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Orion Minerals Limited (AU:ORN)
ASX:ORN
Australian Market

Orion Minerals Limited (ORN) AI Stock Analysis

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AU

Orion Minerals Limited

(Sydney:ORN)

Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.00
▼(-100.00%Downside)
The overall stock score for Orion Minerals Limited is heavily impacted by its poor financial performance and unattractive valuation. Despite some revenue growth, losses and negative cash flows persist. Technical indicators also highlight weak market momentum, further contributing to the low score.

Orion Minerals Limited (ORN) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Orion Minerals Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOrion Minerals Limited (ORN) is an Australian-based mineral exploration and development company focused on the exploration and development of high-quality base metal projects. The company primarily operates in South Africa, targeting the discovery and development of copper, zinc, and other valuable minerals. Orion Minerals is committed to sustainable and responsible mining practices, working towards the development of the Prieska Copper-Zinc Project as its flagship operation.
How the Company Makes MoneyOrion Minerals Limited generates revenue primarily through the exploration and development of mineral resources, specifically targeting copper and zinc deposits. The company's main source of income is expected to come from the eventual extraction and sale of these minerals from its mining projects, with the Prieska Copper-Zinc Project being a significant contributor. Additionally, Orion Minerals may engage in strategic partnerships, joint ventures, or offtake agreements with other mining and resource companies to enhance its financial position and operational capabilities. These partnerships can provide upfront payments, funding for project development, and secured markets for its mineral products. As the company advances its projects from exploration to production phases, revenues are anticipated to increase through the sale of extracted minerals in global markets.

Orion Minerals Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Orion Minerals Limited faces significant financial challenges, with consistent losses and negative cash flows. The income statement reflects ongoing unprofitability despite some revenue growth. The balance sheet is stable in terms of equity, but negative ROE is concerning. Cash flow remains weak, highlighting sustainability issues.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Orion Minerals Limited has seen some improvement in total revenue, but the company remains unprofitable with negative EBIT and EBITDA margins. The net profit margin is also negative, indicating ongoing losses. However, the revenue growth from the previous year is a positive sign, suggesting some potential for future recovery.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company has a reasonable debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting manageable leverage. The equity ratio is strong, indicating a solid equity base compared to total assets. However, the negative return on equity reflects ongoing losses and poor profitability, which is a concern for potential investors.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Orion Minerals Limited's cash flow position is weak, with negative free cash flow and operating cash flow. The free cash flow growth rate is negative, and the ratios of operating and free cash flow to net income are unfavorable, highlighting challenges in cash generation and sustainability.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
269.00K381.00K75.00K58.00K46.00K70.00K
Gross Profit
-182.00K381.00K-97.00K-87.00K-49.00K-106.00K
EBIT
-10.27M-10.98M-10.49M-15.19M-9.39M-9.32M
EBITDA
-9.45M-9.91M-16.42M-15.09M-1.71M-17.17M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-5.85M-5.39M-15.33M-14.29M-1.76M-17.55M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
6.34M8.27M7.56M4.29M20.55M1.22M
Total Assets
142.65M136.60M92.36M89.64M97.96M65.83M
Total Debt
33.02M25.86M3.50M4.08M3.99M8.21M
Net Debt
26.68M17.59M-4.06M-213.00K-16.56M6.99M
Total Liabilities
48.30M43.66M7.74M8.74M6.96M11.00M
Stockholders Equity
105.14M102.18M92.87M85.81M94.68M57.38M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-33.14M-28.96M-13.92M-17.61M-10.99M-13.90M
Operating Cash Flow
-10.32M-12.07M-9.96M-12.93M-9.13M-8.28M
Investing Cash Flow
-24.15M-18.25M-4.43M-5.04M-1.89M-5.55M
Financing Cash Flow
28.89M30.52M18.35M1.85M30.16M14.02M

Orion Minerals Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.01
Price Trends
50DMA
0.01
Negative
100DMA
0.01
Negative
200DMA
0.02
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
40.25
Neutral
STOCH
-55.56
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:ORN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.01 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.01, below the 50-day MA of 0.01, and below the 200-day MA of 0.02, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of -55.56 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:ORN.

