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Mithril Resources Ltd (AU:MTH)
ASX:MTH

Mithril Resources Ltd (MTH) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:MTH

Mithril Resources Ltd

(Sydney:MTH)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.37
▼(-40.00% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/07/26
The score is primarily held back by minimal/zero revenue, persistent losses, and ongoing cash burn, which increase funding risk. Technical indicators also show a clear downtrend and weak momentum. A strong, low-debt balance sheet with sizable equity provides some stability, but not enough to offset the weak operating profile.
Positive Factors
Strong balance sheet
A sizable equity base (~50.1M) and effectively zero debt provide durable financial flexibility for an early-stage explorer. This reduces bankruptcy risk, supports multi-stage drilling programs, and gives management time to advance projects without immediate refinancing pressure.
Minimal interest burden
Low or no debt means operating losses are not amplified by interest expense, preserving cash for exploration. That structural low fixed-cost base improves the company’s ability to allocate incremental capital to drilling and technical programs rather than servicing debt.
Focused exploration business model
A clear, asset-centric exploration model with targeted technical activities and a small team supports disciplined capital deployment. For resource juniors, focused programs and scalable field work can create step-change value if prospects advance, a durable structural advantage when managed prudently.
Negative Factors
Pre-revenue operating profile
Near-zero or zero revenues mean the business lacks operating cash generation and is dependent on external funding. Over the medium term this limits the company's ability to self-fund exploration, increases dilution risk, and makes long-term project financing contingent on capital markets or partners.
Persistent cash burn
Consistently negative operating and free cash flow (~-1.95M in 2025) is a durable drain on resources. Continued cash burn forces recurring capital raises or JV deals, diverting management focus and potentially slowing project timelines if financing windows tighten over the next several months.
Funding dependence & negative returns
Persistent losses and negative ROE (~-4.2% in 2025) indicate the equity cushion is eroding. Even with low debt, ongoing funding dependence creates execution risk: future capital injections may dilute shareholders and constrain long-term value creation unless exploration results materially improve.

Mithril Resources Ltd (MTH) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Mithril Resources Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMithril Resources Limited engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Mexico and Australia. The company explores for gold, silver, zinc, and nickel deposits. It primarily holds interest in the Copalquin Gold Silver project covering an area of 70 square kilometres located in the Durango State, Mexico. The company also holds interests in the Billy Hills Zinc, Kurnalpi, Lignum Dam, and Limestone Well projects located in Australia. Mithril Resources Limited was incorporated in 2002 and is based in Melbourne, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyMithril Resources Ltd makes money primarily through the exploration and development of mineral resources. The company generates revenue by discovering and defining mineral deposits and then either developing these into operational mines or selling/partnering these projects with larger mining companies. Revenue streams include proceeds from joint ventures, partnerships, and potential future sales of mined resources. Key factors contributing to its earnings include successful exploration outcomes, favorable commodity prices, and strategic partnerships that provide capital and expertise for project development. Additionally, the company may earn income from government grants or incentives related to exploration activities.

