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Macquarie Group Limited (AU:MQG)
ASX:MQG

Macquarie Group Limited (MQG) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:MQG

Macquarie Group Limited

(Sydney:MQG)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
AU$212.00
â–˛(9.49% Upside)
Macquarie Group Limited's stock score is primarily influenced by its mixed financial performance and bearish technical indicators. The company's high leverage and inconsistent revenue growth pose risks, while the oversold technical position suggests potential for a rebound. Valuation metrics indicate a potential overvaluation, but the dividend yield provides some investor appeal. The earnings call highlighted strong asset management and banking performance, though challenges remain in commodities and increased expenses.
Positive Factors
Asset Management Growth
The significant growth in asset management indicates strong demand for Macquarie's services and enhances its revenue base, supporting long-term financial stability.
Banking and Financial Services Expansion
The expansion in banking services, driven by increased loan and deposit balances, strengthens Macquarie's market position and revenue diversification.
Strong Capital Position
A strong capital position provides Macquarie with financial flexibility to invest in growth opportunities and withstand economic downturns.
Negative Factors
Commodities and Global Markets Decline
A decline in the commodities segment highlights vulnerability to market conditions, potentially impacting overall profitability and growth.
Increased Operating Expenses
Rising expenses, driven by wage inflation and technology investments, could pressure margins and reduce profitability if not managed effectively.
Falling Return on Equity
A declining return on equity suggests challenges in generating returns from equity investments, potentially affecting investor confidence and capital efficiency.

Macquarie Group Limited (MQG) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Macquarie Group Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMacquarie Group Limited (MQG) is a global financial services provider headquartered in Sydney, Australia. The company operates through various sectors, including asset management, banking, financial advisory, and commodities trading. Macquarie offers a wide range of core products and services, such as investment management, corporate finance, and infrastructure and real estate financing, catering to a diverse clientele including corporations, institutions, and governments worldwide.
How the Company Makes MoneyMacquarie Group generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from its asset management, banking, and commodities divisions. The asset management segment earns fees from managing investments on behalf of clients, while the banking division generates interest income from loans and fees from financial services. The commodities trading segment profits from the buying and selling of various commodities and financial instruments. Additionally, Macquarie benefits from strategic partnerships and joint ventures that enhance its market presence and operational capabilities, further contributing to its earnings. The company's diversified business model allows it to capitalize on different market conditions, ensuring stable revenue growth.

Macquarie Group Limited Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of strong performances in asset management and banking services, offset by challenges in the commodities market and impairments in green assets. While there was growth in key areas, increased operating expenses and falling return on equity tempered the overall positive outlook.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Macquarie Asset Management Performance
Macquarie Asset Management reported a 43% increase in net profit contribution, due to an increase in performance fees. Assets under management reached $959.1 billion, with significant contributions from private markets and digital assets.
Banking and Financial Services Growth
Net profit contribution increased by 22% to $793 million, driven by a 21% increase in average loan mortgage balance and a 27% increase in deposit balances.
Macquarie Capital's Strong Performance
Net profit contribution increased by 92% to $711 million, supported by advisory income in Australia and the U.S., and net income from the private credit portfolio which saw a $4 billion increase in average balance.
Record Fundraising in Macquarie Asset Management
Macquarie Asset Management raised about $11 billion and invested just over $12 billion, leaving $23.5 billion of dry powder in private markets.
Negative Updates
Commodities and Global Markets Decline
The Commodities and Global Markets segment experienced a 15% decline in net profit contribution, due to subdued global commodities environment and increased operating expenses.
Increased Operating Expenses
Overall operating expenses increased by 5%, driven by increased profit share expense, wage inflation, and investment in technology and platform upgrades.
Impairments on Green Assets
Impairments were taken on offshore wind assets in the U.S., contributing to a reduction in the carrying value of these assets by approximately $150 million.
Falling Return on Equity
Despite a 3% increase in results to $1.655 billion, the return on equity fell to 9.6% due to increased capital requirements.
Company Guidance
In the first half of the fiscal year 2026 results call, Macquarie provided comprehensive guidance detailing several key metrics. The group's net profit was up 3% from the previous comparable period, reaching $1.655 billion, although the return on equity decreased slightly to 9.6% due to a growing capital position. Macquarie Asset Management saw its earnings rise by 43% to $1.175 billion, driven by performance fees, with assets under management standing at $959.1 billion. Banking and Financial Services reported a 22% increase in earnings to $793 million, supported by a 13% growth in the home loan portfolio to over $160 billion and a 12% increase in deposits to over $190 billion. Commodities and Global Markets experienced a 15% decline in net profit contribution to $1.113 billion, despite stable operating income, due to increased operating expenses. Macquarie Capital's net profit surged by 92% to $711 million, thanks to a strong fee income, particularly in Australia and the Americas, and a $3.9 billion rise in its private credit book. The group's funded balance sheet remained robust, with a capital surplus of $7.6 billion over Basel III minimums, while the Board declared a half-year dividend of $2.80 per share, representing a 64% payout ratio.

