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Neuren Pharmaceuticals Limited (AU:NEU)
ASX:NEU

Neuren Pharmaceuticals Limited (NEU) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:NEU

Neuren Pharmaceuticals Limited

(Sydney:NEU)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
AU$21.00
▲(9.26% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (high profitability and a debt-free balance sheet), partially offset by the significant 2024 earnings-to-cash flow disconnect and year-to-year volatility. Technicals are mildly weak with the stock below key moving averages, while valuation appears reasonable on P/E but lacks dividend support.
Positive Factors
Regulatory Approval
Health Canada approval for NNZ-2591 expands trial reach, enhancing Neuren's position in the rare pediatric neurodevelopmental market.
Partnership Success
FDA approval of DAYBUE STIX strengthens Neuren's market position, providing new revenue streams through royalties and expanding treatment options.
Revenue Growth
Record sales growth for DAYBUE™ indicates strong market demand and enhances Neuren's revenue stability and future growth potential.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Volatility
Negative cash flow in 2024 despite strong earnings raises concerns about cash conversion sustainability, impacting financial flexibility.
Earnings Volatility
Revenue decline in 2024 highlights potential instability in earnings, posing risks to consistent financial performance and investor confidence.
Regulatory Delays
Regulatory delays for NNZ-2591 could slow development timelines, impacting Neuren's ability to bring new treatments to market promptly.

Neuren Pharmaceuticals Limited (NEU) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Neuren Pharmaceuticals Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNeuren Pharmaceuticals Limited, a biopharmaceutical company, develops drugs for the treatment of neurological disorders. Its lead product is trofinetide, which is in Phase III clinical trial for the treatment of Rett syndrome, as well as has completed Phase II clinical trial to treat Fragile X syndrome. The company also develops NNZ-2591, which has completed Phase I clinical trial for the treatment of Phelan-McDermid, Angelman, Pitt Hopkins, and Prader-Will syndromes. In addition, it provides development services; and holds loan funded shares. The company was incorporated in 2001 and is based in Camberwell, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyNeuren Pharmaceuticals Limited primarily generates revenue through the development and commercialization of its pharmaceutical products. The company partners with larger pharmaceutical firms to advance its drug candidates through late-stage clinical trials and eventual market approval. These partnerships often involve licensing agreements, where Neuren receives upfront payments, milestone payments upon reaching specific clinical or regulatory milestones, and royalties on net sales of the drugs once commercialized. Additionally, Neuren may engage in research and development collaborations that contribute to its revenue streams.

Neuren Pharmaceuticals Limited Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 29, 2024
(Q4-2023)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted Neuren's strong financial performance, significant cash growth, and successful collaboration with Acadia. Positive trial results for NNZ-2591 and an expanded global reach were significant achievements. However, challenges such as tax liabilities, exchange rate impacts, and share price volatility were noted. Overall, the positive aspects and strategic advancements overshadow the lowlights.
Q4-2023 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Profit and Cash Growth
Neuren reported a profit of AUD 157 million, with cash growing from $40 million to $229 million without any capital raising.
Strong Financial Performance from Acadia Partnership
Neuren received $27 million of royalty income, $59 million from DAYBUE's first commercial sale milestone, and $146 million from an expanded deal with Acadia.
Successful DAYBUE Sales
DAYBUE net sales in Q4 reached USD 87 million, hitting the top of Acadia's guidance. Total sales for the partial year were USD 177 million, with 2024 guidance between USD 370 million and USD 420 million.
Expanded Global Reach
The deal with Acadia expanded to include markets outside North America, bringing in USD 100 million upfront, with tiered royalties from mid-teens to low 20s expected once they reach the market.
Positive Phase II Trial Results for NNZ-2591
Outstanding results announced for the Phelan-McDermid syndrome trial, exceeding expectations and showing consistent improvements across multiple efficacy measures.
Negative Updates
Exchange Rate Impact
There was an $8.2 million expense due to exchange losses, partially offset by foreign exchange gains.
Tax Liabilities
The company faced a $48 million tax charge, with $18 million withheld in the U.S., leaving a $30 million tax liability.
Seasonality Concerns
DAYBUE sales are expected to be lower in Q1 2024 due to seasonality effects, which could impact perceived growth.
Share Price Volatility
Neuren's share price experienced significant volatility, influenced by external reports and market reactions to announcements.
Company Guidance
During Neuren's 2023 earnings call, CEO Jonathan Pilcher highlighted several key financial metrics. The company reported a profit of AUD 157 million, fueled by AUD 27 million in royalty income, a USD 59 million milestone payment from DAYBUE's first commercial sale in the U.S., and USD 146 million from an expanded deal with Acadia. Cash reserves increased from AUD 40 million to AUD 229 million without any capital raising. Neuren anticipates royalty income between AUD 61 million and AUD 70 million next year, based on a royalty rate that ranges from 10% to 12%. Additionally, Neuren is expecting USD 50 million in milestone payments as DAYBUE's sales exceed USD 250 million. Neuren's R&D expenses totaled AUD 27 million, with significant efforts directed towards four Phase II trials and preparations for Phase III. Acadia's DAYBUE guidance for 2024 forecasts USD 370 million to USD 420 million in sales, indicating substantial growth from 2023's USD 177 million.

