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Greenland Minerals Limited (AU:ETM)
ASX:ETM

Greenland Minerals Limited (ETM) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:ETM

Greenland Minerals Limited

(Sydney:ETM)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.13
▲(66.25% Upside)
The score is primarily weighed down by poor financial performance (declining revenue, ongoing losses, and negative cash flows). Technical indicators are mixed but somewhat supportive longer-term (price above 50/100/200-day averages and positive MACD), while valuation remains constrained by negative earnings and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Strategic exposure to rare earths tied to clean‑energy demand
Owning rare earth assets positions the company to benefit from structural, multi-year demand growth in EVs, wind turbines, magnets and electronics. This alignment with decarbonization and tech trends supports long‑term revenue potential if the project is developed and offtake secured.
Diversified mineral endowment at flagship Kvanefjeld
A multi‑commodity resource base (rare earths, uranium, zinc) reduces single‑commodity exposure and can smooth revenue cycles. Multiple saleable products enhance project optionality, improve project economics and make partnerships or phased development strategies more feasible over the medium term.
Low leverage and relatively stable equity ratio
Minimal debt lowers refinancing and covenant risk for a capital‑intensive mining developer, preserving financial flexibility to fund permitting, feasibility and phased construction. A stable equity ratio gives capacity to raise project finance or equity without immediate debt stress.
Negative Factors
Sharp revenue collapse and persistent losses
A >100% reported revenue decline and ongoing losses indicate core commercial or production challenges that impair the company’s ability to build sustainable operations. Without revenue recovery, financing project development and converting resources to producing cash flow will remain difficult.
Negative operating and free cash flows; falling FCF growth
Consistent cash burn and a steep decline in free cash flow limit internal funding for capex, exploration and permitting. That increases reliance on external capital, raises dilution or refinancing risk, and constrains the company’s ability to progress a large‑scale mine development sustainably.
Negative ROE and continued unprofitable margins
Negative ROE and persistent negative margins show the company is not generating returns on shareholder capital and faces structural profitability issues. This undermines investor confidence and makes attracting long‑term project financing or strategic partners more challenging until margins improve.

Greenland Minerals Limited (ETM) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Greenland Minerals Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEnergy Transition Minerals Ltd engages in the mineral exploration and evaluation activities in Australia. The company primarily explores for rare earth elements, uranium, zinc, and fluorspar. It owns a 100% interest in the Kvanefjeld project located in southern Greenland. The company was formerly known as Greenland Minerals Limited and changed its name to Energy Transition Minerals Ltd in November 2022. Energy Transition Minerals Ltd was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Subiaco, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyGreenland Minerals makes money through the extraction and sale of rare earth elements and other minerals from its Kvanefjeld project. The company generates revenue by selling these minerals to various industries, including electronics, renewable energy, and automotive sectors, where rare earths are crucial for manufacturing components like batteries, magnets, and catalysts. Additionally, Greenland Minerals may form partnerships with other mining companies or investors to secure funding and expertise, enhancing its operational capacity and market reach. Factors contributing to its earnings include the global demand for rare earths, pricing trends in commodity markets, and the successful development and operational efficiency of its mining projects.

Greenland Minerals Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Very weak fundamentals driven by steep revenue decline (-125.97%), persistent losses with negative gross and net margins, and negative operating/free cash flow. Low leverage is a partial offset, but negative ROE and ongoing cash burn keep the financial profile poor.
Income Statement
15
Very Negative
Greenland Minerals Limited has experienced significant revenue decline, with a negative revenue growth rate of -125.97% in the latest year. The company consistently reports negative profit margins, indicating ongoing operational challenges. The gross profit margin and net profit margin are both negative, highlighting inefficiencies in cost management and profitability.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is low, suggesting minimal leverage, which is a positive aspect. However, the return on equity is negative, reflecting poor profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio is relatively stable, indicating a solid capital structure despite profitability issues.
Cash Flow
20
Very Negative
Greenland Minerals Limited shows negative operating and free cash flows, with a declining free cash flow growth rate of -38.38%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow challenges. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some ability to generate cash relative to net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.00K20.00K53.00K372.00K72.00K121.00K
Gross Profit-76.00K-263.00K-440.00K104.00K-179.00K-129.00K
EBITDA-5.95M-5.68M-6.19M-6.05M-92.86M-2.80M
Net Income-5.37M-5.96M-6.11M-6.12M-93.14M-3.08M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets23.94M17.27M22.31M29.31M31.78M127.27M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments18.48M11.98M16.15M24.95M30.31M36.44M
Total Debt0.0034.00K270.00K1.08M751.00K490.00K
Total Liabilities337.00K1.59M1.49M3.98M1.90M2.50M
Stockholders Equity23.60M15.68M20.82M25.33M29.88M124.77M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-5.08M-4.78M-8.44M-5.16M-6.34M-3.99M
Operating Cash Flow-4.51M-3.83M-6.82M-4.99M-3.23M-1.46M
Investing Cash Flow-279.00K-439.00K-1.62M-60.00K-3.02M-2.48M
Financing Cash Flow8.86M113.00K-362.00K-200.00K209.00K31.83M

