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IGO (AU:IGO)
ASX:IGO

IGO (IGO) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:IGO

IGO

(Sydney:IGO)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
AU$7.00
▼(-1.69% Downside)
IGO's overall stock score is driven by significant financial challenges and valuation concerns, which are partially offset by strong technical indicators and a balanced earnings call sentiment. The financial instability and negative profitability metrics weigh heavily on the score, while the technical analysis suggests strong market momentum. The earnings call provides a mixed outlook with both achievements and challenges.
Positive Factors
Strong Operational Performance
Consistent operational performance at key sites like Greenbushes and Nova strengthens IGO's market position and supports long-term revenue stability.
Positive Financial Position
A strong cash position and available debt facilities provide IGO with the financial flexibility to invest in growth and manage potential downturns.
ESG Framework Update
Enhancing ESG practices aligns IGO with global sustainability trends, potentially attracting more investors and improving long-term operational efficiency.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue and Margins
Continued revenue decline and negative margins indicate financial instability, necessitating strategic changes to improve profitability and sustain operations.
Kwinana Refinery Challenges
Persistent issues at the Kwinana refinery could lead to further financial impairments, affecting IGO's asset valuation and operational efficiency.
Volatility in the Lithium Market
Lithium market volatility poses risks to IGO's revenue streams and profitability, potentially impacting long-term strategic planning and investment.

IGO (IGO) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

IGO Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIGO Limited operates as an exploration and mining company that engages in discovering, developing, and operating assets focused on metals to enable clean energy in Australia. It owns and operates a 100% interest in the Nova nickel-copper-cobalt operation located to the east northeast of Norseman in the Great Western Woodlands of Western Australia; a 100% interest in the Cosmos nickel operation located to the north of Leinster in Western Australia; and a 100% interest in the Forrestania nickel operation located to the east of Perth in Western Australia. The company also focuses on investing in lithium mines, as well as holds 100% interest in the downstream processing refinery at Kwinana in Western Australia to produce battery grade lithium hydroxide. In addition, it owns and operates various projects, including Fraser Range, Kimberley, Paterson, Copper Coast, Frontier, Raptor, and Western Gawler projects. The company was formerly known as Independence Group NL and changed its name to IGO Limited in January 2020. IGO Limited was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Perth, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyIGO generates revenue primarily through the sale of mined metals, particularly nickel, copper, and cobalt. The company benefits from the increasing demand for these metals, driven by the growth of electric vehicle production and renewable energy technologies. Key revenue streams include the direct sale of concentrate to smelters and refiners, as well as strategic partnerships with other mining and technology firms to develop and expand its operations. Additionally, IGO may explore joint ventures and collaborations that enhance its resource development and access to markets, further contributing to its earnings.

IGO Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 27, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong operational performance and improvements in safety and financial positions, but these positives were offset by challenges in the lithium market and ongoing issues at the Kwinana refinery. Overall, the sentiment is balanced with noteworthy achievements and significant challenges.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Safety Improvement
Significant improvement in safety performance across IGO operations, with a reduction in the severity and number of injuries, as indicated by the decline in the 3-month and 12-month TRIFR.
Strong Operational Performance at Nova and Greenbushes
Both sites delivered strong operational quarters. Greenbushes achieved 60% EBITDA for the quarter, and Nova met guidance after operational improvements.
Positive Financial Position
The balance sheet remains strong with $280 million in cash and $300 million available from debt facilities, which were resized and extended during the quarter.
ESG Framework Update
An updated ESG framework was introduced, focusing on safety, health, well-being, socioeconomic contributions, transitioning to a low-carbon future, and environmental stewardship.
Negative Updates
Volatility in the Lithium Market
The lithium market remains volatile and challenging, affecting IGO's operations and financial outcomes.
Kwinana Refinery Challenges
The refinery is underperforming with ongoing equipment issues and production challenges, leading to a further impairment of Train 1.
Debt and Cash Flow Concerns
Concerns about dividend flows from TLEA due to cash outflow at Kwinana and the winding down of the nickel business.
Company Guidance
During the IGO Limited Q4 FY '25 Results Call, Managing Director and CEO Ivan Vella highlighted several key metrics and updates. The company reported a 60% EBITDA margin for the quarter from Greenbushes, despite challenges such as unseasonably wet weather and lower-grade ore. Sales experienced a substantial increase due to logistical improvements at the Bunbury port. At Nova, operational enhancements led to meeting guidance, with nickel production expected to remain between 15,000 to 18,000 tonnes until the mine's closure at the end of 2026. The company also emphasized ongoing safety improvements, reflected in a reduction in the Total Recordable Injury Frequency Rate (TRIFR). Financially, the quarter saw an EBITDA of $59 million, a strong cash position of $280 million, and an available debt facility of $300 million. However, challenges at the Kwinana refinery led to a full impairment of Train 1, affecting the overall asset valuation. The company also updated its ESG framework, focusing on safety, environmental stewardship, and transitioning to a low-carbon future.

