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Mithril Resources Ltd (AU:MTH)
ASX:MTH

Mithril Resources Ltd (MTH) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:MTH

Mithril Resources Ltd

(Sydney:MTH)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.58
▼(-6.61% Downside)
The score is primarily held down by weak financial performance (zero revenue, widening losses, and ongoing cash burn), despite a strong low-debt balance sheet. Technicals provide a meaningful offset with the price trading above key moving averages and positive MACD, but valuation support is limited due to negative earnings and no dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong balance sheet, minimal debt
Minimal leverage and a sizable equity cushion (~A$50.1m) provide durable financial flexibility for exploration cycles. This reduces near-term solvency risk, supports continued drilling and project evaluation without immediate revenue, and preserves optionality to fund strategic opportunities or withstand market cycles.
Focused exploration business model
A clear, asset-centric exploration model concentrates capital on high-impact activities (mapping, sampling, geophysics, drilling). Structurally, this creates binary upside from discoveries and allows portfolio prioritization, giving long-term optionality to advance or divest projects as economic conditions evolve.
Lean operating structure
A very small headcount keeps fixed overhead low and extends cash runway per dollar of funding, which is crucial for pre-revenue explorers. This lean structure enables nimble capital allocation to field programs and reduces burn, helping the company weather prolonged exploration timelines.
Negative Factors
Pre-revenue with widening losses
Zero reported revenue and growing annual losses indicate no operating cash generation runway. Over the medium term this undermines sustainability absent discovery or external funding, increases dilution risk from capital raises, and constrains ability to self-fund development or escalation of projects.
Persistent negative operating cash flow
Consistent negative operating and free cash flow (~A$-1.95m in 2025) creates structural funding pressure. Over months this depletes reserves, forces reliance on equity or debt raises, and limits ability to scale exploration programs or respond to opportunities without dilutive financing or asset sales.
Negative returns and no clear path to profitability
Negative ROE across reporting periods reflects persistent value erosion despite the equity base. This signals limited operating leverage or project maturity, raising the risk that capital deployed will not generate acceptable returns and pressuring management to alter strategy or raise capital, impacting shareholders.

Mithril Resources Ltd (MTH) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Mithril Resources Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMithril Resources Limited engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Mexico and Australia. The company explores for gold, silver, zinc, and nickel deposits. It primarily holds interest in the Copalquin Gold Silver project covering an area of 70 square kilometres located in the Durango State, Mexico. The company also holds interests in the Billy Hills Zinc, Kurnalpi, Lignum Dam, and Limestone Well projects located in Australia. Mithril Resources Limited was incorporated in 2002 and is based in Melbourne, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyMithril Resources Ltd makes money primarily through the exploration and development of mineral resources. The company generates revenue by discovering and defining mineral deposits and then either developing these into operational mines or selling/partnering these projects with larger mining companies. Revenue streams include proceeds from joint ventures, partnerships, and potential future sales of mined resources. Key factors contributing to its earnings include successful exploration outcomes, favorable commodity prices, and strategic partnerships that provide capital and expertise for project development. Additionally, the company may earn income from government grants or incentives related to exploration activities.

Mithril Resources Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are weak due to zero/near-zero revenue, widening net losses (~2.1M in 2025 vs ~1.6M in 2024), and ongoing negative operating/free cash flow (~-1.95M in 2025). The main offset is a relatively strong balance sheet with minimal debt and sizable equity (~50.1M), but returns remain negative (ROE ~-4.2%).
Income Statement
9
Very Negative
The company remains pre-revenue/near-zero revenue, with revenue falling to 0 in 2025 after being immaterial in prior years. Losses are persistent and sizable (net loss widened to ~2.1M in 2025 vs ~1.6M in 2024), indicating limited operating leverage and no clear path to profitability in the disclosed periods. A positive is that reported losses are not driven by heavy interest burden (no meaningful debt), but overall earnings quality is weak given the lack of revenue base.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet is a relative strength: leverage is minimal (debt effectively zero in 2025, and very small in earlier years), and equity is sizable (~50.1M in 2025) supporting a solid capitalization profile. However, returns remain negative (return on equity is negative across all years, ~-4.2% in 2025), reflecting ongoing value erosion from recurring losses despite the strong equity cushion.
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
Cash generation is weak, with operating cash flow negative in most years and declining to about -1.95M in 2025 (from about -1.35M in 2024). Free cash flow is consistently negative and worsened sharply in 2024 before improving in 2025, but it remains a meaningful burn (~-1.95M in 2025). A partial positive is that free cash flow in 2025 roughly tracked net loss (close to 1x), but overall cash burn and variability imply continued funding risk if losses persist.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.001.98K1.92K25.61K3.35K
Gross Profit-66.29K-66.29K-62.93K-53.39K-17.61K-17.89K
EBITDA-2.05M-2.05M-1.29M-2.04M-795.94K-1.67M
Net Income-2.12M-2.12M-1.60M-2.10M-632.30K-1.69M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets50.76M50.95M32.92M31.02M28.41M21.78M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments14.19M11.06M1.50M568.53K2.27M2.92M
Total Debt0.000.0034.74K10.52K0.000.00
Total Liabilities1.02M870.67K446.75K393.35K690.88K822.04K
Stockholders Equity49.74M50.08M32.48M30.63M27.72M20.96M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.95M-1.95M-3.41M-3.08M-6.86M-6.30M
Operating Cash Flow-1.95M-1.95M-1.35M1.35K-265.78K-1.45M
Investing Cash Flow-8.18M-8.18M-2.06M-3.09M-6.09M-4.86M
Financing Cash Flow19.69M19.69M4.34M1.37M6.38M8.03M