Macquarie Group Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Macquarie Group Limited shows a mixed financial performance. The income statement indicates operational challenges with inconsistent revenue growth and negative EBIT margins. The balance sheet reflects a solid capital structure with high leverage typical of the capital markets industry, balanced by strong equity returns. Cash flow analysis reveals improvement in operational efficiency but highlights historical volatility.
Income Statement
52
Neutral
The income statement shows mixed results. Gross Profit Margin is strong, as gross profit equals total revenue due to the nature of financial services. However, the company demonstrated a significant negative EBIT margin in the latest period, indicating operational challenges. Net Profit Margin remains positive, reflecting some efficiency in managing non-operating expenses. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, with a sharp decline in the latest period compared to the previous year, raising concerns about future revenue stability.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet is robust in terms of equity growth and asset accumulation. The Debt-to-Equity ratio is high, suggesting substantial leverage, which is common in the financial industry but still poses a risk. The Return on Equity is strong, showing effective use of equity to generate profits. The Equity Ratio is stable, indicating a balanced capital structure despite the high debt levels.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Cash flow from operations turned positive, which is a positive sign after previous negative cash flows, indicating improved operational efficiency. Free cash flow improved significantly, showing strong cash generation capabilities. However, fluctuations in cash flow trends over the years suggest potential volatility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue17.32B6.79B16.91B19.14B16.39B12.92B
Gross Profit6.79B6.79B6.25B6.56B6.89B5.18B
EBITDA20.52B20.52B18.58B5.19B8.58B6.49B
Net Income3.71B3.71B3.52B5.18B4.71B3.02B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets445.22B445.22B403.40B389.41B399.18B245.65B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments88.04B88.04B83.90B87.79B103.57B15.88B
Total Debt400.30B330.19B269.21B141.79B140.47B85.47B
Total Liabilities409.43B409.43B369.41B355.31B370.37B223.30B
Stockholders Equity35.36B35.36B33.48B33.16B28.56B22.05B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.27B5.27B-9.08B-11.24B9.57B-2.40B
Operating Cash Flow6.33B6.33B-10.86B-10.42B10.55B-1.64B
Investing Cash Flow-30.21B-2.34B-3.88B-1.23B-31.13B-11.13B
Financing Cash Flow-1.94B-1.94B-2.99B33.48B72.19B20.41B

Macquarie Group Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price193.63
Price Trends
50DMA
208.36
Negative
100DMA
212.34
Negative
200DMA
207.30
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.55
Negative
RSI
37.56
Neutral
STOCH
34.45
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:MQG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 193.63 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 195.38, below the 50-day MA of 208.36, and below the 200-day MA of 207.30, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.55 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 37.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.45 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:MQG.

