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Megaport Ltd. (AU:MP1)
ASX:MP1

Megaport (MP1) AI Stock Analysis

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AU

Megaport

(Sydney:MP1)

70Outperform
Megaport Ltd. demonstrates strong financial performance with significant revenue growth and improved profitability, supporting a positive outlook. However, technical indicators suggest some short-term bearish sentiment, and the high P/E ratio indicates potential overvaluation concerns. The absence of earnings call insights and corporate events means the analysis is focused on financials and market trends.

Megaport (MP1) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Megaport Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMegaport Ltd. (MP1) is a global leader in elastic interconnection services, operating in the telecommunications and technology sectors. The company provides a platform that enables customers to connect their network to other networks and cloud service providers in a quick, flexible, and scalable manner. Megaport's core products include its Network as a Service (NaaS) offerings, which facilitate direct, private, and secure connections over its global Software Defined Network (SDN).
How the Company Makes MoneyMegaport Ltd. generates revenue primarily through its Network as a Service (NaaS) offerings, which allow customers to create dedicated connections to various cloud providers and data centers. The company charges customers based on the bandwidth they require and the duration of their connections, allowing for flexible, on-demand pricing models. Key revenue streams include monthly recurring charges from customers for using the Megaport platform to manage their interconnections and additional fees for data transfer. Significant partnerships with major cloud service providers like Amazon Web Services, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud enhance Megaport's service offerings and contribute to its revenue by attracting a broader customer base seeking efficient and scalable interconnection solutions.

Megaport Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Megaport Ltd. is on a positive financial trajectory with strong revenue growth and improved profitability. The balance sheet is robust, characterized by low leverage and high equity. Cash flow has significantly improved, underscoring effective financial management. While historical volatility in profits and equity fluctuations are noted, the overall financial health is promising.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Megaport Ltd. has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a 27.54% increase in the most recent year, along with improved profitability metrics. The gross profit margin improved significantly, reaching 20.7% from 4.0% the previous year. The net profit margin also turned positive at 4.9%, indicating a positive shift in operational efficiency and cost management. However, historical volatility in profitability remains a concern.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a solid balance sheet characterized by a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.10, indicating minimal leverage and financial risk. The equity ratio is strong at 71.8%, demonstrating the company's reliance on equity financing. However, past fluctuations in stockholders' equity and liabilities warrant cautious monitoring.
Cash Flow
90
Very Positive
Megaport Ltd. has shown exceptional improvement in cash flow management. The free cash flow turned positive to AUD 30.3 million from a negative position, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 5.22, highlighting efficient cash conversion. This positive trajectory in cash flow metrics supports financial stability and future growth opportunities.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
206.91M195.27M153.08M109.73M78.28M58.04M
Gross Profit
144.84M158.86M6.10M-20.42M-22.77M-23.93M
EBIT
43.04M4.62M-19.53M-46.47M-46.98M-45.26M
EBITDA
17.60M40.39M28.79M-6.32M-36.69M-30.67M
Net Income Common Stockholders
6.04M9.61M-9.77M-48.49M-55.00M-48.71M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
89.80M72.43M48.45M82.55M136.31M166.88M
Total Assets
242.88M214.70M202.23M220.38M220.56M247.09M
Total Debt
21.30M15.79M19.96M27.27M15.76M21.24M
Net Debt
-68.51M-56.65M-28.50M-55.27M-120.56M-145.63M
Total Liabilities
67.28M60.62M74.30M78.14M40.15M36.13M
Stockholders Equity
175.60M154.08M127.93M142.25M180.41M210.97M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
42.48M30.32M-24.57M-49.71M-30.79M-48.55M
Operating Cash Flow
57.55M50.17M8.23M-9.83M-8.29M-20.36M
Investing Cash Flow
-25.25M-19.85M-32.73M-50.26M-22.44M-27.57M
Financing Cash Flow
-8.68M-7.43M-10.40M5.87M4.87M142.83M

Megaport Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price11.93
Price Trends
50DMA
10.46
Positive
100DMA
9.35
Positive
200DMA
8.81
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.40
Negative
RSI
64.97
Neutral
STOCH
60.74
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:MP1, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.93 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.63, above the 50-day MA of 10.46, and above the 200-day MA of 8.81, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.40 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.74 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:MP1.