Mithril Resources Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.62
Price Trends
50DMA
0.50
Positive
100DMA
0.55
Positive
200DMA
0.49
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Negative
RSI
55.07
Neutral
STOCH
79.29
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:MTH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.62 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.56, above the 50-day MA of 0.50, and above the 200-day MA of 0.49, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.29 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:MTH.

Mithril Resources Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
48
Neutral
AU$116.25M-18.8154.26%
45
Neutral
AU$41.91M-10.09-13.23%-86.89%
45
Neutral
AU$187.36M-13.53-11.80%-88.89%
44
Neutral
AU$93.63M-7.68-8.61%42.69%
44
Neutral
AU$326.99M-43.24-24.97%15.91%
43
Neutral
AU$57.60M-16.00-16.10%36.62%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:MTH
Mithril Resources Ltd
0.59
0.16
39.29%
AU:AVL
Australian Vanadium
0.27
-0.11
-29.33%
AU:ETM
Greenland Minerals Limited
0.16
0.08
88.24%
AU:DME
Dome Gold Mines Ltd.
0.12
-0.06
-34.29%
AU:ORN
Orion Minerals Limited
0.02
<0.01
64.29%
AU:VRX
VRX Silica Ltd.
0.07
0.02
46.94%

Mithril Resources Ltd Corporate Events

Mithril Silver & Gold Starts Maiden Drilling at Target 3 in Copalquin District
Jan 14, 2026

Mithril Silver and Gold Limited has commenced a 3,300-metre maiden drill programme at Target 3 within its Copalquin gold-silver district in Mexico, following high-grade channel sampling at the historic El Jabali workings. The campaign, part of 25,000 metres of drilling planned for the first half of 2026, aims to test the continuity and scale of mineralisation across what the company views as a large, highly prospective epithermal system, while drilling at Targets 1 and 5 continues and a drone magnetic survey over Copalquin and La Dura is set to begin, underscoring an intensified, district-scale exploration push that could shape future resource estimates and project development.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MTH) stock is a Hold with a A$0.56 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mithril Resources Ltd stock, see the AU:MTH Stock Forecast page.

Mithril Ramps Up Copalquin Drilling With Expanded 2026 Exploration Push
Dec 22, 2025

Mithril Silver and Gold is accelerating work at its Copalquin gold-silver project in Mexico, mobilizing a third drill rig and planning an expanded 25,000-metre exploration program for 2026 across multiple high-grade targets. The company reports strong progress at Targets 1, 3 and 5, with encouraging drill and channel sampling results, and plans further drilling ahead of a 2026 resource update, while also advancing regional work with LiDAR and planned airborne magnetic surveys over Copalquin and the newly acquired La Dura concession, positioning the company for continued growth despite ongoing assay laboratory delays.

Mithril Resources Expands with La Dura Acquisition
Dec 17, 2025

Mithril Resources Ltd has announced its acquisition of the La Dura Gold-Silver property, further strengthening its portfolio in the Sierra Madre region. This strategic move is expected to enhance Mithril’s exploration capabilities and potentially increase its resource estimates, positioning the company for growth and increased stakeholder value.

Mithril Silver and Gold Limited Announces Proposed Securities Issue
Dec 9, 2025

Mithril Silver and Gold Limited has announced a proposed issue of 50,000 ordinary fully paid securities, with the issuance date set for December 11, 2025. This move is part of a placement or other type of issue, which could impact the company’s operations by potentially increasing its capital base and enhancing its market position within the mining industry.

Mithril Expands Mexican Operations with La Dura Acquisition
Dec 4, 2025

Mithril Silver and Gold Limited has announced a purchase option to acquire the La Dura gold-silver property, adjacent to its flagship Copalquin property in Durango State, Mexico. The acquisition of La Dura, which includes several historic mines, will expand Mithril’s land holdings and is expected to enhance its exploration capabilities. The company plans to conduct LiDAR and aerial magnetic surveys to assess the property’s potential, with further exploration work scheduled. This strategic move positions Mithril to advance its operations in the region and potentially unlock significant value for stakeholders.