Orion Minerals Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (56)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AUSFR
67
Neutral
$5.20B39.235.11%42.05%
AUIGO
64
Neutral
$2.95B1,418.92-36.53%13.33%-28.50%-532.61%
56
Neutral
HK$15.57B3.84-6.43%9.13%-3.39%-59.62%
AURSG
51
Neutral
$1.27B41.67-5.02%27.79%-144.05%
AUPDN
45
Neutral
$2.94B28.42-1.76%-119.85%
AUSYR
44
Neutral
$291.83M-33.63%-33.27%-10.07%
AUORN
42
Neutral
AU$75.35M-5.92%64.00%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:ORN
Orion Minerals Limited
0.01
-0.01
-50.00%
AU:PDN
Paladin Energy Ltd
7.42
-5.82
-43.96%
AU:RSG
Resolute Mining
0.62
0.08
14.81%
AU:SYR
Syrah Resources
0.25
-0.09
-27.54%
AU:SFR
Sandfire Resources Limited
11.04
2.41
27.93%
AU:IGO
IGO
3.87
-1.52
-28.16%

Orion Minerals Limited Corporate Events

Orion Minerals Secures $0.5 Million Loan for Working Capital
Jun 23, 2025

Orion Minerals Limited has secured a $0.5 million unsecured loan facility from Tarney Holdings Pty Ltd, a company associated with Orion’s Chairman, Denis Waddell. This loan will be used mainly for working capital, with an interest rate of 10% per annum and a repayment deadline of the earlier of a successful funding transaction or September 30, 2025. The loan facility is a strategic move to bolster Orion’s financial position and ensure operational continuity, reflecting strong internal support and confidence in the company’s future prospects.

Orion Minerals Reports Quarterly Cash Flow with Significant Investment Outflows
Apr 28, 2025

Orion Minerals Ltd reported a quarterly cash flow statement indicating significant cash outflows in operating and investing activities, with net cash used in operating activities amounting to $2.732 million and $2.702 million in investing activities. However, the company managed to secure $554,000 from financing activities, contributing to a net decrease in cash and cash equivalents for the period, highlighting the company’s ongoing investment in exploration and development projects.

Orion Minerals Advances Copper Projects with Positive Feasibility Studies
Apr 28, 2025

Orion Minerals Limited has released the Definitive Feasibility Studies (DFS) for its Prieska Copper Zinc Mine (PCZM) and Flat Mines Project, revealing favorable outcomes that confirm the potential for safe and modern mechanized copper mining. The PCZM study indicates a post-tax NPV of A$568 million and an IRR of 26.2%, while the Flat Mines Project shows a post-tax NPV of A$75 million and an IRR of 23%. These developments are crucial for Orion’s strategic focus on achieving first concentrate production and advancing its transition into a base metal producer. Additionally, leadership changes have occurred with Anthony Lennox taking over as Managing Director and CEO, and the company has secured a A$2.0 million convertible loan facility to support its projects.

$2 Million Loan Boosts Orion Minerals’ South African Projects
Apr 24, 2025

Orion Minerals Limited has secured a $2 million unsecured loan facility from Ratel Growth Pty Ltd, a company controlled by former director Mr. Thomas Borman. This loan underscores Ratel’s continued support for Orion’s projects, particularly the Prieska Copper Zinc Mine and the Okiep Copper Project in South Africa. The loan facility is structured to be set off against future capital raising efforts by Orion, with the funds primarily allocated to advance these key projects and support the company’s working capital needs. This financial backing is expected to bolster Orion’s development efforts and strengthen its position in the mining industry.

Orion Minerals Announces Cessation of Securities
Apr 7, 2025

Orion Minerals Ltd has announced the cessation of certain securities, specifically options that expired without being exercised or converted. This involves a total of 35,248,985 securities, which ceased on April 3, 2025. The announcement reflects a routine update on the company’s issued capital and does not indicate any immediate impact on the company’s operations or market positioning.

Orion Minerals Announces Director Departure and Final Interest Notice
Apr 3, 2025

Orion Minerals Limited has announced that Errol Smart has ceased to be a director of the company as of April 3, 2025. The final director’s interest notice reveals that Mr. Smart held a beneficial interest in Kinsella Holdings Ltd., which includes 29,758,303 fully paid ordinary shares and 18,751,015 unlisted options. This change in directorship could impact the company’s strategic direction and stakeholder confidence, as leadership transitions often bring shifts in corporate governance and operational focus.