Megaport Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AUMP1
70
Outperform
$1.92B314.783.84%3.02%55.33%
AUTNE
70
Outperform
€10.48B88.3634.02%0.76%17.97%14.29%
AUBVS
67
Neutral
AU$986.38M13.7657.04%0.73%18.63%
AUNXT
61
Neutral
$8.69B-2.06%-2.69%-17.50%
60
Neutral
$11.39B10.50-6.42%2.97%7.77%-11.17%
AUAPX
50
Neutral
$241.79M-19.32%-13.61%86.37%
AUDUB
40
Underperform
AU$104.93M-131.93%15.31%61.52%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:MP1
Megaport
11.93
-2.50
-17.33%
AU:APX
Appen
0.95
0.34
56.20%
AU:TNE
Technology One Limited
31.62
15.34
94.24%
AU:NXT
Nextdc Limited
13.65
-3.61
-20.92%
AU:BVS
Bravura Solutions Limited
2.20
1.09
98.20%
AU:DUB
Dubber Corporation Limited
0.04
0.00
0.00%

Megaport Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 19, 2025
(Q2-2024)
|
% Change Since: 25.05%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 21, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted substantial revenue and EBITDA growth, successful product launches, and improved financial health. However, challenges with KPI metrics and increased expenditures were noted. Overall, the positive achievements significantly outweighed the challenges.
Q2-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Revenue reached $48.6 million, a 31% increase year-on-year, marking an $11.6 million rise.
EBITDA Surge
EBITDA increased by 529% to $15.1 million, reflecting a significant $12.7 million year-on-year growth.
Cash Flow Improvement
Total cash flow was $7.3 million, up $19.2 million year-on-year, showcasing a significant turnaround.
Strong Financial Position
Cash at bank was $62.5 million, up $7.3 million quarter-on-quarter, indicating a healthy fiscal status.
Global WAN Success
The launch of Global WAN resulted in the largest deal in company history, with $1.4 million in annual recurring revenue contracted over three years.
Product Innovation and Expansion
Launched several new products including Megaport Internet, 100-gig VXCs, and a 400-gig U.S. backbone upgrade is underway.
Cost Management and Efficiency
Operating cash flow increased to $15.2 million, up $15 million year-on-year, due to ongoing cost control and revenue growth.
Negative Updates
Challenges with KPI Metrics
Historically reported KPIs presented challenges due to cloud port consolidation and inappropriate signals, leading to a shift to revenue-generating metrics.
Increased Expenditure
Incremental costs for sales and marketing and customer success staff impacted EBITDA quarter-on-quarter, reflecting reinvestment in the go-to-market engine.
Delayed Headcount Cost Impact
New hires landed towards the end of Q2, meaning the full cost impact will be seen in Q3.
Company Guidance
In the recent earnings call for MP1.AX, CEO Michael Reid provided detailed guidance on multiple financial and operational metrics, highlighting a significant turnaround and growth trajectory for the company. The company reported a revenue of $48.6 million for the second quarter of FY '24, marking a 31% increase year-on-year, alongside an EBITDA of $15.1 million, reflecting a substantial 529% rise. The net cash flow improved by $6.9 million year-on-year, while operating cash flow surged to $15.2 million. The company maintained its revenue guidance for FY '24 at $190 million to $195 million and EBITDA between $51 million and $57 million, despite revising CapEx expectations down to $20 million-$22 million. The shift in focus to revenue-generating KPIs was emphasized, with total services reported at 748, and customer numbers and ports also seeing increases. With a strong emphasis on go-to-market strategies and hiring, particularly in North America, the company is poised to continue its growth momentum. The call also pointed to the success of the newly launched Global WAN product, which resulted in the largest deal in Megaport's history, valued at $1.4 million in annual recurring revenue.