Neuren Pharmaceuticals Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Neuren Pharmaceuticals Limited displays strong financial health with excellent profitability and a robust balance sheet featuring no debt. However, cash flow management presents challenges, as indicated by negative free cash flow and a negative operating cash flow to net income ratio.
Income Statement
Neuren Pharmaceuticals Limited shows a strong financial performance with a significant improvement in revenue and profitability. The company achieved a high gross profit margin of 84.8% and a net profit margin of 65.5% for 2024, reflecting efficient cost management and profitability. There is a notable decline in revenue growth rate, but the company maintains a strong EBIT margin of 67.4% and EBITDA margin of 82.6%.
Balance Sheet
The company's balance sheet is robust, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0, indicating no debt burden. The equity ratio stands at 88.8%, showcasing financial stability and strong shareholder equity. The return on equity is impressive at 39.0%, indicating effective use of equity to generate profit.
Cash Flow
The cash flow statement highlights a decrease in operating cash flow, resulting in negative free cash flow for 2024. However, the company previously showed strong free cash flow growth and the free cash flow to net income ratio remains positive. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, suggesting potential cash flow management challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue220.78M213.24M231.93M14.55M3.20M717.00K
Gross Profit190.80M213.22M205.17M14.54M3.19M711.00K
EBITDA186.02M175.57M199.26M-670.00K-10.98M-9.90M
Net Income149.06M142.04M157.08M184.00K-7.79M-9.19M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets331.25M409.71M247.97M43.27M40.06M24.95M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments299.54M222.24M228.54M40.18M36.78M24.19M
Total Debt0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities7.98M45.80M42.76M1.68M803.00K753.00K
Stockholders Equity323.27M363.90M205.21M41.59M39.25M24.20M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow137.56M-11.28M184.88M3.58M-9.98M-8.08M
Operating Cash Flow137.57M-11.27M184.93M3.60M-9.97M-8.08M
Investing Cash Flow-82.28M4.13M-211.49M-19.00K-10.00K-6.00K
Financing Cash Flow-48.63M-8.78M3.62M-2.00K22.18M19.14M

Neuren Pharmaceuticals Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price19.22
Price Trends
50DMA
19.37
Negative
100DMA
19.65
Negative
200DMA
16.58
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.16
Positive
RSI
49.85
Neutral
STOCH
28.29
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:NEU, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 19.22 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.33, below the 50-day MA of 19.37, and above the 200-day MA of 16.58, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.29 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:NEU.

Neuren Pharmaceuticals Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
AU$634.54M17.5015.90%0.38%7.76%1.55%
71
Outperform
AU$2.43B16.4654.79%12.35%26.73%
55
Neutral
AU$3.94B-23.51-18.95%198.58%3.97%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
49
Neutral
AU$641.07M-10.31-35.86%-19.21%
41
Neutral
AU$293.01M-30.08-89.70%42.05%-0.84%
41
Neutral
AU$87.00M-5.26-42.68%63.46%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:NEU
Neuren Pharmaceuticals Limited
19.22
7.37
62.19%
AU:CUV
Clinuvel Pharmaceuticals
12.64
1.52
13.71%
AU:MSB
Mesoblast Limited
3.07
0.26
9.25%
AU:OCC
Orthocell Ltd
1.08
-0.30
-21.74%
AU:ATH
Alterity Therapeutics
0.01
>-0.01
-44.44%
AU:IMM
Immutep Ltd
0.44
0.11
33.85%

Neuren Pharmaceuticals Limited Corporate Events

Neuren Wins Health Canada Nod to Expand Phase 3 Trial of NNZ-2591 in Phelan-McDermid Syndrome
Dec 22, 2025

Neuren Pharmaceuticals has secured Health Canada approval for its Clinical Trial Application for the Koala Phase 3 trial of NNZ-2591 in children aged 3 to 12 with Phelan-McDermid syndrome, allowing Canadian sites to be added to what is the first-ever Phase 3 study in this rare disorder. The trial, which already has US FDA IND clearance, is now enrolling at two activated sites in the United States on both coasts, and the expanded North American footprint marks a significant operational step in advancing NNZ-2591 through late-stage development, potentially strengthening Neuren’s position in the rare paediatric neurodevelopmental disease market and offering new hope to patients and families facing limited treatment options.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NEU) stock is a Buy with a A$23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Neuren Pharmaceuticals Limited stock, see the AU:NEU Stock Forecast page.