Mithril Resources Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating fundamentals are very weak (pre-revenue/near-zero revenue and widening net losses to ~2.1M in 2025), with continued negative operating and free cash flow (~-1.95M in 2025) indicating ongoing funding dependence. This is partially offset by a strong, low-debt balance sheet with sizable equity (~50.1M) that supports near-term financial stability.
Income Statement
9
Very Negative
The company remains pre-revenue/near-zero revenue, with revenue falling to 0 in 2025 after being immaterial in prior years. Losses are persistent and sizable (net loss widened to ~2.1M in 2025 vs ~1.6M in 2024), indicating limited operating leverage and no clear path to profitability in the disclosed periods. A positive is that reported losses are not driven by heavy interest burden (no meaningful debt), but overall earnings quality is weak given the lack of revenue base.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet is a relative strength: leverage is minimal (debt effectively zero in 2025, and very small in earlier years), and equity is sizable (~50.1M in 2025) supporting a solid capitalization profile. However, returns remain negative (return on equity is negative across all years, ~-4.2% in 2025), reflecting ongoing value erosion from recurring losses despite the strong equity cushion.
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
Cash generation is weak, with operating cash flow negative in most years and declining to about -1.95M in 2025 (from about -1.35M in 2024). Free cash flow is consistently negative and worsened sharply in 2024 before improving in 2025, but it remains a meaningful burn (~-1.95M in 2025). A partial positive is that free cash flow in 2025 roughly tracked net loss (close to 1x), but overall cash burn and variability imply continued funding risk if losses persist.
BreakdownJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.001.98K1.92K25.61K3.35K
Gross Profit-66.29K-62.93K-53.39K-17.61K-17.89K
EBITDA-2.05M-1.29M-2.04M-795.94K-1.67M
Net Income-2.12M-1.60M-2.10M-632.30K-1.69M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets50.95M32.92M31.02M28.41M21.78M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.06M1.50M568.53K2.27M2.92M
Total Debt0.0034.74K10.52K0.000.00
Total Liabilities870.67K446.75K393.35K690.88K822.04K
Stockholders Equity50.08M32.48M30.63M27.72M20.96M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.95M-3.41M-3.08M-6.86M-6.30M
Operating Cash Flow-1.95M-1.35M1.35K-265.78K-1.45M
Investing Cash Flow-8.18M-2.06M-3.09M-6.09M-4.86M
Financing Cash Flow19.69M4.34M1.37M6.38M8.03M

Mithril Resources Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.62
Price Trends
50DMA
0.49
Negative
100DMA
0.50
Negative
200DMA
0.51
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Negative
RSI
41.32
Neutral
STOCH
36.36
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:MTH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.62 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.39, above the 50-day MA of 0.49, and above the 200-day MA of 0.51, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.32 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.36 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:MTH.

Mithril Resources Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
56
Neutral
AU$105.77M-8.84-8.61%42.69%
49
Neutral
AU$309.96M-22.35-11.80%-88.89%
47
Neutral
AU$219.81M-14.29-24.97%15.91%
46
Neutral
AU$67.44M-12.3754.26%
45
Neutral
AU$35.20M-7.37-13.23%-86.89%
43
Neutral
AU$46.70M-13.33-16.10%36.62%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:MTH
Mithril Resources Ltd
0.37
0.05
17.74%
AU:AVL
Australian Vanadium
0.31
<0.01
1.67%
AU:ETM
Greenland Minerals Limited
0.10
0.03
49.25%
AU:DME
Dome Gold Mines Ltd.
0.08
-0.10
-53.33%
AU:ORN
Orion Minerals Limited
0.04
0.02
137.50%
AU:VRX
VRX Silica Ltd.
0.06
0.02
62.16%

Mithril Resources Ltd Corporate Events

Mithril Ramps Up District-Scale Drilling at Copalquin After High-Grade Silver-Gold Hits
Feb 10, 2026

Mithril Silver and Gold Limited reported ongoing exploration progress across multiple targets at its Copalquin silver-gold project in Mexico, highlighting a maiden drill program at Target 5 that has confirmed a large, silver-rich mineralised system over a 9.6 km² area with several high-grade intercepts. Phase IV drilling has started at Target 1 to extend and upgrade the existing resource, maiden drilling has commenced at Target 3, and district-wide aerial magnetic, LiDAR and mapping programs are feeding into an aggressive 2026 plan for up to 25,000 metres of drilling, underscoring the scale and growth potential of the Copalquin and La Dura concessions.

The company’s 2026 exploration strategy focuses on progressing Target 1 toward potential development, advancing Targets 3 and 5 toward additional resources and testing district-scale structural “feeder” targets, supported by new geophysical and geological datasets. With more than 100 historic workings, extensive alteration zones and encouraging drill results, the campaign positions Mithril to significantly expand its resource base and strengthen its standing in the silver-gold exploration space, with implications for future project development and potential value creation for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MTH) stock is a Hold with a A$0.36 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mithril Resources Ltd stock, see the AU:MTH Stock Forecast page.

Bank of Nova Scotia ceases to be substantial holder in Mithril Silver and Gold
Feb 8, 2026

The Bank of Nova Scotia and its controlling entities, including 1832 Asset Management L.P., have disclosed that they have ceased to be substantial holders in Mithril Silver and Gold Limited. This change follows a reduction in relevant voting shares tied to Dynamic Precious Metals Funds and related Dynamic/Scotia Funds.

