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IGO (AU:IGO)
ASX:IGO

IGO (IGO) AI Stock Analysis

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AU

IGO

(Sydney:IGO)

58Neutral
IGO Limited's overall stock score reflects a challenging financial and operational environment. The company's financial stability is supported by a strong balance sheet and healthy cash flows, but declining revenues and profit margins raise concerns. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, while valuation metrics highlight potential overvaluation. Despite positive developments in certain areas, significant challenges remain, necessitating strategic focus to improve financial performance and market sentiment.

IGO (IGO) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

IGO Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIGO Limited (IGO) is an Australian-based mining and exploration company primarily involved in the extraction and production of nickel, copper, and cobalt. The company operates across several sectors, including mining, processing, and exploration of mineral resources. IGO's core assets include its 100% owned Nova Operation, a prominent producer of nickel, copper, and cobalt located in Western Australia, and interests in joint ventures and exploration projects focused on discovering and developing critical minerals essential for clean energy technologies.
How the Company Makes MoneyIGO Limited generates revenue through the sale of mined and processed minerals, specifically nickel, copper, and cobalt, from its Nova Operation. The company benefits from long-term supply contracts with global customers, ensuring a steady revenue stream. Additionally, IGO invests in exploration activities to discover new mineral deposits, which could lead to future revenue growth. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures provide further opportunities for expansion and diversification of its revenue sources, allowing IGO to capitalize on rising demand for critical minerals used in clean energy technologies.

IGO Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow
Breakdown
Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
796.40M1.05B845.20M619.86M580.14M
Gross Profit
-134.60M203.20M327.30M151.74M105.19M
EBIT
-183.60M140.00M297.30M121.73M73.34M
EBITDA
144.80M-592.20M468.40M358.66M296.66M
Net Income Common Stockholders
2.80M549.10M330.90M163.84M155.09M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
530.40M837.60M493.90M639.46M618.07M
Total Assets
3.57B4.74B4.86B3.61B2.29B
Total Debt
48.70M432.10M959.20M25.05M96.72M
Net Debt
-419.30M-343.10M592.10M-503.47M-413.59M
Total Liabilities
357.50M947.70M1.43B408.86M367.22M
Stockholders Equity
3.21B3.79B3.44B3.20B1.93B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
673.10M1.05B300.30M351.34M309.85M
Operating Cash Flow
872.00M1.39B388.40M446.05M397.52M
Investing Cash Flow
-240.30M-293.60M-1.28B-1.06B-115.34M
Financing Cash Flow
-943.70M-726.70M761.80M633.00M-116.96M

IGO Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price3.87
Price Trends
50DMA
3.96
Negative
100DMA
4.48
Negative
200DMA
4.83
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.11
Negative
RSI
52.15
Neutral
STOCH
79.02
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:IGO, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 3.87 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.59, below the 50-day MA of 3.96, and below the 200-day MA of 4.83, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.02 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AU:IGO.

IGO Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (49)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AUIGO
58
Neutral
$2.93B1,418.92-36.53%10.51%-28.50%-532.61%
AUS32
54
Neutral
£12.32B54.58-3.53%3.95%-19.74%
49
Neutral
$1.93B-1.47-21.02%3.74%0.80%-29.57%
AUMIN
48
Neutral
AU$4.04B50.78-33.95%4.54%2.22%-411.10%
AUPLS
46
Neutral
$4.84B23.42-1.04%-65.07%-102.37%
AUSYR
44
Neutral
$255.35M-33.63%-33.27%-10.07%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:IGO
IGO
3.87
-3.50
-47.46%
AU:S32
South32
2.74
-0.70
-20.46%
AU:MIN
Mineral Resources Limited
20.74
-52.93
-71.85%
AU:PLS
Pilbara Minerals
1.46
-2.60
-64.04%
AU:SYR
Syrah Resources
0.25
-0.28
-53.33%

IGO Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 19, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -16.59%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call highlighted strong performance and improvements in Greenbushes and safety indicators. However, these positives are overshadowed by significant challenges at Nova and Kwinana, including production issues, financial losses, and strategic setbacks such as the suspension of Train 2. The lack of expected dividends from TLEA also presents a cash flow concern.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Greenbushes Performance
Greenbushes had another strong quarter of production, finishing the calendar year well and beating internal plans. The operation is continuing to improve with good recoveries and strong margins despite being at a low point in the cycle.
Safety Improvements
Progress in safety maturity is noted, with leading indicators starting to show improvement, marking a positive trend for future operational safety.
Negative Updates
Nova Production Challenges
Nova experienced a tough quarter with lower nickel output due to mine grade issues and plant availability problems, compounded by a subdued nickel price impacting financials.
Kwinana Financial Struggles
Kwinana's EBITDA loss resulted from NRV adjustments on spodumene and lithium hydroxide inventories due to weaker market conditions and built-up inventories, which were slower to sell than expected.
Kwinana Train 2 Decision
The decision to cease activities around Train 2 was made after evaluating CapEx and OpEx, impacting future expansion plans and leading to ongoing impairment testing for Train 1.
No Expected Dividends from TLEA
The company does not expect to receive any dividends from TLEA in the second half of the financial year, impacting cash flow expectations.
Company Guidance
During the IGO Limited December Quarter Results Call, Ivan Vella, Managing Director and CEO, provided detailed guidance across several business areas. The company reported a strong quarter for its lithium business, particularly at Greenbushes, with production exceeding plans despite a slow start to the calendar year. Vella highlighted ongoing optimization and improvement work, including the CGP3 project, which is on track. At Kwinana, production improved following a shutdown, but the company has ceased activities around Train 2, impacting financials with an expected impairment. Nova faced challenges with lower nickel output due to mine grade issues and plant availability, which affected financials alongside subdued nickel prices. Sales at Greenbushes were down due to shipment timing, not demand, and the company remains optimistic about productivity improvements and sustaining recoveries. The cash position ended at $247 million, with exploration spending trending down, and IGO does not expect dividend payments from TLEA in the second half of the financial year.