Greenland Minerals Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.08
Price Trends
50DMA
0.11
Positive
100DMA
0.09
Positive
200DMA
0.08
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Positive
RSI
47.55
Neutral
STOCH
24.60
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:ETM, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.08 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.16, below the 50-day MA of 0.11, and above the 200-day MA of 0.08, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AU:ETM.

Greenland Minerals Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
50
Neutral
AU$408.75M-4.71-111.27%66.10%
49
Neutral
AU$51.62M-1.61-62.72%63.36%
48
Neutral
AU$84.78M160.000.85%-16.97%-94.15%
47
Neutral
AU$267.86M-36.49-24.97%15.91%
44
Neutral
AU$100.41M-10.00-16.92%19.48%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:ETM
Greenland Minerals Limited
0.14
0.07
104.55%
AU:ASN
Anson Resources
0.06
<0.01
3.33%
AU:NMT
Neometals Ltd
0.07
>-0.01
-9.46%
AU:EUR
European Lithium
0.24
0.18
319.64%
AU:MSV
Mitchell Services Limited
0.40
0.08
23.08%

Greenland Minerals Limited Corporate Events

Energy Transition Minerals Tightens Compliance After Late Director Interest Notice
Jan 30, 2026

Energy Transition Minerals Limited has disclosed an administrative oversight relating to a Change of Director’s Interest Notice for Managing Director Daniel Mamadou, after shares in the company were transferred to a nominee account on 14 January 2026. The company emphasised that Mamadou met his obligation to promptly notify the company of the change, and that the delay in lodging the notice with the ASX stemmed from an internal administrative error; ETM has since reviewed and tightened its internal processes to reinforce ongoing compliance with its disclosure obligations, signalling a focus on governance and transparency for investors and regulators.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ETM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.17 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greenland Minerals Limited stock, see the AU:ETM Stock Forecast page.

Energy Transition Minerals Plans Placement of Over 35 Million New Shares
Jan 30, 2026

Energy Transition Minerals Ltd has announced a proposed placement of up to 35,325,638 new fully paid ordinary shares, with a targeted issue date of 1 April 2026. The capital raising, conducted via an ASX-listed securities issue, is intended to strengthen the company’s financial position and provide funding flexibility to advance its portfolio of energy transition mineral projects, with potential implications for existing shareholders through equity dilution and for the company’s ability to progress its strategic growth plans in the critical minerals sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ETM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.17 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greenland Minerals Limited stock, see the AU:ETM Stock Forecast page.

Energy Transition Minerals Moves to Terminate Shenghe Top-Up Rights as Strategy Diversifies
Jan 30, 2026

Energy Transition Minerals has determined that its strategic relationship with Chinese rare earth group Shenghe, established in 2016 around the Kvanefjeld rare earth project in Greenland, has effectively ceased, and therefore the associated Top-Up Right allowing Shenghe to maintain its 6.5% stake via future equity issues has lapsed. The company will now seek an ASX determination confirming that both the Top-Up Right and the waiver from Listing Rule 6.18 have ceased, a move that, if endorsed, would give ETM greater flexibility in future capital raisings and reflect its pivot away from a single-project rare earth focus toward a broader critical minerals strategy spanning lithium and tin-tantalum-niobium assets in Canada and Spain.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ETM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.17 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greenland Minerals Limited stock, see the AU:ETM Stock Forecast page.

Energy Transition Minerals Raises A$24.7m to Advance Greenland’s Kvanefjeld Project
Jan 30, 2026

Energy Transition Minerals has secured firm commitments from institutional, professional and sophisticated investors to raise A$24.7 million via a discounted share placement at A$0.13 per share, boosting its pro forma cash position to A$56.59 million and bringing new international institutional investors onto its register. The funds will be used to extend and re-establish on-the-ground activities and infrastructure in Greenland for the Kvanefjeld project, complete the Penouta acquisition and review its operations, advance the company’s US strategy, and maintain reserves for ongoing arbitration and litigation, underscoring Kvanefjeld’s role as a cornerstone project for Greenland’s economy and a key asset in the global shift to sustainable energy technologies.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ETM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.17 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greenland Minerals Limited stock, see the AU:ETM Stock Forecast page.