Neuren Pharmaceuticals’ Partner Acadia Gains FDA Approval for New Rett Syndrome Treatment
Dec 14, 2025

Neuren Pharmaceuticals announced that its partner, Acadia Pharmaceuticals, has received FDA approval for DAYBUE STIX, a new powder formulation of trofinetide for Rett syndrome, offering patients and caregivers more flexibility and choice. This approval, based on bioequivalence studies, ensures comparable efficacy and safety to the existing oral solution. DAYBUE STIX is expected to be available in early 2026, with Neuren receiving royalties on sales, potentially impacting its market position and providing new options for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NEU) stock is a Buy with a A$23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Neuren Pharmaceuticals Limited stock, see the AU:NEU Stock Forecast page.

Neuren Pharmaceuticals Faces Delay in FDA Meeting for NNZ-2591
Dec 9, 2025

Neuren Pharmaceuticals announced a one-month administrative delay in the FDA’s pre-IND meeting for their drug candidate NNZ-2591, now rescheduled for late January 2026. This delay may impact the timeline for developing treatments for hypoxic ischemic encephalopathy (HIE), highlighting the challenges in advancing therapies for rare neurological disorders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NEU) stock is a Buy with a A$23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Neuren Pharmaceuticals Limited stock, see the AU:NEU Stock Forecast page.

Neuren Pharmaceuticals to Quote 150,000 New Securities on ASX
Nov 24, 2025

Neuren Pharmaceuticals Limited has announced the quotation of 150,000 fully paid ordinary securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX), effective November 25, 2025. This move is part of the company’s strategy to enhance its capital structure and potentially improve market liquidity, which could positively impact its operations and industry positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NEU) stock is a Buy with a A$21.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Neuren Pharmaceuticals Limited stock, see the AU:NEU Stock Forecast page.

Neuren Pharmaceuticals: Advancing Neurodevelopmental Therapies Amidst Industry Challenges
Nov 9, 2025

Neuren Pharmaceuticals Limited has released an investor presentation highlighting their commitment to enhancing the lives of people with neurodevelopmental disabilities. The presentation includes forward-looking statements, emphasizing the potential risks and uncertainties in drug development, regulatory processes, and clinical trials, which could impact the company’s operations and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NEU) stock is a Buy with a A$25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Neuren Pharmaceuticals Limited stock, see the AU:NEU Stock Forecast page.

Neuren Pharmaceuticals Achieves Record DAYBUE™ Sales in Q3 2025
Nov 6, 2025

Neuren Pharmaceuticals reported record net sales of US$101.1 million for DAYBUE™ in Q3 2025, marking an 11% increase from Q3 2024. The company experienced significant growth in patient referrals and community-based prescriptions, with over 1,000 patients receiving shipments for the first time. Neuren’s royalty income also saw a substantial rise, and the company anticipates further growth potential in the US market. Additionally, Acadia, Neuren’s partner, has narrowed its full-year sales guidance and is expanding its market reach with ongoing trials and supply programs in multiple regions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NEU) stock is a Buy with a A$25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Neuren Pharmaceuticals Limited stock, see the AU:NEU Stock Forecast page.

Neuren Pharmaceuticals Receives FDA Fast Track for NNZ-2591 in Phelan-McDermid Syndrome
Oct 20, 2025

Neuren Pharmaceuticals announced that the FDA has granted Fast Track designation for NNZ-2591 for treating Phelan-McDermid syndrome (PMS), a condition with no current FDA-approved treatments. This designation aims to expedite the drug’s development and review process, highlighting the urgent unmet medical need for PMS therapies. The company is conducting a Phase 3 clinical trial, marking the first of its kind for PMS, which could significantly impact the community affected by this syndrome. Fast Track status has also been granted for NNZ-2591 in Angelman syndrome, enhancing Neuren’s positioning in the neurodevelopmental disorder treatment market.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NEU) stock is a Buy with a A$21.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Neuren Pharmaceuticals Limited stock, see the AU:NEU Stock Forecast page.

Neuren Pharmaceuticals Expands Market Presence with New Securities Quotation
Oct 3, 2025

Neuren Pharmaceuticals Limited announced the quotation of 200,000 ordinary fully paid securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) as of October 3, 2025. This move is part of the company’s strategic efforts to enhance its market presence and provide additional value to its stakeholders by leveraging financial instruments.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NEU) stock is a Buy with a A$21.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Neuren Pharmaceuticals Limited stock, see the AU:NEU Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025