Pilbara Minerals Limited (AU:PLS)
ASX:PLS
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Pilbara Minerals (PLS) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:PLS

Pilbara Minerals

(Sydney:PLS)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
AU$4.00
â–˛(4.71% Upside)
Pilbara Minerals' overall stock score is driven by strong technical indicators and positive earnings call highlights, which are offset by poor financial performance and valuation concerns. The company's operational achievements and strategic positioning are promising, but financial challenges and market volatility pose significant risks.

Pilbara Minerals (PLS) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Pilbara Minerals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPilbara Minerals Limited explores for, develops, and operates mineral resources in Australia. The company primarily holds a 100% interest in the Pilgangoora lithium-tantalum project located in the Pilbara region of Western Australia. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is based in West Perth, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyPilbara Minerals generates revenue primarily through the sale of lithium spodumene concentrate and tantalum products. The company's revenue model is based on contracts with various customers, including global battery manufacturers and technology companies, which require high-quality lithium for their production needs. Key revenue streams include direct sales of lithium concentrate to customers in China and other international markets, as well as potential revenue from tantalum sales. Significant partnerships and off-take agreements with companies in the battery supply chain, coupled with the increasing global demand for electric vehicles and energy storage solutions, contribute to Pilbara's earnings. Additionally, fluctuating lithium prices in the commodities market impact revenue, making it essential for the company to maintain operational efficiency and strong relationships with clients.

Pilbara Minerals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 24, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a strong operational performance with record production and cost improvements. However, challenges such as declining prices and cash flow concerns were noted. The company's strong financial position and strategic investments position it well for future growth, but market volatility remains a concern.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Production Volume
Achieved record production of 221,000 tonnes, up 77% compared to the previous quarter, demonstrating operational leverage of the optimized Pilgan Plant.
Strong Financial Position
Maintained a strong balance sheet with approximately $1 billion in cash and $655 million in undrawn credit facilities, providing financial strength and flexibility.
Cost Leadership Achieved
Unit costs reduced by 10% to $619 per tonne, demonstrating tangible cost leadership despite a low-priced environment.
Operational Excellence
Exceeded all FY '25 guidance metrics, affirming execution discipline and team capability.
Successful Completion of Expansion Projects
Completion of P680 and P1000 projects added 420,000 tonnes of production capacity and improved operational flexibility.
Safety Performance Improvement
The 12-month rolling TRIFR improved to 2.79, reflecting ongoing safety culture improvements.
Negative Updates
Decline in Average Realized Prices
Despite the increase in production, the average realized price dropped by 20% to USD 599 per tonne for SC5.1 product grade.
Cash Flow Reduction
Cash balance declined by $88 million during the June quarter, primarily due to capital expenditure and equity contribution to the P-PLS joint venture.
POSCO JV Financial Loss
Recorded a net loss of approximately $20 million from the POSCO JV, with expectations for a similar loss in the second half.
Pricing Volatility and Long-Term Concerns
Despite recent price rallies, spodumene pricing remains below levels required for new investment, indicating ongoing market instability.
Company Guidance
In the call, PLS provided significant guidance for FY '26, emphasizing operational excellence, disciplined cost control, and capital efficiency. The company reported record production of 221,000 tonnes for the June quarter, a 77% increase, with unit costs reduced by 10% to $619 per tonne. For FY '25, PLS exceeded all guidance metrics with production volumes reaching 755,000 tonnes and unit operating costs at $627 per tonne. The company's balance sheet remains robust, closing the quarter with $1 billion in cash. FY '26 guidance includes production of 820,000 to 870,000 tonnes and unit costs FOB of AUD 560 to AUD 600 per tonne. Additionally, PLS plans a capital expenditure of AUD 300 million to AUD 330 million. The company highlighted ongoing projects like the POSCO JV in Korea and emphasized its strong market position amidst recent pricing volatility, supported by a comprehensive strategic growth plan.

