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Orion Minerals Limited (AU:ORN)
ASX:ORN
Australian Market

Orion Minerals Limited (ORN) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:ORN

Orion Minerals Limited

(Sydney:ORN)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.03
▲(35.00% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:01/28/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (ongoing losses and declining free cash flow despite strong revenue growth). Technicals are supportive with a clear uptrend, but overbought signals increase near-term risk. Valuation is constrained by negative earnings and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained +43% revenue growth shows expanding underlying demand for Orion's base‑metal assets and strengthens the company's ability to scale operations. Over 2–6 months this trend supports improved operating leverage potential and provides a foundation for reaching profitability if margins are addressed.
Negative Factors
Persistent Losses
Consistent negative margins and negative EBIT/EBITDA indicate the company is not yet operationally profitable. Over months this undermines internal funding for development, increases the likelihood of external capital raises, and pressures management to improve cost structure or delay project timelines.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained +43% revenue growth shows expanding underlying demand for Orion's base‑metal assets and strengthens the company's ability to scale operations. Over 2–6 months this trend supports improved operating leverage potential and provides a foundation for reaching profitability if margins are addressed.
Read all positive factors

Orion Minerals Limited (ORN) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Orion Minerals Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Orion Minerals Limited explores for, evaluates, and develops mineral properties in Australia and South Africa. The company primarily explores for gold, zinc, copper, nickel, silver, and cobalt, as well as platinum group metals elements. Its flagsh...
How the Company Makes Money
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Orion Minerals Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue growth (43.12%) is offset by persistent profitability issues (net margin -30.82% with negative EBIT/EBITDA) and weakening cash generation (free cash flow growth -27.84%), despite relatively low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.39).
Income Statement
30
Negative
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
Cash Flow
35
Negative
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue314.00K385.00K381.00K75.00K58.00K46.00K
Gross Profit-105.00K385.00K381.00K-97.00K-87.00K-49.00K
EBITDA-14.56M-12.38M-4.98M-16.52M-15.09M-1.71M
Net Income-11.90M-11.86M-5.39M-15.33M-14.29M-1.76M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets160.76M143.22M136.60M92.36M89.64M97.96M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.74M208.00K8.27M7.56M4.29M20.55M
Total Debt38.50M38.27M25.86M3.50M4.08M3.99M
Total Liabilities59.95M56.72M43.66M7.74M8.74M6.96M
Stockholders Equity114.66M98.83M102.18M92.87M85.81M94.68M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-14.14M-23.91M-28.96M-13.92M-17.61M-10.99M
Operating Cash Flow-9.52M-7.88M-12.07M-9.96M-12.93M-9.13M
Investing Cash Flow-6.96M-16.00M-18.25M-4.43M-5.04M-1.89M
Financing Cash Flow15.66M15.83M30.52M18.35M1.85M30.16M

Orion Minerals Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.02
Price Trends
50DMA
0.03
Negative
100DMA
0.03
Positive
200DMA
0.02
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
50.92
Neutral
STOCH
49.52
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:ORN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.02 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.03, below the 50-day MA of 0.03, and above the 200-day MA of 0.02, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:ORN.

Orion Minerals Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
49
Neutral
AU$222.18M-8.18-11.15%-88.89%
47
Neutral
AU$46.49M-2.33-13.41%
45
Neutral
AU$114.78M-4.6318.38%64.66%
44
Neutral
AU$65.11M-12.50-12.68%-20.00%
43
Neutral
AU$204.42M-13.08-41.80%15.91%
42
Neutral
AU$78.88M-4.96-7.41%42.69%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:ORN
Orion Minerals Limited
0.03
0.01
68.75%
AU:AVL
Australian Vanadium
0.21
-0.07
-23.64%
AU:ETM
Greenland Minerals Limited
0.09
0.02
27.40%
AU:IMA
Image Resources NL
0.04
-0.06
-57.14%
AU:AQD
AusQuest Limited
0.04
-0.01
-23.08%
AU:QPM
QPM Energy
0.03
-0.01
-27.50%

Orion Minerals Limited Corporate Events

Orion Minerals Issues 127m Unquoted Options Under Incentive Scheme
Mar 27, 2026
Orion Minerals has notified the market of the issue of a substantial block of unquoted options under an employee incentive scheme. The company will issue a total of 127 million options in three new classes, all expiring on 1 September 2030, with e...
Orion Minerals Issues Shares to Finalise Okiep Copper Project Acquisition
Mar 18, 2026
Orion Minerals has issued 71,911,941 fully paid ordinary shares to the selling shareholders of the Okiep Copper Project as part of the ZAR14.74 million consideration for acquiring a controlling interest in the asset. The share-based component, whi...
Orion Minerals Seeks ASX Quotation for 71.9 Million New Shares
Mar 18, 2026
Orion Minerals Ltd has applied for quotation on the ASX of 71,911,941 new fully paid ordinary shares, with an issue date of 19 March 2026. The move reflects the conversion of previously announced securities into quoted ordinary shares, expanding O...
Orion Minerals Finalises Okiep Copper Project Acquisition in South Africa
Mar 17, 2026
Orion Minerals has completed settlement of the final acquisition consideration for a controlling interest in the Okiep Copper Project in South Africa’s Northern Cape, marking the conclusion of a transaction first initiated in 2021. The compa...
Orion Minerals Releases Interim Financial Report and Highlights Dual Listing Structure
Mar 5, 2026
Orion Minerals Limited has released its interim financial report for the period ended 31 December 2025, which is intended to be read alongside its full-year 2025 accounts and prior market announcements. The report reiterates the company’s co...
Orion Minerals Seeks ASX Quotation for 11 Million New Shares
Feb 10, 2026
Orion Minerals has applied to the ASX for quotation of 11 million new ordinary fully paid shares, to be issued on 12 February 2026. The application indicates an expansion of the company’s quoted capital base, which may affect existing shareh...
Fairtree Clients Exit Substantial Holding in Orion Minerals
Feb 10, 2026
Orion Minerals Limited has disclosed that Fairtree Asset Management (Pty) Ltd and its clients have ceased to be substantial shareholders in the company. The change follows the sale of 14,041,070 ordinary shares in Orion Minerals for consideration ...
Orion Secures US$250m Glencore Facility to Advance Prieska Copper-Zinc Mine
Feb 8, 2026
Orion Minerals has secured a binding US$250 million prepayment facility from a Glencore subsidiary to fund the development of its Prieska Copper Zinc Project in South Africa, underpinning construction of the Uppers and partially funding the Deeps ...
Orion Minerals Joins BHP’s 2026 Xplor Accelerator With US$500,000 in Funding
Feb 1, 2026
Orion Minerals has been selected to join BHP’s 2026 Xplor accelerator program, under which several of its South African exploration project companies will receive a combined US$500,000 in equity-free funding and access to BHP’s global ...
Orion Minerals Bolsters Cash Position with Equity Raising Amid Ongoing Exploration Spend
Jan 29, 2026
Orion Minerals reported a net cash outflow from operating activities of A$2.9 million for the December 2025 quarter, driven mainly by exploration and evaluation expenditure, staff costs and corporate expenses, alongside a further A$1.3 million use...
Orion Minerals Flags Holiday Delay in Finalising Up to US$250m Glencore Financing
Dec 30, 2025
Orion Minerals has reported that documentation for a previously announced US$200 million to US$250 million financing package and associated concentrate offtake agreement with Glencore for the Prieska copper-zinc project is progressing, but has bee...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 28, 2026