IGO Financial Statement Overview

Summary
IGO faces considerable financial challenges, with declining revenues and negative profitability metrics. While the balance sheet shows low leverage, the lack of profitability and cash flow issues are significant concerns. The company needs to address these issues to stabilize its financial position and return to growth.
Income Statement
30
Negative
The income statement reveals significant challenges for IGO, with declining revenue and negative margins. The gross profit margin and net profit margin are both negative, indicating that the company is struggling to cover its costs. The revenue growth rate has been negative in recent years, showing a downward trend. These factors suggest financial instability and a need for strategic changes to improve profitability.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
IGO's balance sheet shows a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating conservative leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, reflecting poor profitability. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting that the company maintains a solid equity base relative to its assets. Overall, while leverage is managed well, the lack of profitability is a concern.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
The cash flow statement highlights a significant decline in free cash flow growth, which is a red flag for liquidity. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is below 1, indicating that the company is not generating sufficient cash from operations relative to its net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, but the overall cash flow situation requires improvement to ensure financial health.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue517.30M499.90M796.40M1.05B845.20M619.86M
Gross Profit36.30M-176.50M-134.60M203.20M327.30M151.74M
EBITDA-36.10M-811.10M148.40M-592.20M468.40M358.66M
Net Income-954.60M-954.60M2.80M549.10M330.90M163.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.36B2.36B3.57B4.74B4.86B3.61B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments343.50M343.50M530.40M837.60M493.90M639.46M
Total Debt31.40M31.40M48.70M432.10M959.20M25.05M
Total Liabilities263.90M263.90M357.50M947.70M1.43B408.86M
Stockholders Equity2.09B2.09B3.21B3.79B3.44B3.20B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow32.70M37.60M673.10M1.05B300.30M351.34M
Operating Cash Flow37.90M42.90M872.00M1.39B388.40M446.05M
Investing Cash Flow-4.00M-4.00M-240.30M-293.60M-1.28B-1.06B
Financing Cash Flow-223.40M-223.40M-943.70M-726.70M761.80M633.00M

IGO Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price7.12
Price Trends
50DMA
5.93
Positive
100DMA
5.45
Positive
200DMA
4.77
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.32
Negative
RSI
62.28
Neutral
STOCH
79.19
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:IGO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.12 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.73, above the 50-day MA of 5.93, and above the 200-day MA of 4.77, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.32 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:IGO.

IGO Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
AU$2.08B13.35151.89%5.31%6.54%0.48%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
59
Neutral
$13.10B-5.63%-38.69%-174.12%
58
Neutral
$10.13B-26.55%-15.27%-817.26%
56
Neutral
$5.38B-35.65%-37.23%-32433.33%
52
Neutral
AU$3.26B-13.11-7.26%5.30%-2.30%-234.27%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:IGO
IGO
7.12
2.07
40.99%
AU:PLS
Pilbara Minerals
4.12
1.86
82.30%
AU:MIN
Mineral Resources Limited
51.66
15.86
44.30%
AU:NIC
Nickel Mines Ltd.
0.78
-0.10
-11.36%
AU:DRR
Deterra Royalties Ltd
4.14
0.45
12.20%

IGO Corporate Events

IGO Limited Ceases to be a Substantial Holder in Boa Resources
Dec 4, 2025

IGO Limited has announced that it has ceased to be a substantial holder in Boa Resources Limited as of November 25, 2025. This change in holding is due to a dilution of interest following a share issue by Boa Resources. The announcement may impact IGO’s strategic positioning and influence within Boa Resources, potentially affecting its stakeholders and market dynamics.