Macquarie Group Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
AU$7.56B64.7367.81%1.43%28.29%39.39%
61
Neutral
$21.03B22.7629.52%2.67%6.44%22.38%
60
Neutral
AU$136.71M5.649.31%―-5.73%-36.36%
56
Neutral
$71.90B19.8110.30%3.44%3.65%1.58%
55
Neutral
AU$489.39M24.5512.36%3.14%-26.30%40.12%
50
Neutral
AU$430.58M31.8012.27%2.76%24.56%59.32%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:MQG
Macquarie Group Limited
193.63
-24.24
-11.13%
AU:CPU
Computershare Limited
34.40
3.11
9.93%
AU:PPS
Praemium Ltd
0.82
0.04
5.13%
AU:OFX
OFX Group Ltd.
0.56
-0.82
-59.42%
AU:COG
COG Financial Services Limited
2.04
1.19
140.00%
AU:NWL
Netwealth Group Ltd.
26.65
-1.73
-6.10%

Macquarie Group Limited Corporate Events

Macquarie Group Appoints William Vereker to Board
Dec 5, 2025

Macquarie Group Limited has announced the appointment of William Vereker as an independent non-executive director, effective February 1, 2026. Vereker’s extensive experience in global financial services and risk management is expected to enhance the board’s capabilities, contributing to the company’s ongoing renewal process and maintaining its effectiveness in overseeing Macquarie’s global business operations.

Macquarie Group Updates Interim Dividend Allocation
Dec 4, 2025

Macquarie Group Limited has announced an update regarding its interim dividend distribution, with ordinary shares allocated at AUD 195.34 per share. This allocation price is based on the arithmetic average of the daily volume weighted average price of MQG shares traded on the ASX over eight days. The interim dividend will be paid on December 17, 2025, and relates to the financial period ending September 30, 2025. This announcement reflects Macquarie’s adherence to its Dividend Reinvestment Plan (DRP) rules, potentially impacting shareholder returns and market perception positively.

Macquarie Group Ceases Substantial Holding in St George Mining
Dec 3, 2025

Macquarie Group Limited has announced that it has ceased to be a substantial holder in St George Mining Limited. This change reflects a shift in Macquarie’s investment strategy or portfolio management, potentially impacting its influence or voting power within St George Mining. The announcement may have implications for stakeholders, including changes in market perception or investor confidence in both companies.

Macquarie Group Announces Director’s Interest Change
Dec 3, 2025

Macquarie Group Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest notice for Philip M Coffey, involving the redemption of 153,506.08 units of the Walter Scott Global Equity Fund (WSGEF) held on behalf of the Coffey Family Super Fund. This adjustment reflects a strategic financial decision impacting the director’s indirect interests, with no change in the number of Macquarie Group Limited shares held.

Macquarie Group Adjusts Investment in Chrysos Corporation
Dec 2, 2025

Macquarie Group Limited has announced that it has ceased to be a substantial holder in Chrysos Corporation Limited. This change in holding reflects a shift in Macquarie’s investment strategy, which may impact its market positioning and influence within the financial services sector. Stakeholders of Chrysos Corporation might experience changes in shareholder dynamics as a result of this announcement.

Macquarie Group Announces Cessation of Deferred Share Units
Dec 2, 2025

Macquarie Group Limited announced the cessation of 14,042 deferred share units due to the lapse of conditional rights, as the conditions were not met or became incapable of being satisfied. This cessation reflects an adjustment in the company’s issued capital, which may have implications for stakeholders regarding the company’s equity structure and future financial strategies.

Macquarie Group Issues Deferred Share Units in Employee Incentive Plan
Dec 2, 2025

Macquarie Group Limited announced the issuance of 14,251 deferred share units as part of an employee incentive scheme. These securities are unquoted and not intended for public trading, reflecting the company’s strategy to incentivize and retain talent within its workforce, potentially enhancing its operational capabilities and market competitiveness.

Macquarie Group Adjusts Investment in Sandfire Resources
Dec 1, 2025

Macquarie Group Limited has announced that it has ceased to be a substantial holder in Sandfire Resources Limited. This change in holding indicates a shift in Macquarie’s investment strategy, which may impact its market positioning and influence within the industry. Stakeholders and investors might need to reassess their strategies in light of Macquarie’s altered investment stance.