Pilbara Minerals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pilbara Minerals is facing financial challenges with declining revenue, profitability, and cash flow. Despite a strong balance sheet with low leverage, the company needs to address operational and cash flow issues to improve its financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Pilbara Minerals has experienced a significant decline in revenue and profitability in the most recent year, with a negative net profit margin of -21.99% and a negative EBIT margin of -16.40%. The revenue growth rate has also decreased by 3.51% compared to the previous year. These factors indicate challenges in maintaining profitability and growth.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is relatively low at 0.19, indicating a conservative use of leverage. However, the return on equity has turned negative, reflecting recent losses. The equity ratio remains strong, suggesting a solid capital structure despite recent financial setbacks.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Pilbara Minerals has faced a significant decline in free cash flow, with a negative growth rate of -44.56%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.51, indicating challenges in converting income into cash. The negative free cash flow to net income ratio highlights cash flow difficulties.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue922.57M890.21M1.25B4.06B1.19B175.82M
Gross Profit147.42M331.56M477.81M3.27B794.07M12.58M
EBITDA133.21M75.31M593.86M3.51B783.52M21.28M
Net Income-32.64M-195.77M256.88M2.39B561.83M-51.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.18B4.67B4.31B5.20B1.98B949.72M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.17B974.54M1.63B3.34B591.74M99.71M
Total Debt634.42M682.21M555.74M471.95M291.96M166.97M
Total Liabilities1.01B1.14B1.07B1.81B686.36M375.48M
Stockholders Equity3.18B3.53B3.24B3.39B1.29B574.25M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-916.52M-508.13M-1.25B3.04B506.40M-20.36M
Operating Cash Flow-80.98M146.22M-440.22M3.43B634.72M130.00K
Investing Cash Flow-774.22M-698.11M-827.51M-407.96M-204.53M-230.79M
Financing Cash Flow-119.70M-98.06M-392.74M-284.19M58.42M251.33M

Pilbara Minerals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.82
Price Trends
50DMA
2.72
Positive
100DMA
2.30
Positive
200DMA
1.97
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.24
Negative
RSI
76.03
Negative
STOCH
89.32
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:PLS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.82 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.17, above the 50-day MA of 2.72, and above the 200-day MA of 1.97, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.24 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 76.03 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.32 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:PLS.

Pilbara Minerals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
AU$2.08B13.35151.89%5.61%6.54%0.48%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
59
Neutral
$12.30B―-5.63%―-38.69%-174.12%
58
Neutral
AU$9.95B―-26.55%―-15.27%-817.26%
56
Neutral
$5.10B―-35.65%―-37.23%-32433.33%
52
Neutral
AU$3.04B-12.24-7.26%5.48%-2.30%-234.27%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:PLS
Pilbara Minerals
3.82
0.73
23.62%
AU:IGO
IGO
6.73
1.59
30.93%
AU:MIN
Mineral Resources Limited
50.74
15.28
43.09%
AU:NIC
Nickel Mines Ltd.
0.73
-0.18
-19.78%
AU:DRR
Deterra Royalties Ltd
3.92
0.44
12.64%

Pilbara Minerals Corporate Events

Pilbara Minerals Expands Market Presence with New Securities Quotation
Oct 30, 2025

Pilbara Minerals Limited has announced the quotation of 161,970 fully paid ordinary securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX), effective from October 24, 2025. This move is part of the company’s strategy to enhance its market presence and provide additional value to its stakeholders, reflecting its ongoing commitment to growth and expansion in the lithium mining sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PLS) stock is a Hold with a A$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pilbara Minerals stock, see the AU:PLS Stock Forecast page.

Pilbara Minerals Announces 2025 AGM Details
Oct 24, 2025

Pilbara Minerals Limited has announced the details for its 2025 Annual General Meeting (AGM), scheduled for November 25, 2025, at the Perth Convention and Exhibition Centre, with an option for virtual attendance. This meeting provides an opportunity for shareholders to engage with the company’s leadership and discuss future strategies, reflecting Pilbara Minerals’ commitment to transparency and stakeholder engagement in its operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PLS) stock is a Hold with a A$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pilbara Minerals stock, see the AU:PLS Stock Forecast page.