According to the filing, the decrease in relevant interest was triggered by on-market transactions on the ASX on 5 February 2026, involving 554,407 shares at an average price of A$0.3974. The exit of a major institutional holder may alter Mithril’s share register dynamics and could signal a shift in institutional appetite for the stock.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MTH) stock is a Hold with a A$0.36 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mithril Resources Ltd stock, see the AU:MTH Stock Forecast page.

Mithril Silver and Gold Relocates Registered Office to Melbourne CBD
Feb 3, 2026

Mithril Silver and Gold Limited has relocated its registered office to Suite 303, 365 Little Collins Street in Melbourne, Victoria, while keeping all other contact details unchanged. The move represents an administrative change only and does not signal any alteration to the company’s existing communication channels or corporate structure as disclosed in the announcement.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MTH) stock is a Hold with a A$0.49 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mithril Resources Ltd stock, see the AU:MTH Stock Forecast page.

Mithril Silver and Gold Issues New Shares on Option Exercise Under Section 708A Exemption
Feb 2, 2026

Mithril Silver and Gold Limited has issued 95,834 new ordinary shares following the exercise of an equivalent number of unlisted options at an exercise price of C$0.36, modestly increasing its share capital. The company has lodged a notice under section 708A of the Corporations Act 2001 confirming that these shares were issued without a prospectus but can now be freely traded under the Act’s exemption provisions, and stating it remains compliant with its continuous disclosure and reporting obligations, signaling regulatory transparency for existing and prospective investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MTH) stock is a Hold with a A$0.49 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mithril Resources Ltd stock, see the AU:MTH Stock Forecast page.

Mithril Silver and Gold Seeks Quotation for Additional 245,834 Shares on ASX
Feb 2, 2026

Mithril Silver and Gold Limited has applied to the ASX for quotation of an additional 245,834 ordinary fully paid shares (ASX code: MTH) following the exercise or conversion of existing options or other convertible securities. The new shares, issued on 30 January 2026 and 2 February 2026, modestly increase the company’s quoted capital base, potentially enhancing liquidity for shareholders and reflecting incremental funding or equity participation without altering the company’s core operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MTH) stock is a Hold with a A$0.49 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mithril Resources Ltd stock, see the AU:MTH Stock Forecast page.

Mithril Silver and Gold Extends High-Grade Mineralisation Across District-Scale Copalquin Project
Jan 30, 2026

Mithril Silver and Gold reported continued exploration success in the December 2025 quarter at its Copalquin project in Mexico, confirming a large, vertically extensive epithermal gold-silver system with mineralisation mapped over a 9 km strike and 1,200 m vertical extent. Drilling at Target 1 (Refugio–La Soledad) has extended the resource area’s strike by more than 30%, with high-grade gold and silver intercepts underpinning a planned maiden resource update in the second quarter following a 3,000 metre infill drill program, while the zone remains open at depth and along strike. At the newly drilled Target 5 (Apomal–Candelaria), maiden holes intersected high-grade, silver-dominant veins hosted in granodiorite, supported by very high-grade surface and channel samples, indicating substantial upside across a large, under-tested target area. A maiden drill program has also begun at Target 3 (El Jabali–Guadelupe) after encouraging channel sampling, and an integrated district geological model now outlines a dominant east–west mineralised corridor with multiple feeder structures and vertically zoned silver-to-gold mineralisation. The commencement of an aerial magnetic survey is expected to further refine key structural controls, supporting Mithril’s positioning of Copalquin as a district-scale Mexican epithermal system with potential for multiple high-grade centres, which could enhance the project’s long-term development prospects and strategic value for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MTH) stock is a Hold with a A$0.59 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mithril Resources Ltd stock, see the AU:MTH Stock Forecast page.