IGO Limited Appoints Johan van Vuuren as New CFO
Dec 2, 2025

IGO Limited has announced the appointment of Johan van Vuuren as its new Chief Financial Officer, effective April 1, 2026. Van Vuuren brings over 20 years of experience in finance and commercial roles across various industries and regions, including mining, energy, and petrochemicals. His expertise in digital transformation and corporate strategy is expected to support IGO’s refreshed strategy and enhance its governance and financial transparency. The transition follows the tenure of Kathleen Bozanic, who significantly contributed to the company’s governance and strategic positioning.

IGO Limited Appoints New Director, Strengthening Leadership
Dec 1, 2025

IGO Limited has announced the appointment of Vanessa Guthrie as a director, effective December 1, 2025. Guthrie holds 9,523 ordinary shares through Xenolith Holdings Pty Ltd ATF Stolz-Guthrie Family Trust, indicating her vested interest in the company’s future. This appointment is part of IGO’s strategic efforts to strengthen its leadership team, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder relations.

Schroder Investment Management Ceases Substantial Holding in IGO Ltd
Nov 24, 2025

Schroder Investment Management Australia Ltd has ceased to be a substantial holder in IGO Ltd as of November 20, 2025. This change in holding reflects a series of transactions involving both purchases and sales of IGO’s ordinary shares, impacting the company’s shareholder structure and potentially influencing its market dynamics.

IGO Limited Announces Director Departure
Nov 20, 2025

IGO Limited has announced the cessation of Xiaoping Yang as a director, effective November 14, 2025. This change in the board may influence the company’s strategic direction and stakeholder relationships, given Yang’s previous holdings of 14,000 ordinary shares through Fidelity .

IGO Limited Transitions to New Auditor Ernst & Young
Nov 19, 2025

IGO Limited has announced a change in its external auditor, transitioning from BDO Audit Pty Ltd to Ernst & Young. This change, effective after the 2025 Annual General Meeting, follows a tender process and reflects the company’s decision to update its auditing practices after BDO’s long tenure since 2002. The shift is expected to bring fresh perspectives to IGO’s auditing processes, potentially impacting its financial reporting and stakeholder confidence.

IGO Limited Successfully Passes All Resolutions at Annual General Meeting
Nov 19, 2025

IGO Limited, a company listed on the Australian Securities Exchange, held its Annual General Meeting on November 19, 2025, in Perth, Western Australia. During the meeting, all seven resolutions proposed were passed by a poll, demonstrating strong shareholder support. The results will be available via a webcast on the company’s website, providing transparency and accessibility for those unable to attend. This outcome reflects positively on IGO’s governance and may bolster stakeholder confidence.

IGO Limited’s Strategic Realignment and Leadership Transition at 2025 AGM
Nov 19, 2025

IGO Limited’s 2025 Annual General Meeting highlighted a year of significant change and strategic realignment, despite reporting a net loss of $955 million due to subdued markets and necessary restructuring. The company remains focused on its strategy to 2035, emphasizing quality assets in lithium, copper, and nickel to support a clean energy future. The Greenbushes lithium operation maintained strong performance, illustrating its status as a premier asset. IGO is committed to safety improvements, environmental stewardship, and board renewal, with the appointment of Dr. Vanessa Guthrie AO as Chair-elect, signaling a new chapter of growth and transformation.

IGO Limited Appoints Dr. Vanessa Guthrie as Incoming Chair
Nov 5, 2025

IGO Limited has announced the appointment of Dr. Vanessa Guthrie AO as the Non-Executive Director and incoming Chair of the Board, effective December 1, 2025. Dr. Guthrie, who succeeds Michael Nossal, brings over forty years of experience in the resource sector and is recognized for her contributions to sustainability and leadership in the industry. Her appointment is part of IGO’s board renewal and succession process, aligning with the company’s strategic refresh and transformation under the leadership of CEO Ivan Vella. This leadership transition aims to guide IGO through its next phase of growth while maintaining high standards of governance.

Medallion Metals Advances Forrestania Acquisition
Nov 4, 2025

Medallion Metals Limited, a company focused on sulphide production and gold exploration, has reached a significant milestone in its acquisition of the Forrestania Nickel Operation from IGO Ltd. The company has finalized the Ancillary Agreements, which include mineral rights deeds, a royalty deed, and an option deed, marking a key step towards completing the acquisition. This development is expected to enhance Medallion’s strategic positioning in the region, supporting its production strategy and exploration efforts in the Forrestania greenstone belt.

