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Tungsten Mining NL (AU:TGN)
ASX:TGN
Australian Market

Tungsten Mining NL (TGN) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:TGN

Tungsten Mining NL

(Sydney:TGN)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.34
▲(86.11% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (significant losses and negative operating/free cash flow) despite very strong revenue growth and a relatively low-leverage balance sheet. Technicals are supportive due to an established uptrend, but overbought readings raise near-term risk. Valuation offers limited support because profitability is negative and dividend yield is unavailable.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained 316% revenue growth indicates meaningful commercial traction or project ramp-up, strengthening the company's ability to scale operations and secure partner/customer commitments. If maintained, robust top-line expansion supports long-term investment and margin recovery potential.
Low Leverage
A low debt-to-equity ratio (0.16) provides structural financial flexibility: less refinancing risk, capacity to fund capex or development with equity or modest debt, and resilience to commodity cycles. This conservative leverage supports multi‑quarter strategic execution.
Positive Gross Margin
A positive gross margin shows core operations generate surplus over direct costs, signaling viable unit economics. With scale and tighter overhead control, this underpins a credible path to sustained operating profitability once fixed costs and cash burn are addressed.
Negative Factors
Weak Profitability
Deep negative net margin and negative EBIT/EBITDA reflect structural operating losses that impair retained earnings and reinvestment. Persistent unprofitability increases reliance on external capital, raises dilution risk, and must be remedied via higher margins or lower operating intensity to be sustainable.
Negative Cash Flow
Ongoing negative operating and free cash flows undermine financial flexibility, forcing dependence on financing for working capital and capex. Over multiple quarters this constrains project development, raises funding costs, and elevates execution risk for long‑dated mining investments.
Negative Return on Equity
A negative ROE indicates the company is destroying shareholder capital rather than generating returns, weakening investor confidence and limiting access to low‑cost capital. Until ROE turns positive, attracting long‑term funding and justifying further equity dilution will be challenging.

Tungsten Mining NL (TGN) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Tungsten Mining NL Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTungsten Mining NL, a resources company, engages in the exploration, evaluation, and development of mineral projects in Australia. The company also explores for tungsten, molybdenum, gold, silver, bismuth, and fluorite deposits. It holds interest in the Mt Mulgine project located in the Murchison region of Western Australia. The company also owns interests in the Hatches Creek project consists of two exploration licenses covering 31.4 square kilometers situated in the Northern Territory of Australia; the Watershed project located in the North Queensland; the Big Hill project situated in the Eastern Pilbara; and the Kilba project located in the Ashburton region. Tungsten Mining NL was incorporated in 2011 and is based in West Perth, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyTungsten Mining NL generates revenue primarily through the sale of tungsten concentrate, which is produced from its mining operations. The company has established key revenue streams from its mining projects, with a focus on developing economically viable tungsten deposits. Their revenue model is based on extracting tungsten ore from the ground, processing it into a saleable concentrate, and selling this product to industrial customers and markets. Additionally, TGN may engage in strategic partnerships or joint ventures to enhance its operational capabilities and expand its market reach, which can further contribute to its earnings.

