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IGO (IGO) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:IGO

IGO

(Sydney:IGO)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
AU$5.00
▲(0.20% Upside)
IGO's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its financial challenges, including declining revenues and negative profitability. While the technical analysis shows some positive momentum, the valuation remains unattractive due to a negative P/E ratio and lack of dividends. The earnings call provided a balanced view with operational strengths but also highlighted significant challenges, which are not factored into the score due to weight redistribution.

IGO (IGO) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

IGO Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIGO Limited operates as an exploration and mining company that engages in discovering, developing, and operating assets focused on metals to enable clean energy in Australia. It owns and operates a 100% interest in the Nova nickel-copper-cobalt operation located to the east northeast of Norseman in the Great Western Woodlands of Western Australia; a 100% interest in the Cosmos nickel operation located to the north of Leinster in Western Australia; and a 100% interest in the Forrestania nickel operation located to the east of Perth in Western Australia. The company also focuses on investing in lithium mines, as well as holds 100% interest in the downstream processing refinery at Kwinana in Western Australia to produce battery grade lithium hydroxide. In addition, it owns and operates various projects, including Fraser Range, Kimberley, Paterson, Copper Coast, Frontier, Raptor, and Western Gawler projects. The company was formerly known as Independence Group NL and changed its name to IGO Limited in January 2020. IGO Limited was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Perth, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyIGO generates revenue primarily through the sale of mined metals, particularly nickel, copper, and cobalt. The company benefits from the increasing demand for these metals, driven by the growth of electric vehicle production and renewable energy technologies. Key revenue streams include the direct sale of concentrate to smelters and refiners, as well as strategic partnerships with other mining and technology firms to develop and expand its operations. Additionally, IGO may explore joint ventures and collaborations that enhance its resource development and access to markets, further contributing to its earnings.

IGO Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 27, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong operational performance and improvements in safety and financial positions, but these positives were offset by challenges in the lithium market and ongoing issues at the Kwinana refinery. Overall, the sentiment is balanced with noteworthy achievements and significant challenges.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Safety Improvement
Significant improvement in safety performance across IGO operations, with a reduction in the severity and number of injuries, as indicated by the decline in the 3-month and 12-month TRIFR.
Strong Operational Performance at Nova and Greenbushes
Both sites delivered strong operational quarters. Greenbushes achieved 60% EBITDA for the quarter, and Nova met guidance after operational improvements.
Positive Financial Position
The balance sheet remains strong with $280 million in cash and $300 million available from debt facilities, which were resized and extended during the quarter.
ESG Framework Update
An updated ESG framework was introduced, focusing on safety, health, well-being, socioeconomic contributions, transitioning to a low-carbon future, and environmental stewardship.
Negative Updates
Volatility in the Lithium Market
The lithium market remains volatile and challenging, affecting IGO's operations and financial outcomes.
Kwinana Refinery Challenges
The refinery is underperforming with ongoing equipment issues and production challenges, leading to a further impairment of Train 1.
Debt and Cash Flow Concerns
Concerns about dividend flows from TLEA due to cash outflow at Kwinana and the winding down of the nickel business.
Company Guidance
During the IGO Limited Q4 FY '25 Results Call, Managing Director and CEO Ivan Vella highlighted several key metrics and updates. The company reported a 60% EBITDA margin for the quarter from Greenbushes, despite challenges such as unseasonably wet weather and lower-grade ore. Sales experienced a substantial increase due to logistical improvements at the Bunbury port. At Nova, operational enhancements led to meeting guidance, with nickel production expected to remain between 15,000 to 18,000 tonnes until the mine's closure at the end of 2026. The company also emphasized ongoing safety improvements, reflected in a reduction in the Total Recordable Injury Frequency Rate (TRIFR). Financially, the quarter saw an EBITDA of $59 million, a strong cash position of $280 million, and an available debt facility of $300 million. However, challenges at the Kwinana refinery led to a full impairment of Train 1, affecting the overall asset valuation. The company also updated its ESG framework, focusing on safety, environmental stewardship, and transitioning to a low-carbon future.