Pilbara Minerals Outlines Strategic Vision for FY26
Oct 23, 2025

Pilbara Minerals has outlined its strategic vision for the September Quarter FY26, emphasizing its commitment to supporting the global energy transition. The company aims to enhance its operational performance, fully realize the potential of its global assets, and diversify its revenue streams. This strategic focus is expected to strengthen its position in the battery materials supply chain and contribute to a sustainable energy future.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PLS) stock is a Hold with a A$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pilbara Minerals stock, see the AU:PLS Stock Forecast page.

Pilbara Minerals Reports Strong September Quarter with Increased Revenue and Cost Efficiencies
Oct 23, 2025

Pilbara Minerals reported strong operational and financial performance for the September 2025 quarter, with a 30% increase in revenue to A$251 million, driven by higher realized pricing and stable production volumes. The company achieved significant cost reductions, with unit operating costs decreasing by 13% due to operational efficiencies and optimization initiatives, positioning it well despite expected seasonal challenges.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PLS) stock is a Hold with a A$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pilbara Minerals stock, see the AU:PLS Stock Forecast page.

Pilbara Minerals Announces Quotation of New Securities
Oct 14, 2025

Pilbara Minerals Limited has announced the quotation of 131,313 fully paid ordinary securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX), effective from October 7, 2025. This move reflects the company’s ongoing efforts to enhance its capital structure and potentially strengthen its market position within the lithium industry, offering stakeholders an opportunity to engage with its growth trajectory.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PLS) stock is a Buy with a A$2.85 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pilbara Minerals stock, see the AU:PLS Stock Forecast page.

Pilbara Minerals Announces Quotation of New Securities
Oct 8, 2025

Pilbara Minerals Limited has announced the quotation of 96,588 fully paid ordinary securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX). This move is part of the company’s strategy to enhance its financial flexibility and support its growth initiatives in the lithium market, potentially impacting its market positioning and offering new opportunities for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PLS) stock is a Buy with a A$2.85 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pilbara Minerals stock, see the AU:PLS Stock Forecast page.

Pilbara Minerals Announces Cessation of Performance Rights
Oct 2, 2025

Pilbara Minerals Limited announced the cessation of certain performance rights due to unmet conditions, impacting a total of 49,300 securities. This cessation reflects on the company’s operational adjustments and may influence its capital management strategy, potentially affecting investor perceptions and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PLS) stock is a Buy with a A$2.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pilbara Minerals stock, see the AU:PLS Stock Forecast page.

Pilbara Minerals Issues New Securities to Boost Employee Incentives
Oct 2, 2025

Pilbara Minerals Limited announced the issuance of new unquoted securities, including performance rights, as part of an employee incentive scheme. This strategic move is aimed at aligning employee interests with company growth, potentially enhancing operational performance and reinforcing its market position in the lithium mining sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PLS) stock is a Buy with a A$2.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pilbara Minerals stock, see the AU:PLS Stock Forecast page.

Pilbara Minerals to Release September 2025 Quarterly Report
Sep 23, 2025

Pilbara Minerals Limited (PLS) is set to release its September 2025 Quarterly Activities Report on 24 October, with an investor webcast and call scheduled for the same day. The event will provide insights into the company’s recent performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PLS) stock is a Sell with a A$1.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pilbara Minerals stock, see the AU:PLS Stock Forecast page.

Pilbara Minerals Expands Financial Flexibility with New Securities Issuance
Sep 22, 2025

Pilbara Minerals Limited has announced the issuance of 74,155 fully paid ordinary securities, which will be quoted on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX). This move is part of the company’s ongoing efforts to enhance its financial flexibility and support its strategic initiatives in the rapidly evolving lithium market.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PLS) stock is a Hold with a A$2.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pilbara Minerals stock, see the AU:PLS Stock Forecast page.