Energy Transition Minerals Shares Halted Ahead of Capital Raising Announcement
Jan 28, 2026

Energy Transition Minerals Ltd has requested and been granted a trading halt on its securities by the ASX pending the release of an announcement regarding a proposed placement. Trading in the company’s shares will be paused until either the placement announcement is released or normal trading resumes on Friday, 30 January 2026, signalling that the company is preparing a capital raising that could impact its funding position and shareholder dilution, as well as its capacity to advance its energy-transition mineral projects.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ETM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.19 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greenland Minerals Limited stock, see the AU:ETM Stock Forecast page.

Energy Transition Minerals Seeks Quotation of 2.37 Million New Shares on ASX
Jan 27, 2026

Energy Transition Minerals Ltd has applied for the quotation of 2,371,839 new ordinary fully paid shares on the ASX, with an issue date of 27 January 2026. The additional securities, arising from exercised options or converted instruments, incrementally expand the company’s quoted share capital and may modestly enhance liquidity and funding flexibility for its ongoing operations and projects aligned with the energy transition theme.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ETM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.19 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greenland Minerals Limited stock, see the AU:ETM Stock Forecast page.

Energy Transition Minerals Advances Kvanefjeld Litigation and Penouta Mine Acquisition
Jan 27, 2026

Energy Transition Minerals reported substantial procedural progress in its long-running legal and arbitration battles over the Kvanefjeld project, with recent rulings in Copenhagen and by the arbitral tribunal clearing the way for the primary case to advance toward a merits hearing in the High Court of Greenland. The company has moved to streamline the litigation by withdrawing Denmark as a party in Greenland, is seeking to have the Danish case stayed, and maintains it has satisfied all statutory, technical and environmental conditions for an exploitation licence, a stance that underscores the project’s potential importance to Greenland and to ETM’s future. At the same time, ETM advanced its diversification strategy by progressing the court-approved acquisition of the Penouta mine in Spain, securing judicial backing, filing key regulatory applications and beginning technical and operational reviews to prepare for a restart, with transaction completion targeted for the second quarter of 2026, which would add a producing tin-tantalum-niobium asset to its portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ETM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.19 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greenland Minerals Limited stock, see the AU:ETM Stock Forecast page.

Energy Transition Minerals Confirms Lapse of 1.2 Million Performance Rights
Jan 9, 2026

Energy Transition Minerals Ltd has notified the market that 1.2 million performance rights (ASX code: ETMAC) lapsed on 11 December 2025 after the conditions attached to those rights were not, or could no longer be, satisfied, resulting in a reduction of potential future equity issuance. The cessation of these performance rights modestly tightens the company’s prospective capital base and may reflect the non-achievement of specified performance or vesting milestones tied to management or employee incentives, with limited immediate impact on existing shareholders but potential implications for future incentive alignment.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ETM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greenland Minerals Limited stock, see the AU:ETM Stock Forecast page.

Energy Transition Minerals Deepens US Push With Strategic Advisors Ahead of Planned Nasdaq Listing
Jan 8, 2026

Energy Transition Minerals has appointed US public affairs firm Ballard Partners as strategic advisors, strengthening its American presence as it develops supply chains for critical minerals used in the energy transition. Ballard will guide ETM on US and global public policy and regulatory issues affecting the rare earths and critical minerals sectors, support engagement with US investors, and bolster the company’s positioning as an emerging supplier to Western markets; the move complements ETM’s recent engagement of Cohen & Company Capital Markets to advance a planned Nasdaq listing and deepen access to US capital and stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ETM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greenland Minerals Limited stock, see the AU:ETM Stock Forecast page.

Energy Transition Minerals Hires US Advisors for Possible Nasdaq Listing as Kvanefjeld Case Advances
Dec 28, 2025

Energy Transition Minerals has appointed New York-based investment bank Cohen & Company Capital Markets as its exclusive US financial advisor to assess pathways to a potential Nasdaq listing, including a dual listing or a SPAC business combination. A US listing, if achieved, is expected to provide access to deeper US capital markets, potential valuation uplift, and closer alignment with Western critical minerals and supply chain objectives, though the company stresses there is no certainty any transaction or listing will proceed. To bolster its international profile and political engagement, ETM has expanded its advisory board with former Danish foreign minister Jeppe Kofod and former Danish ambassador Friis Arne Petersen, and is seeking a US-based advisor to strengthen North American outreach. In parallel, legal proceedings over the Kvanefjeld exploitation licence have advanced, with the dispute now moving to a merits hearing before the High Court of Greenland after procedural hurdles were removed and ETM narrowed its claims to focus on the Government of Greenland.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ETM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.08 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greenland Minerals Limited stock, see the AU:ETM Stock Forecast page.