Tungsten Mining NL Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Very strong revenue growth (316.47%) is a key positive, but overall financial quality is weak due to large losses (net margin -73.32%), negative EBIT/EBITDA margins, and negative operating/free cash flow. Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.16) provides some balance-sheet stability, but negative ROE highlights ongoing value erosion.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Tungsten Mining NL has shown significant revenue growth of 316.47% in the latest period, which is a positive indicator. However, the company is struggling with profitability, as evidenced by a negative net profit margin of -73.32% and negative EBIT and EBITDA margins. The gross profit margin is positive, but the overall profitability remains a concern.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is relatively low at 0.16, indicating a conservative leverage position. However, the return on equity is negative, reflecting ongoing losses. The equity ratio is not provided, but the balance sheet shows a stable equity base compared to total assets.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
The cash flow situation is challenging, with negative operating and free cash flows. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting that cash flow is somewhat aligned with net income, but the overall cash flow position is weak, impacting the company's financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue106.62K106.62K4.23K0.0020.79K143.47K
Gross Profit-376.75K106.62K-992.79K-433.42K-267.75K-133.81K
EBITDA-5.53M-5.53M-4.74M-3.28M-5.22M-4.85M
Net Income-7.82M-7.82M-5.11M-2.93M-5.09M-4.72M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets42.90M42.90M29.85M35.06M36.99M42.87M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.74M2.74M8.31M12.64M14.88M19.59M
Total Debt4.56M4.56M641.11K822.26K412.15K656.34K
Total Liabilities14.33M14.33M2.48M2.58M1.56M2.36M
Stockholders Equity28.56M28.56M27.38M32.49M35.42M40.51M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-9.35M-9.35M-4.06M-1.93M-4.74M-4.21M
Operating Cash Flow-5.53M-5.53M-4.02M-1.91M-4.60M-4.14M
Investing Cash Flow-3.81M-3.81M-42.48K-15.47K444.78K59.39K
Financing Cash Flow3.80M3.80M-268.21K-303.85K-292.43K468.11K

Tungsten Mining NL Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.18
Price Trends
50DMA
0.22
Positive
100DMA
0.16
Positive
200DMA
0.11
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Negative
RSI
78.43
Negative
STOCH
85.01
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:TGN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.18 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.23, below the 50-day MA of 0.22, and above the 200-day MA of 0.11, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 78.43 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.01 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:TGN.

Tungsten Mining NL Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
50
Neutral
AU$368.74M-37.10-27.95%-43.08%
48
Neutral
AU$83.73M162.000.85%-16.97%-94.15%
48
Neutral
AU$101.00M-14.23-10.46%-85.84%73.66%
48
Neutral
AU$81.41M-4.59-103.22%-278.88%
45
Neutral
AU$80.38M-14.7954.26%
45
Neutral
AU$110.93M-0.43-116.31%-414.88%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:TGN
Tungsten Mining NL
0.35
0.22
187.50%
AU:MTH
Mithril Resources Ltd
0.46
0.08
21.05%
AU:MSV
Mitchell Services Limited
0.41
0.07
19.12%
AU:E25
Element 25 Limited
0.37
0.11
42.31%
AU:HAS
Hastings Technology Metals Limited
0.52
0.21
68.83%
AU:CZR
CZR Resources Ltd
0.37
0.16
82.50%

Tungsten Mining NL Corporate Events

Tungsten Mining Rides Tungsten Price Surge as Mt Mulgine Study Flags Billion-Dollar Potential
Jan 30, 2026

Tungsten Mining NL reported a highly active December 2025 quarter, underpinned by a sharp rise in ammonium paratungstate (APT) prices of about 300% over 12 months, driven by Chinese export restrictions and tightening global supply. The company completed an integrated scoping study for its Mt Mulgine Project, indicating a robust, long-life, multi-commodity development with attractive economics, including a pre-tax NPV of A$1.0–1.4 billion and an IRR of 30–45%, and immediately moved into a pre-feasibility study. A new exploration target at Mulgine Trench, additional to existing resources, suggests the potential to elevate the project to one of the largest contained tungsten assets in the Western world, while a new gold mineral resource estimate of 67,500 ounces further supports the overall development strategy. Tungsten Mining is also evaluating early production options at its Hatches Creek and Watershed projects, strengthened its board and technical team in metallurgy, project management and ESG, completed a heavily oversubscribed A$53 million placement, and secured an OTCQB listing following a U.S. investor roadshow, collectively bolstering its financial and strategic position amid a structurally tightening tungsten market.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TGN) stock is a Hold with a A$0.31 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tungsten Mining NL stock, see the AU:TGN Stock Forecast page.

