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IGO (AU:IGO)
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IGO (IGO) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:IGO

IGO

(Sydney:IGO)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
AU$4.50
▼(-11.94% Downside)
IGO's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial challenges, including declining revenues and negative profitability. While the earnings call provided some positive operational updates, ongoing issues in the lithium market and at the Kwinana refinery pose significant risks. The technical analysis and valuation offer mixed signals, with a high dividend yield being a potential positive for income investors.

IGO (IGO) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

IGO Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIGO Limited operates as an exploration and mining company that engages in discovering, developing, and operating assets focused on metals to enable clean energy in Australia. It owns and operates a 100% interest in the Nova nickel-copper-cobalt operation located to the east northeast of Norseman in the Great Western Woodlands of Western Australia; a 100% interest in the Cosmos nickel operation located to the north of Leinster in Western Australia; and a 100% interest in the Forrestania nickel operation located to the east of Perth in Western Australia. The company also focuses on investing in lithium mines, as well as holds 100% interest in the downstream processing refinery at Kwinana in Western Australia to produce battery grade lithium hydroxide. In addition, it owns and operates various projects, including Fraser Range, Kimberley, Paterson, Copper Coast, Frontier, Raptor, and Western Gawler projects. The company was formerly known as Independence Group NL and changed its name to IGO Limited in January 2020. IGO Limited was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Perth, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyIGO makes money through the extraction and sale of mineral resources such as nickel, copper, cobalt, and lithium. The company's revenue streams are primarily derived from the sale of these minerals to global markets, particularly for use in electric vehicle batteries and renewable energy storage solutions. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures, such as those with lithium producers, enhance their production capabilities and market reach. IGO's financial performance is also influenced by commodity prices, operational efficiencies, and its ability to maintain sustainable mining practices.

IGO Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 27, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong operational performance and improvements in safety and financial positions, but these positives were offset by challenges in the lithium market and ongoing issues at the Kwinana refinery. Overall, the sentiment is balanced with noteworthy achievements and significant challenges.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Safety Improvement
Significant improvement in safety performance across IGO operations, with a reduction in the severity and number of injuries, as indicated by the decline in the 3-month and 12-month TRIFR.
Strong Operational Performance at Nova and Greenbushes
Both sites delivered strong operational quarters. Greenbushes achieved 60% EBITDA for the quarter, and Nova met guidance after operational improvements.
Positive Financial Position
The balance sheet remains strong with $280 million in cash and $300 million available from debt facilities, which were resized and extended during the quarter.
ESG Framework Update
An updated ESG framework was introduced, focusing on safety, health, well-being, socioeconomic contributions, transitioning to a low-carbon future, and environmental stewardship.
Negative Updates
Volatility in the Lithium Market
The lithium market remains volatile and challenging, affecting IGO's operations and financial outcomes.
Kwinana Refinery Challenges
The refinery is underperforming with ongoing equipment issues and production challenges, leading to a further impairment of Train 1.
Debt and Cash Flow Concerns
Concerns about dividend flows from TLEA due to cash outflow at Kwinana and the winding down of the nickel business.
Company Guidance
During the IGO Limited Q4 FY '25 Results Call, Managing Director and CEO Ivan Vella highlighted several key metrics and updates. The company reported a 60% EBITDA margin for the quarter from Greenbushes, despite challenges such as unseasonably wet weather and lower-grade ore. Sales experienced a substantial increase due to logistical improvements at the Bunbury port. At Nova, operational enhancements led to meeting guidance, with nickel production expected to remain between 15,000 to 18,000 tonnes until the mine's closure at the end of 2026. The company also emphasized ongoing safety improvements, reflected in a reduction in the Total Recordable Injury Frequency Rate (TRIFR). Financially, the quarter saw an EBITDA of $59 million, a strong cash position of $280 million, and an available debt facility of $300 million. However, challenges at the Kwinana refinery led to a full impairment of Train 1, affecting the overall asset valuation. The company also updated its ESG framework, focusing on safety, environmental stewardship, and transitioning to a low-carbon future.