IGO Financial Statement Overview

Summary
IGO faces considerable financial challenges, with declining revenues and negative profitability metrics. While the balance sheet shows low leverage, the lack of profitability and cash flow issues are significant concerns. The company needs to address these issues to stabilize its financial position and return to growth.
Income Statement
30
Negative
The income statement reveals significant challenges for IGO, with declining revenue and negative margins. The gross profit margin and net profit margin are both negative, indicating that the company is struggling to cover its costs. The revenue growth rate has been negative in recent years, showing a downward trend. These factors suggest financial instability and a need for strategic changes to improve profitability.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
IGO's balance sheet shows a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating conservative leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, reflecting poor profitability. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting that the company maintains a solid equity base relative to its assets. Overall, while leverage is managed well, the lack of profitability is a concern.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
The cash flow statement highlights a significant decline in free cash flow growth, which is a red flag for liquidity. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is below 1, indicating that the company is not generating sufficient cash from operations relative to its net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, but the overall cash flow situation requires improvement to ensure financial health.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue517.30M499.90M796.40M1.05B845.20M619.86M
Gross Profit36.30M-176.50M-134.60M203.20M327.30M151.74M
EBITDA-36.10M-811.10M144.80M-592.20M468.40M358.66M
Net Income-954.60M-954.60M2.80M549.10M330.90M163.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.36B2.36B3.57B4.74B4.86B3.61B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments343.50M343.50M530.40M837.60M493.90M639.46M
Total Debt31.40M31.40M48.70M432.10M959.20M25.05M
Total Liabilities263.90M263.90M357.50M947.70M1.43B408.86M
Stockholders Equity2.09B2.09B3.21B3.79B3.44B3.20B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow32.70M37.60M673.10M1.05B300.30M351.34M
Operating Cash Flow37.90M42.90M872.00M1.39B388.40M446.05M
Investing Cash Flow-4.00M-4.00M-240.30M-293.60M-1.28B-1.06B
Financing Cash Flow-223.40M-223.40M-943.70M-726.70M761.80M633.00M

IGO Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price4.99
Price Trends
50DMA
5.09
Negative
100DMA
4.95
Positive
200DMA
4.55
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Positive
RSI
41.59
Neutral
STOCH
14.29
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:IGO, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 4.99 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.32, below the 50-day MA of 5.09, and above the 200-day MA of 4.55, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.29 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AU:IGO.

IGO Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
AU$2.08B13.35151.89%5.63%6.54%0.48%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
60
Neutral
$9.43B-5.63%-38.69%-174.12%
52
Neutral
AU$8.35B-26.55%-15.27%-817.26%
52
Neutral
AU$3.04B-12.24-7.26%5.97%-2.30%-234.27%
49
Neutral
$3.78B-35.65%-37.23%-32433.33%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:IGO
IGO
4.99
-0.21
-4.04%
AU:PLS
Pilbara Minerals
2.93
-0.03
-1.01%
AU:MIN
Mineral Resources Limited
42.56
5.61
15.18%
AU:NIC
Nickel Mines Ltd.
0.67
-0.21
-23.86%
AU:DRR
Deterra Royalties Ltd
3.91
0.54
16.02%

IGO Corporate Events

IGO Limited Reports Strong Safety and Financial Performance in 1Q26
Oct 29, 2025

IGO Limited has reported its first quarter results for 2026, highlighting a focus on safety and operational efficiency across its operations. The company achieved over 90 days injury-free and reduced its 12-month Total Recordable Injury Frequency Rate (TRIFR) to 8.0. At Greenbushes, the EBITDA margin was 57% with stable spodumene prices, though production was affected by lower mined grades and heavy rain. Kwinana saw production at 46% of nameplate capacity, with lower conversion costs due to increased production. Nova’s production and costs aligned with the life of mine plan, despite a stope misfire impacting short-term production. Financially, IGO maintained a strong balance sheet with a group underlying EBITDA of $19M, positive free cash flow of $15M, and a net cash increase to $287M.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:IGO) stock is a Hold with a A$5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IGO stock, see the AU:IGO Stock Forecast page.

IGO Limited Maintains Steady Performance Amid Market Challenges
Oct 29, 2025

IGO Limited reported a steady performance for the quarter ending September 30, 2025, with production aligning with expectations despite challenges such as lower ore grades and market volatility. The company’s focus on safety has led to improved safety metrics, and financial results show a strong balance sheet with positive cash flow and increased production at the Kwinana refinery. The company is actively working on optimizing its operations and exploring growth opportunities to deliver future value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:IGO) stock is a Hold with a A$5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IGO stock, see the AU:IGO Stock Forecast page.

IGO Limited to Host September 2025 Quarterly Results Webcast
Oct 28, 2025

IGO Limited has announced that its Managing Director and CEO, Ivan Vella, along with Chief Financial Officer, Kathleen Bozanic, will host an investor webcast to present the company’s September 2025 Quarterly Results. The webcast is scheduled for October 30, 2025, and aims to provide insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction. The release of the quarterly report is anticipated to impact stakeholders by offering transparency into IGO’s operational outcomes and future prospects.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:IGO) stock is a Hold with a A$5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IGO stock, see the AU:IGO Stock Forecast page.