Pilbara Minerals Announces Cessation of Performance Rights
Sep 16, 2025

Pilbara Minerals Limited announced the cessation of several performance rights due to unmet conditions, impacting a total of 285,581 securities. This development may affect the company’s operational strategies and stakeholder interests, as it reflects challenges in meeting performance targets or changing market conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PLS) stock is a Buy with a A$2.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pilbara Minerals stock, see the AU:PLS Stock Forecast page.

Pilbara Minerals Expands Capital with New ASX Securities Quotation
Sep 16, 2025

Pilbara Minerals Limited has announced the quotation of new securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX), with a total of 65,120 ordinary fully paid shares being issued on two separate dates in September 2025. This move is part of the company’s ongoing efforts to enhance its capital structure, potentially strengthening its financial position and market presence in the lithium mining sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PLS) stock is a Buy with a A$2.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pilbara Minerals stock, see the AU:PLS Stock Forecast page.

Pilbara Minerals Announces 2025 AGM Date
Sep 15, 2025

Pilbara Minerals Limited has announced that its Annual General Meeting will be held on November 25, 2025, with the deadline for director nominations set for September 22, 2025. This meeting is a significant event for stakeholders as it may influence the company’s strategic direction and leadership, impacting its operations and market positioning in the lithium industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PLS) stock is a Buy with a A$2.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pilbara Minerals stock, see the AU:PLS Stock Forecast page.

Pilbara Minerals Expands Capital with New Securities Quotation
Sep 9, 2025

Pilbara Minerals Limited announced the quotation of new securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX), with a total of 580,275 ordinary fully paid securities issued on September 3 and 4, 2025. This move is part of the company’s ongoing efforts to enhance its capital structure, potentially strengthening its market position and providing additional resources for future growth initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PLS) stock is a Hold with a A$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pilbara Minerals stock, see the AU:PLS Stock Forecast page.

Pilbara Minerals Issues New Performance Rights Under Employee Incentive Scheme
Sep 3, 2025

Pilbara Minerals Limited has announced the issuance of 947,254 performance rights set to expire on July 31, 2026, as part of an employee incentive scheme. This move is likely aimed at retaining talent and aligning employee interests with company performance, potentially impacting the company’s operational efficiency and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PLS) stock is a Buy with a A$2.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pilbara Minerals stock, see the AU:PLS Stock Forecast page.

Pilbara Minerals’ Earnings Call: Record Production Amid Market Volatility
Sep 1, 2025

Pilbara Minerals Limited’s recent earnings call showcased a robust operational performance, marked by record production and cost improvements, yet tempered by challenges such as declining prices and cash flow concerns. The company’s strong financial position and strategic investments provide a solid foundation for future growth, although market volatility remains a notable concern.

Pilbara Minerals Announces Quotation of New Securities on ASX
Aug 28, 2025

Pilbara Minerals Limited has announced the quotation of 456,696 ordinary fully paid securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX), effective from August 26, 2025. This move is part of previously announced transactions and is likely to impact the company’s financial standing and market presence, potentially influencing stakeholder interests and the broader lithium market.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PLS) stock is a Hold with a A$2.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pilbara Minerals stock, see the AU:PLS Stock Forecast page.

Pilbara Minerals Issues New Shares, Ensures Regulatory Compliance
Aug 28, 2025

Pilbara Minerals Limited has issued 456,696 fully paid ordinary shares without disclosure to investors under the Corporations Act 2001. The company confirms compliance with relevant legal provisions and states there is no excluded information required to be disclosed, indicating transparency and adherence to regulatory standards.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PLS) stock is a Hold with a A$2.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pilbara Minerals stock, see the AU:PLS Stock Forecast page.