IGO Financial Statement Overview

Summary
IGO faces significant financial challenges with declining revenues and negative profitability metrics. While the balance sheet shows low leverage, the lack of profitability and cash flow issues are significant concerns. The company needs to address these issues to stabilize its financial position and return to growth.
Income Statement
30
Negative
The income statement reveals significant challenges for IGO, with declining revenue and negative margins. The gross profit margin and net profit margin are both negative, indicating that the company is struggling to cover its costs. The revenue growth rate has been negative in recent years, showing a downward trend. These factors suggest financial instability and a need for strategic changes to improve profitability.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
IGO's balance sheet shows a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating conservative leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, reflecting poor profitability. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting that the company maintains a solid equity base relative to its assets. Overall, while leverage is managed well, the lack of profitability is a concern.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
The cash flow statement highlights a significant decline in free cash flow growth, which is a red flag for liquidity. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is below 1, indicating that the company is not generating sufficient cash from operations relative to its net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, but the overall cash flow situation requires improvement to ensure financial health.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue517.30M499.90M796.40M1.05B845.20M619.86M
Gross Profit36.30M-176.50M-134.60M203.20M327.30M151.74M
EBITDA-36.10M-811.10M144.80M-592.20M468.40M358.66M
Net Income-954.60M-954.60M2.80M549.10M330.90M163.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.36B2.36B3.57B4.74B4.86B3.61B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments343.50M343.50M530.40M837.60M493.90M639.46M
Total Debt31.40M31.40M48.70M432.10M959.20M25.05M
Total Liabilities263.90M263.90M357.50M947.70M1.43B408.86M
Stockholders Equity2.09B2.09B3.21B3.79B3.44B3.20B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow32.70M37.60M673.10M1.05B300.30M351.34M
Operating Cash Flow37.90M42.90M872.00M1.39B388.40M446.05M
Investing Cash Flow-4.00M-4.00M-240.30M-293.60M-1.28B-1.06B
Financing Cash Flow-223.40M-223.40M-943.70M-726.70M761.80M633.00M

IGO Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.11
Price Trends
50DMA
4.98
Positive
100DMA
4.61
Positive
200DMA
4.51
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Negative
RSI
57.43
Neutral
STOCH
93.57
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:IGO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.11 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.79, above the 50-day MA of 4.98, and above the 200-day MA of 4.51, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.57 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:IGO.

IGO Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
2.12B13.59124.90%5.50%6.54%0.48%
58
Neutral
8.10B-8.93-15.27%-817.26%
57
Neutral
7.73B-37.91-5.54%-38.69%-174.12%
55
Neutral
3.17B-12.76-7.97%5.48%-2.30%-234.27%
47
Neutral
$3.87B1,418.92-35.65%5.09%-37.23%-32433.33%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:IGO
IGO
5.11
-0.75
-12.80%
PILBF
Pilbara Minerals
1.57
-0.67
-29.91%
MALRF
Mineral Resources Limited
25.80
-9.86
-27.65%
AU:NIC
Nickel Mines Ltd.
0.73
-0.18
-19.78%
AU:DRR
Deterra Royalties Ltd
4.00
0.17
4.44%

IGO Corporate Events

IGO Limited Announces Cessation of Securities
Sep 11, 2025

IGO Limited has announced the cessation of certain securities, specifically performance rights and options, due to unmet conditions. This cessation could impact the company’s capital structure and may influence stakeholder perceptions regarding the company’s strategic execution and financial planning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:IGO) stock is a Hold with a A$5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IGO stock, see the AU:IGO Stock Forecast page.

IGO Limited Announces 2025 AGM Date and Director Nomination Deadline
Sep 9, 2025

IGO Limited, a company listed on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX: IGO), has announced the date for its 2025 Annual General Meeting (AGM), which will be held on November 19, 2025. The company has also set September 17, 2025, as the deadline for director nominations. This announcement is significant for shareholders and potential board candidates as it outlines the timeline for participation in the company’s governance.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:IGO) stock is a Hold with a A$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IGO stock, see the AU:IGO Stock Forecast page.

Ubique Asset Management Ceases Substantial Holding in IGO Limited
Aug 29, 2025

Ubique Asset Management Pty Ltd has ceased to be a substantial holder in IGO Limited as of August 29, 2025. This change involved on-market sales and in-specie movements, affecting 18,605,742 voting securities and amounting to $92,338,598.75, which may impact IGO’s shareholder composition and market perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:IGO) stock is a Sell with a A$4.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IGO stock, see the AU:IGO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 17, 2025