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Australian Vanadium (AU:AVL)
ASX:AVL

Australian Vanadium (AVL) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:AVL

Australian Vanadium

(Sydney:AVL)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.26
▼(-2.96% Downside)
The score is primarily held down by very weak financial performance (large losses and sustained cash burn) despite a low-debt balance sheet. Technical indicators also point to a weak trend (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation adds little support because the company is loss-making (negative P/E) and no dividend yield is available.
Positive Factors
Low Leverage / Strong Equity Base
A very low debt-to-equity ratio and a sizable equity base provide durable financial flexibility during multi-year project development. This reduces near-term insolvency risk, supports continued investment in the Australian Vanadium Project and gives management optionality to fund construction or drilling without immediate debt pressures.
Strategic Position in Vanadium & VRFB Supply Chain
AVL's business model targets both traditional vanadium markets (steel alloying) and growing VRFB energy-storage markets. This dual exposure aligns with structural demand for grid-scale storage and industrial vanadium, offering multiple long-term demand channels and optionality to capture downstream value if commercialisation and offtakes progress.
Initial Revenue Uptick
Transitioning from zero to measurable revenue indicates early commercial progress and de-risks parts of project development. While still small, recurring sales evidence operationalisation steps (productization, logistics, or pilot sales) that are necessary foundations for scaling into longer-term, predictable cash generation if maintained and expanded.
Negative Factors
Persistent Cash Burn
Sustained negative operating and free cash flow materially increases reliance on external funding to continue development. Repeated capital raises dilute shareholders, create execution risk if markets tighten, and constrain the company’s ability to fund capex or downstream initiatives without clear near-term cash flow turnaround.
Large Operating Losses & Negative Margins
Recurring sizable net losses and negative gross margins show the business is not yet generating profitable product economics. Prolonged unprofitability undermines sustainability, forces strategic trade-offs, and means project economics or cost structure must improve materially before shareholder value is preserved or created.
Negative Returns on Capital
Multi-year negative ROE indicates deployed capital has not produced positive returns, signaling execution or market-fit issues. Even with equity available, continued negative returns erode investor value over time and raise questions about management's track record in allocating capital toward profitable, scalable business activities.

Australian Vanadium (AVL) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Australian Vanadium Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAustralian Vanadium Limited engages in the mineral exploration activities in Australia. The company operates in two segments, Exploration and Energy Storage. It explores for vanadium/titanium, uranium, and other economic resources. The company holds 100% interest in the Australian Vanadium project comprising 15 tenements covering an area of approximately 200 square kilometers located in the Murchison region to the south of Meekatharra of Western Australia. It also develops and sells vanadium redox flow battery systems. The company was formerly known as Yellow Rock Resources Limited and changed its name to Australian Vanadium Limited in December 2015. Australian Vanadium Limited was incorporated in 2005 and is based in West Perth, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyAustralian Vanadium Limited makes money through the extraction and sale of vanadium from its mining operations. The primary revenue stream comes from selling vanadium to industries that require it for steel production and energy storage solutions, such as renewable energy companies utilizing vanadium redox flow batteries. Additionally, AVL may engage in offtake agreements and partnerships with other companies to secure consistent demand and pricing for its vanadium products. The company also invests in research and development to enhance its mining processes and expand its market reach, ensuring sustainable growth and profitability.

Australian Vanadium Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Australian Vanadium Limited faces significant challenges with profitability and cash generation, as seen in its financial statements. The income statement indicates negative net income and stagnant revenue growth. The balance sheet is strong in equity but shows negative return on equity. Cash flow analysis reveals negative operating and free cash flow, raising liquidity concerns.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
The company has consistently reported negative net income and gross profit, indicating challenges in achieving profitability. Revenue growth is stagnant, with negligible revenue generation over the years. Margins remain negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
The balance sheet shows a strong equity position with low debt levels, resulting in a favorable debt-to-equity ratio. However, the company has struggled to generate profits, as indicated by the negative return on equity. The high equity ratio suggests reliance on equity financing, which could be a strength if managed effectively.
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
Operating cash flow remains negative, indicating cash outflows from core operations. Free cash flow is also negative, reflecting high capital expenditures and weak cash generation. The company relies on financing activities for liquidity, which could pose risks if not controlled.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue624.00K624.00K0.0030.50K-34.33K34.33K
Gross Profit-2.86M-48.00K-630.00K-3.02M-2.13M-960.50K
EBITDA-11.37M-11.78M-14.26M-6.83M-4.92M-2.99M
Net Income-11.91M-11.91M-15.20M-7.24M-5.04M-3.14M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets143.50M143.50M170.33M77.43M64.33M33.55M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.49M11.49M36.42M26.87M26.44M3.50M
Total Debt2.53M2.53M2.05M1.87M32.31K77.18K
Total Liabilities13.62M13.62M29.39M16.94M3.80M2.16M
Stockholders Equity129.88M129.88M140.95M60.49M60.53M31.40M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-21.92M-30.51M-14.96M-17.34M-12.43M-7.87M
Operating Cash Flow-13.12M-13.54M-8.66M-6.58M-4.42M-2.98M
Investing Cash Flow-12.15M-10.97M3.22M-350.49K-4.98M-3.59M
Financing Cash Flow-413.00K-413.00K14.99M7.36M32.35M4.52M

Australian Vanadium Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.27
Price Trends
50DMA
0.25
Positive
100DMA
0.26
Positive
200DMA
0.27
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
61.02
Neutral
STOCH
73.08
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:AVL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.27 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.24, above the 50-day MA of 0.25, and below the 200-day MA of 0.27, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:AVL.