Tungsten Mining Plans Major Share Placement to Raise Capital
Jan 27, 2026

Tungsten Mining NL has announced a proposed placement of up to 278,947,369 fully paid ordinary shares, with an intended issue date of 9 February 2026. The substantial equity raising signals a move to bolster the company’s capital base, which could support future project development or strengthen its balance sheet, and may lead to shareholding dilution for existing investors depending on final pricing and allocation.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TGN) stock is a Hold with a A$0.22 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tungsten Mining NL stock, see the AU:TGN Stock Forecast page.

Tungsten Mining Raises A$53m to Accelerate Australian Critical Minerals Projects
Jan 27, 2026

Tungsten Mining NL has raised A$53 million through a heavily oversubscribed share placement to institutional, sophisticated and professional investors at A$0.19 per share, a discount to its last close but in line with its recent trading average. The fresh capital will primarily fund further study work and resource expansion drilling at the Mt Mulgine Project, as well as additional studies aimed at accelerating development of the Watershed Project, leaving the company with a significantly strengthened balance sheet to advance its critical mineral asset base in a supportive commodity price environment.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TGN) stock is a Hold with a A$0.22 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tungsten Mining NL stock, see the AU:TGN Stock Forecast page.

Tungsten Mining Seeks Trading Halt Ahead of Potential Capital Raising
Jan 22, 2026

Tungsten Mining NL has requested a trading halt in its securities on the ASX while it holds discussions over a potential capital raising, seeking to manage the process in an orderly fashion and ensure trading occurs on a fully informed basis. The halt will remain in place until either the start of trading on 28 January 2026 or the release of a capital-raising announcement, with the company stating it is not aware of any other undisclosed material information, a move that signals possible near-term funding and balance-sheet implications for investors and stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TGN) stock is a Hold with a A$0.21 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tungsten Mining NL stock, see the AU:TGN Stock Forecast page.

Tungsten Mining Flags Funding Hurdle for Globally Significant Mt Mulgine Critical Minerals Project
Jan 19, 2026

Tungsten Mining NL has released an update on its Mt Mulgine Project in Western Australia, describing it as a globally significant multi-critical mineral deposit and outlining outcomes from a preliminary Scoping Study. The company stresses that the study is an early-stage technical and economic assessment that supports the potential viability of the project but is not yet sufficient to define Ore Reserves or underpin a definitive development decision. The Scoping Study mine plan is based entirely on Indicated Mineral Resources, with no contribution from Inferred Resources or exploration targets, and envisages pre‑production funding requirements in the range of A$358 million to A$495 million for the preferred development case. Tungsten Mining underscores that there is no certainty it will secure this funding or achieve the projected outcomes, and notes that alternative strategies such as asset sales or joint ventures may be considered, highlighting both the scale of Mt Mulgine’s opportunity and the financing and execution risks facing investors and stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TGN) stock is a Hold with a A$0.18 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tungsten Mining NL stock, see the AU:TGN Stock Forecast page.

Tungsten Mining Updates Director Interests With New Performance Rights
Jan 13, 2026

Tungsten Mining NL has announced changes in the interests of several directors, lodging multiple Appendix 3Y notices in line with ASX Listing Rule 3.19A. The filings detail updated holdings for directors including chairman Gary Lyons, whose interests now include an additional 4.8 million performance rights issued for nil consideration, reflecting adjustments to the board’s equity-based incentives and signalling ongoing alignment of director remuneration with the company’s performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TGN) stock is a Hold with a A$0.23 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tungsten Mining NL stock, see the AU:TGN Stock Forecast page.

Tungsten Mining Issues 25.4m Unquoted Performance Rights Under Incentive Scheme
Jan 12, 2026

Tungsten Mining NL has notified the market of the issue of 25.4 million unquoted performance rights under its employee incentive scheme, with the new securities not intended to be quoted on the ASX. The substantial grant of performance rights is designed to align staff and executive incentives with shareholder value creation and may have implications for future dilution, while supporting the company’s efforts to retain and motivate key personnel in a competitive resources sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TGN) stock is a Hold with a A$0.23 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tungsten Mining NL stock, see the AU:TGN Stock Forecast page.