Megaport Corporate Events

ECP Asset Management and EC Pohl & Co Cease Substantial Holding in Megaport
May 13, 2025

Megaport Limited has announced that ECP Asset Management Pty Ltd and EC Pohl & Co Pty Ltd have ceased to be substantial holders in the company as of May 9, 2025. This change in substantial holding may impact the company’s shareholder structure and could influence its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MP1) stock is a Buy with a A$16.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Megaport stock, see the AU:MP1 Stock Forecast page.

JPMorgan Chase & Co. Ceases Substantial Holding in Megaport Ltd
May 6, 2025

JPMorgan Chase & Co. and its affiliates have ceased to be substantial holders in Megaport Ltd, a company involved in providing network services. This change reflects various transactions involving securities lending and proprietary trading, impacting the company’s shareholder structure. The cessation of substantial holding may influence Megaport’s market perception and stakeholder interests.

JPMorgan Acquires Significant Stake in Megaport Ltd
Apr 17, 2025

JPMorgan Chase & Co. and its affiliates have become substantial holders in Megaport Ltd, acquiring a 5.15% voting power with over 8 million ordinary shares. This move signifies a notable investment in Megaport, potentially impacting its market position and signaling confidence in its growth prospects, which could influence stakeholder perceptions and future strategic directions.

Megaport Limited Announces Cessation of Restricted Stock Units
Apr 4, 2025

Megaport Limited announced the cessation of 32,325 restricted stock units due to the lapse of conditional rights, as the conditions for these securities were not met or became incapable of being satisfied. This announcement may impact the company’s capital structure and could have implications for stakeholders, reflecting on the company’s operational adjustments and strategic focus.

Megaport Ltd. Announces Change in Substantial Holder Interests
Apr 2, 2025

Megaport Ltd. has announced a change in the interests of a substantial holder, with State Street Bank and Trust Company and its subsidiaries being the primary entities involved. This update reflects changes in voting power and relevant interests in the company’s securities, which may impact the control and management of voting rights within the company.

AustralianSuper Reduces Stake in Megaport Limited
Mar 18, 2025

AustralianSuper Pty Ltd has reduced its voting power in Megaport Limited from 10.28% to 9.27%, reflecting a decrease in its holdings of ordinary shares. This change in substantial holding may impact Megaport’s shareholder dynamics and could influence future strategic decisions, as AustralianSuper remains a significant stakeholder.

Megaport Ltd. Announces New Securities Issuance
Mar 5, 2025

Megaport Ltd. has announced the issuance of 298,803 ordinary fully paid securities, which will be quoted on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) under the code MP1. This move reflects the company’s ongoing efforts to enhance its financial flexibility and support its growth strategy in the competitive technology sector.

Megaport Ltd. Announces Change in Substantial Holder Interests
Feb 25, 2025

Megaport Ltd. has announced a change in the interests of a substantial holder, with State Street Corporation and its subsidiaries being involved in the voting securities of the company. This change reflects a shift in the voting power and relevant interests in Megaport Ltd., potentially impacting the company’s governance and stakeholder dynamics.

Megaport Achieves Record Half-Year Performance with Strategic Growth Initiatives
Feb 19, 2025

Megaport Limited reported a record performance for the half-year ended December 31, 2024, with significant increases in annual recurring revenue, total revenue, and net cash flow. The company’s strategic investments in product innovation and global network expansion have contributed to its growth, with notable achievements including the deployment of a 400G backbone, the launch of a compute platform, and the expansion into new markets such as Brazil and Italy. These developments position Megaport as a leading player in the NaaS connectivity platform space, enhancing its market presence and offering new revenue opportunities for stakeholders.

Megaport Ltd. Reports Revenue Growth but Profit Decline in H1 2024
Feb 19, 2025

Megaport Ltd. reported its financial results for the half-year ending December 31, 2024, revealing a 12% increase in revenue from ordinary activities compared to the previous year. Despite the revenue growth, the company experienced an 80% decline in net profit after tax, attributed to increased costs impacting EBITDA, which decreased by 9%. No dividends were declared for this period, and the net tangible asset backing per share rose to 78.91 cents from 58.93 cents. The financial report was reviewed by Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, and no significant changes in control of entities were reported.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.