Mithril Resources Reports High-Grade Gold-Silver Discoveries at Copalquin
Dec 1, 2025

Mithril Silver and Gold Limited has announced significant exploration updates from its Copalquin property in Mexico, highlighting high-grade gold and silver findings across multiple targets. The ongoing exploration efforts are expanding the district’s potential, with new drilling and sampling results supporting the development of a large, district-scale epithermal gold-silver system. The company plans to continue its exploration program with extensive drilling in 2026, aiming to further define and expand its high-grade gold-silver resources.

Mithril Silver and Gold Limited Announces Director’s Interest Change
Nov 28, 2025

Mithril Silver and Gold Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with Craig Sharpe acquiring 800,000 unquoted options through Mano Asset Management Pty Ltd. This change, approved by shareholders, reflects the company’s ongoing strategic adjustments and could impact its market positioning by potentially influencing investor confidence and stakeholder engagement.

Mithril Silver and Gold Limited Announces Director’s Interest Change
Nov 21, 2025

Mithril Silver and Gold Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with John Skeet’s indirect interest seeing the expiry of 250,000 options and the issuance of 1,800,000 new options. This adjustment, approved by shareholders, reflects a strategic move to align the interests of the director with the company’s long-term goals, potentially impacting the company’s market positioning and stakeholder relations.

Mithril Silver and Gold Limited Issues New Employee Incentive Securities
Nov 21, 2025

Mithril Silver and Gold Limited has announced the issuance of 5,200,000 unquoted securities under an employee incentive scheme, set to expire on September 1, 2028, with an exercise price of $1.07. This move is part of the company’s strategy to incentivize employees and align their interests with the company’s growth objectives, potentially impacting its operational dynamics and stakeholder engagement.

Mithril Silver and Gold Issues New Shares Under Regulatory Exemption
Nov 14, 2025

Mithril Silver and Gold Limited announced the issuance of 150,000 ordinary shares following the exercise of options, in compliance with the Corporations Act 2001. This move, authorized by the company secretary, allows for the on-sale of these securities under specific exemptions, potentially impacting the company’s liquidity and shareholder value.

Mithril Silver and Gold Expands Market Presence with New Securities Quotation
Nov 14, 2025

Mithril Silver and Gold Limited announced the quotation of additional securities on the ASX, with a total of 355,352 ordinary fully paid shares being issued. This move is part of the company’s strategy to enhance its market presence and potentially increase its capital base, which could have implications for its operational capabilities and stakeholder interests.

Mithril Resources Highlights Growth Potential at Precious Metals Summit
Nov 10, 2025

Mithril Resources Ltd has announced its participation in the Precious Metals Summit in Zurich, highlighting its fully funded status and readiness for growth. Recent activities include high-grade sampling and drilling results in the Copalquin District, with significant private placements bolstering its financial position, indicating a strong potential for expansion and increased stakeholder value.

Mithril Silver and Gold Limited Releases Unaudited Financial Statements for Q3 2025
Nov 7, 2025

Mithril Silver and Gold Limited has released its unaudited condensed interim financial statements for the three months ended September 30, 2025. The management has prepared these statements, which have not been reviewed by independent auditors, highlighting the company’s ongoing financial transparency and operational updates for stakeholders.

Mithril Silver and Gold Limited Successfully Passes All AGM Resolutions
Nov 5, 2025

Mithril Silver and Gold Limited announced that all resolutions presented at its Annual General Meeting on November 5, 2025, were passed by a poll. This outcome reflects strong shareholder support for the company’s strategic decisions, including the re-election of directors and the approval of various securities plans. The successful resolutions are likely to enhance the company’s governance and operational capabilities, potentially impacting its market positioning positively.

Mithril Reports High-Grade Silver Intercepts at Copalquin District
Nov 4, 2025

Mithril Silver and Gold Limited has announced promising exploration results from its Copalquin property in Mexico, particularly at Target 5, where high-grade silver intercepts have been reported. The company is advancing its drilling operations with plans to expand exploration efforts across multiple targets, indicating significant potential for resource growth and strengthening its position within the gold-silver mining sector.

Mithril Silver and Gold Expands Market Presence with New Securities Quotation
Oct 28, 2025

Mithril Silver and Gold Limited announced the quotation of 515,000 fully paid ordinary securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX), following the exercise of options or conversion of convertible securities. This move is likely to enhance the company’s market presence and provide additional capital for its ongoing operations, potentially impacting its industry positioning and offering implications for stakeholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 16, 2026