Venus Metals Forms Joint Venture with IGO for Bridgetown Project
Oct 27, 2025

Venus Metals Corporation Limited has announced the formation of an unincorporated joint venture with IGO Limited’s subsidiary for the Bridgetown Greenbushes Exploration Project. IGO has met the Stage 1 requirements to acquire a 51% interest in the project by investing $3 million in exploration. The joint venture allows IGO to earn an additional 19% interest by spending another $3 million. The project has identified a significant Li-Ta-Nb-Cs anomaly at Ti Tree, with further exploration and analysis ongoing. This joint venture strengthens Venus Metals’ position in the exploration sector and could lead to significant developments in the project area.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:IGO) stock is a Hold with a A$5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IGO stock, see the AU:IGO Stock Forecast page.

IGO Limited Announces 2025 Annual General Meeting Details
Oct 16, 2025

IGO Limited has announced its upcoming Annual General Meeting (AGM) for shareholders, scheduled for November 19, 2025, at the Perth Convention and Exhibition Centre and online. The company emphasizes the importance of the Notice of Meeting, which will be available online, and outlines procedures for attending and voting both in person and virtually. This AGM is a significant event for stakeholders, providing an opportunity for shareholder engagement and decision-making on company matters.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:IGO) stock is a Buy with a A$5.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IGO stock, see the AU:IGO Stock Forecast page.

IGO Limited Announces Board Changes with Resignation of Key Directors
Oct 13, 2025

IGO Limited has announced the resignation of two of its directors, Keith Spence and Xiaoping Yang, as part of its ongoing board renewal and succession strategy. Keith Spence, who has been with the board for ten years, played a crucial role in enhancing the company’s performance in safety, operations, and environmental management. Xiaoping Yang, who joined in 2020, contributed significantly to the company’s strategic oversight, particularly in downstream processing and international relations. Their departures mark a significant transition for IGO, with the board expressing gratitude for their invaluable contributions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:IGO) stock is a Sell with a A$4.60 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IGO stock, see the AU:IGO Stock Forecast page.

IGO Limited Announces Cessation of Securities
Sep 11, 2025

IGO Limited has announced the cessation of certain securities, specifically performance rights and options, due to unmet conditions. This cessation could impact the company’s capital structure and may influence stakeholder perceptions regarding the company’s strategic execution and financial planning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:IGO) stock is a Hold with a A$5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IGO stock, see the AU:IGO Stock Forecast page.

IGO Limited Announces 2025 AGM Date and Director Nomination Deadline
Sep 9, 2025

IGO Limited, a company listed on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX: IGO), has announced the date for its 2025 Annual General Meeting (AGM), which will be held on November 19, 2025. The company has also set September 17, 2025, as the deadline for director nominations. This announcement is significant for shareholders and potential board candidates as it outlines the timeline for participation in the company’s governance.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:IGO) stock is a Hold with a A$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IGO stock, see the AU:IGO Stock Forecast page.

IGO Limited’s Earnings Call: Balancing Success and Challenges
Sep 1, 2025

The recent earnings call for IGO Limited presented a balanced sentiment, reflecting both strong operational performance and financial stability, alongside notable challenges in the lithium market and ongoing issues at the Kwinana refinery. The company showcased significant achievements, yet acknowledged the hurdles that lie ahead.

Ubique Asset Management Ceases Substantial Holding in IGO Limited
Aug 29, 2025

Ubique Asset Management Pty Ltd has ceased to be a substantial holder in IGO Limited as of August 29, 2025. This change involved on-market sales and in-specie movements, affecting 18,605,742 voting securities and amounting to $92,338,598.75, which may impact IGO’s shareholder composition and market perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:IGO) stock is a Sell with a A$4.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IGO stock, see the AU:IGO Stock Forecast page.

Igo Limited Faces Challenges Amid Strategic Realignment
Aug 28, 2025

Igo Limited is an ASX-listed company specializing in the exploration, development, and production of battery minerals, primarily focusing on nickel, lithium, and copper, which are essential for the global energy transition. In its latest annual report, Igo Limited highlighted a challenging fiscal year 2025, marked by subdued global markets for key commodities and significant impairments, leading to a net loss of AUD 955 million. Despite the financial setbacks, the company maintained strong production levels at its Greenbushes lithium operation and Nova nickel operation, while also emphasizing its commitment to sustainability and safety improvements. The company has restructured to align with a refreshed strategy focusing on sustainable growth and long-term value creation, with a particular emphasis on optimizing its lithium and copper assets. Looking forward, Igo Limited remains optimistic about its strategic direction and its ability to capitalize on opportunities in the battery minerals sector, aiming to deliver value for shareholders through disciplined execution and sustainable practices.