Orion Minerals Announces Leadership Transition as Company Prepares for Next Phase
Apr 2, 2025

Orion Minerals Limited has announced a leadership transition with Errol Smart stepping down as Managing Director and CEO after over 12 years, during which he significantly contributed to the company’s growth and project advancements in South Africa. Tony Lennox, a seasoned mining executive with extensive experience in large-scale mining operations, will succeed him, aiming to lead Orion through its transition from a project developer to an operating mining company, focusing on executing its critical metals strategy and advancing its projects into production.

Orion Minerals Announces Director’s Interest Change
Mar 31, 2025

Orion Minerals Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest notice, specifically concerning Errol Smart. The change involves the expiration of 30,000,000 unlisted options held indirectly through Kinsella Holdings Ltd, which were set to expire on March 31, 2025. This adjustment reflects a reduction in the number of unlisted options held, while the number of fully paid ordinary shares and other unlisted options remain unchanged. This change may impact the company’s financial strategy and stakeholder interests as it adjusts its securities portfolio.

Orion Minerals Announces Change in Director’s Securities Holdings
Mar 31, 2025

Orion Minerals Limited has announced a change in the indirect interests of its director, Denis Waddell. The change involves the expiration of 12,000,000 unlisted options held by Tarney Holdings Pty Ltd, a company in which Mr. Waddell is a director and shareholder. This adjustment in holdings reflects a strategic move in managing the company’s securities, potentially impacting the company’s financial strategies and stakeholder interests.

Orion Minerals Announces Expiry of Securities Options
Mar 31, 2025

Orion Minerals Limited announced the cessation of several securities options due to their expiry without exercise or conversion. This development may impact the company’s capital structure, potentially affecting its financial strategy and stakeholder interests as the company navigates these changes in its securities portfolio.

Orion Minerals Unveils Promising Feasibility Study for Okiep Copper Project
Mar 28, 2025

Orion Minerals Limited has completed a Definitive Feasibility Study (DFS) for the Flat Mines Project, part of the Okiep Copper Project in South Africa’s Northern Cape Province. The study outlines a robust development pathway for a modern, mechanized underground copper mine, projecting favorable financial outcomes with a net present value of AUD114 million pre-tax and an internal rate of return of 23% pre-tax. The project is fully permitted, with key approvals in place, and is set to proceed with a phased development approach. The initial phase involves the development of the Flat Mines Project and plant construction, followed by expansion to full processing capacity. The project aims to deliver significant value through its exploration potential and planned growth in resources and reserves.

Orion Minerals Enhances Copper Resource Estimates at Okiep Project
Mar 28, 2025

Orion Minerals Limited has updated its Mineral Resource estimate for the Flat Mine (Nababeep) at the Okiep Copper Project, reflecting improved geological interpretation and drilling results. The updated estimate indicates a total of 11.5 million tonnes at 1.3% copper, with 152,000 tonnes of contained copper, marking an increase from previous estimates. This development enhances the company’s confidence in the potential for further resource growth and positions Orion to consider underground mining projects with significant economic prospects, potentially extending the mine’s life and production scale.

Orion Minerals Unveils Positive Feasibility Study for Prieska Mine
Mar 28, 2025

Orion Minerals Limited has released the 2025 Definitive Feasibility Study for its Prieska Copper Zinc Mine, highlighting a robust financial and technical plan through a de-risked two-phase development strategy. The study outlines an initial phase of shallow underground mining followed by a longer-term development of deeper resources, projecting a combined life of mine of 13.2 years. Key financial metrics include a post-tax NPV of AUD568 million and an IRR of 26%, with a payback period of 5.8 years. The project benefits from existing infrastructure, reducing capital expenditure and accelerating the timeline to production. Next steps involve securing project financing and planning for implementation.

Orion Minerals Boosts Copper Grades at Prieska Mine
Mar 28, 2025

Orion Minerals Limited announced an updated Mineral Resource estimate for the Prieska Copper Zinc Mine, reflecting improved copper grades and a refined geological understanding. The update, based on 2023 drilling and trial mining data, indicates a 16% increase in copper grade, enhancing the mine’s commercial viability and positioning Orion favorably in the mining sector.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.