operational inefficiencies or market pressures.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet shows moderate leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio that has increased over time, indicating growing reliance on debt financing. While the stockholders' equity remains strong, the equity ratio has declined, suggesting increased financial risk. Despite these concerns, the company maintains a solid asset base which provides some financial stability.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals fluctuations, with free cash flow showing positive growth in recent periods. However, the operating cash flow was negative in 2024, highlighting potential challenges in cash generation from core operations. The company needs to focus on improving operating efficiencies to enhance cash flow stability.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.74B2.76B1.22B645.94M523.49M
Gross Profit314.65M659.78M360.42M252.73M201.93M
EBITDA62.72M405.85M457.29M306.58M196.62M
Net Income-168.59M121.60M158.98M137.94M160.67M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.90B4.07B2.67B1.77B1.23B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments210.95M774.97M144.24M137.86M351.45M
Total Debt1.05B845.02M824.73M327.61M45.00M
Total Liabilities1.35B1.16B857.98M472.71M148.45M
Stockholders Equity2.12B2.43B1.30B1.00B940.06M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow208.79M170.76M-120.42M179.15M199.44M
Operating Cash Flow281.39M229.76M63.04M189.02M149.95M
Investing Cash Flow-288.91M-1.15B-430.01M-597.86M-184.41M
Financing Cash Flow-64.01M1.06B373.15M197.29M333.63M

Nickel Mines Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.70
Price Trends
50DMA
0.73
Negative
100DMA
0.73
Negative
200DMA
0.70
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
40.50
Neutral
STOCH
38.89
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:NIC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.7 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.74, below the 50-day MA of 0.73, and above the 200-day MA of 0.70, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:NIC.

Nickel Mines Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$2.77B14.587.84%0.93%-4.84%-30.61%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
60
Neutral
$9.92B-48.66-5.63%-38.69%-174.12%
58
Neutral
AU$9.03B-9.95-26.55%-15.27%-817.26%
52
Neutral
AU$3.04B-12.24-7.26%5.71%-2.30%-234.27%
49
Neutral
$3.95B-35.65%-37.23%-32433.33%
38
Underperform
AU$2.11B-34.02-50.19%-20.85%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:NIC
Nickel Mines Ltd.
0.70
-0.21
-23.08%
AU:PLS
Pilbara Minerals
3.08
0.17
5.84%
AU:ILU
Iluka Resources Limited
6.46
0.65
11.26%
AU:IGO
IGO
5.19
0.13
2.57%
AU:MIN
Mineral Resources Limited
46.02
8.77
23.54%
AU:IPX
Iperionx Limited
6.29
3.02
92.35%

Nickel Mines Ltd. Corporate Events

Nickel Industries Achieves Safety Milestone and Earns Sustainability Awards
Oct 28, 2025

Nickel Industries Limited reported a perfect safety record for the quarter ending September 2025, with no lost time injuries recorded across 18.5 million safe man hours. The company was recognized for its sustainability efforts, receiving the Gold award for Biodiversity Management at the 2025 Indonesia Sustainable Responsible Awards and national recognition at the 2025 Innovation Technology for Social and Environmental Awards.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NIC) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nickel Mines Ltd. stock, see the AU:NIC Stock Forecast page.

Nickel Mines Ltd. Reports Strong Q3 2025 Performance Amid Strategic Financial Moves
Oct 28, 2025

Nickel Mines Ltd. reported a strong third quarter in 2025, with significant EBITDA growth in its RKEF and HPAL operations, despite a temporary dip in sales from its Hengjaya Mine. The company issued US$800 million in senior unsecured notes to refinance existing debt, reducing costs and extending maturities. Nickel Mines also achieved safety milestones and received recognition for biodiversity management, highlighting its commitment to sustainable practices. The company’s strategic moves, including deferring acquisition payments and progressing towards increased production quotas, position it well for future growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NIC) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nickel Mines Ltd. stock, see the AU:NIC Stock Forecast page.

Nickel Industries to Unveil Quarterly Activities Report
Oct 17, 2025

Nickel Industries Limited has announced that it will release its Quarterly Activities Report on October 28, 2025. The report will be discussed in a webcast led by Managing Director Justin Werner, providing insights into the company’s recent activities and results, which could influence its operational strategies and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NIC) stock is a Hold with a A$0.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nickel Mines Ltd. stock, see the AU:NIC Stock Forecast page.