Australian Vanadium Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
54
Neutral
AU$189.96M-18.28-27.95%-43.08%
52
Neutral
AU$116.25M-20.2654.26%
51
Neutral
AU$104.00M-5.46-103.22%-278.88%
50
Neutral
AU$77.48M-24.21-100.11%-26.67%
45
Neutral
AU$14.91M-5.55-14.33%
44
Neutral
AU$93.63M-7.83-8.61%42.69%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:AVL
Australian Vanadium
0.27
-0.10
-28.00%
AU:MTH
Mithril Resources Ltd
0.63
0.23
57.50%
AU:AKO
Akora Resources Ltd.
0.09
>-0.01
-3.37%
AU:ARD
Argent Minerals Limited
0.05
0.03
155.56%
AU:TGN
Tungsten Mining NL
0.17
0.08
80.85%
AU:CZR
CZR Resources Ltd
0.44
0.24
117.50%

Australian Vanadium Corporate Events

EPA Approval Advances Australian Vanadium’s Integrated Project
Dec 18, 2025

Australian Vanadium Limited (AVL) has secured approvals from the Western Australian Environmental Protection Authority (EPA) for amendments to its Environmental Review Document and Ministerial Statement, reflecting the integration of AVL’s vanadium project with the neighboring Gabanintha Vanadium Project. The merger has consolidated resources from both projects, optimizing operations and creating one of the largest vanadium development projects globally. These approvals mark a significant milestone that aligns environmental approvals with the project’s integrated framework, simplifying pathways toward investment readiness. The project aims to bolster AVL’s positioning within the global vanadium market, providing opportunities for stakeholders while advancing progress toward final approvals by early 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AVL) stock is a Buy with a A$1.39 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Australian Vanadium stock, see the AU:AVL Stock Forecast page.

Australian Vanadium Completes Share Consolidation
Nov 26, 2025

Australian Vanadium Limited has completed a share consolidation on a 25-for-1 basis, as approved in their recent Annual General Meeting. This move is expected to streamline the company’s capital structure, potentially enhancing its market appeal and operational efficiency. The consolidation will see normal settlement trading of securities on a consolidated basis begin on 3 December 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AVL) stock is a Buy with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Australian Vanadium stock, see the AU:AVL Stock Forecast page.

Australian Vanadium Eyes Kalgoorlie Battery Project
Nov 25, 2025

Australian Vanadium Limited has announced its intention to submit an Expression of Interest for the Kalgoorlie Vanadium Battery Energy Storage System project, backed by a $150 million funding commitment from the Western Australian Government. This project aims to enhance energy security and stimulate local economic growth by establishing a domestic vanadium supply chain. AVL’s vertically integrated approach and collaboration with industry partners are expected to strengthen its proposal, aligning with government objectives for local content and long-duration energy storage solutions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AVL) stock is a Buy with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Australian Vanadium stock, see the AU:AVL Stock Forecast page.

Australian Vanadium Secures $2.55 Million R&D Tax Refund
Nov 24, 2025

Australian Vanadium Limited has received a $2.55 million refund under the Australian Federal Government’s R&D Tax Incentive Scheme for the 2024/25 tax year, recognizing its investment in process innovation and downstream value creation. This financial boost will enhance AVL’s cash position, supporting the Optimised Feasibility Study for the Australian Vanadium Project and advancing various approval and downstream initiatives, thereby strengthening its operational and industry positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AVL) stock is a Buy with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Australian Vanadium stock, see the AU:AVL Stock Forecast page.

Australian Vanadium Secures Shareholder Support at AGM
Nov 20, 2025

Australian Vanadium Limited announced the results of its Annual General Meeting, where all resolutions, including the adoption of the remuneration report, re-election of a director, and approval of share-related agreements, were passed. This outcome reflects strong shareholder support and positions the company to continue its strategic initiatives, potentially enhancing its market presence and operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AVL) stock is a Buy with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Australian Vanadium stock, see the AU:AVL Stock Forecast page.