Macquarie Group Adjusts Investment in Sandfire Resources
Nov 20, 2025

Macquarie Group Limited has announced that it has ceased to be a substantial holder in Sandfire Resources Limited. This change in holding reflects a strategic shift in Macquarie’s investment portfolio, potentially impacting its influence in the mining sector and signaling a reallocation of resources that could affect stakeholders and market dynamics.

Macquarie Group Ceases Substantial Holding in Jumbo Interactive
Nov 14, 2025

Macquarie Group Limited has announced that it has ceased to be a substantial holder in Jumbo Interactive Limited. This change in holding reflects a shift in Macquarie’s investment strategy or portfolio management, potentially impacting its influence over Jumbo Interactive’s corporate decisions. The announcement may have implications for stakeholders, including changes in voting power or strategic direction.

Macquarie Group Adjusts Stake in Ingenia Communities
Nov 12, 2025

Macquarie Group Limited has announced that it has ceased to be a substantial holder in Ingenia Communities Group. This change in holding reflects a shift in Macquarie’s investment strategy and could impact its influence within Ingenia Communities, potentially affecting stakeholders and market dynamics.

Macquarie Group Announces New Dividend Distribution
Nov 6, 2025

Macquarie Group Limited has announced a new dividend distribution for its security, MQGPG – CAP NOTE 3-BBSW+2.65% PERP NON-CUM RED T-12-31, amounting to AUD 1.35070000. The dividend relates to a quarterly period ending on December 14, 2025, with an ex-date of November 27, 2025, and a payment date set for December 15, 2025. This announcement reflects Macquarie’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its stakeholders, reinforcing its position in the financial services industry.

Macquarie Group Announces New Distribution for CAP NOTE Security
Nov 6, 2025

Macquarie Group Limited has announced a new distribution for its security, CAP NOTE 3-BBSW+3.70% PERP NON-CUM RED T-09-29, with a distribution amount of AUD 1.5799. The ex-date is set for November 26, 2025, and the record date is November 27, 2025, with payment scheduled for December 12, 2025. This announcement reflects Macquarie’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its investors and maintaining its strong position in the financial services industry.

Macquarie Group Announces New Dividend Distribution
Nov 6, 2025

Macquarie Group Limited has announced a new dividend distribution for its security MQGPE, with a distribution amount of AUD 1.4003 to be paid on December 18, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its stakeholders and may impact its financial positioning and investor relations positively.

Macquarie Group Announces New Distribution for MQGPD Security
Nov 6, 2025

Macquarie Group Limited announced a new distribution for its security, MQGPD, with a distribution amount of AUD 1.6773. The distribution relates to a quarterly period ending on December 9, 2025, with key dates including an ex-date of December 1, 2025, and a payment date of December 10, 2025. This announcement reflects Macquarie’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its stakeholders and maintaining its position in the financial services industry.

Macquarie Group Extends Share Buy-Back Program
Nov 6, 2025

Macquarie Group Limited has announced an update to its on-market buy-back program, extending the buy-back period until November 6, 2026. This move is likely to impact the company’s stock market operations by potentially enhancing shareholder value and optimizing capital management, reflecting Macquarie’s strategic focus on maintaining financial flexibility and returning capital to shareholders.

Macquarie Group’s Strategic Moves in Climate and Real Estate Sectors
Nov 6, 2025

Macquarie Group Limited has successfully raised $US405 million for its platform Vertelo, which is aimed at supporting India’s transition to electric vehicles, showcasing its ability to mobilize capital for climate solutions. Additionally, Macquarie Capital played a pivotal role in advising CoStar Group on its $A3 billion acquisition of Australian property marketplace Domain, highlighting its expertise in executing major cross-border transactions.

Macquarie Group Highlights Financial Performance and Balance Sheet Management
Nov 6, 2025

Macquarie Group Limited has released a presentation detailing its financial performance and position for the half year ended September 30, 2025. The presentation highlights the company’s active management of its balance sheet to maintain structural integrity and strengthen its liquidity and funding position. This approach underscores Macquarie’s commitment to robust financial practices, which are crucial for its operations and industry standing.