Mithril Extends High-Grade Gold-Silver Mineralisation at Copalquin’s Target 1
Jan 19, 2026

Mithril Silver and Gold has reported high-grade gold and silver intercepts from ongoing drilling at Target 1 within its Copalquin project in Mexico, including shallow, high-grade zones that will feed into an upcoming mineral resource estimate update. Step-out drilling on the western side of Target 1 has identified a broad anomalous silver zone and extensive hydrothermal alteration that extends the district’s east–west mineralised structure by 300 metres, suggests a major feeder conduit, and confirms a 300-metre down-dip extension of the Refugio 1 structure, collectively reinforcing the vertical and lateral continuity of the system. These results, together with an aggressive 25,000-metre drilling program planned for the first half of 2026 and parallel work at the newly added La Dura property, signal meaningful potential to expand resources, strengthen the Copalquin district-scale model, and enhance Mithril’s future project development options in a prolific historic mining region.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MTH) stock is a Hold with a A$0.58 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mithril Resources Ltd stock, see the AU:MTH Stock Forecast page.

Mithril Silver & Gold Starts Maiden Drilling at Target 3 in Copalquin District
Jan 14, 2026

Mithril Silver and Gold Limited has commenced a 3,300-metre maiden drill programme at Target 3 within its Copalquin gold-silver district in Mexico, following high-grade channel sampling at the historic El Jabali workings. The campaign, part of 25,000 metres of drilling planned for the first half of 2026, aims to test the continuity and scale of mineralisation across what the company views as a large, highly prospective epithermal system, while drilling at Targets 1 and 5 continues and a drone magnetic survey over Copalquin and La Dura is set to begin, underscoring an intensified, district-scale exploration push that could shape future resource estimates and project development.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MTH) stock is a Hold with a A$0.56 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mithril Resources Ltd stock, see the AU:MTH Stock Forecast page.

Mithril Ramps Up Copalquin Drilling With Expanded 2026 Exploration Push
Dec 22, 2025

Mithril Silver and Gold is accelerating work at its Copalquin gold-silver project in Mexico, mobilizing a third drill rig and planning an expanded 25,000-metre exploration program for 2026 across multiple high-grade targets. The company reports strong progress at Targets 1, 3 and 5, with encouraging drill and channel sampling results, and plans further drilling ahead of a 2026 resource update, while also advancing regional work with LiDAR and planned airborne magnetic surveys over Copalquin and the newly acquired La Dura concession, positioning the company for continued growth despite ongoing assay laboratory delays.

Mithril Resources Expands with La Dura Acquisition
Dec 17, 2025

Mithril Resources Ltd has announced its acquisition of the La Dura Gold-Silver property, further strengthening its portfolio in the Sierra Madre region. This strategic move is expected to enhance Mithril’s exploration capabilities and potentially increase its resource estimates, positioning the company for growth and increased stakeholder value.

Mithril Silver and Gold Limited Announces Proposed Securities Issue
Dec 9, 2025

Mithril Silver and Gold Limited has announced a proposed issue of 50,000 ordinary fully paid securities, with the issuance date set for December 11, 2025. This move is part of a placement or other type of issue, which could impact the company’s operations by potentially increasing its capital base and enhancing its market position within the mining industry.

Mithril Expands Mexican Operations with La Dura Acquisition
Dec 4, 2025

Mithril Silver and Gold Limited has announced a purchase option to acquire the La Dura gold-silver property, adjacent to its flagship Copalquin property in Durango State, Mexico. The acquisition of La Dura, which includes several historic mines, will expand Mithril’s land holdings and is expected to enhance its exploration capabilities. The company plans to conduct LiDAR and aerial magnetic surveys to assess the property’s potential, with further exploration work scheduled. This strategic move positions Mithril to advance its operations in the region and potentially unlock significant value for stakeholders.

Mithril Resources Reports High-Grade Gold-Silver Discoveries at Copalquin
Dec 1, 2025

Mithril Silver and Gold Limited has announced significant exploration updates from its Copalquin property in Mexico, highlighting high-grade gold and silver findings across multiple targets. The ongoing exploration efforts are expanding the district’s potential, with new drilling and sampling results supporting the development of a large, district-scale epithermal gold-silver system. The company plans to continue its exploration program with extensive drilling in 2026, aiming to further define and expand its high-grade gold-silver resources.

Mithril Silver and Gold Limited Announces Director’s Interest Change
Nov 28, 2025

Mithril Silver and Gold Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with Craig Sharpe acquiring 800,000 unquoted options through Mano Asset Management Pty Ltd. This change, approved by shareholders, reflects the company’s ongoing strategic adjustments and could impact its market positioning by potentially influencing investor confidence and stakeholder engagement.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 07, 2026