Pilbara Minerals Announces Proposed Securities Issue
Aug 25, 2025

Pilbara Minerals Limited has announced a proposed issue of 456,696 ordinary fully paid securities, with the issue date set for August 26, 2025. This move is likely to impact the company’s capital structure and could enhance its market positioning by providing additional funds for operational or strategic initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PLS) stock is a Buy with a A$1.90 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pilbara Minerals stock, see the AU:PLS Stock Forecast page.

Pilbara Minerals Reports Challenging Year Amid Expansion
Aug 25, 2025

Pilbara Minerals Limited (PLS) is a leading global producer of lithium, a critical mineral for the transition to sustainable energy, with operations centered around its flagship Pilgangoora Operation in Western Australia and strategic expansions in Brazil and South Korea.

Pilbara Minerals Boosts Lithium Production and Expands Global Footprint
Aug 24, 2025

Pilbara Minerals has announced significant advancements in its operations, including the commissioning of the world’s largest lithium ore sorter and an increase in production capacity through the P1000 Project. The company’s recent mineral resource update has resulted in a 23% increase in contained lithium, marking a record annual production of 755kt. Additionally, strategic moves such as the acquisition of the Colina Project in Brazil and key milestones in the South Korean lithium hydroxide JV plant highlight Pilbara Minerals’ efforts to diversify and strengthen its industry positioning. These developments are expected to enhance the company’s operational capabilities and market influence.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PLS) stock is a Buy with a A$2.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pilbara Minerals stock, see the AU:PLS Stock Forecast page.

Pilbara Minerals Navigates Pricing Pressures with Strong Operational Performance
Aug 24, 2025

Pilbara Minerals reported a challenging FY25 with a 39% decline in revenue to $769 million, primarily due to a 43% drop in average realized prices, despite a 7% increase in sales volume. The company maintained strong operational performance with record production levels and completed significant capital investments, including the Pilgangoora expansion projects. Despite a statutory loss after tax of $196 million, Pilbara Minerals remains financially robust with a strong cash position and total liquidity of $1.6 billion. The company is focused on cost reduction and efficiency improvements through the P850 operating model and is well-positioned for future growth with its diversified portfolio and strategic initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PLS) stock is a Buy with a A$2.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pilbara Minerals stock, see the AU:PLS Stock Forecast page.

Pilbara Minerals Releases 2025 Corporate Governance Statement
Aug 24, 2025

Pilbara Minerals has released its 2025 Corporate Governance Statement, outlining its commitment to high corporate governance standards. The statement benchmarks the company’s practices against the ASX Corporate Governance Council’s Principles and Recommendations, emphasizing the importance of governance for sustainability and stakeholder satisfaction.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PLS) stock is a Buy with a A$2.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pilbara Minerals stock, see the AU:PLS Stock Forecast page.

Pilbara Minerals Reports Significant Revenue Decline Amidst Market Challenges
Aug 24, 2025

Pilbara Minerals Limited reported a significant decrease in revenue and profit for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2025, with revenue dropping by 39% and a net loss of $195.8 million compared to a profit in the previous year. The company did not declare any dividends for the period, reflecting challenging market conditions and operational adjustments. Despite these financial setbacks, Pilbara Minerals received recognition for its transparent reporting practices, earning awards for its annual and sustainability reports.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PLS) stock is a Buy with a A$2.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pilbara Minerals stock, see the AU:PLS Stock Forecast page.

Pilbara Minerals Enhances Resource Base with Colina Mineral Estimate
Aug 24, 2025

Pilbara Minerals has announced the completion of the Colina Mineral Resource estimate, following its acquisition of Latin Resources Limited. The estimate, which aligns with Pilbara’s reporting requirements, includes a total measured, indicated, and inferred mineral resource of 70.9 million tonnes at a grade of 1.25% lithium oxide, containing 890,000 tonnes of lithium oxide. This development is expected to enhance Pilbara’s resource base and strengthen its position in the lithium market, with further exploration drilling activities planned to potentially expand the resource base.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PLS) stock is a Buy with a A$2.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pilbara Minerals stock, see the AU:PLS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 14, 2025