IGO Corporate Events

IGO Limited Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results with Solid Operational Performance
Apr 30, 2025

IGO Limited reported solid operational results for the third quarter of 2025, with significant production and strong margins at Greenbushes, and improved production and lower costs at Nova. The company also announced a US$110 million dividend from Windfield Holdings and a strong financial position with underlying EBITDA of $34 million and cash reserves of $284 million, signaling robust financial health and strategic operational improvements.

IGO Limited Reports Strong Quarterly Performance Amid Operational Adjustments
Apr 30, 2025

IGO Limited reported a solid operating quarter with significant financial and operational achievements. The Greenbushes mine delivered strong margins and cash flows, while Nova recorded improved production. Despite challenges at the Kwinana Lithium Hydroxide Refinery, the company maintained a robust balance sheet with a net cash position of $284 million. The implementation of a new exploration business model led to a rationalization of the tenement portfolio, reflecting IGO’s commitment to growth through exploration.

IGO Limited Announces March Quarterly Results Webcast
Apr 23, 2025

IGO Limited has announced that it will hold a live webcast for its March 2025 Quarterly Report presentation on April 30, 2025. This event will provide investors with insights into the company’s recent performance and strategic direction. The webcast will be accessible online, and a recording will be available on IGO’s website following the live event. This initiative underscores IGO’s commitment to transparency and effective communication with its stakeholders.

IGO Limited Announces Leadership Changes with CFO and Chief People Officer Departures
Apr 7, 2025

IGO Limited announced the resignation of its Chief Financial Officer, Kathleen Bozanic, who will retire in December 2025 to pursue a non-executive career. Bozanic, who has been with IGO since 2022, has played a crucial role in guiding the company through recent challenges and positioning it for future success. Additionally, Chief People and Sustainability Officer Sam Retallack will also be leaving the company in early Q3 2025 after 13 years, having significantly contributed to the development of the company’s purpose and values. These leadership changes are expected to impact the company’s operations and strategic direction.

Schroder Investment Management Acquires Substantial Stake in IGO Ltd
Mar 25, 2025

Schroder Investment Management Australia Ltd has become a substantial holder in IGO Ltd, acquiring a 5.97% voting power through its related bodies corporate. This acquisition reflects a significant investment in IGO Ltd, potentially influencing its strategic direction and market perception, as Schroder’s involvement may bring additional expertise and resources to the company.

State Street Increases Stake in IGO Limited
Mar 5, 2025

IGO Limited has reported a change in the substantial holding of its voting shares, with State Street Corporation and its subsidiaries increasing their voting power from 6.69% to 8.23%. This change in voting power indicates a significant shift in the control dynamics within the company, potentially impacting its strategic decisions and influencing stakeholder interests.

IGO Limited Revises Greenbushes Lithium Resource Estimates
Feb 25, 2025

IGO Limited has revised its Greenbushes CY24 Resources and Reserves report, addressing previous misinterpretations regarding mineral resource schematics and making minor amendments. The report highlights a 2% decrease in mineral resource estimates due to mining depletion, with significant lithium concentrate production aimed at electric vehicle and energy storage markets. The company is undertaking a strategic options review to maximize asset value and align reporting across different regimes, while drilling efforts have increased confidence in high-grade mineralization at depth.

IGO Limited Releases 2024 Lithium Resource Estimates for Greenbushes Operation
Feb 19, 2025

IGO Limited announced the 2024 JORC Code reportable estimates for its Greenbushes Lithium Operation, highlighting significant lithium concentrate production and a minor decrease in mineral resource estimates due to mining depletion. The company is embarking on a strategic review to enhance the value of its resources and has identified promising drilling results that may boost future resource estimates, positioning Greenbushes as a key player in the global lithium market.

IGO Limited Reports Improved Safety Performance in 1H25
Feb 19, 2025

IGO Limited’s 1H25 results highlight a stable Total Recordable Injury Frequency Rate (TRIFR) with a slight reduction from the previous year, reflecting their continued investment in safety initiatives. These efforts include implementing a Visual Safety Leadership Interaction Program, focusing on Critical Risk Management, and promoting health and wellbeing through the I-GO Well roadmap, all aimed at improving safety culture and operational performance.

IGO Limited Reports Significant Half-Year Loss Amid Operational Challenges
Feb 19, 2025

IGO Limited reported a significant financial downturn for the half-year ended December 2024, with a net loss of $782.1 million compared to a profit in the same period the previous year. This decline was attributed to reduced profits from its lithium joint venture, TLEA, impairment charges on exploration assets, and lower revenues from its Nova and Forrestania operations. The lithium segment faced challenges due to falling prices and operational issues, while the nickel segment saw decreased sales and higher costs. These results reflect the strategic and operational challenges facing IGO Limited, impacting its market position and stakeholder interests.

IGO Limited to Host FY25 Half Year Results Webcast
Feb 12, 2025

IGO Limited announced that it will host a live webcast for its FY25 Half Year Results presentation on February 20, 2025. This event indicates IGO’s commitment to transparency and investor engagement, as well as its strategic focus on maintaining strong communication with stakeholders. The webcast will provide insights into the company’s financial performance and operational strategy, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor relations.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.