Energy Transition Minerals Ltd Announces Quotation of New Securities
Dec 12, 2025

Energy Transition Minerals Ltd has announced the quotation of 1,800,000 fully paid ordinary securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) as of December 12, 2025. This move signifies a strategic step in enhancing the company’s capital structure, potentially impacting its market positioning and providing opportunities for stakeholders to engage with its growth in the energy transition sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ETM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.08 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greenland Minerals Limited stock, see the AU:ETM Stock Forecast page.

ETM Faces Further Delays in Greenland Legal Proceedings
Dec 3, 2025

Energy Transition Minerals Ltd has provided an update on the legal proceedings concerning the Kvanefjeld Project in Greenland. The company has taken steps to expedite the case by requesting Denmark’s withdrawal, aiming to advance to the substantive merits phase. Despite these efforts, procedural delays continue as the Government of Greenland has requested a postponement of the next steps to January 2026. ETM remains confident in its legal position and readiness to proceed once the court is prepared.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ETM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.08 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greenland Minerals Limited stock, see the AU:ETM Stock Forecast page.

Energy Transition Minerals Appoints New CFO to Drive Growth Strategy
Nov 24, 2025

Energy Transition Minerals Ltd has appointed Stuart Ausmeier as its new Chief Financial Officer, effective December 1, 2025. With over 23 years of experience in mining and corporate finance, Ausmeier’s expertise is expected to bolster ETM’s growth strategy, particularly in optimizing capital allocation and supporting project execution in Spain and Greenland. This strategic appointment underscores the company’s commitment to enhancing its operational capabilities and maximizing shareholder returns.

ETM Advances Legal Claim for Kvanefjeld Project in Greenland
Nov 17, 2025

Energy Transition Minerals Ltd (ETM) has taken a significant step in advancing its legal claim regarding the Kvanefjeld Project in Greenland by requesting the High Court of Greenland to remove Denmark as a party to the case. This action follows recent legal clarifications and aims to clear procedural hurdles, allowing ETM to argue its case substantively. The company asserts its right to an exploitation license for one of the world’s largest rare earth deposits, a claim that has been delayed due to Greenland’s 2021 Uranium Act. ETM’s pursuit of this license highlights broader issues of international investment protection and the security of rare earth supplies, which are vital for clean energy and technology industries.

ETM Faces Legal Challenges and Secures New Project
Nov 11, 2025

Energy Transition Minerals Ltd is currently facing legal challenges with the Governments of Greenland and Denmark regarding the Kvanefjeld Rare Earths Project due to the Uranium Act, which has implications for the project’s exploitation license. Additionally, the company has secured the Penouta Mine in Spain, although the mineral resource estimates for this project are considered foreign and not yet compliant with the JORC Code, indicating potential uncertainties in resource classification.

ETM Advances Kvanefjeld Project After Court Ruling
Nov 10, 2025

Energy Transition Minerals Ltd has received a favorable ruling from the Copenhagen City Court, allowing it to pursue an exploitation license for the Kvanefjeld project and potential damages claims against the Governments of Greenland and Denmark. This decision removes procedural barriers and marks a significant step forward in a case that tests the commitment to the rule of law in the global race for critical minerals. The ruling enables the company to advance its claims efficiently, with the main case proceeding in Greenland and a subsequent case potentially in Denmark, bringing long-awaited legal certainty to the process.

ETM Strengthens Advisory Board with Danish Appointments for Greenland Project
Nov 5, 2025

Energy Transition Minerals Ltd has appointed former Danish Minister for Foreign Affairs, Mr. Jeppe Kofod, and former Danish Ambassador to the United States, Mr. Friis Arne Petersen, to its newly established Advisory Board. This move is part of ETM’s strategy to enhance its mineral development activities in Greenland, particularly the Kvanefjeld Rare Earths Project, which is one of the largest undeveloped rare earths projects globally. The appointments are expected to strengthen ETM’s engagement with Greenlandic and Danish stakeholders, providing strategic advice on policy and international cooperation. These appointments underscore ETM’s commitment to a development strategy that is transparent, responsible, and locally anchored, aligning with both international standards and local expectations, and are seen as a step towards realizing the project’s potential to contribute to Greenland’s economic independence and the global green transition.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 31, 2026