Australian Vanadium Eyes Growth in Energy Storage Amid Transition
Nov 20, 2025

At its 2025 Annual General Meeting, Australian Vanadium Limited highlighted the significant opportunities arising from the global energy transition, particularly in long-duration energy storage. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for vanadium flow batteries, which are essential for maintaining grid reliability as renewable energy sources increase. AVL’s strategic approach includes developing a sovereign VFB supply chain in Australia, aligning with national policies and initiatives. The Western Australian Government’s commitment to a vanadium battery energy storage system in Kalgoorlie presents a major opportunity for AVL to showcase its integrated model, potentially boosting regional job creation and enhancing energy reliability. AVL is actively engaging with potential funding partners to support its participation in this initiative.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AVL) stock is a Buy with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Australian Vanadium stock, see the AU:AVL Stock Forecast page.

Australian Vanadium Issues Over 6.5 Million New Securities
Nov 13, 2025

Australian Vanadium Limited has announced the issuance of 6,531,336 fully paid ordinary securities, which will be quoted on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX). This move is part of the company’s strategy to enhance its financial flexibility and support its ongoing projects, potentially strengthening its market position and providing value to its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AVL) stock is a Buy with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Australian Vanadium stock, see the AU:AVL Stock Forecast page.

Australian Vanadium Issues New Securities in Compliance with Regulatory Standards
Oct 31, 2025

Australian Vanadium Limited has issued new quoted securities without disclosure to investors, in compliance with Section 708A(5) of the Corporations Act 2001. This move indicates the company’s adherence to regulatory requirements and its commitment to maintaining transparency with stakeholders, potentially impacting its market operations and investor relations positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AVL) stock is a Buy with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Australian Vanadium stock, see the AU:AVL Stock Forecast page.

Australian Vanadium Issues New Securities to Strengthen Financial Position
Oct 31, 2025

Australian Vanadium Limited has announced the issuance of 28,310,430 ordinary fully paid securities as part of a financial advisory arrangement related to a US$10 million secured loan facility. This move is expected to enhance the company’s financial position, potentially impacting its operational capabilities and market standing positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AVL) stock is a Buy with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Australian Vanadium stock, see the AU:AVL Stock Forecast page.

Australian Vanadium Issues New Unquoted Equity Securities
Oct 23, 2025

Australian Vanadium Limited has announced the issuance of 431,732,904 unquoted equity securities in the form of options set to expire on October 23, 2030. This issuance is part of a previously announced transaction and reflects the company’s strategic financial maneuvers to strengthen its capital structure, potentially impacting its operational capabilities and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AVL) stock is a Buy with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Australian Vanadium stock, see the AU:AVL Stock Forecast page.

Australian Vanadium Secures US$10 Million Loan to Boost Project Development
Oct 22, 2025

Australian Vanadium Limited announced the receipt of US$10 million from a loan facility with its major shareholder, RCF Private Equity Fund I L.P., and Resource Capital Fund (Cardinal) L.P. This funding is expected to support the company’s operations and development of its vanadium projects, enhancing its position in the vanadium industry and potentially benefiting stakeholders through increased project advancement and market presence.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AVL) stock is a Buy with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Australian Vanadium stock, see the AU:AVL Stock Forecast page.

Australian Vanadium Announces 2025 AGM Details
Oct 21, 2025

Australian Vanadium Limited has announced its Annual General Meeting (AGM) for shareholders, scheduled for 20 November 2025 in Perth, Western Australia. The company will not be sending physical copies of the meeting notice unless requested, and encourages shareholders to vote by proxy ahead of the meeting. This announcement is part of the company’s efforts to streamline communication and ensure efficient voting processes, reflecting its commitment to maintaining transparency and engagement with its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AVL) stock is a Buy with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Australian Vanadium stock, see the AU:AVL Stock Forecast page.

Australian Vanadium Schedules Annual General Meeting for November 2025
Oct 21, 2025

Australian Vanadium has announced the details for its upcoming Annual General Meeting, scheduled for November 20, 2025, at 2:00 pm AWST in Perth, WA. This meeting is a significant event for stakeholders as it provides an opportunity to discuss the company’s strategic direction and operational plans, potentially impacting its market positioning and future growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AVL) stock is a Buy with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Australian Vanadium stock, see the AU:AVL Stock Forecast page.

Australian Vanadium Announces Security Consolidation
Oct 21, 2025

Australian Vanadium Limited has announced a security consolidation involving its ordinary fully paid shares and performance rights. This reorganization, which has received security holder approval, is set to commence trading on a deferred settlement basis on November 24, 2025, with a record date of November 25, 2025, and an issue date of December 2, 2025. The consolidation is expected to streamline the company’s capital structure, potentially enhancing its market positioning and operational efficiency.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AVL) stock is a Buy with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Australian Vanadium stock, see the AU:AVL Stock Forecast page.

Australian Vanadium Proposes 25:1 Share Consolidation to Enhance Market Appeal
Oct 21, 2025

Australian Vanadium Limited has proposed a 25:1 share consolidation, pending shareholder approval, to create a more effective capital structure. This move is expected to enhance institutional investor appeal, improve trading quality, and maintain the company’s market capitalization, thereby aligning AVL with its ASX peer group.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AVL) stock is a Buy with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Australian Vanadium stock, see the AU:AVL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025