IGO Limited Reports Strong Safety and Financial Performance in 1Q26
Oct 29, 2025

IGO Limited has reported its first quarter results for 2026, highlighting a focus on safety and operational efficiency across its operations. The company achieved over 90 days injury-free and reduced its 12-month Total Recordable Injury Frequency Rate (TRIFR) to 8.0. At Greenbushes, the EBITDA margin was 57% with stable spodumene prices, though production was affected by lower mined grades and heavy rain. Kwinana saw production at 46% of nameplate capacity, with lower conversion costs due to increased production. Nova’s production and costs aligned with the life of mine plan, despite a stope misfire impacting short-term production. Financially, IGO maintained a strong balance sheet with a group underlying EBITDA of $19M, positive free cash flow of $15M, and a net cash increase to $287M.

IGO Limited Maintains Steady Performance Amid Market Challenges
Oct 29, 2025

IGO Limited reported a steady performance for the quarter ending September 30, 2025, with production aligning with expectations despite challenges such as lower ore grades and market volatility. The company’s focus on safety has led to improved safety metrics, and financial results show a strong balance sheet with positive cash flow and increased production at the Kwinana refinery. The company is actively working on optimizing its operations and exploring growth opportunities to deliver future value.

IGO Limited to Host September 2025 Quarterly Results Webcast
Oct 28, 2025

IGO Limited has announced that its Managing Director and CEO, Ivan Vella, along with Chief Financial Officer, Kathleen Bozanic, will host an investor webcast to present the company’s September 2025 Quarterly Results. The webcast is scheduled for October 30, 2025, and aims to provide insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction. The release of the quarterly report is anticipated to impact stakeholders by offering transparency into IGO’s operational outcomes and future prospects.

Venus Metals Forms Joint Venture with IGO for Bridgetown Project
Oct 27, 2025

Venus Metals Corporation Limited has announced the formation of an unincorporated joint venture with IGO Limited’s subsidiary for the Bridgetown Greenbushes Exploration Project. IGO has met the Stage 1 requirements to acquire a 51% interest in the project by investing $3 million in exploration. The joint venture allows IGO to earn an additional 19% interest by spending another $3 million. The project has identified a significant Li-Ta-Nb-Cs anomaly at Ti Tree, with further exploration and analysis ongoing. This joint venture strengthens Venus Metals’ position in the exploration sector and could lead to significant developments in the project area.

IGO Limited Announces 2025 Annual General Meeting Details
Oct 16, 2025

IGO Limited has announced its upcoming Annual General Meeting (AGM) for shareholders, scheduled for November 19, 2025, at the Perth Convention and Exhibition Centre and online. The company emphasizes the importance of the Notice of Meeting, which will be available online, and outlines procedures for attending and voting both in person and virtually. This AGM is a significant event for stakeholders, providing an opportunity for shareholder engagement and decision-making on company matters.

IGO Limited Announces Board Changes with Resignation of Key Directors
Oct 13, 2025

IGO Limited has announced the resignation of two of its directors, Keith Spence and Xiaoping Yang, as part of its ongoing board renewal and succession strategy. Keith Spence, who has been with the board for ten years, played a crucial role in enhancing the company’s performance in safety, operations, and environmental management. Xiaoping Yang, who joined in 2020, contributed significantly to the company’s strategic oversight, particularly in downstream processing and international relations. Their departures mark a significant transition for IGO, with the board expressing gratitude for their invaluable contributions.

IGO Limited Announces Cessation of Securities
Sep 11, 2025

IGO Limited has announced the cessation of certain securities, specifically performance rights and options, due to unmet conditions. This cessation could impact the company’s capital structure and may influence stakeholder perceptions regarding the company’s strategic execution and financial planning.

IGO Limited Announces 2025 AGM Date and Director Nomination Deadline
Sep 9, 2025

IGO Limited, a company listed on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX: IGO), has announced the date for its 2025 Annual General Meeting (AGM), which will be held on November 19, 2025. The company has also set September 17, 2025, as the deadline for director nominations. This announcement is significant for shareholders and potential board candidates as it outlines the timeline for participation in the company’s governance.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 14, 2025