Tungsten Mining NL Announces Quotation of New Securities on ASX
Dec 9, 2025

Tungsten Mining NL has announced the quotation of 76,363,636 ordinary fully paid securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) as of December 9, 2025. This move is part of the company’s strategic efforts to enhance its financial position and support its operational growth, potentially impacting its market presence and stakeholder interests positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TGN) stock is a Hold with a A$0.23 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tungsten Mining NL stock, see the AU:TGN Stock Forecast page.

Tungsten Mining NL Expands Exploration Target at Mt Mulgine
Nov 30, 2025

Tungsten Mining NL has announced a new Exploration Target at the Mulgine Trench deposit, highlighting the global scale of its Mt Mulgine project. The target, which is additional to the 2020 mineral resource estimate, underscores the project’s potential to extend mine life and increase scale, reinforcing its strategic importance in the supply-constrained tungsten market. The company plans supplementary drilling to further assess the mineralisation, aiming to complete a Pre-Feasibility Study by mid-2026, which could enhance its positioning in the critical minerals sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TGN) stock is a Hold with a A$0.18 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tungsten Mining NL stock, see the AU:TGN Stock Forecast page.

Tungsten Mining NL Secures Shareholder Approval for Key Resolutions
Nov 28, 2025

Tungsten Mining NL announced that all resolutions presented at its Annual General Meeting were approved by the necessary majority. This includes the re-election of directors, approval of a 10% placement facility, and ratification of previous placements and notes, reflecting strong shareholder support and potentially enhancing the company’s operational flexibility and strategic positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TGN) stock is a Hold with a A$0.18 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tungsten Mining NL stock, see the AU:TGN Stock Forecast page.

Tungsten Mining Enhances Mt Mulgine Project Financial Insights
Nov 18, 2025

Tungsten Mining NL has released supplementary financial information for its Mt Mulgine Scoping Study, which underscores the project’s global significance and robust economics. The additional details, driven by stakeholder interest, include projected cashflow and a revised payback period, reinforcing the project’s potential and supporting the commencement of a Pre-Feasibility Study.

Tungsten Mining NL to Host Investor Webinar on Mt Mulgine Scoping Study
Nov 17, 2025

Tungsten Mining NL announced an investor webinar to present the results of the Mt Mulgine Scoping Study, which outlines the development pathway for this critical minerals project. The webinar will cover project scale, production metrics, indicative economics, and next-phase work programs, providing stakeholders with insights into the company’s strategic positioning and potential impacts on its operations.

Tungsten Mining NL’s Mt Mulgine Project Shows Promising Potential
Nov 12, 2025

Tungsten Mining NL has released a scoping study for its Mt Mulgine Project in Western Australia, highlighting its potential as a globally significant critical minerals project. The study indicates the project’s viability, but further exploration and funding are needed to confirm economic development. The company faces uncertainties in securing the required pre-production funding, which could impact the project’s progression and shareholder value.

Tungsten Mining NL’s Mt Mulgine Project Shows Global Potential
Nov 6, 2025

Tungsten Mining NL has announced the results of the Scoping Study for its Mt Mulgine Project, which highlights the project’s global significance as a potential long-term, low-cost producer of tungsten and molybdenum. The study supports an accelerated approach to production and provides a foundation for a Pre-Feasibility Study. The project is positioned to benefit from record high tungsten prices, with a large mineral resource base and potential for expansion. The company plans to complete the Pre-Feasibility Study by Q2 2026, followed by a Definitive Feasibility Study in H2 2027.

Tungsten Mining Enhances Mt Mulgine Strategy with New Gold Exploration Targets
Oct 31, 2025

Tungsten Mining NL has updated its strategy for the Mt Mulgine project by identifying new gold exploration targets at the Mulgine Trench, Allentown, and Monza prospects. These new targets are expected to enhance the company’s tungsten development pathway and contribute to the upcoming scoping study. The announcement highlights the potential for significant gold mineralization, which could add value to the company’s operations and strengthen its position in the mining industry.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 31, 2026