IGO Limited Releases FY25 Mineral Resources and Exploration Update
Aug 27, 2025

IGO Limited has released its FY25 Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves report, along with a summary of exploration activities. The report includes estimates for the Greenbushes and Nova Operations, with a notable update on Greenbushes’ ore processing as a proxy for mining depletion. Additionally, the Cosmos Project and Forrestania Operation have been declassified from JORC Code reportable estimates as they transition into care and maintenance, impacting the company’s operational focus.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:IGO) stock is a Hold with a A$4.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IGO stock, see the AU:IGO Stock Forecast page.

IGO Limited Releases 2025 Sustainability Report
Aug 27, 2025

IGO Limited has released its 11th Sustainability Report for the fiscal year 2025, highlighting its sustainability performance and management of material topics. The report, part of IGO’s Annual Reporting Suite, is prepared in accordance with global standards and includes independent assurance. It underscores IGO’s commitment to sustainability and transparency, providing stakeholders with insights into its operations and contributions to socioeconomic and environmental aspects.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:IGO) stock is a Hold with a A$4.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IGO stock, see the AU:IGO Stock Forecast page.

IGO Sharpens Focus on Sustainable Growth in 2025 Strategy Refresh
Aug 27, 2025

IGO has refreshed its strategy in 2025 to enhance its focus on sustainable growth, operational excellence, and long-term value creation. The company is investing in exploration and innovation to discover and develop clean energy metals, emphasizing responsible stewardship and community partnerships. IGO is committed to delivering strong returns to stakeholders and playing a significant role in the clean energy transition.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:IGO) stock is a Hold with a A$4.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IGO stock, see the AU:IGO Stock Forecast page.

IGO Limited Achieves Net Zero Emissions and Sets New Safety Benchmarks
Aug 27, 2025

IGO Limited has announced its FY25 results, highlighting significant achievements in safety and sustainability. The company has achieved net zero scope 1 and 2 emissions at its Nova Operation through emission reduction activities and the voluntary cancellation of Australian Carbon Credit Units. Additionally, the Forrestania site is setting new benchmarks for operations under care and maintenance, reflecting IGO’s commitment to safety and sustainability. These initiatives underscore IGO’s dedication to evolving its ESG framework to align with its purpose of delivering products for a clean energy future.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:IGO) stock is a Hold with a A$4.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IGO stock, see the AU:IGO Stock Forecast page.

IGO Limited Faces FY25 Financial Challenges Amid Strategic Shifts
Aug 27, 2025

IGO Limited reported a challenging financial year for FY25, with a net loss after tax of $955 million, primarily due to lower sales at Nova, final production from the Forrestania Operation, and significant impairments, including the full impairment of the Kwinana refinery assets. Despite these setbacks, the company maintains a strong balance sheet with $280 million in cash and $300 million in undrawn debt. IGO’s refreshed strategy focuses on clean energy materials, with notable progress in exploration and optimization programs at Greenbushes. The company remains optimistic about the lithium market’s fundamentals and is committed to achieving growth through strategic partnerships and technological advancements.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:IGO) stock is a Hold with a A$4.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IGO stock, see the AU:IGO Stock Forecast page.

IGO Limited 2025 Annual Report Highlights Sustainability and Growth
Aug 27, 2025

IGO Limited’s 2025 Annual Report provides a comprehensive overview of its operations, financial performance, and strategic initiatives as of June 30, 2025. The report highlights the company’s commitment to sustainability and effective risk management, alongside its focus on expanding its nickel and lithium businesses. The report also includes non-IFRS financial measures to offer deeper insights into the company’s profitability and liquidity. This announcement underscores IGO’s dedication to maintaining a sustainable business model while navigating external factors affecting its operations, which could have implications for stakeholders and the broader market.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:IGO) stock is a Hold with a A$4.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IGO stock, see the AU:IGO Stock Forecast page.

IGO Limited Reports Significant Financial Loss for FY25
Aug 27, 2025

IGO Limited reported a significant financial downturn for the fiscal year ending June 2025, with a revenue of $527.8 million, marking a 60% decrease from the previous year, and a net loss of $954.6 million. The company did not propose any dividends for the year, and the net tangible assets per share decreased to $2.76 from $4.24. This financial performance may impact IGO’s market positioning and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:IGO) stock is a Hold with a A$4.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IGO stock, see the AU:IGO Stock Forecast page.

IGO Limited Announces Director Resignation Amid Board Renewal
Aug 7, 2025

IGO Limited announced the resignation of Justin Osborne from his position as Non-Executive Director, effective 15 August 2025. Osborne, who joined the board in 2022, played a significant role in strategic oversight and contributed to the company’s exploration business model review. His departure aligns with the company’s ongoing board renewal and succession process aimed at enhancing governance in line with its refreshed strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:IGO) stock is a Hold with a A$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IGO stock, see the AU:IGO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 04, 2025