Nickel Industries Completes Tender Offer, Strengthens Growth Position
Sep 30, 2025

Nickel Industries Limited has successfully completed a tender offer for its US$400 million senior unsecured notes, accepting tenders for an aggregate principal amount of US$354,519,000. This move, along with the issuance of US$800 million in new senior unsecured notes, strengthens the company’s financial position and supports its growth trajectory in the nickel industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NIC) stock is a Buy with a A$1.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nickel Mines Ltd. stock, see the AU:NIC Stock Forecast page.

Nickel Industries Secures $800 Million in Bond Issuance to Strengthen Financial Position
Sep 25, 2025

Nickel Industries Limited has successfully issued US$800 million in senior unsecured notes with a 9% coupon rate, maturing in 2030. This strategic financial move extends the company’s debt maturity profile and reduces its annual note amortization by US$88 million, reflecting confidence from global investors and enhancing its international market recognition.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NIC) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nickel Mines Ltd. stock, see the AU:NIC Stock Forecast page.

Nickel Industries Plans New Note Issuance to Extend Debt Maturity
Sep 23, 2025

Nickel Industries Limited has announced plans to issue new Senior Unsecured Notes, subject to market conditions, while concurrently tendering for its existing 11.250% Senior Unsecured Notes maturing in October 2028. This strategic move aims to extend the company’s debt maturity profile, with purchased notes being canceled to streamline financial operations. The issuance will be conducted outside the United States under Regulation S and within the United States to qualified institutional buyers under Rule 144A, reflecting the company’s efforts to optimize its financial structure and maintain a strong market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NIC) stock is a Buy with a A$0.95 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nickel Mines Ltd. stock, see the AU:NIC Stock Forecast page.

Nickel Industries Defers ENC Acquisition Payments, Maintains Commissioning Timeline
Sep 23, 2025

Nickel Industries Limited has reached an agreement with its largest shareholder, Shanghai Decent, to defer two remaining payments for the Excelsior Nickel Cobalt acquisition by six months. This deferral does not affect the timeline for ENC commissioning, which remains on track for later this year, and reflects prudent balance sheet management and a strong partnership with Shanghai Decent.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NIC) stock is a Buy with a A$0.95 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nickel Mines Ltd. stock, see the AU:NIC Stock Forecast page.

Nickel Mines Ltd. Earnings Call: Mixed Sentiment and Future Prospects
Sep 1, 2025

The recent earnings call for Nickel Mines Ltd. presented a mixed sentiment, highlighting both significant achievements and notable challenges. The company celebrated record ore sales and strong production figures from its HNC operations, yet faced production decreases and cash flow issues. While future projects like Sampala show promise, immediate concerns such as the ENC commissioning delay and cash flow management require attention.

Nickel Industries Reports Strong Safety and Sustainability Achievements
Aug 28, 2025

Nickel Industries Limited reported its half-year results, highlighting significant achievements in safety and sustainability. The company registered over 22.6 million work hours since the last lost time injury in November 2021, maintaining a low lost time injury frequency rate of 0.05 as of June 2025. Additionally, the company has made strides in sustainability, with the establishment of the Nickel Industries Foundation and initiatives in education, health, environmental conservation, and economic empowerment.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NIC) stock is a Hold with a A$0.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nickel Mines Ltd. stock, see the AU:NIC Stock Forecast page.

Nickel Industries Reports Strong Profit Growth Amid Revenue Dip
Aug 28, 2025

Nickel Industries Limited reported a slight decrease in sales revenue for the first half of 2025, down 1.6% to US$829.7 million, but achieved a significant increase in profit after tax, up 119.3% to US$25.5 million. The company produced 66,450 tonnes of finished nickel metal and mined 11.6 million tonnes of ore at its Hengjaya Mine. The ENC project is ready for staged commissioning, indicating potential future growth and operational expansion.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NIC) stock is a Hold with a A$0.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nickel Mines Ltd. stock, see the AU:NIC Stock Forecast page.

Nickel Industries Announces Change in Director’s Interest
Aug 15, 2025

Nickel Industries Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically concerning Norman Seckold. This update involves the alteration of his direct and indirect interests in the company’s securities, including shares held through various entities. Such changes in director’s interests are significant as they can impact stakeholder perceptions and the company’s governance structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NIC) stock is a Hold with a A$0.55 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nickel Mines Ltd. stock, see the AU:NIC Stock Forecast page.

Nickel Industries to Release Half Year Report with Webcast Discussion
Aug 11, 2025

Nickel Industries Limited has announced that it will release its Half Year Report on August 28, 2025. The report will be discussed in a webcast led by Managing Director Justin Werner and CFO Chris Shepherd, providing stakeholders with insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NIC) stock is a Hold with a A$0.55 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nickel Mines Ltd. stock, see the AU:NIC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025