Macquarie Group Reports $A1,655 Million Half-Year Profit Amid Strategic Growth
Nov 6, 2025

Macquarie Group Limited announced a half-year net profit of $A1,655 million, marking a 3% increase from the previous year but a 21% decrease from the prior half-year. The company’s assets under management rose to $A959.1 billion, reflecting favorable market movements. Despite a higher effective tax rate, the company maintained a strong financial position with a capital surplus of $A7.6 billion, exceeding regulatory requirements. The announcement highlights the company’s strategic investments in growth opportunities and its robust performance across various operating groups, although some areas like Commodities and Global Markets faced challenges due to increased expenses.

Macquarie Group Announces New Dividend Distribution
Nov 6, 2025

Macquarie Group Limited has announced a new dividend distribution of AUD 2.80 per ordinary fully paid share, relating to the six-month period ending September 30, 2025. The ex-dividend date is set for November 17, 2025, with the record date on November 18, 2025, and payment scheduled for December 17, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its shareholders and may influence its market positioning and stakeholder relations.

Macquarie Group Reports Revenue and Profit Growth for Half-Year 2025
Nov 6, 2025

Macquarie Group Limited has released its interim financial report for the half year ending 30 September 2025, showing a 5.78% increase in revenue from ordinary activities to $8,691 million compared to the previous year. The profit after income tax rose by 4.35% to $1,681 million, and the profit attributable to ordinary equity holders increased by 2.67% to $1,655 million. Despite a slight decrease in net tangible assets per ordinary share, the company announced a resolved interim dividend of $2.80 per ordinary share, with a franked amount of $0.9800. These results indicate a stable financial performance and continued growth, which may positively impact stakeholders and reinforce Macquarie’s position in the financial services industry.

Macquarie Group Announces Cessation of Deferred Share Units
Oct 10, 2025

Macquarie Group Limited announced the cessation of 46,361 deferred share units due to the lapse of conditional rights, as the conditions were not met or became incapable of being satisfied. This cessation of securities may impact the company’s capital structure and could have implications for stakeholders regarding the company’s operational strategies and financial positioning.

Macquarie Group Issues New Deferred Share Units
Oct 10, 2025

Macquarie Group Limited announced the issuance of 14,356 deferred share units as part of an employee incentive scheme. These securities are unquoted and are not intended to be listed on the ASX, reflecting the company’s ongoing efforts to incentivize and retain its workforce through equity-based compensation.

Macquarie Group Ceases Substantial Holding in Lifestyle Communities
Sep 22, 2025

Macquarie Group Limited, through its controlled entities, has announced it has ceased to be a substantial holder in Lifestyle Communities Limited. This change in substantial holding reflects a shift in Macquarie’s investment strategy or portfolio adjustments, which may impact its influence on Lifestyle Communities and its voting rights within the company.

Macquarie Group Ceases Substantial Holding in Perpetual Limited
Sep 18, 2025

Macquarie Group Limited has announced that it has ceased to be a substantial holder in Perpetual Limited, indicating a change in its voting securities and associations. This development may impact Macquarie’s strategic positioning and influence within the financial services industry, potentially affecting stakeholders and market dynamics.

Macquarie Group Adjusts Investment in Perpetual Limited
Sep 10, 2025

Macquarie Group Limited has announced that it has ceased to be a substantial holder in Perpetual Limited. This change in holding reflects adjustments in Macquarie’s investment strategy and may impact its influence in the voting securities of Perpetual Limited, potentially affecting stakeholders associated with both entities.

Macquarie Group Secures Exemption for Share Acquisitions
Sep 10, 2025

Macquarie Group Limited has received an exemption from section 259C of the Corporations Act 2001, allowing certain acquisitions of its shares by its entities. As of September 8, 2025, Macquarie controls 6.37% of its voting shares, with 4.07% related to employee share plans. This exemption facilitates Macquarie’s operational flexibility in managing its shareholdings and employee incentive schemes, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 12, 2025